European Power Markets. Jukka Ruusunen President and CEO
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- Duane Rudolph Miller
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1 European Power Markets President and CEO Fortum's Capital Markets Day Stockholm, Sweden 5-6 th
2 2 Driver for the development: European energy policy goals Energy future is: more sustainable - towards carbon neutral EU......more secure......more competitive
3 3 What does this mean in practice? Sustainability Renewable generation (solar, wind) first with subsidies, but becoming competitive Needs back-up capacity but how to get this to the market? Role of nuclear after Fukushima less attractive Demand: energy efficiency, heating and mobility using electricity Security of supply Resource sharing Competitiveness Market based solutions Market integration New and continuously changing electricity flow patterns More cross-border flows Long-distance flows Volatile prices Needs a strong grid Challenges the current market model
4 The path to 2020 and 2050 Example: Denmark
5 The path to 2020 and 2050 Spring 2011 Less CO2 More renewables More cross-border trade
6 6
7 7 Towards a fully developed internal electricity market A well functioning electricity market is a key for: Improving efficiency and competitiveness of the power sector efficient market price cross-border trade efficient dispatching via "the invisible hand " Delivering benefits for end-users and trust to market players Contributing to the security of supply Reaching the goals of EU
8 8 Functioning electricity markets = market rules + adequate transmission capacity Software: market rules European market model Efficient use of transmission capacity Better competition Common rules by 2014 Hardware: transmission capacity Reduction of congestions efficiency improvements Price convergence "2020+" ENTSO-E Ten Year Network Development Plan 2012: 100 billion ENTSO-E = European Network of Transmission System Operators for Electricity
9 9 Common market rules: North West Europe the biggest electricity market in the world! 2000 Nordic countries 400 TWh 2010 North-West Europe 1500 TWh Next steps: 2013 common NWE order book + GB 2013 Latvia 2014 political goal: integrated European market 1900 TWh Electricity market 2013: 13 countries and about 260 million citizens served Generation 490 GW Transmission lines km Demand 1900 TWh/year Exchanges about 200 TWh/year
10 Further market integration in Europe Step-wise market coupling 2010 mid-2013 end Central West + Nordic + UK + Baltics + Central South + Iberia + Central East + South-East By far the biggest power market in the world 3000 TWh!
11 11 Cross-border transmission capacities in the Baltic Sea region Present capacity Under construction SE3 250 SE SE SE Transmission capacities (MW)
12 12 To Continental Europe From Continental Europe MW Transmission capacity between the Nordic region and Continental Europe Denmark Netherland (DC) Norway - Germany (DC) Denmark - Germany (AC) Norway - UK (DC) Year Source: ENTSO-E Ten Year Network Development Plan 2012
13 13 Transmission capacity between the Nordic and the Baltic regions MW Estlink 2: Finland-Estonia NordBalt: Sweden-Lithuania Year
14 14 Electricity prices in North-West Russia on the rise For the last 30 years - a steady flow of electricity from SU/Russia to FI From late 2011 high capacity fees make RU export unprofitable in peak hours Expected rise of RU gas prices may bring the RU prices generally on a par with the Nordic prices Opportunity: two-way trade between Baltic Sea region and Russia
15 15 Conclusions Market integration will proceed: rules + transmission capacity "the biggest electricity market in the world" Big questions regarding generation challenges the market model Two level decision making: national and European Structural bottlenecks will remain in the grid licensing main obstacle for the investments Baltic Sea region: towards South and East
16 Powering Finland.
17 17 Planned new connection within and out of the Nordic region Project Connection points Capacity [MW] Estlink 2 (DC) FI-EE Skagerrak 4 (DC) Nor-DK NordBalt (DC) Swe-Lit /16 Cobra (DC) DK-Neth West DK-Germany (AC) DK-Ger 1000/ NORD.LINK (DC) Nor-Ger NSN (DC) Nor-UK Planned commissioning South-West Link (DC) Nor-Swe * Finland-Sweden (AC) Fin-Swe * Kriegers Flak CGS (DC) DK-Ger NA NA *up for revision
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