Breakout C The Future and Electric Motoring

Transcription

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2 Breakout C The Future and Electric Motoring Chairman: Chris Chandler, Principal Consultant, Lex Autolease Speakers: Danny Jones, CEO, Off Grid Energy Ltd Chris Cheetham, Business Development Manager, POD Point Jeff Knight, Forecasting Editor, cap hpi

3 Danny Jones CEO, Off Grid Energy Ltd

4 Smart EV charging solutions How energy storage and smart charge management can help enable fleet electrification Danny Jones MIET, founder & CEO

5 About Off Grid Energy Ltd. Specialists in Battery Energy Storage solutions for temporary power, decentralised mini-grids and behind the meter storage applications. We serve the Construction, Events, Utilities and EV charging sectors. Manufacturers of clean, sustainable and cost effective alternatives to diesel generators and grid-reinforcement.

6 EV charging infrastructure & grid supply. Charging multiple EV s in single locations (clustering), will present capacity challenges for the grid network. To charge a typical, single, Plug in Hybrid a 7.2kW (32A) supply is needed. Fully electric vehicles, for fast charge, will consume anything from 25kW to 100kW Where multiple vehicles are clustered, there is high probability of challenges due to limited supply availability.

7 EV charging infrastructure & grid supply. Plan to install 100kW rapid charge stations in 1200 BP filling station in the UK Where will the power come from?

8 Grid supply upgrade? Application to the Distribution Network Operator (DNO) for supply upgrade: Significant cost Operational disruption Timescales Local network constraints?

9 What is smart charging and storage? Smart charging Dynamic control of charge points regulation of available power to EV s to manage total demand Charge point sequencing managing on/off of individual or groups of charge points in order to manage maximum demand. + Energy storage. Grid re-enforcement, Demand shift/levelling Supplement limited capacity grid, storing energy for use when needed Islanding to take demand off grid altogether at peak times PV self consumption Store PV yield for later use

10 Case studies. UPS Camden JLR i-pace launch Oxford Bus

11 Smart Electric Urban Logistics UPS depot electrification project, Camden, London

12 SEUL - Camden UPS ambition to fully electrify Camden depot supported by GLA and Cross River Partnership, motivated by introduction of ULEZ Ultimate goal = 170 all electric vans each potentially charging at 22kW Worst case increase in power demand of 4MW Cost for grid re-enforcement Millions, + 3 years planning & execution Significant local disruption during works Issues with constrained local grid (no spare capacity at sub station)

13 Smart charging + storage to support constrained grid

14 More than just storage Vans come to depot at the end of the working day Depot activity increases & vans need charging Use smart charge and storage to manage energy demand Once activity reduces we can re-charge the battery (in early hours using lower cost electricity) On demand, we can send energy back to the gird (DSR) or absorb energy to help stabilise grid Able to absorb any solar PV for self consumption

15 Benefits of solution Avoided cost of grid upgrade Lead time of a few weeks Capable of monetised reflected grid services (DSR). Is an asset rather than a sunken cost Problem became a win for UPS and a win for UKPN!

16 Oxford Bus Charge points for electric tour buses

17 Electrification of fleet - Oxford City ctr. emission free ambition. Insufficient power capacity at depot. Grid upgrade cost ( 70K) + time scales prohibitive. Disruption issues with works Initial introduction of 5 x electric tour busses Storage alternative to grid upgrade as intermediate step. Additional benefit of solar PV self consumption. Oxford Bus.

18 Oxford Bus. Storage units cap input power and use stored energy to top-up the grid Charging each pair of busses can be staggered to limit peak power Re-charging storage batteries can be deferred until daylight hours to maximise use of solar energy

19 i-pace launch Temporary charging infrastructure for car launch event

20 Temporary charging infrastructure Limited capacity power supply at venue and in local area Multiple units provided to manage power availability at venue and deployed to strategic external locations where no grid power exists Lower operating cost and emissions than running diesel generator

21 Summary of benefits Cost effective Short lead time Minimum disruption Multi functional A revenue generating asset Smart charging + energy storage.

22 Off Grid Energy Ltd Hybrid Power Hire Ltd 6 Pelham Road Central Park Rugby CV23 0PB +44 (0) danny.jones@offgrid-energy.co.uk janene.dooler@offgrid-energy.co.uk

23 Chris Cheetham Business Development Manager Charging Your Electric Car

24 POD Point We ve powered 61 million miles of electric driving Over 45 thousand units sold Our public network exceeds 2,000 connectors

25 Market Growth 160,500 PiV s registered in the UK Source: Next Green Car, June 2018 Battery costs fell by 77% in 6 years Plug-in Car Grant eligible registrations May ,936 May , % uplift Source: SMMT, June 2018 What will your next company car be? 46.5% - pure electric or petrol/diesel hybrid Source: Fleet News Reader Survey 2018 Source: McKinsey and Co., 2016

26 Source: The Wall Street Journal, June 2018

27 Charging Point Developments A dumb socket is no longer good enough Rapid chargers are getting more rapid Taking control of your energy usage Smart features Wi-Fi connected unit as standard

28 Charging Point Developments Now Near Future Further Future Connected Usage tracking Remote repairs Charger sharing Managed car park solution Solar / Battery storage integration Blockchain micro-transactions Restricting usage 50kW Rapid Payment flexibility Full fleet telematics integration 150kW Rapid Wireless charging On-site microgrid

29 Barriers for adding EV s to Fleets Vehicle fit for purpose Range Anxiety Knowledge Adapt fleet policy Public charging Residual values Reimbursement Cost Infrastructure Government BiK uncertainty WLTP Clean Air Zones

30 Charging Network Open Charge >40,000 users 30% of EV drivers Combined public network 9,882 devices, June 2018 Source: Zap-Map Open charge - 1,398 RFID 538 Rapid - 72 Source: POD Point Open Charge

31 Ecosystem En-Route Charge Destination Charge Home Charge EV charging is a top-up model, like a mobile phone 95% Of a vehicle s life is spent stationary Workplace Charge

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33 Jeff Knight Forecasting Editor, cap hpi

34 BVRLA Fleet Technology Congress CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION 35

35 Jeff Knight Forecasting Editor cap hpi Electric vehicle model update and what s on the horizon for 2019 CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION 36

36 What creates demand for a car? Exterior Emotional Interior Performan Ride and Styling Design appeal ce Handling Running Rational Specificati Price appeal Residual Costs on Value CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION 37

37 Desirability The next generation of EVs will factor in more emotional appeal. CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION 38

38 Practicality Battery Range Range anxiety is quickly diminishing. CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION 39

39 Practicality - Charging 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 Charging Connectors by Type (data: zap-map, PRA) Slow Fast Rapid DC Rapid AC Petrol stations Charging points now outnumber fuel stations in the UK. CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION 40

40 Direction of legislation is positive for EVs December 2015 All passenger vehicle sales zero emission vehicles by 2050 (UK Government commitment to International ZEV Alliance) July 2017 End the sale of all new conventional petrol and diesel cars and vans by 2040 (Tackling Roadside Nitrogen Dioxide Concentrations Paper, Defra/DfT) January % of new cars must be electric by 2030 to meet greenhouse gas targets (Committee on Climate Change) CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION 41

41 Registration volumes of EVs expected to grow gradually in the next few years 25,000 Historic and forecast EV registrations to ,000 15,000 10,000 5, And could grow much more significantly in the longer term CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION 3,000,000 2,500,000 2,000,000 1,500,000 1,000, ,000 0 Forecast EV registrations based on UK Government statements 22,500 1,500, ,500,

42 Residual Value performance of EVs has improved significantly Used market YOY variation by fuel type, 36/30 15% 10% 5% 0% -5% -10% -15% -20% Diesel Petrol PHEV Electric Improved perception of used car buyers No longer unproven technology Improved battery ranges and more charging points Anti-diesel press raising awareness of EVs Improved used EV strategies by OEMs and Dealerships Used stock retained in dealer networks Focus on finding the right customer for an EV and selling the benefits CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION 43

43 New EV models on the horizon Last Quarter 2018 Hyundai Kona EV Hyundai Nexo Hydrogen FCV 2019 Audi E Tron Large SUV Honda Urban EV Kia Stonic EV Kia Niro EV Mercedes Benz launch the EQ sub-brand. EQ A EQ C SUV Mini 3dr Cooper EV SsangYong SUV Tesla Model 3 Tesla Model Y 2020 This looks like it will be a much busier year of new model introductions, making 2019 look relatively quiet CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION 44

44 CONFIDENTIAL INFORMATION 45

45 Questions & Answers Your chance to pose your questions to our speakers

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