EUROPEAN (E)BUS SCENARIO EUROPE S ZEEUS PROJECT
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1 EUROPEAN (E)BUS SCENARIO EUROPE S ZEEUS PROJECT Arno Kerkhof Head of Bus Division APTA Bus & paratransit Conference 16 th May 2016 Maintenance Managers Workshop Charlotte, NC
2 APTA Bus & paratransit Conference Charlotte 2016
3 ZEEUS ZERO EMISSION URBAN BUS SYSTEMS Evaluate the economic, environmental and societal feasibility of high capacity electric urban bus systems through demonstrations DEMONSTRATE Facilitate the market uptake of high capacity urban electric buses Provide decision makers with Guidelines and Tools to support decision on if how and when to introduce electric buses in the core bus network SUPPORT partners, 10 Countries, Coordinator: Total budget: 22Meuro / EU funding 13.5 Meuro 42 Months (until March 2017)
4 ZeEUS Cities ~70 electric buses 12 meters, articulated, double-deckers Plug-in Hybrid, Fullelectric, Battery Trolleys Energy supply mode: plug-in, conductive, inductive, overhead Charging strategies Overnight (depot) Opportunity(terminals, bus-stops) Fast / Slow Charging 4 APTA Bus & paratransit Conference Charlotte 2016
5 DEMO CALENDAR RUNNING Barcelona (IRIZAR) Stockholm (VOLVO) Münster (VDL) Pilsen (SKODA) Warsaw (SOLARIS) London (ADL) Randstad ? PROCUREMENT Cagliari (VAN HOOL / SOLARIS) Barcelona (SOLARIS) Bonn (SILEO) Paris (BLUEBUS) 5 BUS / INFRASTRUCTURE DEVELOPMENT
6 RUNNING 6 APTA Bus & paratransit Conference Charlotte 2016
7 RUNNING 7 APTA Bus & paratransit Conference Charlotte 2016
8 RUNNING 8 APTA Bus & paratransit Conference Charlotte 2016
9 RUNNING 9 APTA Bus & paratransit Conference Charlotte 2016
10 RUNNING 10 APTA Bus & paratransit Conference Charlotte 2016
11 RUNNING 11 APTA Bus & paratransit Conference Charlotte 2016
12 RUNNING 12 APTA Bus & paratransit Conference Charlotte 2016
13 RUNNING Project to add fast charging Running on line APTA Bus & paratransit Conference Charlotte 2016
14 PLANNING 31 MAY Soon running on line APTA Bus & paratransit Conference Charlotte 2016
15 PLANNING 7 buses different brands Slow-charging at depot (overnight); Fast-charging at terminals 15 APTA Bus & paratransit Conference Charlotte 2016
16 EBUSES DEMAND ANALYSIS To understand how the growth of ebuses demand in Europe matches with the capability of the European industries to support such demand. Note. From point of view, the whole paradigm of clean alternative fuels should be considered. Several European cities have published strategic plans for the introduction of electric buses (or other alternative fuel solutions) on a large scale. 16 APTA Bus & paratransit Conference Charlotte 2016
17 EBUSES DEMAND ANALYSIS The ZeEUS project has performed a survey to collect city plans in order to characterize the potential ebus demand in coming years. high capacity (12m and more) electric Buses Scenario up to 2025 (2030) No need for detailed information Consulted: ZeEUS Core Demonstrations Bus Committee and Organising Authority Com Gathered answers from 19 PTO/PTA representing 25 cities or regions buses in total Mostly North / Central Europe 17 APTA Bus & paratransit Conference Charlotte 2016
18 DEMAND EXAMPLE (OSLO) 18 APTA Bus & paratransit Conference Charlotte 2016
19 19
20 ebuses Demand analysis Data-set 19 PTO/PTA strategies 25 cities / regions ,000 ebuses / 40,000 (5%) Low-slope grow Mostly pilots, tests, demo Challenges to be solved APTA Bus & paratransit Conference Charlotte
21 ebuses Demand analysis Data-set 12 PTO/PTA strategies (19) 20 cities / regions / 14,000 (43%) in cities with ebuses strategy 2025 High-slope grow Assuming barriers are removed Limited number of cities Mostly Central / Northern Europe Lack of funding for fleet renewal APTA Bus & paratransit Conference Charlotte
22 Support to the Demand 2025 scenario would see a growing trend for of electric vehicles Today such buses are produced and put in service in relatively low numbers. Necessary to understand the capacity and strategy of Bus industries to support such demand Some qualitative considerations about ebuses Offer evolution are presented in the next slide APTA Bus & paratransit Conference Charlotte
23 Qualitative considerations about ebuses offer evolution VOLVO + Bus Integrators (VDL, SOLARIS ) Flexible offer Series production Evolution of the product Bus Manufacturers (MAN, EVOBUS, IVECO, SCANIA) Internal test Pilots Series Production Newcomers (BOLLORE, EBUSCO ) Offer with high performance higher risks Natural selection Evolution of product Industries from other mass transit domain (IRIZAR, SKODA, BOMBARDIER, ALSTOM, SIEMENS, ABB ) Products from background knowledge Mature / evolved ebuses More standard Solutions Not-EU bus industries (BYD, YUTONG ) Good performances Sometimes lower quality Low costs ebuses more adapted to EU market Synergies with EU OEMs APTA Bus & paratransit Conference Charlotte
24 IF Know & Decide ZeEUS ebuses Vision and Roadmap Collection of ebuses study cases Urban electric bus systems Charging Use Cases for standardization WHEN Plan, Regulate & Fund Simulators for assessing technical solutions in own scenario Recommendations for urban and spatial planning policy Most suitable Funding tools and Optimal Regulatory frame WHAT Select & Procure KPI and Methodology for procurement-oriented evaluation SORT-E Developed and validated Tender structure (and process) for ebuses procurement HOW Operate & Maintain Staff training guidelines (for optimal operations) Optimised operations of electric buses on the Bus Network operations Optimization of charging operation in bus depot & opportunity stations 24
25 BUS DIVISION THANK YOU PLUS D INFORMATIONS Arno Kerkhof Head of Bus Division arno.kerkhof@uitp.org Pauline Bruge ZeEUS project manager pauline.bruge@uitp.org Umberto Guida Director of Research & Innovation Umberto.guida@uitp.org Thierry Wagenknecht Chair Bus Assembly Wagenknecht.T@tpg.ch Mike Weston Chair Bus Committee Mike.Weston@tfl.gov.uk
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