Monthly Electrical Energy Overview January 2017

Transcription

1 uary 217

2 Monthly Electrical Energy Overview uary 217 The cold spell of uary 217 caused a strong increase in gross electricity demand (+.3%) compared to uary 2. The French exchange balance was in favour of imports for the second consecutive month. Demand recorded a peak on 2/1/217 at 94.2 GW. It is the highest peak since ruary 2. Corrected electricity demand trend stabilised in uary 217. Fossil fuel thermal generation was 8.3 TWh up by 71% compared to uary 2. Solar production grew significantly compared to last year with a 37.7% increase. The regions whose gross electricity demand increased the strongest as a result of the cold spell in uary, were Occitanie, Nouvelle-Aquitaine and Bourgogne-Franche-Comté. French prices were at their highest since ruary 2. The balance of exchanges was in favour of imports for the second consecutive month with a total of.95 Twh of electricity imported. 4 new installations went into service in uary 217. Monthly Overview - uary 217 2

3 Monthly Electrical Energy Overview uary 217 DEMAND Gross demand increased by.3% compared to uary 2, due to the cold spell that persisted in the month. This cold spell triggered a demand peak on 2/1/217 at 94.2 GW, the highest since 2. Demand corrected for weather vagaries, which was moving slightly downwards since ember 2, stabilised in uary 217. The increase in demand by large industry seen since September 2 slowed a little in uary 217. GENERATION Fossil fuel thermal generation has increased constantly since May 2. It reached a new record level since ruary 2 at 8.3 TWh. At the same time, hydraulic production fell by 8.1%. Nuclear generation fell only by 2.6% compared with uary 2. WIND AND SOLAR Since wind conditions were not favourable enough for wind generation, it again fell by 29% compared to uary 2. Solar generation increased significantly by nearly 38%. TERRITORIES AND REGIONS The regions of Occitanie and Nouvelle-Aquitaine were those which increased more significantly their gross demand in comparison to uary 2 with respectively +21% and 19%. The most important increase were for the regions for which the difference of temperature compared to uary 2 were better than 4 C. Grand-Est and Auvergne-Rhône- Alpes managed to moderate the increase in their demand compared to the drop record in temperatures that they suffered. ELECTRICITY MARKETS Prices are very high in most countries, in particular during the cold spell which affected Europe in the third and fourth weeks of the month. It reached 78/MWh as the monthly average in France, but also exceeded 7/MWh in Italy, Belgium, Spain, Slovenia and Portugal. The reduced availability of the nuclear base in France but also in Germany, the poor wind conditions and the increase in gas and coal prices were also factors contributing to the price increases. INTERNATIONAL EXCHANGES The balance of exchanges was in favour of imports for the second consecutive month and reached a new record with a total of.95 TWh of electricity imported. 5 hourly points were in favour of imports which is an historic record. Since ember 2, the export balance for France has become increasingly in favour of imports with respect to Great Britain. The balance became in favour of imports with Spain for the first time since il 2. In terms of physical exchanges, this was the highest import balance since uary 198. NEW INSTALLATIONS The purpose of the 4 installations commissioned in uary 217 was firstly to increase and secure the power supply in the territories in question and secondly, to connect a customer distributor. Monthly Overview - uary 217 3

4 Monthly electrical energy overview uary 217 Monthly energy consumption 7 6 Monthly gross consumption % 1% Trend by sector in sliding year adjusted from the climate effect % % -1% -,1%,% -,5% 1-1% May- - Jul- - Period 2- Period 2-17 Sep- Oct- - Dec % May- - Jul- - Sep- Oct- Adjusted national consumption Direct RTE customers * Adjusted consumption on PDN - Dec- -17 *without energy sector Peak consumption* uary GW Gross monthly consumption at the peak and actual temperature 94,2 GW C ma 1 je 3 sa 5 lu 7 me 9 ve 11 di ma je 17 sa 19 lu 21 me 23 ve 25 di 27 ma 29 Deviation from norm ( C) Gross consumption : daily peak (GW) Actual temperature -1 GW 11 1 Evolution of monthly power extrema,1 GW 94,2 GW ,7 GW ,5 GW Max power Min Power Absolute max Absolute min * Perimeter France excl. Corsica, losses included Monthly Overview - uary 217 4

5 Monthly electricical energy overview uary 217 Installed capacity (MW) uary 217 Energy generated () uary 217 Hydro-electric Nuclear 63 Conventional Thermal Hydro-electric 5 25 Conventional Thermal Other RES 797 Solar 366 Other RES Solar Wind Wind Nuclear Focus on generation sectors Nuclear generation Hydro-electric generation May Jul Sep Oct Dec May Jul Sep Oct Dec Period 2- Period 2-17 Period 2- Period 2-17 Fossil-fuel thermal generation RES generation excl. hydro-electric May Jul Sep Oct Dec May Jul Sep Oct Dec Period 2- Period 2-17 Period 2- Period 2-17 Monthly Overview - uary 217 5

6 Monthly electrical energy overview uary 217 Monthly generation Wind generation Photovoltaic generation May Jul Sep Oct Dec May Jul Sep Oct Dec Period 2- Period 2-17 Period 2- Period % 7% Load factor of wind generation uary 217 MW ,% Rate of coverage of consumption by wind generation (%) 11,5% 6% 7,% 5% % ,% 3% 2% 1% % 1-janv. 3-janv. 5-janv. 7-janv. 9-janv. 11-janv. -janv. -janv. 17-janv. 19-janv. 21-janv. 23-janv. 25-janv. 27-janv. 29-janv. Mean load factor by half-hour interval (%) and associated power Mean monthly load factor (%) and associated power 31-janv ,%,% May Jul Sep Oct Dec May Jul Sep Oct Dec May Jul Sep Oct Dec May Jul Sep Oct Dec May Jul Sep Oct Dec 17 Average value Maximal value Minimal value 3,5%,3% Fleet development in France Planned fleet on the PTN MW 1 Development of generating fleets in France** Technology Installed capacity* at 31/1/17 Queued projects * Nb Cumulative power Projects in preparation* Nb Cumulative power Wind of which Offshore 661 MW 3 MW 2211 MW MW MW MW 1 May 1 Sep 1 11 May 11 Sep 11 May Sep May Sep May Sep May Sep May Sep Photovoltaic 571 MW 4 11 MW 3 58 MW Wind farm Solar photovoltaic * Refer to glossary for category definitions Wind capacity awaiting connection at Enedis as of 31//2: MW ** data available up to December 2 Solar capacity awaiting connection at Enedis as of 31//2: 2 89 MW Monthly Overview - uary 217 6

7 Aperçu Monthly mensuel electrical sur l'énergie energy électrique overview Septembre uary Distribution of regional generation Distribution of regional consumption Impact of the cold spell of uary 217 on gross regional demand Demand of the regions of the South of France increased the most During uary 217, all regions felt a cold spell with difference temperatures compared to uary between -2 C and -6 C. The increase in regional demand varies from 8% to 21%. It's worth noting that the regions that suffered the most important drop in temperatures, Grand-Est and Auvergne-Rhône-Alpes, are not those that had the strongest increase in their demand. It seems then, that eco-citizen gestures have been more applied in these regions. Monthly Overview - uary

8 Monthly electrical energy overview uary 217 Spot prices in Europe Monthly average value Actuality of ket mechanisms 78, Price( /MWh) Spread direction price > FR price price < FR price 61,37 31,29 29,9 31,93 3,26 31, 33,99 33,55 5,77 37, 52,37 72,65 Very frequent price peaks in France in uary The hourly French price exceeded 1/MWh 1 times in the month (almost always between 8. and 2.), including times between and 26 uary, the most difficult period in the French market. These peaks are more frequent but lower than in the last quarter of 2: the hourly price reached a maximum of 26 /MWh on Wednesday 25 uary between 8. and , 71,52 71,49 76,8 78,19 73,87 61,36 58,97 61,36 62,91 /MWh Daily average value evolution of the spot prices during the month Moyenne sur le mois Belgium Netherland France Germany/Austrich Great Britain Spain Italia (north) Monthly Overview - uary 217 8

9 Monthly electrical energy overview uary 217 Commercial exchanges uary 217 MW Daily extrema of the export balance EXPORT : IMPORT : BALANCE : Monthly exchange balances on each border 3 With CWE zone With Great Britain 25 With Switzerland feb mar apr may jun jul aug sep oct nov dec jan feb mar apr may jun jul aug sep oct nov dec jan With Italy With Spain feb mar apr may jun jul aug sep oct 1/1 1/2 1/3 1/4 1/5 1/6 1/7 1/8 1/9 1/1 1/11 1/ 1/ 1/ 1/ 1/ 1/17 1/18 1/19 1/2 1/21 1/22 1/23 1/24 1/25 1/26 1/27 1/28 1/29 1/3 1/31 nov dec jan feb mar apr may jun jul aug sep oct nov dec jan feb mar apr may jun jul aug sep oct nov dec jan Minimal balance Maximal blance The energy values described correspond to contracted exchanges on Euronext. Monthly Overview - uary 217 9

10 Monthly electrical energy overview uary kv underground cable Remise - Trie-Château Oise (6) Strengthening of the electricity supply of the Trie-Château substation 225 kv overhead-underground line Plessis-Gassot - Villiers-Le-Bel Val d'oise (95) Partial burial of cables as part of the reconstruction of the 225 kv substation of Villiers-le-Bel 63 kv substation 63 kv underground cable Messimy-Nemoz Messimy-Nemoz - Piquage à Chaponost Rhône (69) connection of a distributor customer Overhead line Underground line Substation 63 to kv Monthly Overview - uary 217 1

11 Nb Puissance cumulée Nb Puissance cumulée 21 MW MW 42% 8% 238 MW 1 3 MW Monthly electrical energy overview uary 217 Data sources This document relies on metered data collected by RTE and also on data sent by the french DSOs, especially erdf and EDF SEI. Monthly gross consumption Perimeter : France with Corsica, losses included Gross national demands and actual temperatures Daily peak for perimeter France excl. Corsica For more information on how actual temperatures and reference temperatures are calculated, visit RTE's website: Extreme capacity value trend Max/Min Power: Maximum/minimum power consumption in France over the month, excluding Corsica Absolute extreme value: Extreme value for consumption observed since 1st uary 28 Trend by sector in sliding year adjusted from the climate effect Total consumption: Consumption of France, with Corsica, losses included. Adjusted from climate effect. Adjusted consumption on PDN: Represents the consumption of resditential and SMEs/SMIs sector. Data adjusted from weather effect. Direct RTE customers : Industrial sites connected directly to the PTN (excluding consumption at source). Energy sector is excluded Trend in sliding year : growth between the last cumulative monthly values and the previous Generation The "Hydro-electric" category includes all types of hydro plants (impoundment, run-of-river, etc.). Consumption for pumping by pumped storage facilities is not deducted from generation. The "Nuclear" category includes all nuclear units. Consumption by auxiliary units is deducted from generation. The "Fossil-fuel thermal" category includes Coal, Oil and Gas-fired technologies. The "Other RES" category includes PV solar, Biomass, Biogas and paper/card waste. The installed capacity values are valid for the end of the month, with the exception of the "Other RES" category, which is valid for the start of the month. Wind Generation Load factor : Ratio of wind power generated to nominal installed wind capacity Coverage of demand Coverage rate : Ratio of wind power generated to gros national consumption at a given time Puissance Filière installée Eolien 361 MW 22 dont Offshore Photovoltaïque 24 MW 9 Projets en file Projets en d'attente préparation Generation Wind: onshore and offshore wind projects. The share of offshore capacity is indicated in the row below Installed capacity: Cumulative capacity of installations for which a connection agreement has been signed. Queued projects: Projects which have entered the connection queue under RTE's connection procedure, i.e. projects which have signed a "queuing proposal" with RTE, following a detailed connection study or a "technical and financial proposal". Projects in preparation: Connection projects for which RTE has been asked to provide a detailed study or technical and financial proposal, currently being examined by RTE, or for which the Prices in Europe Monthly average of spot prices in the different price zones of the coupled area. France is always represented in white, the other areas are coloured based on the difference in price compared with France (blue: lower price, red: higher price, the deeper the colour, the greater the difference). Glossary Spot price: Wholesale price of electricity, determined by the power exchanges the day before for delivery the following day, for each hour of the day. Spread : Price differential between two price areas (here between each price area and France). Price area: Geographic area inside which the electricity price is identical and where exchanges are done with no allocation of capacity. A price area may combine several countries (for example: Germany, Austria, Luxembourg) and a country may be subdivided into more than one price area (for example: Italy, Norway). Daily spot price changes Change of the spot price in France and in the coupled neighbouring regions, over a month in daily average, (NB: for Italy the price of the northern area is shown, for Nordic countries the average of the areas displayed on the map is shown). Daily extrema : International exchanges Extrema of the half hour mean power value of the global international commercial exchanges, observed daily. Type of installation Name of installation (or substation) Département Nature of work Monthly Overview - uary

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