PEERS & MARKETS October, Market. Date Close price 1W % chg YtD % chg. Milano - FTSE Mib. 16-Oct
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1 PEERS & MARKETS Market Date Close price 1W % chg YtD % chg Milano - FTSE Mib 16-Oct Paris - CAC Oct (0.4) 16.6 Frankfurt - DAX 16-Oct (1.5) 16.7 Helsinki - HEX 16-Oct (2.6) 54.2 New York - NASDAQ 16-Oct-15 $ Tokyo - Nikkei Oct-15 4,342 (1.0) 4.7 Seul - KOSPI 16-Oct-15 42, (20.1) October, 2015
2 Pirelli & C. on the Stock market PIRELLI & C. VS FTSE MIB YtD trend Performance YtD weekly Pirelli +36.6% +0.0% FTSE Mib +17.5% +0.4% Stoxx A&P +1.5% -0.9% 30-Dec14-Jan29-Jan13-Feb28-Feb15-Mar30-Mar14-Apr29-Apr14-May29-May13-Jun28-Jun 13-Jul 28-Jul 12-Aug27-Aug11-Sep26-Sep11-Oct Daily average volumes 16-Oct 1 Week 1 Month 3 Months 6 Months Year to Date 1 Week 1 Month 3 Months 6 Months Pirelli & C. Ord (0.7) (2.1) (0.1) ,230,468 3,546,192 2,935,098 2,701,271 Pirelli & C. Risp ,858 86,684 59,218 54,856 FTSE All Share 3,485 (0.7) 1.8 (5.8) (8.6) (1.4) 987,997,077 1,209,131,197 1,138,668,959 1,130,098,877 FTSE Mib 22, (6.1) (5.4) ,870, ,201, ,888, ,486,482 Market Cap. 19-Oct Ord. 7,107.1 Risp Tot. Pirelli 7,288.3 Sell side analysts evaluation on Pirelli & C. Latest reports (14 reports) Consensus Target Price: 15.0 % Buy: 7% % Hold: 80% % Sell: 13% 2
3 LatAm G.C.C. Asia Pacific U.S.A. United States Europe Europe Markets 16-Oct 1 Week 1 Month 3 Months 6 Months Year to Date 16-Oct 1 Week 1 Month 3 Months 6 Months Year to Date FTSE Mib 22, (6.1) (5.4) 17.5 DJ Stoxx (10.4) (11.6) 6.0 FTSE 100 6,378 (0.6) 2.4 (6.2) (9.7) (2.9) DAX 10, (1.2) (13.8) (15.8) 3.0 CAC 40 4, (8.2) (10.0) 10.1 IBEX 35 10,232 (0.8) 2.6 (11.1) (11.9) (0.5) AEX (10.6) (11.2) 5.5 OMX Stockholm 488 (1.8) (1.0) (8.9) (12.0) 3.0 OMX Helsinki 8,034 (0.7) 0.3 (7.7) (13.5) 3.6 FTSE Athex (0.9) (14.0) (8.8) (17.0) Swiss Market 8, (1.8) (7.9) (7.3) (3.0) DJ Industrial Average 17, (5.0) (4.9) (3.4) S&P (4.0) (2.1) (0.8) NASDAQ Composite 4, (0.1) (5.4) (2.4) 3.2 SSE Composite (Cina) 2, (15.3) (27.0) (10.0) Auto 509 (0.9) (6.5) (17.3) (22.6) 1.5 Banks 194 (0.5) (0.3) (13.9) (11.1) 2.8 Basic Resources 306 (3.1) (0.3) (19.0) (26.9) (18.6) Chemical 797 (1.6) (2.9) (16.7) (17.7) 1.4 Construction & Material 371 (1.1) (3.4) (8.9) (10.4) 10.9 Finance (9.1) (8.5) 14.7 Food & Beverage (4.5) (6.5) 12.2 FTSE EPTRA Eu Residential 810 (2.4) (1.6) (0.4) (4.5) 12.8 Industrial 412 (2.8) (2.4) (12.5) (15.7) 1.4 Insurance (9.2) (11.7) 7.1 Media (8.0) (7.1) 13.2 Oil & Gas 290 (0.4) 7.3 (7.8) (15.5) 2.0 Retail 344 (0.7) 1.6 (7.5) (8.9) 10.4 Technological (7.0) (9.1) 5.7 TLC 334 (0.8) (3.8) (15.1) (11.3) 4.4 Travel & Leisure (1.4) (7.4) (5.8) 10.1 Utilities (7.5) (9.6) (3.1) Nikkei 225 (Japan) 18,292 (0.8) 0.7 (11.2) (8.0) 4.8 Hang Seng (HK) 23, (8.3) (16.8) (2.3) All Ordinaries (Australia) 5,304 (0.1) 3.5 (6.1) (10.4) (1.6) Strait Times (Singapore) (8.6) (11.7) (7.3) BSE 30 (India) 5,304 (0.1) 3.5 (6.1) (10.4) (1.6) KOSPI (S. Korea) 2, (2.8) (5.1) 6.0 Abu Dhabi 4,538 (0.2) 0.8 (5.6) (1.8) 0.2 Dubai 3,698 (0.2) 4.6 (9.9) (6.2) (2.0) Saudi Arabia 7, (17.6) (16.0) (7.6) Bovespa (Brasile) 47,236 (4.3) (2.7) (11.0) (13.6) (5.5) IPC (Mexico) 44,364 (0.0) 2.5 (2.2) (2.5) 2.8 Merval (Argentina) 11, (10.1) (7.4) 30.3 IBC (Venezuela) 14, (5.0) (15.7) S&P 500 2, (4.3) (3.4) (1.3) Auto (4.9) (3.4) Banks (1.8) (9.9) (2.3) (3.6) Basic Resources 120 (2.6) 2.3 (12.3) (26.4) (29.5) Chemical (8.3) (11.3) (8.0) Finance (6.2) (2.8) (3.0) Food & Beverage Insurance (5.3) (1.5) (2.2) Media (7.9) (3.4) (0.0) Oil & Gas (1.1) (9.9) (13.0) Real Estate (3.6) (2.1) Retail 815 (0.4) (0.3) (3.3) Technological 1, (2.5) (1.4) 0.6 TLC (0.1) (5.2) (4.9) (3.1) Tyres Utilities (5.2) 3
4 Asia U.S.A. Europe Pirelli & C. vs Auto & Parts Sector Daily average volumes 16-Oct 1 Week 1 Month 3 Months 6 Months Year to Date 1 Week 1 Month 3 Months 6 Months DJ Stoxx 600 A&P (0.9) (6.5) (17.3) (22.6) ,747,819 61,568,101 48,640,406 44,203,545 Pirelli & C (0.7) (2.1) (0.1) ,230,468 3,546,192 2,935,098 2,701,271 Continental (1.5) 3.1 (6.2) (8.5) , , , ,026 Michelin (0.4) 1.3 (11.7) (9.2) , , , ,417 Nokian (2.6) , , , ,266 FCA (5.4) ,566,734 22,103,112 17,072,947 15,793,160 Renault (17.1) (14.2) ,515,804 1,981,443 1,466,353 1,360,932 Peugeot (5.5) (18.2) (9.4) ,234,267 8,746,378 6,596,395 6,104,395 Volkswagen (pref.) (5.6) (40.7) (49.9) (56.8) (44.3) 2,173,059 4,676,832 2,593,655 1,952,635 BMW (1.2) (0.8) (9.4) (21.0) (0.6) 1,744,707 2,844,607 2,539,386 2,418,336 Daimler (3.9) (14.9) (16.7) 7.9 3,511,847 5,684,143 4,917,233 4,636,445 DJ US A&P $ (0.2) (6.3) (3.4) 17,853,086 22,439,111 21,570,793 19,406,462 Goodyear $ ,691,977 3,088,502 3,376,446 3,630,469 Cooper $ , , , ,335 Ford $ (2.2) ,699,422 32,505,130 31,743,771 28,474,112 General Motors $ (8.6) (2.1) 11,498,144 15,409,645 17,738,239 16,074,845 Tesla $ (13.4) (14.9) ,241,563 4,401,125 4,445,383 4,162,580 Japan A&C 239,440 (1.4) 2.4 (8.3) (7.6) ,981,520 79,998,705 73,793,116 70,300,644 Bridgestone 4,342 (1.0) 1.2 (6.2) (13.3) 4.7 3,043,220 2,886,832 3,257,177 3,452,679 Sumitomo 1,779 (1.8) 1.0 (4.5) (19.3) 0.1 1,535,500 1,512,821 1,561,358 1,564,719 Yokohama 2,304 (1.2) 4.9 (5.8) (9.7) , , , ,341 Toyo 2,575 (6.5) (1.9) (5.1) ,714,340 1,813,958 1,377,368 1,403,428 Hankook 42, (6.0) (20.1) 400, , , ,220 Kumho 7, (1.5) (24.9) (24.6) 939, , , ,141 Toyota 7,400 (1.3) 1.4 (12.2) (10.9) (0.6) 10,381,580 11,114,779 10,351,685 8,821,869 Honda 3,863 (3.5) 1.5 (2.1) (7.3) ,275,220 5,523,342 5,075,606 4,803,495 Nissan 1,210 (1.0) (2.8) ,413,800 15,254,911 14,077,521 12,518,798 EUROPE: WEEKLY TREND S & STOCKS vs DJ STOXX & PARTS DJ Stoxx Auto & Parts: +0.9 pp +0.5 pp +4.2 pp +4.6 pp +1.2 pp +1.1 pp -0.9% -0.6pp -1.7pp -4.7pp Pirelli & C. Continental Michelin Nokian FCA Renault Peugeot Volkswagen (pref.) 4-0.3pp BMW Daimler
5 -57.4 pp pp pp 2.0 pp pp -4.1 pp -3.0 pp pp 12.3 pp -8.8 pp 0.6 pp pp 19.7 pp pp 4.2 pp pp 22.1 pp 21.7 pp 8.6 pp pp pp pp 18.8 pp 12.3 pp 23.0 pp 8.5 pp -0.4 pp pp -8.8 pp 37.8 pp -4.9 pp 18.4 pp pp pp pp 36.4 pp 2.0 pp 40.3 pp pp 34.9 pp BMPS CNH Industrial Saipem Assicurazioni Generali Tenaris Enel Green Power Unipol Sai Gtech STMicroelec. N. V. Azimut Holding Unicredit Tod's Enel Eni Snam S. Ferragamo Telecom Italia Unione di Banche Italiane Terna Rete Elettrica Nazionale Moncler Prysmian World Duty Free Exor Autogrill Atlantia Mediobanca Mediaset Mediolanum Pirelli & C. Intesa Sanpaolo Banco Popolare Luxottica Group Buzzi Unicem. B. P. Emilia Campari Group FCA A2A Finmeccanica Yoox B. P. Milano -31.7pp -27.0pp -22.6pp -16.8pp -16.5pp -15.0pp -13.5pp -12.8pp -8.0pp -7.2pp -6.4pp -5.9pp -2.2pp -2.2pp -0.2pp +0.6 pp +0.8 pp +0.9 pp +5.0 pp +8.6 pp +9.9 pp pp pp pp pp pp pp pp pp pp pp pp pp pp pp pp pp pp pp pp Pirelli & C. vs FTSE Mib Relative Performance (YtD) 2015 YtD performance FTSE Mib +17.5% YtD 2014 FY Relative performance: 5
6 TOT. WORLD ASIA US EUROPE Tyre Sector Evaluation Multiples CONSENSUS PEERS MARKET MULTIPLES 16-Oct-15 P / E EV / SALES EV / EBITDA EV / EBIT PIRELLI 15.5x 13.6x 12.1x 1.4x 1.4x 1.3x 6.7x 6.1x 5.5x 9.9x 9.1x 8.4x Michelin 10.9x 9.9x 9.3x 0.8x 0.8x 0.8x 4.4x 4.2x 3.7x 6.9x 6.6x 6.1x Continental 13.9x 12.7x 11.8x 1.2x 1.1x 1.1x 7.2x 6.4x 5.8x 10.5x 9.7x 9.2x Nokian 16.2x 17.4x 15.3x 3.1x 2.9x 2.7x 10.4x 9.7x 8.9x 14.8x 13.5x 12.1x Simple average 14.1x 13.4x 12.1x 1.6x 1.6x 1.5x 7.2x 6.6x 6.0x 10.5x 9.7x 9.0x Weighted average * 13.5x 12.4x 11.4x 1.3x 1.2x 1.1x 6.7x 6.0x 5.4x 9.8x 9.1x 8.6x Goodyear 10.8x 9.0x 8.6x 0.8x 0.8x 0.8x 5.3x 5.0x 4.7x 7.6x 7.3x 7.4x Bridgestone 10.2x 9.6x 9.2x 0.9x 0.9x 0.8x 4.9x 4.5x 4.3x 6.8x 6.7x 6.7x Sumitomo 7.6x 8.3x 7.8x 0.9x 0.8x 0.8x 5.4x 5.0x 4.7x 8.9x 8.8x 8.3x Yokohama 9.2x 8.7x 8.2x 0.8x 0.8x 0.8x 5.7x 5.3x 4.9x 8.3x 7.7x 7.3x Hankook Tire 8.5x 7.9x 7.3x 1.2x 1.1x 1.0x 5.6x 5.1x 4.7x 9.3x 8.8x 8.1x Simple average 12.3x 9.4x 8.7x 1.1x 1.1x 1.0x 6.2x 5.8x 5.3x 9.8x 9.1x 8.5x Weighted average * 8.9x 7.8x 7.4x 0.8x 0.8x 0.7x 4.3x 4.0x 3.7x 6.2x 6.0x 5.9x max 16.2x 17.4x 15.3x 3.1x 2.9x 2.7x 10.4x 9.7x 8.9x 14.8x 13.5x 12.1x min 7.6x 7.9x 7.3x 0.8x 0.8x 0.8x 4.4x 4.2x 3.7x 6.8x 6.6x 6.1x median 10.8x 9.6x 9.2x 0.9x 0.9x 0.8x 5.6x 5.1x 4.7x 8.9x 8.8x 8.1x Simple average 12.8x 10.8x 10.6x 1.2x 1.1x 1.1x 6.4x 5.9x 5.4x 21.0x 10.2x 8.9x Weighted average ** 12.1x 11.2x 10.4x 1.1x 1.1x 1.0x 6.1x 5.5x 5.0x 8.9x 8.4x 8.0x * on peers market capitalization by geographical area ** on tyre sector market capitalization WORLD MARKET CAP million Local currency adjustment % on cluster PIRELLI 7,288 7, % Michelin 15,980 15, % Continental 40,321 40, % Nokian 4,003 4, % Goodyear $8,804 7, % Bridgestone 3,530,490 25, % Sumitomo 467,954 3, % Yokohama 390,641 2, % Hankook Tire 5,215,140 4, % TOT. 111,679 6
7 Pirelli & C. Consensus Estimates Source: Pirelli IR analysis on broker estimates PIRELLI & C. CONSENSUS 19-Oct-15 FY 2014A FY 2015E FY 2016E FY 2017E mln # estimates # estimates # estimates Revenues 6, , , ,137 Ebitda before restructuring costs 1, , , ,469 Ebitda margin before restructuring costs (%) 19.4% % % % EBIT before restructuring costs , ,112 EBIT margin before restructuring costs (%) 14.4% % % % Restructuring costs EBIT , ,090 EBIT margin (%) 13.9% % % % Net Income Net Debt
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