Electric Vehicles and the Northern Powerhouse

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1 School of Earth and Environment and UK Future Cities Catapult FACULTY OF ENVIRONMENT Electric Vehicles and the Northern Powerhouse Dr Stephen Hall University of Leeds

2 School of Earth and Environment FACULTY OF ENVIRONMENT Vehicles Energy Systems Transport Infrastructures

3 School of Earth and Environment FACULTY OF ENVIRONMENT

4 School of Earth and Environment FACULTY OF ENVIRONMENT Source: adapted from

5 School of Earth and Environment FACULTY OF ENVIRONMENT

6 School of Earth and Environment FACULTY OF ENVIRONMENT

7

8 School of Earth and Environment FACULTY OF ENVIRONMENT

9 School of Earth and Environment FACULTY OF ENVIRONMENT Value propositions: Operating reserve, Frequency response, Capacity markets, Peak avoidance, Network reinforcement, Time of use pricing. Technical Innovation: Smart Charging, Vehicle to Home, Vehicle to Grid, Vehicle to compound, second life battery, RE Self consumption. Business models: Local aggregation, national aggregation, white labelling, local balancing, virtual net metering, EV tariffs, ToU pricing, pool and sleeve, peer 2 peer.

10 Value Proposition Technical Enabler Value Capture (revenue structure) Vehicles Energy Systems Business Model(s) n Transport Infrastructures

11 For Vehicle Manufacturers Luxury Brands Main Market

12 For Utilities Big 6 /Incumbent Challenger Utility

13 For Cities Captive Fleet Public transport links City car clubs Local RE Balancing

14 Pathways 1. Centralised Utility + Luxury Brand = White label tariff & V2H 2. Mass Market + Centralised Utility = White label tariff & V2G 3. Challenger brand + Municipal Utility = Local tariff & RE Sleeving 4. (x+y) = (a&b) 5. (a&b) = (x=y) 6. (a&?) = (?+x) etc

15 Public Infrastructures- Rapid Charge Hubs

16 Public Infrastructures - Vehicle Vending

17 Public Infrastructures - Mobility service provider

18 Time of Use Pricing Source:

19 Municipal Utilities

20 Municipal Utilities

21 Vehicle to Home Source: EV City Casebook; 50 Big ideas shaping the future of electric mobility, Urban Foresight (2014).

22 Vehicle to Grid

23 Methods Literature review 21 Semi-structured elite interviews with vehicle manufacturers, transport planners, infrastructure providers, energy utilities and government. 2 x business model innovation workshops (University of Leeds, Urban Innovation Centre London) Analytical phase is live.

24 Public Charging Current Archetype

25 Rapid Charge Hubs

26 Smart Car Share Compound

27 E-Mobility Service

28 Activity 2: The Current Archetype

29 The Smart Utility

30 EV White Label

31 The Mobility Utility

32 The Municipal Mobility Utility

33 The Multi Service Model

34 Early Findings Provision across Northern Powerhouse cities is hugely uneven. There is no commercial business case for public charging for electric vehicles. There are multiple commercial business cases for destination and workplace charging yet these remain dumb and niche. We are at a tipping point for mobility innovation but there is huge uncertainty over the magnitude of value propositions. Challenger city utilities are well placed to exploit new value propositions.

35 Systemic infrastructural effects.

36 Systemic effects EV penetration means new business models WILL emerge for linking transport and energy systems. These new business models will make most sense operated at the city scale. Combined with local electricity supply business models this will challenge BOTH Transmission infrastructure revenues and incumbent utilities.

37 School of something FACULTY OF OTHER Recommendations Dr Stephen Hall

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