EU Market Situation for Poultry. Committee for the Common Organisation of the Agricultural Markets 22 October 2015
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1 EU Market Situation for Poultry Committee for the Common Organisation of the Agricultural Markets 22 October 215
2 Euro Dollar exchange rate /9/215: 1 EUR = 1.12 USD Exchange rate: Spot, ECB reference - U.S. Dollar/Euro.8 1/99 1/ 1/1 1/2 1/3 1/4 1/5 1/6 1/7 1/8 1/9 1/1 1/11 1/12 1/13 1/14 1/15
3 12. Euro Argentine Peso and Brazilian Real exchange rate 22/9/215: 1 EUR = 1.49 ARS = 4.48 BRL Exchange rate: ARG Peso/Euro, Spot, ECB reference and local market quotes Exchange rate: BRA Real/Euro, Spot, ECB reference. 1/99 1/ 1/1 1/2 1/3 1/4 1/5 1/6 1/7 1/8 1/9 1/1 1/11 1/12 1/13 1/14 1/15
4 $ / tonne World cereal prices ($/t) Wheat - US SRW Gulf $ 212 Wheat - Black Sea Milling $ 183 Wheat - FR Cl. 1 Rouen $ 178 Maize - US 3YC Gulf $ 174 Barley-FR Dlvd Rouen feed $ 169 Maize - FR Bordeaux $ no
5 Daily traded volume (1 contracts of 136 tonnes) Daily traded volume (1 contracts of 136 tonnes) US CME SRW wheat futures Daily volume DEC 215 (R) MAY 216 (R) DEC 216 (R) Last 14 days Chicago (CME) SRW futures 7/13 1/14 7/14 1/15 7/ $/t Chicago (CME) SRW futures 9/9/15 13/9/15 17/9/15 21/9/ $/t
6 Daily traded volume (1 contracts of 127 tonnes) Daily traded volume (1 contracts of 127 tonnes) CME maize futures Daily volume DEC 215 (R) MAY 216 (R) DEC 216 (R) Last 14 days $/t 4 $/t Chicago (CME) Maize futures 11/12 5/13 11/13 5/14 11/14 5/ Chicago (CME) Maize futures 9/9/15 13/9/15 17/9/15 21/9/15 14
7 $ / tonne Soybeans export prices $/ton (fob) Brazil Paranagua - $ 366 US 2Y Gulf - $ 355 Ukraine - $ 348 Argentina Up River - $ /214 7/214 9/214 11/214 1/215 3/215 5/215 7/215 9/215
8 Daily traded volume (1 contracts of 136 t) Daily traded volume (1 contracts of 136 t) CME soya futures 6 5 Daily volume NOV 215 (R) JAN 216 (R) MAR 216 (R) NOV 216 (R) Last 14 days $/t $/t Chicago (CME) soybeans futures 11/11 5/12 11/12 5/13 11/13 5/14 11/14 5/15 3 Chicago (CME) soybeans futures 9/9/15 16/9/15 31
9 -8.2% -.9% -1.6% -2.1% -2.5%.9%.5%.1%.%.%.% 4.5% 4.4% 3.9% 3.3% 2.8% 2.4% 2.4% 2.4% 1.9% 1.8% 1.8% 3.4% 6.9% 9.1% 9.% 12.4% 12.3% Change in Poultry slaughter Jan.-July 215 compared with Jan.-July % + 9% + 4% -1% -6% -11% HU PL RO SE CY AT HR LV IT PT CZ UK BG NL BE FR LT FI ES EE IE SK DE SI GR MT DK LU EU
10 Forecast and Production of broiler (In tonnes) Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
11 Placings of broiler chicks (1 pieces) Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
12 uro/ 1kg Evolution of the weekly EU average price for Broiler /1 kg 175 janv. févr. mars avr. mai juin juil. août sept. oct. nov. déc. Moy Source: MSs weekly communications
13 Broiler prices in EU, USA and Brazil in uro/ 1kg EU = weighted avg of MS prices Broiler 65% US = weekly USDA prices Fresh chicken grade A,Chicago BR = avg of prices in main producing states (Aveworld.com.br) EU broiler US broiler uro BR Broil uro/ (Ave world)
14 Euro/ T (feed) Euro/ 1kg (Broiler) Price development of Compound feed for Broilers, a Broiler Cereal- Feedmix and Broiler price margin broiler/ comp feed (2.7 (211) (214)) Cereal-mix Compound feed Broiler Avg. Margin (93,99 /1kg) NB. Comp. Feed 214 =Forecast as from February 215. Cereal mix and Poultry = Forecast as from June 215.
15 Remainder uro/ 1kg 1KG Broiler minus feedcost for Broilers feedconversionrate = 2,7 (211) - 2,4 (214) Marge Average 1-14 Marge Broiler 212 Marge Broiler 213 Marge Broiler 214 Marge Broiler 215
16 TRADE
17 Imports of Poultry meat from selected origins Jan-Aug 15 Compared tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % to Jan-Aug 14 Brazil % % % % % - 8% Thailand % % % % % + 14% Ukraine 31.% 276.% % % + 162% Chile % % % % % - 28% China % % % % % - 13% Argentina % % % % % - 17% Sw itzerland % % % % % - 43% Israel % % % % 942.2% - 46% Others % % % % % #N/A EXTRA EU % change + 1% - 6% + 3% +.3%
18 Tonnes cw 1 EUR EU Poultry meat Imports IMPORTS of Poultry Meat into EU (Tonnes cwe) IMPORTS of Poultry Meat into EU (1 EUR) Jan-Aug 13 Jan-Aug 14 Jan-Aug 15 Jan-Aug 13 Jan-Aug 14 Jan-Aug 15 Brazil Thailand Ukraine Chile China Other origins Brazil Thailand Ukraine Chile China Other origins
19 Canada South Africa Russia (up to Jul) Russia (up to Jul) Canada South Africa Japan Mexico (up to Jul) China + H. Kong China + H. Kong Japan Mexico (up to Jul) Qty in 1 Tonnes EU EU Main Importers of POULTRY Products (up to August) Source : GTA & Eurostat (excl.: live animals) (up to August) 215 (up to August)
20 Exports of Poultry Meat to Selected Destinations Jan-Aug 15 Compared tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % to Jan-Aug 14 South Africa % % % % % + 5% Benin % % % % % - 4% Saudi Arabia % % % % % + 7% Philippines % % % % % + 81% Hong Kong % % % % % - 36% Ukraine % % % % % + 24% Ghana % % % % % + 32% Gabon % % % % % + 3% Congo (Dem. Rep.) % % % % % + 21% For.JRep.Mac % % % % % - 4% Russia % % % % 743.1% - 99% Other Destinations % % % % % Extra-EU % change + 1% - % + 5% - 1.6%
21 Tonnes cw 1 EUR EU Poultry meat Export EU EXPORTS of Poultry Meat (Tonnes cwe) EU EXPORTS of Poultry Meat (1 EUR) Jan-Aug 13 Jan-Aug 14 Jan-Aug 15 South Africa Benin Saudi Arabia Philippines Hong Kong Other destinations * * countries trading less than 49 Tons Jan-Aug 13 Jan-Aug 14 Jan-Aug 15 South Africa Benin Saudi Arabia Philippines Hong Kong Other destinations * * countries trading less than 95 (' EUR)
22 in 1 Tonnes cwe EU Poultry meat Trade Balance 1 54 IMPORTS EXPORTS Jan- Aug 15
23 Thailand Turkey Argentina Turkey Thailand Argentina EU China + H. Kong EU China + H. Kong United States United States Qty in 1 Tonnes Brazil Brazil Main Exporters of POULTRY Products (up to August) Source : GTA & Eurostat (excl. live animals) (up to August) 215 (up to August)
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