Global Monthly February 2018

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Aubrie Cummings
5 years ago
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1 Global Monthly February year Treasury yields 1-year breakeven inflation rate

2 February Global GDP growth Composite PMI (RHS) Index change, year-on-year Brent crude (RHS) 6 Global median inflation , 3m-3m saar Jan-15 Global goods trade New export orders (RHS) Apr-15 Jul-15 Oct-15 Jan-16 Apr-16 Jul-16 Oct-16 Jan-17 Apr-17 Jul-17 Index

3 February , year-on-year Unemployment rate Hourly wage growth (RHS) of firms 3 Euro Area Germany Index Trade-weighted exchange rate USD/CNY (RHS, inverted) USD/CNY Jan-17 Apr-17 Jul-17 3

4 February Jan-1 Apr-1 Jul-1 Oct-1 Jan-15 Apr-15 Jul-15 Oct-15 Jan-16 Apr-16 Jul-16 Oct-16 Jan-17 Apr-17 Jul-17 Brazil Russia Nigeria South Africa Indonesia Jan-1 Apr-1 Jul-1 Oct-1 Jan-15 Apr-15 Jul-15 Oct-15 Jan-16 Apr-16 Jul-16 Oct-16 Jan-17 Apr-17 Jul-17 Mexico India Philippines Turkey Poland Sep-17 Nov-17 Dec-17 Feb-18

5 February 18 US$ billions, -week sum 35 5 Equities Bonds Jun-16 Sep-16 Dec-16 Mar-17 Jun-17 Sep-17 Dec-17 Basis points Index, 1=Jan., Bond spreads 38 Equity index (RHS) Sep-17 Nov-17 Dec-17 Feb-18 Mb/d

6 February PF MVF UVF Exp. 8 Potential growth Actual growth potential growth World AEs EMDEs 1 8 Share of countries Share of GDP 6 World AEs EMDEs 6

7 February Share of countries Share of GDP World AEs EMDEs Share of countries Share of GDP World AEs EMDEs Contribution World Baseline Demographic trends Other factors 18-7 Contribution 18-7 EMDEs (RHS)

8 February 18 Global Economic Prospects - January 18: Broad-Based Upturn, but for How Long? Commodity Markets Outlook - October 17 Global Economic Prospects - June 17: A Fragile Recovery Human capital outflows: selection into migration from the Northern Triangle Structural change in west Africa : a tale of gain and loss Effect of climate policies on labor markets in developing countries : review of the evidence and directions for future research Investment in ICT, productivity, and labor demand : the case of Argentina Why are more sovereigns issuing in Euros? Choosing between USD and EUR-denominated bonds Relationship between energy intensity and economic growth : new evidence from a multi-country multi-sector data set The making of behavioral development economics Broadband internet, labor demand, and total factor productivity in Colombia A primer on human capital Structural reforms and firms' productivity : evidence from developing countries Doing Business 18: Reforming to Create Jobs World Development Report 18: LEARNING to Realize Education s Promise Trouble in the Making? The Future of Manufacturing-Led Development ( change, y/y) ( change y/y) Recent releases: January 18, 18 - February 3, 18 Upcoming releases: February, 18 - March 3, 18 Country Date Indicator Period Actual Forecast Previous Country Date Indicator Period Previous United Kingdom 1/6/18 GDP Q3 1.5 %. % 1.7 % France /8/18 GDP Q 1.9 % United States 1/6/18 GDP Q.5 %.3 % Denmark /8/18 GDP Q 1.5 % Belgium 1/9/18 GDP Q 1.9 %. % 1.7 % Sweden /8/18 GDP Q.9 % Germany 1/3/18 CPI JAN 1.6 % 1.7 % 1.7 % Slovenia /8/18 GDP Q.5 % Spain 1/3/18 GDP Q 3.1 % 3.1 % 3.1 % United States /8/18 GDP Q.3 % Mexico 1/3/18 GDP Q 1.8% 1.7% 1.5% Belgium /8/18 GDP Q 1.7 % Spain 1/31/18 CPI JAN.5 % 1.1 % Lithuania 3/1/18 GDP Q 3.6 % Indonesia /5/18 GDP Q 5.% 5. % 5.1% Finland 3/1/18 GDP Q 3. % Japan /13/18 GDP, annualized Q.5%. % Spain 3/1/18 GDP Q 3.1 % Italy /1/18 GDP Q 1.6% 1.6% 1.7 % Brazil 3/1/18 GDP Q 1. % Germany /1/18 GDP Q.9% 3.%.8 % Italy 3//18 GDP Q 1.7 % Czech Republic /1/18 GDP Q 5.1% 5.% 5. % Switzerland 3//18 GDP Q 1. % Hungary /1/18 GDP Q.%.1% 3.9 % South Africa 3/6/18 GDP Q.8 % Netherland /1/18 GDP Q.9% 3.3 % 3. % Australia 3/6/18 GDP Q.8 % Poland /1/18 GDP Q 5.1% 5.%.9 % Romania 3/7/18 GDP Q 8.6 % Bulgaria /1/18 GDP Q 3.6% 3.9 % Cyprus 3/9/18 GDP Q 3.9 % Portugal /1/18 GDP Q.%. %.5 % Iceland 3/9/18 GDP Q 3.1 % Greece /1/18 GDP Q3 1.3% 1.% 1.5 % New Zealand 3/1/18 GDP Q.7 % Euro Area /1/18 GDP Q.7%.7%.7 % Ireland 3/15/18 GDP Q 1.5 % Malaysia /1/18 GDP Q 5.9% 5.7% 6. % Luxembourg 3//18 GDP Q 3. % Thailand /19/18 GDP Q.%.%.3 % Netherland 3/6/18 GDP Q 3. % 8

9 February 18 ( change y/y, except quarterly data on industrial production, which are percent change q/q, annualized) Industrial production, sa Q1 Q Q3 Q Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec World Advanced economies Emerging market and developing economies Commodity-exporting EMDEs Other EMDE East Asia and Pacific East Asia excl. China Europe and Central Asia Latin America and Caribbean Middle East and North Africa South Asia Sub-Saharan Africa Inflation, sa World Advanced economies Emerging market and developing economies Commodity-exporting EMDEs Other EMDE East Asia and Pacific Europe and Central Asia Latin America and Caribbean Middle East and North Africa South Asia Sub-Saharan Africa ( change y/y, except quarterly trade data, which are percent change q/q, annualized, and international reserves data, which are percent change over the previous period) Q1 Q Q3 Q Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Au Sep Oct Nov Dec Exports, nominal, US$, sa World Advanced economies Emerging market and developing economies Commodity-exporting EMDEs Other EMDEs East Asia and Pacific Europe and Central Asia Latin America and Caribbean Middle East and North Africa South Asia Sub-Saharan Africa Imports, nominal, US$, sa World Advanced economies Emerging market and developing economies Commodity-exporting EMDEs Other EMDEs East Asia and Pacific Europe and Central Asia Latin America and Caribbean Middle East and North Africa South Asia Sub-Saharan Africa International reserves, US$ 1 World Advanced economies Emerging market and developing economies Commodity-exporting EMDEs Other EMDEs East Asia and Pacific Europe and Central Asia Latin America and Caribbean Middle East and North Africa South Asia Sub-Saharan Africa

10 February 18 ( change y/y, except quarterly trade data, which are percent change q/q, annualized, and international reserves data, which are percent change over the previous period ) Interest rates and LIBOR (percent) MRV Q1 Q Q3 Q Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan U.S. federal funds effective ECB repo US$ LIBOR 3-months EURIBOR 3-months U.S. 1-year Treasury yield German Bund, 1 year Spreads (basis points) JP Morgan emerging markets Asia Europe Latin America and the Caribbean Middle East Africa Stock indexes (end of period) Global (MSCI) Advanced economies ($ index) United States (S&P 5) Europe (S&P Euro 35) Japan (Nikkei 5) Emerging market and developing economies (MSCI) EM Asia EM Europe EM Europe and Middle East EM Latin America & Caribbean Exchange rates (LCU / USD) Advanced economies Euro Area Japan Emerging market and developing economies Brazil China Egypt India Russia South Africa Memo: U.S. nominal effective rate (index) Sources: Bloomberg, J.P. Morgan, and World Bank. 1 MRV = most recent value MRV Q1 Q Q3 Q Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Energy Non-energy Agriculture Metals and minerals Memo items: Crude oil, average ($/bbl) Gold ($/toz) Baltic Dry Index Sources: World Bank, World Bank Commodities Price Data (The Pink Sheet), Bloomberg. 1 MRV = most recent value. Indexes, 1 = 1. 1

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