Monthly Electrical Energy Overview January 2016

Transcription

1 uary 216

2 Monthly Electrical Energy Overview uary 216 Thanks to good weather conditions, two new records were achieved in uary: that of the highest monthly level of wind generation and the highest monthly level of RE generation. This month was warmer by 1.1 C compared to uary 215 and so gross demand fell by 4.6% compared with uary 215. Corrected for vagaries of the climate, demand continued to grow by.5%. Demand by industrial sites connected to the public transmission network record a slight increase of.4%. RE generation excluding hydraulic was up and this month broke a new record with monthly average power of 5176 MW. Wind power generation reached a new record with monthly average power of 3792 MW, i.e. 23% greater than in uary 215. The recent connections of wind and solar farms are contributing to the regional development goals of 22, with a contrasting picture depending on the regions. French prices were lower in uary, apart from the third week where sustained consumption explains higher prices. There was a monthly export balance. The instantaneous export balance reached a new record on 31 uary with 15.8 GW of power, i.e..2 GW more than the previous record set on 13 y 215. Five installations were carried out in uary. Monthly Overview - uary 216 2

3 Monthly Electrical Energy Overview uary 216 DEMAND Temperatures in uary 216 were up by 1.1 C compared to last year, which resulted in a slight fall in gross demand compared to uary 215 (-4,6%). Demand from the industrial sector showed a slight increase of +.4%. Corrected for vagaries of the climate, demand from PMI/SMEs and professional and private customers continued to growth by +.6%. GENERATION RE generation excluding hydraulic attained a new historic record with average monthly power of 5176 MW, strongly buoyed by wind generation. Lower demand led to moderated use of thermal production of fossil origin, whose level was slightly lower than in uary 215. The hydraulic sector grew by 56% compared to the last two months of 215. For the third consecutive month, nuclear generation was slightly down. WIND AND SOLAR For the third consecutive month, monthly wind generation exceeded average monthly power of 33 MW. A new record was reached with monthly average power of 3792 MW, thanks to the growth of the installed base and highly favourable wind conditions generating an average load factor of 37%. This monthly production was sufficient to cover over 5% of national demand for the second month in a row. TERRITORIES AND REGIONS This overview looks at the regional objectives for the development of wind and solar energy by 22. The Nord-Pas-de- De-Calais Picardie region has thus already reached 56% of its 22 wind objective and plans even to exceed it (18%) with the projects in preparation. The regions of Aquitaine Limousin Poitou-Charentes and Languedoc-Roussillon Midi- Pyrénées have crossed the 4% threshold for completion of the regional solar objectives. ELECTRICITY MARKETS Changes in market prices were mixed depending on the countries in uary. Although they were lower in France, Belgium and the Netherlands, conversely, they were higher in Germany due to wind generation that was lower than the previous month. INTERNATIONAL EXCHANGES In uary, France reached its highest level of instantaneous export on 31 uary, with more than 15.8 GW. Moreover, the instantaneous balance switched to imports on two occasions, on 2 and 21 uary. The import balance with the CWE was the highest since implementation of the coupling. The export balance with Spain reached its lowest level for ten months. Exports to Italy remained greater than 2, for the third consecutive month. NEW WORKS 5 installations were commissioned in uary 216, particularly in the south-west with a 4 kv shunt capacitor of 15 MVAr as part of work for securing the electricity grid near Toulouse, as well as a 225 kv series reactance of 8 ohms and 225 kv overhead/underground line (15 km) to strengthen the electricity supply to the Bordeaux conurbation. Also of note is the commissioning of a 63 kv underground cable near Apt (17 km) to improve the electricity supply to the town. Monthly Overview - uary 216 3

4 Monthly electrical energy overview uary 216 Monthly energy consumption 6 Monthly gross consumption % Trend by sector in sliding year adjusted from the climate effect 5 4 1% 1%,6%,5% 3 %,4% 2 1-1% Period Period % Adjusted national consumption Direct RTE customers * Adjusted consumption on PDN *without energy sector Peak consumption* uary GW Gross monthly consumption at the peak and actual temperature 88,6 GW C ma 1 je 3 sa 5 lu 7 me 9 ve 11 di 13 ma 15 je 17 sa 19 lu 21 me 23 ve 25 di 27 ma 29 Deviation from norm ( C) Gross consumption : daily peak (GW) Actual temperature -1 GW Evolution of monthly power extrema 12,1 GW 29,5 GW 88,6 GW 46,5 GW Max power Min Power Absolute max Absolute min * Perimeter France excl. Corsica, losses included Monthly Overview - uary 216 4

5 Monthly electricical energy overview uary 216 Installed capacity (MW) uary 216 Energy generated () uary 216 Hydro-electric Conventional Thermal 2316 Bioenergy 1724 Nuclear 6313 Conventional Thermal 4835 Bioenergy 764 Solar 265 Wind 2821 Hydro-electric 56 Nuclear Solar 6191 Wind 1322 Focus on generation sectors Nuclear generation Hydro-electric generation Period Period Period Period Fossil-fuel thermal generation RES generation excl. hydro-electric Period Period Period Period Monthly Overview - uary 216 5

6 Monthly Monthly electricical electrical energy energy overview overview uary uary Monthly generation Wind generation Solar generation Period Period Period Period % 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% % 1/1 3/1 5/1 Load factor of wind generation uary 216 7/1 9/1 11/1 13/1 15/1 17/1 19/1 21/1 23/1 25/1 27/1 29/1 Mean load factor by half-hour interval (%) and associated power Mean monthly load factor (%) and associated power 31/1 MW ,% 16,% 14,% 12,% 1,% 8,% 6,% 4,% 2,%,% 12 Rate of coverage of consumption by wind generation (%) Average value Maximal value Minimal value 15,1% 16 5,9%,1% Fleet development in France Planned fleet on the PTN MW Development of generating fleets in France** Technology Installed capacity* at 31/1/16 Queued projects * Nb Cumulative power Projects in preparation* Nb Cumulative power Wind of which Offshore 585 MW 25 MW MW MW MW MW Solar 565 MW 3 15 MW 2 19 MW Wind farm Solar photovoltaic * Refer to glossary for category definitions Wind capacity awaiting connection at ERDF as of 31/12/15: 5 17 MW ** data available up to ember 215 PV capacity awaiting connection at ERDF as of 31/12/15: MW Monthly Overview - uary 216 6

7 Aperçu Monthly mensuel electricical sur l'énergie energy overview électrique tembre uary Distribution of regional generation Distribution of regional consumption The regional objectives for the development of wind and solar energy by 22 The RE objectives of the new regions Up to now, the regional objectives for the development of REs were set by the Regional Climate, Air and Energy Plans (SRCAE). These plans, according to the old regional demarcations, will be integrated by 219 to new plans created in accordance with the territorial reform(*). This should allow improved coherence between national targets and the total of the regional ambitions. While awaiting for the targets to be adapted to the new areas, the graphs show the SRCAE targets aggregated to the new scopes with the connected loads and those awaiting connection (FA). MW % (**) Attainment of the most ambitious wind energy objectives éolien 22 18% éolien 22 ALSACE CHAMPAGNE-NORD-PAS-DE-CALAIS ARDENNE LORRAINE PICARDIE 54% éolien 22 LANGUEDOC- ROUSSILLON MIDI- PYRENEES 44% éolien 22 AQUITAINE LIMOUSIN POITOU-CHARENTES MW Attainment of the most ambitious solar energy objectives 59% solaire (**) 22 75% solaire 22 3% solaire 22 LANGUEDOC- AQUITAINE LIMOUSIN AUVERGNE RHÔNE- ROUSSILLON MIDI- PYRENEES POITOU-CHARENTES ALPES 56% solaire 22 PROVENCE-ALPES- CÔTE D'AZUR Attainment of wind and solar energy targets Defined according to potential sources, ambitions and constraints, the regional targets as well as their level of completion are strongly contrasted, sometimes increased by the new administrative boundaries. For example, the aggregated wind target for the new Aquitaine Limousin Poitou-Charentes Region was reached at 44% whereas the ex-poitou- Charentes region reached its wind target of 67%. To learn more about the REs See the 215 Renewable Electricity Panorama (*) The law "NOTRe" creates "Schémas Régionaux d Aménagement, de Développement Durable et d Egalité des Territoires (SRADDET)" (**) Queue area, shown as hatched Monthly Overview - uary

8 Monthly electricical energy overview uary 216 Spot prices in Europe Monthly average value Actuality of ket mechanisms prix > prix FR 25,82 25,1 3,99 More flexibility on the markets thanks to flow-based coupling 48,23 31,57 32,61 3,84 29,4 38,36 The coupling of the flow-based markets of the Central West Europe region since improves the way in which the exchange capacities between the countries are calculated, more closely to the actual physical capacities of the network. This allows the use of generation means in Europe to be optimised and to bring the prices in different countries closer. 36,39 36,53 33,6 47,87 45,17 45,15 45,15 43,19 4,19 Thus, the highest exchanges since the launch of the mechanism have very largely exceeded those of previous years: France exported up to 7.7 GW to Belgium, Germany and the Netherlands in y and imported up to 6.8 GW in ember, which represents a range of flexibility of more than 14.5 GW in relation to the CWE region. 47,37 /MWh 8 6 Daily average value evolution of the spot prices during the month Moyenne sur le mois janv. 4-janv. 7-janv. 1-janv. 13-janv. 16-janv. 19-janv. 22-janv. 25-janv. 28-janv. 31-janv. Belgium Netherland France Germany/Austrich Great Britain Spain Italia (north) Monthly Overview - uary 216 8

9 Monthly electrical energy overview uary 216 Commercial exchanges uary Daily extrema of the export balance MW EXPORT : 7 61 IMPORT : SOLDE : Monthly exchange balances on each border 2 With Great Britain 25 With Switzerland /1 2/1 3/1 4/1 5/1 6/1 7/1 8/1 9/1 1/1 11/1 12/1 13/1 14/1 15/1 16/1 17/1 18/1 19/1 2/1 21/1 22/1 23/1 24/1 25/1 26/1 27/1 28/1 29/1 3/1 31/ With Italy With Spain Minimum balance Maximum balance The energy values described correspond to contracted exchanges on Euronext. Monthly Overview - uary 216 9

10 Monthly electrical energy overview uary kv underground cable Le Grand Mas -Issoire Puy-de-Dôme (63) Improving the power supply of a client 225 kv underground-overhead line Bruges - Le quis Reactance série 8 Ohms 225 kv Le quis Gironde (33) Improving the power supply of Bordeaux 63 kv underground cable Les Baumettes - Plan d'orgon Vaucluse (84) Improving the power supply of a city (Apt) 4 kv (15 MVAr) capacitor Verfeil Haute-Garonne (31) Improving the power supply of South-West France Overhead line Underground line Substation 63 to 15 kv Monthly Overview - uary 216 1

11 Nb Puissance cumulée Nb Puissance cumulée 2131 MW MW 42% 8% 238 MW 1 3 MW Monthly electrical energy overview uary 216 Data sources This document relies on metered data collected by RTE and also on data sent by the french DSOs, especially erdf and EDF SEI. Monthly gross consumption Perimeter : France with Corsica, losses included Gross national demands and actual temperatures Daily peak for perimeter France excl. Corsica For more information on how actual temperatures and reference temperatures are calculated, visit RTE's website: Extreme capacity value trend Max/Min Power: Maximum/minimum power consumption in France over the month, excluding Corsica Absolute extreme value: Extreme value for consumption observed since 1st uary 28 Trend by sector in sliding year adjusted from the climate effect Total consumption: Consumption of France, with Corsica, losses included. Adjusted from climate effect. Adjusted consumption on PDN: Represents the consumption of resditential and SMEs/SMIs sector. Data adjusted from weather effect. Direct RTE customers : Industrial sites connected directly to the PTN (excluding consumption at source). Energy sector is excluded Trend in sliding year : growth between the last 12 cumulative monthly values and the previous 12 Generation The "Hydro-electric" category includes all types of hydro plants (impoundment, run-of-river, etc.). Consumption for pumping by pumped storage facilities is not deducted from generation. The "Nuclear" category includes all nuclear units. Consumption by auxiliary units is deducted from generation. The "Fossil-fuel thermal" category includes Coal, Oil and Gas-fired technologies. The "Bioenergy" category includes Biomass, Biogas and paper/card waste. The installed capacity values are valid for the end of the month, with the exception of the Wind and solar category, which is valid for the start of the month. Wind Generation Load factor : Ratio of wind power generated to nominal installed wind capacity Coverage of demand Coverage rate : Ratio of wind power generated to gros national consumption at a given time Puissance Filière installée Eolien 361 MW 22 dont Offshore Photovoltaïque 24 MW 9 Projets en file Projets en d'attente préparation Generation Wind: onshore and offshore wind projects. The share of offshore capacity is indicated in the row below Installed capacity: Cumulative capacity of installations for which a connection agreement has been signed. Queued projects: Projects which have entered the connection queue under RTE's connection procedure, i.e. projects which have signed a "queuing proposal" with RTE, following a detailed connection study or a "technical and financial proposal". Projects in preparation: Connection projects for which RTE has been asked to provide a detailed study or technical and financial proposal, currently being examined by RTE, or for which the Prices in Europe Monthly average of spot prices in the different price zones of the coupled area. France is always represented in white, the other areas are coloured based on the difference in price compared with France (blue: lower price, red: higher price, the deeper the colour, the greater the difference). Glossary Spot price: Wholesale price of electricity, determined by the power exchanges the day before for delivery the following day, for each hour of the day. Spread : Price differential between two price areas (here between each price area and France). Price area: Geographic area inside which the electricity price is identical and where exchanges are done with no allocation of capacity. A price area may combine several countries (for example: Germany, Austria, Luxembourg) and a country may be subdivided into more than one price area (for example: Italy, Norway). Daily spot price changes Change of the spot price in France and in the coupled neighbouring regions, over a month in daily average, (NB: for Italy the price of the northern area is shown, for Nordic countries the average of the areas displayed on the map is shown). Daily extrema : International exchanges Extrema of the half hour mean power value of the global international commercial exchanges, observed daily. Type of installation Name of installation (or substation) Département Nature of work Monthly Overview - uary

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