PEERS & MARKETS. 28 September 2 October, Market. Date Close price 1W % chg YtD % chg. Milano - FTSE Mib. 2-Oct (0.1) 33.
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1 PEERS & MARKETS Market Date Close price 1W % chg YtD % chg Milano - FTSE Mib 2-Oct (0.1) 33.6 Paris - CAC 40 2-Oct Frankfurt - DAX 2-Oct Helsinki - HEX 2-Oct New York - NASDAQ 2-Oct-15 $ (1.7) 2.3 Tokyo - Nikkei Oct-15 4, Seul - KOSPI 2-Oct-15 40, (22.3) 28 September 2 October, 2015
2 Pirelli & C. on the Stock market PIRELLI & C. VS FTSE MIB YtD trend Performance YtD weekly Pirelli +33.6% -0.1% FTSE Mib +12.5% +0.3% Stoxx A&P -7.5% -1.0% 30-Dec14-Jan 29-Jan 13-Feb28-Feb15-Mar30-Mar 14-Apr 29-Apr14-May29-May13-Jun 28-Jun 13-Jul 28-Jul 12-Aug27-Aug11-Sep26-Sep Daily average volumes 2-Oct 1 Week 1 Month 3 Months 6 Months Year to Date 1 Week 1 Month 3 Months 6 Months Pirelli & C. Ord (0.1) 0.4 (1.1) (3.4) ,304,132 3,645,729 2,800,391 2,653,115 Pirelli & C. Risp (0.6) (2.8) ,830 97,552 57,015 58,709 FTSE All Share 3, (7.0) (8.8) (4.6) 1,298,361,003 1,172,425,547 1,133,063,375 1,123,996,957 FTSE Mib 21, (1.0) (5.4) (8.2) ,958, ,185, ,682, ,325,555 Market Cap. 5-Oct Ord. 7,121.3 Risp Tot. Pirelli 7,298.4 Sell side analysts evaluation on Pirelli & C. Latest reports (17 reports) Consensus Target Price: 15.0 % Buy:25% % Hold: 69% % Sell: 6% 2
3 LatAm G.C.C. Asia Pacific U.S.A. United States Europe Europe Markets 2-Oct 1 Week 1 Month 3 Months 6 Months Year to Date 2-Oct 1 Week 1 Month 3 Months 6 Months Year to Date FTSE Mib 21, (1.0) (5.4) (8.2) 12.5 DJ Stoxx (0.4) (1.7) (9.8) (12.6) 1.6 FTSE 100 6, (7.5) (10.3) (6.6) DAX 9,553 (1.4) (4.9) (13.9) (20.2) (2.6) CAC 40 4,459 (0.5) (2.1) (7.8) (12.1) 4.4 IBEX 35 9, (3.4) (11.5) (17.5) (6.6) AEX 423 (0.1) (2.5) (11.4) (14.2) (0.4) OMX Stockholm 474 (0.2) (2.8) (7.4) (13.1) 0.1 OMX Helsinki 7, (1.1) (6.9) (14.2) (0.4) FTSE Athex 641 (5.1) 2.3 (19.6) (16.9) (22.4) Swiss Market 8, (1.3) (5.0) (6.7) (5.2) DJ Industrial Average 16, (7.1) (7.3) (7.6) S&P (5.6) (4.3) (5.1) NASDAQ Composite 4, (0.9) (6.0) (3.7) (0.6) SSE Composite (Cina) 2,146 (1.7) (4.3) (20.9) (22.8) (16.9) Auto 464 (1.0) (9.0) (25.1) (29.1) (7.5) Banks 186 (0.2) (3.9) (13.7) (14.2) (1.7) Basic Resources 269 (0.8) (8.0) (28.1) (31.2) (28.4) Chemical 782 (0.7) (4.0) (13.7) (18.4) (0.6) Construction & Material 359 (1.4) (3.9) (7.4) (10.7) 7.3 Finance 419 (0.1) 1.1 (6.7) (7.9) 10.9 Food & Beverage (2.6) (6.4) 7.9 FTSE EPTRA Eu Residential 821 (2.1) (2.3) 14.3 Industrial (4.0) (10.7) (15.6) (1.0) Insurance 256 (0.3) (0.9) (7.0) (14.9) 2.3 Media 296 (0.9) 1.0 (6.0) (8.3) 8.6 Oil & Gas (0.8) (16.0) (14.5) (7.9) Retail (1.1) (6.6) (9.6) 6.5 Technological 311 (0.2) 0.7 (9.0) (13.0) (0.5) TLC 323 (5.0) (6.2) (13.0) (12.0) 1.0 Travel & Leisure 242 (1.4) 1.4 (3.3) (5.0) 9.1 Utilities (7.5) (10.0) (7.4) Nikkei 225 (Japan) 17,725 (0.9) (2.0) (13.6) (8.2) 1.6 Hang Seng (HK) 21, (18.2) (14.9) (8.9) All Ordinaries (Australia) 5, (0.6) (8.9) (13.3) (5.6) Strait Times (Singapore) 3 (1.7) (3.1) (16.0) (17.4) (16.7) BSE 30 (India) 5, (0.6) (8.9) (13.3) (5.6) KOSPI (S. Korea) 1, (6.5) (2.9) 2.8 Abu Dhabi 4, (3.8) 0.5 (0.2) Dubai 3,619 (0.4) 1.0 (11.6) 2.5 (4.1) Saudi Arabia 7,342 (1.4) (1.3) (19.4) (16.7) (11.9) Bovespa (Brasile) 47, (11.4) (11.5) (5.9) IPC (Mexico) 42, (0.5) (5.4) (3.3) (1.0) Merval (Argentina) 10, (5.7) (13.7) (8.0) 18.8 IBC (Venezuela) 14,989 (3.9) (21.5) (12.4) S&P 500 1, (6.0) (5.6) (5.2) Auto (6.1) (7.1) (7.0) Banks 310 (1.4) (1.8) (9.5) (3.3) (6.5) Basic Resources (5.3) (24.2) (30.9) (35.5) Chemical (2.6) (15.1) (15.2) (14.2) Finance 419 (0.6) (0.5) (7.0) (5.8) (6.6) Food & Beverage (0.1) 2.9 Insurance 433 (0.2) (1.0) (5.7) (4.1) (5.7) Media (9.5) (6.7) (4.4) Oil & Gas (10.7) (13.9) (20.6) Real Estate (1.0) (10.0) (6.3) Retail (0.0) (1.1) 6.3 Technological 1, (4.6) (3.7) (3.8) TLC 150 (1.1) (3.4) (9.0) (9.4) (7.0) Tyres 105 (1.5) Utilities (3.5) (8.5) 3
4 Asia U.S.A. Europe Pirelli & C. vs Auto & Parts Sector Daily average volumes 2-Oct 1 Week 1 Month 3 Months 6 Months Year to Date 1 Week 1 Month 3 Months 6 Months DJ Stoxx 600 A&P (1.0) (9.0) (25.1) (29.1) (7.5) 62,442,419 54,589,763 46,965,996 43,060,947 Pirelli & C (0.1) 0.4 (1.1) (3.4) ,304,132 3,645,729 2,800,391 2,653,115 Continental (11.1) (11.5) , , , ,295 Michelin (3.2) (13.3) (12.2) , , , ,705 Nokian , , , ,427 FCA (6.1) (20.4) ,507,066 17,206,974 15,762,601 15,181,616 Renault (1.1) (8.8) (32.8) (23.8) 6.5 1,939,146 1,599,346 1,373,167 1,299,218 Peugeot (11.8) (29.4) (16.3) ,220,283 7,889,969 6,597,044 5,963,791 Volkswagen (pref.) (13.9) (43.3) (56.7) (62.1) (50.0) 4,496,377 3,969,708 2,375,995 1,817,142 BMW (0.9) (1.7) (21.2) (32.0) (12.9) 2,546,576 2,914,617 2,686,835 2,403,549 Daimler (1.7) (7.3) (22.2) (26.4) (6.4) 5,187,243 5,772,858 4,977,634 4,644,796 DJ US A&P $ (8.6) (8.6) (7.0) 23,221,762 23,616,058 21,308,035 19,293,480 Goodyear $ (1.7) (0.2) (3.5) ,381,089 3,111,653 3,460,577 3,593,683 Cooper $ (1.0) (9.4) , , , ,819 Ford $ (5.9) (12.7) (9.7) 37,523,109 34,435,433 31,468,837 28,099,876 General Motors $ (4.5) (13.1) (9.1) 16,642,067 17,035,202 18,237,473 16,658,230 Tesla $ (3.6) (0.0) (11.6) ,384,022 3,810,449 4,346,454 4,174,782 Japan A&C 230, (11.2) (9.7) (2.8) 83,824,267 79,389,710 72,945,167 68,845,787 Bridgestone 4, (5.1) (11.9) 2.6 2,719,300 3,043,410 3,364,371 3,435,030 Sumitomo 1, (11.6) (24.5) (6.4) 1,630,600 1,430,035 1,618,521 1,525,809 Yokohama 2, (10.2) (10.1) (0.9) 586, , , ,676 Toyo 2, ,072,233 1,080,325 1,111,579 1,358,967 Hankook 40, (4.2) (6.2) (22.3) 361, , , ,861 Kumho 7,150 (1.9) 10.3 (3.6) (23.3) (26.1) 745, , , ,792 Toyota 7, (11.0) (13.4) (4.0) 13,123,400 12,858,285 9,995,184 8,539,018 Honda 3,641 (1.7) (0.5) (9.8) (7.6) 3.3 6,340,217 5,443,115 5,030,479 4,789,894 Nissan 1, (10.2) (4.6) ,979,883 15,501,445 14,455,602 12,309,438 EUROPE: WEEKLY TREND S & STOCKS vs DJ STOXX & PARTS +0.9 pp +6.3 pp +1.9 pp +2.9 pp +4.8 pp +2.2 pp +0.1 pp DJ Stoxx Auto & Parts: -1.0% -0.1pp pp -0.7pp Pirelli & C. Continental Michelin Nokian FCA Renault Peugeot Volkswagen (pref.) 4 BMW Daimler
5 -57.4 pp pp pp -5.0 pp pp -0.8 pp 7.0 pp -5.5 pp pp pp pp -9.3 pp -1.1 pp 16.2 pp 20.5 pp 0.6 pp 3.3 pp 17.5 pp 22.1 pp pp pp -0.4 pp 36.4 pp pp pp 18.3 pp -4.9 pp 34.8 pp 6.2 pp 7.0 pp pp 16.6 pp pp pp pp -1.8 pp pp 40.3 pp 34.9 pp BMPS Saipem CNH Industrial Unipol Sai Tenaris Assicurazioni Generali STMicroelec. N. V. Enel Green Power Eni Gtech Tod's Azimut Holding Unicredit Enel Unione di Banche Italiane Snam Terna Rete Elettrica Nazionale Exor Telecom Italia S. Ferragamo Prysmian Mediaset FCA Mediolanum World Duty Free Atlantia Banco Popolare Intesa Sanpaolo Mediobanca Autogrill Pirelli & C. Luxottica Group B. P. Emilia Campari Group Moncler A2A Buzzi Unicem. Finmeccanica B. P. Milano Yoox -26.8pp -26.5pp -23.7pp -23.1pp -22.8pp -16.9pp -14.8pp -14.7pp -13.8pp -12.3pp -7.4pp -7.0pp -6.5pp -5.1pp -4.5pp -1.7pp +2.9 pp +3.4 pp +3.8 pp +4.6 pp pp +0.0 pp pp pp pp pp pp pp pp pp pp pp pp pp pp pp pp pp pp pp Pirelli & C. vs FTSE Mib Relative Performance (YtD) 2015 YtD performance FTSE Mib +12.5% YtD 2014 FY Relative performance: 5
6 TOT. WORLD ASIA US EUROPE Tyre Sector Evaluation Multiples CONSENSUS PEERS MARKET MULTIPLES 2-Oct-15 P / E EV / SALES EV / EBITDA EV / EBIT PIRELLI 15.6x 13.6x 12.1x 1.4x 1.4x 1.3x 6.7x 6.1x 5.5x 9.8x 9.0x 8.3x Michelin 10.4x 9.5x 8.8x 0.8x 0.8x 0.8x 4.2x 4.0x 3.6x 6.6x 6.3x 5.9x Continental 13.3x 12.2x 11.3x 1.2x 1.1x 1.0x 6.9x 6.2x 5.5x 10.1x 9.4x 8.8x Nokian 15.4x 16.5x 14.5x 3.0x 2.8x 2.6x 9.9x 9.2x 8.4x 14.1x 12.8x 11.5x Simple average 13.7x 12.9x 11.7x 1.6x 1.5x 1.4x 6.9x 6.4x 5.7x 10.2x 9.4x 8.6x Weighted average * 13.0x 12.0x 11.0x 1.2x 1.1x 1.1x 6.4x 5.8x 5.2x 9.5x 8.8x 8.2x Goodyear 9.7x 8.1x 7.7x 0.8x 0.8x 0.8x 5.0x 4.6x 4.3x 7.1x 6.8x 6.9x Bridgestone 10.1x 9.5x 9.1x 0.9x 0.9x 0.8x 4.8x 4.5x 4.2x 6.7x 6.5x 6.6x Sumitomo 7.5x 7.8x 7.4x 0.8x 0.8x 0.8x 5.2x 4.9x 4.5x 8.5x 8.4x 8.1x Yokohama 8.7x 8.2x 7.8x 0.8x 0.8x 0.8x 5.5x 5.1x 4.8x 8.1x 7.4x 7.1x Hankook Tire 8.3x 7.7x 7.1x 1.2x 1.1x 1.0x 5.5x 5.1x 4.6x 9.1x 8.7x 7.9x Simple average 12.0x 9.3x 8.5x 1.1x 1.1x 1.0x 6.2x 5.7x 5.2x 9.6x 8.9x 8.4x Weighted average * 8.9x 7.7x 7.3x 0.8x 0.8x 0.7x 4.3x 4.0x 3.7x 6.2x 6.0x 5.9x max 15.6x 16.5x 14.5x 3.0x 2.8x 2.6x 9.9x 9.2x 8.4x 14.1x 12.8x 11.5x min 7.5x 7.7x 7.1x 0.8x 0.8x 0.8x 4.2x 4.0x 3.6x 6.6x 6.3x 5.9x median 10.1x 9.5x 8.8x 0.9x 0.9x 0.8x 5.5x 5.1x 4.6x 8.5x 8.4x 7.9x Simple average 12.3x 10.4x 10.6x 1.2x 1.1x 1.0x 6.2x 5.7x 5.3x 20.1x 9.8x 8.7x Weighted average ** 11.6x 10.8x 10.0x 1.1x 1.0x 1.0x 5.9x 5.4x 4.9x 8.6x 8.1x 7.7x * on peers market capitalization by geographical area ** on tyre sector market capitalization WORLD MARKET CAP million Local currency adjustment % on cluster PIRELLI 7,298 7, % Michelin 15,275 15, % Continental 38,571 38, % Nokian 3,820 3, % Goodyear $7,875 7, % Bridgestone 3,504,471 26, % Sumitomo 443,228 3, % Yokohama 371,482 2, % Hankook Tire 5,072,684 3, % TOT. 107,882 6
7 Pirelli & C. Consensus Estimates Source: Pirelli IR analysis on broker estimates PIRELLI & C. CONSENSUS 05-Oct-15 FY 2014A FY 2015E FY 2016E FY 2017E mln # estimates # estimates # estimates Revenues 6, , , ,137 Ebitda before restructuring costs 1, , , ,469 Ebitda margin before restructuring costs (%) 19.4% % % % EBIT before restructuring costs , ,112 EBIT margin before restructuring costs (%) 14.4% % % % Restructuring costs EBIT , ,090 EBIT margin (%) 13.9% % % % Net Income Net Debt
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