MATURE AREAS. Working Group 1 (WOC1) WHAT IS A MATURE AREA? CONNECTION TO A WELL ESTABLISHED MARKET. SIGNIFICANT PRODUCTION RATE (more than 4 Bcf/d)
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1 MATURE AREAS SPECIFICITIESAND CHALLENGES Working Group 1 (WOC1) WHAT IS A MATURE AREA? CONNECTION TO A WELL ESTABLISHED MARKET SIGNIFICANT PRODUCTION RATE (more than Bcf/d) NO IDENTIFIED POTENTIAL FOR A SIGNIFICANT PRODUCTION INCREASE (+5%)
2 WHICH AREAS DID WE STUDY? FOR THE EUROPEAN MARKET : UNITED KINGDOM, NETHERLANDS AND NORWAY FOR THE EUROPEAN MARKET AND RUSSIA : RUSSIA (WEST SIBERIA) FOR THE ASIAN MARKET : MALAYSIA AND INDONESIA FOR THE SOUTH AMERICAN MARKET : ARGENTINA UK Norway Netherlands Russia Malaysia Indonesia Argentina
3 HOW DID WE PROCEED? BY COMPARING THE PAST DISCOVERIES AND PRODUCTION STARTS WITH THE PRODUCTION BY DESCRIBING THE PRODUCTION TRENDS UK (Tcf) production production starts production starts (inc technical) discoveries discoveries (inc technical)
4 Alwyn (> Tcf) disc before 87 prod Bruce (3Tcf) disc before 87 prod production start post 1/1/7 Prod 7 7,3 UK 7 Prod 1 5, Bcf/d stable Prod 7 stable production start post 1/1/7
5 UK Mcf/d Britannia Liverpool Bay Goldeneye Cygnus Norway 5 (Tcf) production production starts production starts (inc technical) discoveries discoveries (inc technical)
6 Troll ( Tcf) disc in 79 prod 9-9 Ormen Lange (1 Tcf) disc 97-1 prod 7 Asgard (Tcf) disc before 87 prod 97-1 Snohvit (Tcf) ( ) disc before 87 prod 7
7 Norway 1 production start post 1/1/7 Prod 1 11,3 1 8 Prod 7 8,7 Bcf/d Prod 7 stable production start post 1/1/7 NORWAY 5 Mcf/d Sleipner Vest Kvitebjørn Ormen Lange
8 Netherlands (Tcf) production production starts production starts (inc technical) discoveries discoveries (inc technical) Netherlands Prod 7, Prod 1,8 Bcf/d 5 3 stable 1 Prod 7 stable production start post 1/1/7
9 The Netherlands Mscf/d Others Groningen Argentina (Tcf) production production starts production starts (inc technical) discoveries discoveries (inc technical)
10 Acambuco (3Tcf) disc in 9-9 prod 97-1 Aguada Pichana (3.5 Tcf) disc in 197 prod 9-9 Argentina 5 Prod 7,1 Prod 1, Bcf/d 3 1 stable Prod 7 stable production start post 1/1/7
11 ARGENTINA Mcf/d Loma la Lata Area Aguada Pichana Area Acambuco Malaysia (Tcf) production production starts production starts (inc technical) discoveries discoveries (inc technical)
12 Kumang cluster (>3 Tcf) disc 9 prod 7-11 Kebabangan (>3 Tcf) disc 9-9 prod? SK8 (> Tcf) disc 9-9 prod - Malaysia 7 Prod 7 5, Prod 1, 5 Bcf/d 3 stable 1 Prod 7 stable production start post 1/1/7
13 Indonesia 3 5 (Tcf) production production starts production starts (inc technical) discoveries discoveries (inc technical) Berau (7 Tcf) disc prod 9 Abadi (1 Tcf technical) disc 97-1 prod? Corridor ( Tcf) disc before 87 prod Ganal and Rapak (> Tcf) disc 97-1 prod >15
14 Indonesia 1 9 Prod 1 8,9 Bcf/d Prod 7,3 stable 1 Prod 7 stable production start post 1/1/7 INDONESIA Mcf/d Corridor PSC Berau PSC
15 West Siberia 3 5 (Tcf) production production starts production starts (inc technical) discoveries discoveries (inc technical) Bovanenkovo (> 1 Tcf) disc in 1971 prod 11 Zapolyarnoye (> 1 Tcf) disc before 87 prod 97-1
16 West Siberia 7 Prod 7 5,7 Prod 1, 5 Bcf/d 3 1 stable Prod 7 stable production start post 1/1/7 WEST SIBERIA Mcf/d Yamburgskoye Zapolyarnoye Bovanenkovskoye
17 THESE 7 AREAS SHARE ONE IMPORTANT CHARACTERISTIC: THE DEFICIT OF DISCOVERIES VERSUS PRODUCTION THIS WAS NOT THE CASE YEARS AGO FOR MOST OF THEM THIS RESULTS IN A DEFICIT OF PRODUCTION STARTS: THE EXCEPTIONS ARE NORWAY, WEST SIBERIA AND INDONESIA. THESE COUNTRIES/AREAS ARE THE ONLY ONE TO SHOW A / SIGNIFICANT SHORT TERM INCREASE OF PRODUCTION
18 THE ONLY COUNTRY WHERE PRODUCTION WILL DECREASE IN THE NEAR FUTURE IS UK. IN NETHERLANDS, ARGENTINA, MALAYSIA, THE QUESTION IS ABOUT THE DURATION OF THE PLATEAU: HOW MANY YEARS? FOR NORWAY, WEST SIBERIA AND INDONESIA, THE QUESTION IS ABOUT THE CAPACITY TO GO ON MEETING FUTURE DEMAND GROWTH IN THE LONG TERM. FOR THIS, EXPLORATION RESULTS NEED TO IMPROVE. THANK YOU!
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