HYDROGEN. Turning up the gas. Jon Hunt. Manager Alternative Fuels TOYOTA GB CCS HFC 2019

Transcription

1 HYDROGEN Turning up the gas Jon Hunt Manager Alternative Fuels TOYOTA GB

2 ~7,800 Mirai sold globally = production capacity

3 106 Mirai in the UK 4,650 USA / 2,700 Japan / 400 Europe

4 Largest UK Station Operator Operate 7 of the 11 UK stations 6 more in build/plan >95% availability

5 We need people who are BRAVE ENOUGH TO CHALLENGE THE STATUS QUO Dr. Katsuhiko Hirose Product General Manager Toyota Fuel Cell Development Group

6 Hydrogen Versatile, ubiquitous, zero-emission energy carrier ZERO emission footprint potential HIGH energy density FEEDSTOCK for industry LONG distance transport Biomass Batteries H 2 CLEAN power and/or heat Methane Urea + many others Methanol ECONOMY Financial opportunity

7 CHALLENGE 2050 New vehicle zero emissions Life cycle zero emissions (raw materials, parts & manufacturing, use, recycling) Plant zero emissions Minimizing and optimizing water usage Establishing a re-cycling based society Establishing a future society in harmony with nature 4

8 Hydrogen Society & Toyota ENERGY PRODUCTION MANUFACTURING TRANSPORT & HOME

9 To reduce vehicle emissions Vehicle electrification is essential

10 Motor, Battery & Inverters Core technologies of all electrified vehicles ELECTRIC MOTOR + ENGINE + FUEL HEV BATTERY + ENGINE + FUEL + CHARGING PHEV + CHARGING BEV INVERTER (PCU) + FUEL CELL + HYDROGEN TANK FCEV 12

11 2020s Toyota Battery Development Since 1925 Sakichi Battery Challenge I D E A L S T O R A G E B AT T E R Y D E V I C E High energy density, retains charge, quick-charged, low-resistance, easy to manufacture, highly durable Established Battery Research Laboratory S A K I C H I T O Y O D A 1 st gen. Prius launched- first commercial EV (nickel-metal hydride battery) Lithium-ion batteries Commercialise solid-state batteries New Technology e.g. Metal-air batteries 14

12 Toyota: Decades Of Electric Powertrain Evolution INVERTER (PCU) ELECTRIC MOTOR 1997 Prius World s First Hybrid Electric BATTERY

13 Toyota: 21 years of Electric Powertrain Sales 2012 World s First Plug-in Hybrid Electric 1997 Prius World s First Hybrid Electric

14 TO TAL ( M UNITS) TO TAL ( M UNITS) Toyota Cumulative HEV Sales & CO 2 Reduction 13MILLION MARCH Dec UNITS SOLD (TOTAL) 1 M I L 3 M I L 5 M I L Total Hybrid sales CO2 REDUCTION (TOTAL) 100 MILLION TONS 100M MARCH Dec 2018 tons of CO 2 saved vs comparable petrol engines 7

15 21 years of Electric Powertrain Development Pure Electric Modular mass produced electric technology for Hybrid EV, Plug-In EV, pure EV and Fuel Cell EV 2012 World s First Plug-in Hybrid Electric 2015 Mirai World s First Fuel Cell Electric 1997 Prius World s First Hybrid Electric

16 Toyota continued development & more patents than any other company Traction batteries Traction Electric Motors Power electronics Sources: Reuters Thomson 05/16 & APC Low Carbon Automotive propulsion Technologies report 2016 patents filed

17 Future Battery Technology- Solid state Faster charge Cheaper Safer Lighter Smaller

18 FCEV The Ultimate Zero Emission Solution Zero emission renewable Hydrogen Fun to drive with powerful acceleration Zero harmful tailpipe emissions emits only water 3-5 min refueling 300m* range *Depending on driving style Smooth, quiet driving (electric motor) Lower production and wholelife cost

19 So What? Everyone is doing BEV Plug-in policy is easier

20 Global CO 2 Emission Standards Copyright PA Knowledge Limited 2018

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22 Europe s emissions regulations become more stringent -15% 2025, -35% 2030: CO 2 g/km 130 now 95* fixed 83* likely 70* expected EURO standard EURO 6 EURO 6.2 Pressure on Diesel WLTP Post EURO 6? * Market average. Actual the target differs by manufacturer depending on total sales volume and emissions level when baseline created

23 Manufacturer CO 2 target and PA Knowledge Ltd forecast 2021 Target based on weighted average CO 2 emissions using conformity curve from 2015 PA Knowledge Ltd forecast 2021 based on extrapolation Copyright PA Knowledge Limited 2018

24 Estimated target deviation & possible fines 95 Fine for every gram in excess of target Super credits available for lowest emitting vehicles Copyright PA Knowledge Limited 2018

25 BEV,The Quick Fix Compliance Car?

26 Plug In Electric Vehicle Challenges POWER STATION EMISSIONS BATTERY LIFE & RESOURCES RECYCLING VEHICLE COST Customer Convenience VEHICLE RANGE CHARGE TIME ACCESS TO INFRASTRUCTURE

27 H 2 Lowest lifecycle CO 2 Emissions g/km ICE FCEV 300 mile range BEV 35kWh 125 mile range

28 FC SYSTEM COST FC system: huge potential for cost reduction Fuel cell system costs have been reduced significantly and cost reduction efforts are ongoing 2008 MODEL Costs down to 1/20 of 2008 Model costs (2015) Further cost reductions Limited Sales Commercial Entry Widespread use

29 Vehicle size Toyota has a clear vehicle roadmap : FCEV domain HEV/PHEV domain Route buses Passenger cars BEV domain Short-distance use HEV FCEV (BUS) Full-size trucks Small home-delivery vehicles Delivery trucks BEV FCEV PHEV Personal mobility Traveling distance

30 Hydrogen is the future of electric mobility 79% Source: KPMG s Global Automotive Executive Survey 2019 (900 execs / 2,100 consumers)

31 Toyota H 2 applications growing Toyota Fuel Cell powered truck: >300 mile range, 10 minute refuelling Toyota Fuel Cell Bus Toyota Forklift Toyota LCV

32 Solid Oxide Fuel Cell at Toyota Motomachi Plant Boats Toyota Tokyo Bay Project 7 Eleven Truck & stationary Fuel Cell Toyota Tri-Gen Railway integration

33 New Hydrogen Research

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35 Need Collaboration from All Stakeholders Governments Energy suppliers CLEAN CARBON-FREE MOBILITY & SOCIETY Customers Industry

36 Thank you Jon Hunt Manager Alternative Fuels Toyota GB