Week Ending: Oct. 25, 2018
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1 Week Ending: Oct. 25, 2018 Market Page 1. Thurs. Close Last Thurs. Close Weekly Change Week's High Week's Low Life of Contract High Life of Contract Low NEW YORK COTTON FUTURES (Cents/Lb.) December March May July October December March May July CHICAGO CORN FUTURES (Cents/Bu.) December March May July September CHICAGO SOYBEAN FUTURES (Cents/Bu.) November January March May July August September WORLD MARKET (Cents/Lb.) CHINA WEEKLY PRICES (Cents/Lb.) Effective Oct 26 - Nov 1, '18 Week Ending October 25, 2018 This Week Year Ago % Change Current Forward A (Far East) % AWP NA CnCotton A % 5 Lowest Far East Quotes NA Polyester % USFE Low Quote NA Source: A (FE) - Cotton Outlook; Other - China Cotton Website USFE-5 Lowest Far East Quotes 1.25 NA Fine Count CFR Far East NA MY AVG. FARM PRICE U.S. WEEKLY SPOT PRICES (Cents/Lb.) Course Count CFR Far East NA NA Upland Cotton (Cents/Lb.) Fine Count Adj ('17 Crop) 0.98 NA 18/19 YTD (Aug) 69.7 Week Ending October 25, 2018 Fine Count Adj ('18 Crop) 1.03 NA 17/18 Proj.** 68.0 Coarse Count Adj 0.00 NA 18/19 Proj.** This Week Year Ago Open Quotas 13 NA LDP 0.00 NA Cottonseed ELS Comp Pymnt 0.00 NA ($/Ton) (Cents/Lb.) 17/18 Proj.** /19 Proj.** **16/17 and 17/18 projections by USDA.
2 Week Ending: Oct. 25, 2018 Market Page 2. CCC LOAN STOCKS (Includes '17 & '18 Crop) U.S. COTTON EXPORTS (Thou. 480-lb. Bales) As of October 22, 2018 Week Ending October 18, 2018 Form A Form G Total Upland (Running Bales) Week Total Total Week Total Southeast 0 69,197 69,197 18/19 18/19 17/18 19/20 19/20 Mid-South 76, , ,271 Sales , , ,822.6 Southwest 0 250, ,490 Shipments , , West 0 27,550 27,550 U.S. 76, ,828 1,009,508 TOP 10 CUSTOMERS OF U.S. RAW COTTON (Thou. 480-Lb. Bales) ELS U.S. 2,349 11,515 13,864 Country 18/19 18Share 19/20 19Share VIETNAM 2,066 21% 3 0% CCC LOAN INTEREST RATES CHINA 1,782 18% % Borrowing Rate Interest Rate* MEXICO 1,024 10% % September 2.375% 3.375% INDONESIA % 23 1% October 2.500% 3.500% BANGLADESH 739 8% 18 1% PAKISTAN 677 7% % THAILAND 425 4% 55 3% * Interest rate for crop year commodity loans less than one year. KOREAN REPUBLIC 371 4% 25 1% TURKEY 355 4% 0 0% CERTIFICATED STOCKS (Running Bales) MALAYSIA 200 2% 23 1% TOTAL 9,789 0% 1,823 0% Stocks Review CFTC DISAGGREGATED COMMITMENTS OF TRADERS Dallas/Ft. W - - Options and Futures Combined Galveston - - As of October 23, 2018 Greenville - - Houston - - Total Open Commercial Swap Dealers Memphis - - Interest Net Position Net Position Total 353,273 (110,189) 50,750 TOTAL - - Weekly Change (5,295) (359) (718) Non Commercial Net Position 59,439 1,079 ON-CALL COTTON (100 Bale Contracts) As of October 19, 2018 STATE OF THE ECONOMY Week Ending October 25, 2018 Thursday Last % Change Call Week's Call Week's Settlement Thurs. YTD Contract Sales Change Purch. Change Dow Jones Ind. Avg. 24,985 25,379 1% S&P 500 2,706 2,769 1% December '18 22, , Yr Treas. Bond Rate 3.136% 2.883% 30% March '19 38, , NASDAQ Composite 7,318 7,485 6% May '19 20, Russell ,500 1,561-2% July '19 28, , October ' Japanese Nikkei Stock Avg 21,269 22,658-7% December '19 16, , Hong Kong Hang Seng 24,994 25,455-16% March '20 5, Singapore Straits Times 3,013 3,070-11% May '20 2, Shanghai Composite 2,604 2,486-21% July '20 1, December '20 1, , Euro (in U.S.$) % Japanese Yen (per U.S.$) % WTx Int Crude Oil ($/barrel) % Diesel, Ultra-low ($/gal) % * Indicates changes from previous week based on revised data for last week. Natural Gas ($/million btu) %
3 Week Ending: COTTON SUPPLY AND DEMAND (Million 480-lb. Bales) Estimates for October 2018 US World Oct. 25, 2018 Market Page 3. U.S. COTTON TEXTILE TRADE YTD_Aug18 YTD_Aug17 (Million 480-lb. Bale Equiv.) 17/18 18/19p 16/17 17/18p Imports Beginning Stocks Exports Production Imports US COTTONSEED SUPPLY AND DISAPPEARANCE Total Supply (000 Short Tons) Mill Use Marketing Year Exports /18 18/19 Total Use Beg. Stocks Ending Stocks Production 6,422 6,184 Stocks/Use Ratio 22.5% 26.5% 65.6% 58.3% Imports 0 0 *17/18 estimates by USDA, 18/19 projections by USDA. Total Supply 6,822 6,634 Crush 1,854 1,900 U.S. COTTON PLANTINGS, PRODUCTION, AND YIELD Exports Other 4,040 3,871 Production Yield 2017 Actual Estimated Total Demand 6,372 6,196 Lb. Bales per Harv. Acreage Plantings End. Stocks (Thou.) 1/ Acre (Lb.) 1/ (Thou.) 1/ (Thou.) 2/ Change UPLAND USDA-ERS October Oil Crops Outlook. SOUTHEAST 5, ,523 2, % Alabama 1,120 1, % US COTTONSEED MEAL SUPPLY AND DISAPPEARANCE Florida % (000 Short Tons) Georgia 2, ,280 1, % Marketing Year North Carolina % 17/18 18/19 South Carolina % Beg. Stocks Virginia 205 1, % Production MID-SOUTH 4,625 1,133 1,945 1, % Imports 0 0 Arkansas 1,150 1, % Total Supply Louisiana 420 1, % Consumption Mississippi 1,460 1, % Exports Missouri 830 1, % Demand Tennessee 765 1, % End. Stocks SOUTHWEST 7, ,578 8, % Kansas 335 1, % USDA-ERS October Oil Crops Outlook. Oklahoma % Texas 6, ,900 7, % US COTTONSEED OIL SUPPLY AND DISAPPEARANCE WEST 802 1, % (Million Pounds) Arizona 480 1, % Marketing Year California 172 1, % 17/18 18/19 New Mexico 150 1, % Beg. Stocks TOTAL UPLAND 18, ,360 13, % Production TOTAL ELS 771 1, % Imports 1 1 Arizona % Total Supply California 701 1, % Domestic Consumption New Mexico % Exports Texas % Total Demand ALL COTTON 19, ,613 14, % End. Stocks / USDA-NASS October Crop Production Report. 2/ Revised from USDA-NASS June Acreage Report. USDA-ERS October Oil Crops Outlook.
4 Week Ending: Oct. 25, 2018 US CROP PROGRESS Market Page 4. PERCENT BOLLS OPENING PERCENT HARVESTED 10/21/18 10/14/18 10/21/17 5-Yr Avg 10/21/18 10/14/18 10/21/17 5-Yr Avg Alabama Arizona Arkansas California Georgia Kansas Louisiana Mississippi Missouri North Carolina Oklahoma South Carolina Tennessee Texas Virginia US Southeast Mid-South Southwest West / These 15 states planted 99% of last year's cotton acreage. * Revised. US CROP CONDITION Week Ending 10/21/18 VP P F G E Alabama Arizona Arkansas California Georgia Kansas Louisiana Mississippi Missouri North Carolina Oklahoma South Carolina Tennessee Texas Virginia US Previous Week Previous Year
5 For The Week Ending October 25, 2018 Quality Page 1. SAMPLES CLASSED COLOR GRADE % 31 or Better % 41 or Better Classing Office Week Tenderable Season Tenderable Week Season Week Season Abilene 9, , Corpus Christi 76, ,373, Dumas 129, , Florence 105, , Lamesa 7, , Lubbock 18, , Macon 163, , Memphis 292, , Rayville 57, , Visalia 13, , Region Southeast 268, , Mid-South 478, ,557, Southwest 112, ,456, West 13, , United States 872, ,544, STAPLE AND STRENGTH MICRONAIRE AND HVI TRASH Average Staple Average Strength Average Mike Average HVI Trash Classing Office Week Season Week Season Week Season Week Season Abilene Corpus Christi Dumas Florence Lamesa Lubbock Macon Memphis Rayville Visalia Region Southeast Mid-South Southwest West United States UNIFORMITY Average Uniformity Classing Average Uniformity Prepared by Economic Services Classing Office Week Season Office Week Season of the National Cotton Council. Abilene Rayville You may contact us by mail at Corpus Christi Visalia Goodlett Farms Parkway Dumas Region Cordova, TN ; Florence Southeast by phone (901) Lamesa Mid-South Lubbock Southwest Macon West Memphis United States
6 For The Week Ending October 25, 2018 Quality Page 2. SAMPLES CLASSED COLOR GRADE % 31 or Better % 41 or Better State Week Tenderable Season Tenderable Week Season Week Season Alabama 61, , Arizona 2, , Arkansas 123, , California 11, , Florida 4, , Georgia 119, , Kansas Louisiana 48, , Mississippi 124, , Missouri 74, , New Mexico North Carolina 63, , Oklahoma 5, , South Carolina 26, , Tennessee 78, , Texas 111, ,447, Virginia 15, , United States 872, ,537, STAPLE AND STRENGTH MICRONAIRE AND HVI TRASH Average Staple Average Strength Average Mike Average HVI Trash State Week Season Week Season Week Season Week Season Alabama Arizona Arkansas California Florida Georgia Kansas Louisiana Mississippi Missouri New Mexico North Carolina Oklahoma South Carolina Tennessee Texas Virginia United States UNIFORMITY Average Uniformity Average Uniformity Prepared by Economic Services State Week Season State Week Season of the National Cotton Council. Alabama Missouri You may contact us by mail at Arizona New Mexico Goodlett Farms Parkway Arkansas North Carolina Cordova, TN ; California Oklahoma by phone (901) Florida South Carolina Georgia Tennessee Kansas - - Texas Louisiana Virginia Mississippi United States
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