Electric Vehicles: How successful has Government policy been and what changes are needed to make the UK a leader in low carbon travel?

Transcription

1 Electric Vehicles: How successful has Government policy been and what changes are needed to make the UK a leader in low carbon travel? Keith Budden Head of Business Development, Cenex

2 Content Who are Cenex Global trends and technology route maps What has been done to date Latest OLEV support Challenges The future Page 3

3 Who are Cenex? Independent, not for profit, Low Carbon Vehicle experts Page 4

4 Activity Portfolio Technology Providers in academia and industry Supply push Innovation End User Fleets in Public and Private Sector Organisations Demand (Customer) pull Innovation Research R&D Demonstration 1 st Prototypes Demonstration Small Fleet Deployment Niche Vehicle R&D Programme (TSB) R&D Programmes (FP7) Fleet Demo Projects (BIS OLEV EU) Plugged in Midlands (OLEV) Techno-market consultancy LEPs, TSB, KTN, BIS Industrial Clients LCV2014 City and Fleet Clients Page 5

5 Technology Roadmaps Page 6

6 Electrification Hybrids rule (so far) European Cars: Electrification by Type Share European Car Market (%) Mild Hybrid Full Hybrid Plug in Full Electric Source: LMC Automotive Global Hybrid & EV Forecast, 2013 Developments continue, but are focussed on fewer projects Page 7

7 Electrification Market moving towards a broader mix of technologies Plug-in sector will dominate European Electrified Cars by Technology Type Share of Hybrid/EV Market Source: LMC Automotive Global Hybrid & EV Forecast, 2013 Page 8

8 Last ten years Automotive Council LowCVP Cenex R&D support Nissan Cross party consensus Page 9

9 2013 ULEV STRATEGY Every new car a ULEV from 2040 and an effectively decarbonised fleet by 2050; The right supporting infrastructure ensuring that ULEVs are an attractive customer proposition; World class skills and facilities for the development and manufacture of ULEV tech; A smarter electricity grid that maximises the benefits to from the shift to ULEVs; and The UK established as the best place in Europe for ULEV industries to invest. Page 10

10 Twelve Months ago 400m OLEV support to m for Advanced Propulsion Centre + 500m OLEV support to Fiscal incentives to 2020 (Company car tax and enhanced capital allowances) Page 11

11 Electric Vehicle Market Share 2013 But it is changing: The number of OLEV claims made in July 2014 was over 450% higher than that of July 2013 Plug in hybrids are here Outlander PHEV same price as diesel but with 5% BIK Page 12

12 Plug in grants eligible vehicles September 2013 September 2014 Page 13

13 500m support Details to be announced before Christmas Page 14

14 Fuel Fuel type, cost and carbon Fuel price (p/unit) Unit Small (pence per mile) Car size Large Medium (pence per mile) (pence per mile) Small (kg CO2 per mile*) Medium (kg CO2 per mile*) Large (kg CO2 per mile*) Petrol Litre Diesel Litre LPG 69.8 Litre Electric KWh CO2 emissions (kg of CO2 per mile) These factors are based on DEFRA s 2012 GHG fuel conversion factors. Green Electricity Link to renewables On site generation Smart Grid Smart tariff V2G Page 15

15 Recharging infrastructure Total UK charging posts c2, charge points in Plugged in Midlands Including 82 rapid chargers PiM Standard or Fast PiM Rapid Non-PiM Rapid Non-PiM Standard or Fast Charging anxiety Broken Can t find Can t book Can t access Too expensive Page 16

16 Financial incentives and total cost Electric Vehicle Allied Peugeot EV-Boxer Nissan env200 Savings Diesel Vehicle Ford Transit VW Caddy 1.6 cdi Trendline Ford Transit VW Caddy 1.6 cdi Trendline WLC (Cenex) -44% -88% 56% 43% WLC (Manufacturer) -50% -89% 55% 43% Lifetime WTW CO2 emissions (Cenex) 15% 16% 65% 66% Lifetime WTW CO2 emissions (Manufacturer) 10% 25% 63% 69% Page 17

17 British Gas Case Study Outcome Based on the results of the analysis, Cenex concluded that the env200 could be a commercial, environmental and operational success in London and other city environments given the total cost of ownership (TCO) and emission reductions identified. However, the analysis showed that careful planning needed to be undertaken so that variations in range due to differing driving duties and high auxiliary loads in cold weather were not overlooked, and a suitable safety buffer should be allowed for in the planned deployment of the vehicles. Page 18

18 Key issues for Government Integrated infrastructure Bookable, working, interoperable, affordable, home and work Fiscal certainty Grants and tax HMRC mileage rate, BIK if charging at work? EV tariff to encourage night time charging Integration into public transport Car sharing, car clubs new forms of ownership Link to bus, metro and train for city Electric taxi Smart cards and Apps for modal shift Page 19

19 Future transport Page 20

20 Thank you for your attention