PEERS & MARKETS July, Market. Date Close price 1W % chg YtD % chg. Milano - FTSE Mib. 31-Jul (0.1) 34.7.
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1 PEERS & MARKETS Market Date Close price 1W % chg YtD % chg Milano - FTSE Mib 31-Jul (0.1) 34.7 Paris - CAC Jul (7.7) 18.5 Frankfurt - DAX 31-Jul (3.6) 15.9 Helsinki - HEX 31-Jul (1.4) 34.8 New York - NASDAQ 31-Jul-15 $ Tokyo - Nikkei Jul-15 4, Seul - KOSPI 31-Jul-15 40, (23.0) July, 2015
2 Pirelli & C. on the Stock market PIRELLI & C. VS FTSE MIB YtD trend Performance YtD weekly Pirelli +34.7% -0.1% FTSE Mib +23.8% +0.1% Stoxx A&P +16.0% -2.1% 30-Dec 14-Jan 29-Jan 13-Feb 28-Feb 15-Mar 30-Mar 14-Apr 29-Apr 14-May 29-May 13-Jun 28-Jun 13-Jul 28-Jul Daily average volumes 31-Jul 1 Week 1 Month 3 Months 6 Months Year to Date 1 Week 1 Month 3 Months 6 Months Pirelli & C. Ord (0.1) (0.3) (2.3) ,951,069 1,942,759 2,267,504 3,050,390 Pirelli & C. Risp (2.5) ,440 34,280 43,471 73,545 FTSE All Share 3, (2.9) ,160,018,859 1,059,052,101 1,102,779,659 1,152,174,036 FTSE Mib 23, ,300, ,676, ,105, ,118,775 Market Cap. 3-Aug Ord. 7,178.4 Risp Tot. Pirelli 7,356.2 Sell side analysts evaluation on Pirelli & C. Latest reports (17 reports) Consensus Target Price: 15.0 % Buy:25% % Hold: 69% % Sell: 6% 2
3 LatAm G.C.C. Asia Pacific U.S.A. United States Europe Europe Markets 31-Jul 1 Week 1 Month 3 Months 6 Months Year to Date 31-Jul 1 Week 1 Month 3 Months 6 Months Year to Date FTSE Mib 23, DJ Stoxx FTSE 100 6, (3.8) (0.8) 2.0 DAX 11,309 (0.3) 3.3 (1.3) CAC 40 5, IBEX 35 11,181 (1.1) 3.8 (1.8) AEX OMX Stockholm 530 (0.0) 4.9 (1.4) OMX Helsinki 8, FTSE Athex n.a. n.a. n.a. (3.1) 10.5 (3.5) Swiss Market 9, DJ Industrial Average 17, (0.8) 3.1 (0.7) S&P NASDAQ Composite 5, SSE Composite (Cina) 2,461 (10.2) (14.2) (24.3) 2.3 (4.7) Auto 582 (2.1) (4.7) (9.3) Banks 221 (0.1) Basic Resources (6.6) (15.3) (8.2) (6.9) Chemical Construction & Material Finance 464 (0.3) Food & Beverage 623 (1.2) FTSE EPTRA Eu Residential (0.8) Industrial (2.1) Insurance 286 (0.5) Media Oil & Gas (0.9) (9.7) Retail Technological 348 (0.8) 2.5 (0.5) TLC 386 (0.1) Travel & Leisure 254 (1.3) Utilities (1.6) (2.3) 2.0 Nikkei 225 (Japan) 20, Hang Seng (HK) 24,636 (2.0) (6.1) (12.4) All Ordinaries (Australia) 5, (1.6) Strait Times (Singapore) 3 (5.0) (3.3) (8.0) (5.0) (5.0) BSE 30 (India) 5, (1.6) KOSPI (S. Korea) 2,030 (0.8) (2.1) (4.6) Abu Dhabi 4,834 (1.3) Dubai 4,143 (1.4) 1.4 (2.0) Saudi Arabia 9,098 (2.9) 0.1 (7.5) Bovespa (Brasile) 50, (4.2) (9.5) IPC (Mexico) 44, (0.7) Merval (Argentina) 11, (4.8) (7.9) IBC (Venezuela) 14, S&P 500 2, Auto (2.1) (3.0) 3.2 (3.2) Banks 350 (0.3) Basic Resources (13.6) (25.9) (20.2) (26.3) Chemical (5.0) (7.0) (2.0) (3.9) Finance Food & Beverage Insurance Media Oil & Gas 515 (1.0) (6.4) (13.2) (11.0) (16.4) Real Estate (0.8) (7.7) (2.6) Retail Technological 1, (0.5) TLC (1.0) (4.8) Tyres (0.5) (0.4) Utilities (1.2) (9.2) (7.3) 3
4 Asia U.S.A. Europe Pirelli & C. vs Auto & Parts Sector Daily average volumes 31-Jul 1 Week 1 Month 3 Months 6 Months Year to Date 1 Week 1 Month 3 Months 6 Months DJ Stoxx 600 A&P (2.1) (4.7) (9.3) ,051,431 42,307,179 39,691,931 41,698,972 Pirelli & C (0.1) (0.3) (2.3) ,951,069 1,942,759 2,267,504 3,050,390 Continental (3.6) (4.1) (3.4) , , , ,706 Michelin (7.7) (5.1) (10.5) ,038, , , ,266 Nokian (1.4) (2.7) (6.0) , , , ,129 FCA ,089,293 14,626,246 14,458,784 15,497,085 Renault (8.1) (10.3) (11.0) ,655,606 1,255,555 1,206,987 1,259,913 Peugeot (1.1) ,429,536 6,155,902 5,638,415 5,705,955 Volkswagen (pref.) (3.9) (12.3) (21.2) (8.0) (1.2) 1,701,418 1,436,842 1,256,218 1,247,685 BMW (0.4) (7.0) (13.9) (11.7) 1.7 2,446,459 2,534,237 2,324,559 2,013,963 Daimler (0.6) (0.3) (5.7) ,099,195 4,282,582 4,224,293 4,303,258 DJ US A&P $ (4.1) (4.6) 3.2 (2.8) 21,829,332 18,993,122 17,639,637 17,566,531 Goodyear $ (0.1) ,803,970 3,598,686 3,899,667 3,571,706 Cooper $ (2.7) (22.5) (5.3) (5.0) 435, , , ,278 Ford $ (1.2) (6.1) 0.8 (4.3) 41,011,134 30,476,238 26,305,464 26,619,398 General Motors $ (5.5) (10.1) (3.4) (9.7) 18,773,901 18,905,260 15,195,453 15,758,713 Tesla $ (0.8) ,078,951 3,615,124 3,670,365 4,470,750 Japan A&C 259, (0.2) ,086,000 65,130,739 65,715,070 67,442,181 Bridgestone 4, (6.8) (1.3) ,635,300 3,388,604 3,758,675 3,428,435 Sumitomo 1, (1.4) (15.8) ,752,750 1,632,509 1,618,614 1,414,286 Yokohama 2, (0.2) (4.8) , , , ,891 Toyo 2, , ,726 1,332,986 1,802,175 Hankook 40, (3.3) (10.0) (23.0) (23.0) 427, , , ,053 Kumho 6,750 (0.9) (7.2) (30.9) (30.5) (30.2) 614, , , ,741 Toyota 8,253 (0.3) 0.6 (1.3) ,747,700 6,825,361 7,075,832 7,668,782 Honda 3, (1.5) ,128,000 3,829,535 4,252,586 4,696,965 Nissan 1,199 (3.3) (6.0) (4.2) ,489,517 14,041,639 11,671,146 11,524,690 EUROPE: WEEKLY TREND S & STOCKS vs DJ STOXX & PARTS +4.5 pp +4.1 pp +2.0 pp +0.7 pp +1.7 pp +1.5 pp DJ Stoxx Auto & Parts: -2.1% -1.5pp -1.8pp -5.6pp -6.0pp Pirelli & C. Continental Michelin Nokian FCA Renault Peugeot Volkswagen (pref.) 4 BMW Daimler
5 -21.8 pp pp pp pp -0.8 pp -5.5 pp -5.0 pp pp 3.3 pp 0.6 pp -1.1 pp 7.0 pp 16.2 pp 18.3 pp pp pp pp 20.5 pp -9.3 pp 7.0 pp 17.5 pp 22.1 pp pp pp pp -0.4 pp pp pp 6.2 pp -1.8 pp pp 36.4 pp 16.6 pp 34.8 pp pp -4.9 pp pp pp 40.3 pp 34.9 pp Saipem Tenaris BMPS Gtech Assicurazioni Generali Unipol Sai Enel Green Power Snam Eni Terna Rete Elettrica Nazionale Unicredit STMicroelec. N. V. Enel CNH Industrial Unione di Banche Italiane Atlantia Azimut Holding World Duty Free Tod's Autogrill Mediaset Pirelli & C. Exor Telecom Italia Mediolanum Prysmian A2A S. Ferragamo Campari Group Intesa Sanpaolo Luxottica Group Mediobanca B. P. Emilia Buzzi Unicem. FCA Banco Popolare Moncler Yoox Finmeccanica B. P. Milano -33.2pp -31.6pp -29.4pp -23.6pp -18.3pp -17.8pp -14.8pp -14.5pp -13.8pp -10.9pp -10.7pp -8.8pp -7.8pp -2.2pp +0.2 pp +2.0 pp +2.4 pp +3.9 pp +4.0 pp +7.6 pp pp pp pp pp pp pp pp pp pp pp pp pp pp pp pp pp pp pp pp pp Pirelli & C. vs FTSE Mib Relative Performance (YtD) 2015 YtD performance FTSE Mib +23.8% YtD 2014 FY Relative performance: 5
6 TOT. WORLD ASIA US EUROPE Tyre Sector Evaluation Multiples CONSENSUS PEERS MARKET MULTIPLES 31-Jul-15 P / E EV / SALES EV / EBITDA EV / EBIT PIRELLI 15.6x 13.4x 12.0x 1.3x 1.3x 1.2x 6.6x 6.0x 5.4x 9.2x 8.4x 7.8x Michelin 11.2x 10.3x 9.5x 0.9x 0.8x 0.8x 4.6x 4.3x 3.8x 7.2x 6.8x 6.3x Continental 14.3x 13.0x 12.0x 1.2x 1.2x 1.1x 7.3x 6.5x 5.9x 10.8x 10.0x 9.4x Nokian 15.7x 14.8x 13.0x 2.6x 2.5x 2.3x 9.1x 8.4x 7.7x 12.3x 11.0x 9.9x Simple average 14.2x 12.9x 11.6x 1.5x 1.4x 1.3x 6.9x 6.3x 5.7x 9.9x 9.0x 8.3x Weighted average * 13.8x 12.5x 11.5x 1.2x 1.2x 1.1x 6.7x 6.0x 5.4x 9.8x 9.1x 8.5x Goodyear 10.0x 8.4x 8.0x 0.8x 0.8x 0.8x 5.2x 4.7x 4.4x 7.3x 6.9x 7.0x Bridgestone 10.6x 10.0x 9.5x 1.0x 0.9x 0.9x 5.2x 4.8x 4.5x 7.4x 7.2x 7.0x Sumitomo 8.7x 8.4x 7.8x 0.9x 0.9x 0.8x 5.4x 5.1x 4.7x 9.0x 8.5x 8.0x Yokohama 9.7x 9.0x 8.5x 0.9x 0.8x 0.8x 5.7x 5.2x 5.0x 8.8x 8.1x 7.7x Hankook Tire 8.1x 7.4x 6.9x 1.0x 1.0x 0.9x 5.1x 4.7x 4.2x 7.7x 7.2x 6.7x Simple average 10.9x 9.1x 8.4x 1.1x 1.1x 1.0x 6.1x 5.5x 5.1x 9.5x 8.7x 8.2x Weighted average * 8.9x 8.0x 7.6x 0.8x 0.8x 0.8x 4.5x 4.1x 3.8x 6.5x 6.2x 6.0x max 15.7x 14.8x 13.0x 2.6x 2.5x 2.3x 9.1x 8.4x 7.7x 12.3x 11.0x 9.9x min 8.1x 7.4x 6.9x 0.8x 0.8x 0.8x 4.6x 4.3x 3.8x 7.2x 6.8x 6.3x median 10.6x 10.0x 9.5x 1.0x 0.9x 0.9x 5.4x 5.1x 4.7x 8.8x 8.1x 7.7x Simple average 11.9x 10.3x 11.1x 1.1x 1.1x 1.0x 6.1x 5.6x 5.2x 9.2x 11.2x 9.1x Weighted average ** 12.3x 11.2x 10.4x 1.1x 1.1x 1.0x 6.1x 5.5x 5.0x 8.9x 8.4x 7.9x * on peers market capitalization by geographical area ** on tyre sector market capitalization WORLD MARKET CAP million Local currency adjustment % on cluster PIRELLI 7,356 7, % Michelin 16,640 16, % Continental 40,711 40, % Nokian 3,652 3, % Goodyear $8,117 7, % Bridgestone 3,803,693 27, % Sumitomo 491,891 3, % Yokohama 416,073 3, % Hankook Tire 5,029,328 3, % TOT. 114,209 6
7 Pirelli & C. Consensus Estimates Source: Pirelli IR analysis on broker estimates PIRELLI & C. CONSENSUS 3-Aug-15 FY 2014A FY 2015E FY 2016E FY 2017E mln # estimates # estimates # estimates Revenues 6, , , ,193 Ebitda before restructuring costs 1, , , ,463 Ebitda margin before restructuring costs (%) 19.4% % % % EBIT before restructuring costs , ,119 EBIT margin before restructuring costs (%) 14.4% % % % Restructuring costs EBIT , ,101 EBIT margin (%) 13.9% % % % Net Income Net Debt
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