Monthly Electrical Energy Overview January 2018

Transcription

1 January 218

2 Monthly Electrical Energy Overview January 218 January 218 was marked both by a very strong fall in gross demand and by significant hydraulic and wind generation because of the weather conditions. Gross demand fell by 17.8% compared to January 217. Corrected for climate factors, demand was slightly lower (-.1%). Demand by industrial sites connected to the public transmission network record increased by 2.3%. Fossil fuel thermal generation was down 54.2% compared to January 217. Two new records were set for renewable generation excluding hydraulic with 5 TWh and hydraulic generation with 7.2 TWh. Wind generation was significantly higher by 87.9% because of particularly favourable wind conditions in January. Solar generation fell by 17.6% compared to 217. In January, hydraulic generation in Auvergne-Rhône-Alps and in Occitanie covered respectively 43% and 39% of electricity demand in these regions Market prices were lower in most European countries. For France, trade was globally in favour of experts over all its borders except with the CWE area. 7 new installations went into service in January 218. Monthly Overview - January 218 2

3 Monthly Electrical Energy Overview January 218 DEMAND Gross demand was down 17.8% compared to January 217, due to a monthly average temperature increase of 5.4 C compared to January 217. Corrected for climate factors, overall demand was slightly down (-.1%). The increase in demand by large industry seen since May 217 slowed a little in January 218. GENERATION Several records were set in January 218. Renewable generation excluding hydraulic was strongly up by 56% compared to 217 and reached a new record level of more than 5 TWh. Hydraulic generation exceeded 7.2 TWh (a 38% increase) its highest level since 213. There was therefore much less need for fossil fuel thermal generation which recorded a fall of more than 54%. WIND AND SOLAR The stormy spells and gusts of wind led to an increase in wind generation of 88% compared to January 217, which set a new record of 3.9 TWh. The monthly average load factor was greater than 38%. The average monthly cover rate of demand reached a record with 8%. Solar generation fell by nearly 17.6% compared to January 217. TERRITORIES AND REGIONS Following the plentiful rainfall of January 218, hydraulic generation increased in all regions except in Provence-Alpes- Côte-d'Azur (a fall of 32%). The Auvergne-Rhône-Alpes region was the most productive region with generation of 2.9 TWh which covered 43% of its demand. It was followed by the Occitanie region with 1.5 TWh i.e. cover of 39% of its regional demand. ELECTRICITY MARKETS The French price fell sharply and its monthly average amounted to 35/MWh. Demand remained limited, with particularly mild temperatures for the season and good availability of nuclear energy following on from that of December. INTERNATIONAL TRADE In January, France s trade was strongly in favour of exports with over 7 TWh, the highest since August 214. The export balance of trade was close to its historical records across all borders with the exception of the CWE area. NEW INSTALLATIONS 7 installations went into service in January, including one overhead 15 KV line, three 63KV aerial-underground lines, two 63KV overhead lines to improve the security of the network, as well as a shunt reactor of 8MVA for better control of the 225KV high voltages of the northern part of the Pays de la Loire region. Monthly Overview - January 218 3

4 Monthly electrical energy overview January 218 Monthly energy consumption 7 Monthly gross consumption 4% Trend by sector in sliding year adjusted from the climate effect % 2% 2,3% % % -1% -,1% -,3% Feb-17 Mar-17 Apr-17 May-17 Jun-17 Jul-17 Aug-17 Period Period Sep-17 Oct-17 Nov-17 Dec-17 Jan-18-2% Feb-17 Mar-17 Apr-17 May-17 Jun-17 Jul-17 Aug-17 Sep-17 Oct-17 Adjusted national consumption Direct RTE customers * Adjusted consumption on PDN Nov-17 Dec-17 Jan-18 *without energy sector Peak consumption* January GW Gross monthly consumption at the peak and actual temperature 79,4 GW C ma 1 je 3 sa 5 lu 7 me 9 ve 11 di 13 ma 15 je 17 sa 19 lu 21 me 23 ve 25 di 27 ma 29 Deviation from norm ( C) Gross consumption : daily peak (GW) Actual temperature -1 GW Evolution of monthly power extrema 12,1 GW 29,5 GW 79,4 GW 5,1 GW Max power Min Power Absolute max Absolute min * Perimeter France excl. Corsica, losses included Monthly Overview - January 218 4

5 Monthly electricical energy overview January 218 Installed capacity (MW) January 218 Energy generated () January 218 Hydroelectric Nuclear 6313 Conventional Thermal Hydroelectric Conventional Thermal Other RES 859 Solar 299 Other RES 1949 Solar 7647 Wind Wind Nuclear Focus on generation sectors Nuclear generation Hydro-electric generation Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Period Period Period Period Fossil-fuel thermal generation RES generation excl. hydro-electric Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Period Period Period Period Monthly Overview - January 218 5

6 Monthly electrical energy overview January 218 Monthly generation Wind generation Photovoltaic generation % 7% 6% 5% 4% Load factor of wind generation January 218 MW % 2% 1% % 1/1 1/3 1/5 1/7 1/9 Feb 1/11 Mar 1/13 Apr 1/15 May 1/17 Jun Jul Aug 1/19 Sep 1/21 Oct 1/23 Nov 1/25 Dec 1/27 Jan Feb 1/29 Mar 1/31 Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Period Period Period Period ,% 25,% 2,% 15,% Rate of coverage of consumption by wind generation (%) 18,5% 1,% 5,% 8,1% Mean load factor by half-hour interval (%) and associated power Mean monthly load factor (%) and associated power,% Jan 12 Apr 12 Jul 12 Oct 12 Jan 13 Apr 13 Jul 13 Oct 13 Jan 14 Apr 14 Jul 14 Oct 14 Jan 15 Apr 15 Jul 15 Oct 15 Jan 16 Apr 16 Jul 16 Oct 16 Jan 17 Apr 17 Jul 17 Oct 17 Jan 18 Average value Maximal value Minimal value 1,1% Fleet development in France Planned fleet on the PTN MW Development of generating fleets in France** Technology Installed capacity* at 31/1/18 Queued projects * Nb Cumulative power Projects in preparation* Nb Cumulative power 8 6 Wind 95 MW MW 7 33 MW 4 2 of which Offshore MW MW MW Jan 1 Apr 1 Jul 1 Oct 1 Jan 11 Apr 11 Jul 11 Oct 11 Jan 12 Apr 12 Jul 12 Oct 12 Jan 13 Apr 13 Jul 13 Oct 13 Jan 14 Apr 14 Jul 14 Oct 14 Jan 15 Apr 15 Jul 15 Oct 15 Jan 16 Apr 16 Jul 16 Oct 16 Jan 17 Apr 17 Jul 17 Oct 17 Photovoltaic 641 MW 3 22 MW 2 85 MW Wind farm Solar photovoltaic * Refer to glossary for category definitions Wind capacity awaiting connection at Enedis as of 31/12/17: MW ** data available up to December 217 Solar capacity awaiting connection at Enedis as of 31/12/17: MW Monthly Overview - January 218 6

7 Aperçu Monthly mensuel electrical sur l'énergie energy électrique overview Septembre January Distribution of regional generation Distribution of regional consumption Hydraulic generation reaches the highest ever monthly level Evolution of Hydro-electic generation in January compared to January 217 by region Monthly hydraulic generation reached a new record high of 7252 as a result of the rainy conditions in January 218. The two regions where hydraulic generation was the highest were the Auvergne-Rhone- Alpes region with 2955 (43% of the regional demand) and the Occitanie region with1583(39%ofitsdemand). Compared to January 217, hydraulic generation increased in all regions with the exception of Provence-Alpes-Cote d'azur where itfellby32%. Monthly Overview - January

8 Monthly electrical energy overview January 218 Spot prices in Europe Monthly average value Actuality of Market mechanisms 34,95 Prix( /MWh) Sens du spread prix >prix FR prix <prix FR 56,34 32,41 32,29 32,39 32,26 3,76 32,88 31,57 38,79 38,68 29,46 36,78 Several spells of negative prices in Europe On Monday 1 January, there was a spell of negative prices in several European countries: France, Germany/Austria, Belgium, Switzerland and Slovenia. This spell is explained by very plentiful wind generation whereas demand is at its lowest level on this public holiday. The price fell to - 76/MWh in Germany and -31.8/MWh in France. It should be noted that on this day, the French price was negative for seven hourly periods; i.e. more than the previous three years combined. 34,95 48,25 37,92 Other negative prices were recorded in the month, in Germany and to a lesser extent in Denmark when wind generation was high. 51,63 49,98 48,24 47,77 47,26 47,47 62,15 /MWh Daily average value evolution of the spot prices during the month Moyenne sur le mois -2 1-Jan 4-Jan 7-Jan 1-Jan 13-Jan 16-Jan 19-Jan 22-Jan 25-Jan 28-Jan 31-Jan -4 Belgium Netherland France Germany/Austrich Great Britain Spain Italia (north) Monthly Overview - January 218 8

9 Monthly electrical energy overview January 218 Commercial exchanges January 218 MW Daily extrema of the export balance EXPORT : IMPORT : BALANCE : Monthly exchange balances on each border 3 With CWE zone With Great Britain 25 With Switzerland févr mars avr mai juin juil août sept oct nov déc janv févr mars avr mai juin juil août sept oct nov déc janv With Italy With Spain févr mars avr mai juin juil août sept oct 1/1 1/2 1/3 1/4 1/5 1/6 1/7 1/8 1/9 1/1 1/11 1/12 1/13 1/14 1/15 1/16 1/17 1/18 1/19 1/2 1/21 1/22 1/23 1/24 1/25 1/26 1/27 1/28 1/29 1/3 1/31 nov déc janv févr mars avr mai juin juil août sept oct nov déc janv févr mars avr mai juin juil août sept oct nov déc janv Minimal balance Maximal blance The energy values described correspond to contracted exchanges on Euronext. Monthly Overview - January 218 9

10 Monthly electrical energy overview January kv overhead-underground line Breteuil - Piquage à Gannes Gannes - Piquage à Gannes Valescourt - Piquage à Gannes Oise (6) As part of the restructuring of the 63 kv network of centre of the Oise department 8 MVA shunt reactor Oudon Mayenne (53) Better control of 225kV high voltage in the northern part of the Pays de la Loire region 63 kv overhead line Laurons - Lavera Bouches du Rhône (13) Partial renewal of conductors 15 kv overhead line Bancairon - Entrevaux Alpes Maritimes (6) Rehabilitation of the line to secure the power supply to the area Overhead line Underground line Substation 63 to 15 kv Monthly Overview - January 218 1

11 Nb Puissance cumulée Nb Puissance cumulée 2131 MW MW 42% 8% 238 MW 1 3 MW Monthly electrical energy overview January 218 Data sources This document relies on metered data collected by RTE and also on data sent by the french DSOs, especially erdf and EDF SEI. Monthly gross consumption Perimeter : France with Corsica, losses included Gross national demands and actual temperatures Daily peak for perimeter France excl. Corsica For more information on how actual temperatures and reference temperatures are calculated, visit RTE's website: Extreme capacity value trend Max/Min Power: Maximum/minimum power consumption in France over the month, excluding Corsica Absolute extreme value: Extreme value for consumption observed since 1st January 28 Trend by sector in sliding year adjusted from the climate effect Total consumption: Consumption of France, with Corsica, losses included. Adjusted from climate effect. Adjusted consumption on PDN: Represents the consumption of resditential and SMEs/SMIs sector. Data adjusted from weather effect. Direct RTE customers : Industrial sites connected directly to the PTN (excluding consumption at source). Energy sector is excluded Trend in sliding year : growth between the last 12 cumulative monthly values and the previous 12 Generation The "Hydro-electric" category includes all types of hydro plants (impoundment, run-of-river, etc.). Consumption for pumping by pumped storage facilities is not deducted from generation. The "Nuclear" category includes all nuclear units. Consumption by auxiliary units is deducted from generation. The "Fossil-fuel thermal" category includes Coal, Oil and Gas-fired technologies. The "Other RES" category includes PV solar, Biomass, Biogas and paper/card waste. The installed capacity values are valid for the end of the month, with the exception of the "Other RES" category, which is validfor the start of the month. Wind Generation Load factor : Ratio of wind power generated to nominal installed wind capacity Coverage of demand Coverage rate : Ratio of wind power generated to gros national consumption at a given time Puissance Filière installée Eolien 361 MW 22 dont Offshore Photovoltaïque 24 MW 9 Projets en file Projets en d'attente préparation Generation Wind: onshore and offshore wind projects. The share of offshore capacity is indicated in the row below Installed capacity: Cumulative capacity of installations for which a connection agreement has been signed. Queued projects: Projects which have entered the connection queue under RTE's connection procedure, i.e. projects which have signed a "queuing proposal" with RTE, following a detailed connection study or a "technical and financial proposal". Projects in preparation: Connection projects for which RTE has been asked to provide a detailed study or technical and financial proposal, currently being examined by RTE, or for which the Prices in Europe Monthly average of spot prices in the different price zones of the coupled area. France is always represented in white, the other areas are coloured based on the difference in price compared with France (blue: lower price, red: higher price, the deeper the colour, the greater the difference). Glossary Spot price: Wholesale price of electricity, determined by the power exchanges the day before fordelivery thefollowing day,foreach houroftheday. Spread : Price differential between two price areas (here between each price area and France). Price area: Geographic area inside which the electricity price is identical and where exchanges are done with no allocation of capacity. A price area may combine several countries (for example: Germany, Austria, Luxembourg) and a country may be subdivided into more than one price area (for example: Italy, Norway). Daily spot price changes ChangeofthespotpriceinFrance andinthe coupledneighbouring regions, over a month in daily average, (NB: for Italy the price of the northern area is shown, for Nordic countries the average of the areas displayed on the map is shown). Daily extrema : International exchanges Extrema of the half hour mean power value of the global international commercial exchanges, observed daily. Type of installation Name of installation (or substation) Département Nature of work Monthly Overview - January

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