ISSUE # 677, 8 th April 2016 Pig Prices c/kg HSCW, Trim 1 Head on (average indicative prices). W/E 8/4/2016

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1 ISSUE # 677, 8 th April 2016 Pig Prices c/kg HSCW, Trim 1 Head on (average indicative prices). W/E 8/4/ kg 60kg (Buyers) Male Female Barrows Male Female Barrows QLD NSW VIC SA WA EASTERN SEABOARD* NATIONAL kg 60kg (Sellers) Male Female Barrows Male Female Barrows QLD NSW VIC SA WA EASTERN SEABOARD* NATIONAL kg 75kg (Buyers) Male Female Barrows Male Female Barrows QLD NSW VIC SA WA EASTERN SEABOARD* NATIONAL kg 75kg (Sellers) Male Female Barrows Male Female Barrows QLD NSW VIC SA WA EASTERN SEABOARD* NATIONAL

2 75.1kg 85kg (Buyers) Male Female Barrows Male Female Barrows QLD NSW VIC SA WA EASTERN SEABOARD* NATIONAL kg 85kg (Sellers) Male Female Barrows Male Female Barrows QLD NSW VIC SA WA EASTERN SEABOARD* NATIONAL kg and above (Buyers) Male Female Barrows Male Female Barrows QLD NSW VIC SA WA EASTERN SEABOARD* NATIONAL kg and above (Sellers) Male Female Barrows Male Female Barrows QLD NSW VIC SA WA EASTERN SEABOARD* NATIONAL Backfatter Sows (Buyers) AVERAGE PRICE QLD NSW VIC SA WA EASTERN SEABOARD* NATIONAL Backfatter Sows (Sellers) AVERAGE PRICE QLD NSW VIC SA WA EASTERN SEABOARD* NATIONAL : Denotes change from previous week. *Eastern Seaboard: Includes QLD, NSW, VIC & SA states only. Page 2 of 6

3 SALEYARD PRICES (Buyers) Baconer price Porker Price Numbers Sold LW TW LW TW LW TW Toowoomba (QLD) Ballarat (VIC) N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Dublin (SA) (18) N/A N/A N/A : Denotes change from previous week. N/A: Denotes no data provided. Pork Wholesale Prices (Sydney c/kg) (Source: APL Market Reporting TW: This Week LW: Last Week RAA: Rolling Annual ) Please note that there are now additional contributors to the pork data sample. As a result there may be fluctuations in the average prices as the new data gets added. Please note that the figures highlighted in red in the Carton Sales table are based on very limited sales due to current shortages. 8/4/2016 CARCASS BROKEN SALES Pork Bacon Legs Legs Ham Trim Saddles Loin Forequarters Bellies TW LW April 2016 Rolling Annual /4/2016 CARTON SALES US Ribs Boneless Legs Fillets Boneless Middles mm fat Boneless Middles mm fat Boneless Shoulders Pork Neck TW LW April 2016 Rolling Annual Trim 90CL Page 3 of 6

4 Weekly Grain Comment (Source: ProFarmer) To the point: Global stocks to remain at historically high levels. International markets remain buyers markets. Northern hemisphere winter crops remain on track to deliver good yields. International The USDA released their monthly report into global supply and demand during the week. There was little changes since the previous report meaning that global stocks for many commodities are set to remain at historically high levels. These heavy stock levels continue to weigh on global and local values. World Wheat Stocks to Use Mt % % End Stocks Mt 220 Stocks to use 45% % % % % % 80 15% 60 10% % 0 0% Some of the world s largest buyers of wheat tendering to purchase during the week and the values they secured tonnes at confirms it is still a buyer s market. While Australia secured a sale into South East Asia this week in an Iraqi tender Australian product was offered 12 $US/t over the US. For buyers of wheat in Australia this could indicate there isn t likely to be any real increase in export appetite in the near future. Global grain markets continue to follow the weather conditions and crop developments in the US, particularly in the HRW wheat growing areas. The US winter wheat crop condition remains above the 10 year average. % 75 US Winter Wheat Condition - Good to Excellent year range 2016/17 10 yr ave Dormancy 25 Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Across the Atlantic, European crops are generally shaping up well after experiencing favourable weather conditions in recent months. Again this reinforces the bearish tone of current global markets. Whilst the development of the northern hemisphere winter cereal crops remain relatively begin for now if production uncertainty is to spark some volatility in this is not expected to occur until closer to when this crop is due to start being harvested in May/April. Page 4 of 6

5 Wheat Sth QLD/Nth NSW The market for wheat in North Eastern Australia remains sluggish with buyers largely not willing to chase the market up and sellers similarly not wanting to chase it down. With the amount of wheat unsold by growers remaining relatively high for this time of the year many buyers, including livestock producers, are more than happy to continue to buy on a hand to mouth basis, rather than build inventories. At the same time many growers who still have wheat left to sell are chasing not to engage the current market given the current values of wheat and current weather conditions, hoping that there may be some upside in the short to medium term. Sth NSW/VIC/SA In south eastern Australia there has been a decrease in market liquidity as grower s turn attention to this season planting and away from marketing. However, the lf performance of track market is providing no real incentive for sellers to enter the market with some support for values emerging in delivered markets at specific locations. Many buyers, including feed mills, are well covered in the short to medium term and as a result are not exactly chasing the market up. Barley Sth QLD/Nth NSW There have been some increases in buyer appetite for barley over the past week from feed lot operators, including those in the darling downs area. This resulted in a small but more than welcome uptick for values in and around Brisbane/Darling downs area but elsewhere the market continued to grind lower. With feed barley continue to trade at lower relative values to wheat it continues to be a preference of livestock producers, ahead of other feed grains. Sth NSW/VIC/SA Further south the ongoing lack of liquidity is providing some support for values as there is not much trading that can drag the market lower. There appears to be ample F1 barley around to meet buyer appetite, despite the earlier premiums by some in the market that this might not be the case this year. This support for F1 barley is prompting a bit of a change in buyer appetite form F1 to the F2 and F3 grades, for use as stock feed etc over the past few weeks, with the biggest hotspots occurring in ex-farm markets. Despite this current values mean that many sellers are reluctant participants. Sorghum The sorghum harvest in Northern Australia continues, including in the key growing area of the Liverpool plains where the yields and quality were better than excepted. However with export appetite remaining well below the levels of previous years prices paid to growers remain at the lower end of historical values with sellers reaming reluctant. The only real grower selling is coming from growers who are selling sorghum when there is nowhere to store it. While sorghum is now trading at a $40-50/t discount to ASW and delivered feed grain markets there seems to be no real increase in buyer appetite or preferences for increased use of sorghum as livestock feed etc Page 5 of 6

6 Weekly Grain Table (Source: ProFarmer) Profarmer - Table for EE Delivered Darling Downs Deliverd Brisbane Delivered Northern NSW LW TW LW TW LW TW LW TW Feed Wheat Feed Barley Sorghum Soy meal Canola meal Cotton seed LW TW LW TW LW TW LW TW Feed Wheat Feed Barley Triticale Soy meal Canola meal Delivered Geelong Delivered Adelaide Delivered Fremantle LW TW LW TW LW TW Feed Wheat Feed Barley Soy meal NA NA - Canola meal Feed Oats Delivered Newcastle Delivered Southern NSW Delivered Port Kembla Delivered Goulburn Valley Delivered Central VIC DD = Darling Downs Bris = Brisbane Nth NSW = Northern New South Wales New = Newcastle Sth NSW = Southern New South Wales Pt K = Port Kembla GV Goulburn Valley Central Vic = Central Victoria Geel = Geelong Adel = Adelaide Freo = Fremantle. LW = Last week TW = This week = Change N/Q = No Quote Due to the volatility of the grain market, caution must be used when valuing data. Disclaimer: The information contained in this report cannot be forwarded to, or used by, any third party without prior written consent from Australian Pork Limited (APL). This information has been collected and processed by APL and has not been prepared for any particular individual or entity. The information contained in the report may not be an accurate reflection of market prices or of changes in market prices. The report does not constitute a recommendation by, or opinion of, APL. While APL has no reason to believe that the information contained in this report is inaccurate, APL is unable to guarantee the accuracy of the information at any point in time and, subject to any terms implied by law which cannot be excluded, accepts no responsibility for loss suffered as a result of any party s reliance on the accuracy or currency of the content of this report. The information contained in the report should not be relied upon for any purpose, including as a substitute for professional advice. Nothing within the report constitutes an express or implied warranty, or representation, with respect to any future matter or as to the value of or demand for any good. Page 6 of 6