Enhancing Regional Cooperation in Energy Infrastructure Development

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1 Enhancing Regional Cooperation in Energy Infrastructure Development Davood Manzoor, Ph.D. High-Level Policy Dialogue on Regional Cooperation and Inclusive Development in South and South West Asia October 2012, Le MeridienHotel, New Delhi

2 Lecture Outlines Introductory remarks Status of energy supply and demand in the region Energy trade and import dependency Energy cooperation initiatives Regional electricity cooperation and integration Energy projections of the region s future energy investment needs Future requirements and possible options for the involvement of ESCAP in facilitating cooperation in energy.

3 per capita energy consumption( ) Total South and South-West Asia Total South-East Asia Total North and Central Asia Total East and North-East Asia per capita(tons of oil equivalent) Total Pacific ESCAP world tons of oil equivalent source:2009 Energy Statistics Yearbook United Nationshttp://unstats.un.org/unsd/environment_main.htm

4 Energy Consumption and annual Consumption growth rates Energy consumption Annual growth rate Region Million Tons of oil equivalent precentage World ESCAP region Total South and South-West Asia Total South-East Asia Total East and North-East Asia Total North and Central Asia Total Pacific source:2009 Energy Statistics Yearbook United Nations,

5 Energy intensity 7000 (kg of oil equivalent) per $1,000 GDP (constant 2005 PPP) World The PCIFIC East and North-East Asia North and Central Asia South-East ASIA source:2009 Energy Statistics Yearbook United Nations,

6 Share of global energy production and consumption in ESCAP region electricity gas liquids consumption solids production total precentage source:2009 Energy Statistics Yearbook United Nations,

7 Energy Production and annual production growth rates Region Energy production Million Tons of oil equivalent Annual growth rate precentage World ESCAP region Total South and South-West Asia Total South-East Asia Total East and North-East Asia Total North and Central Asia Total Pacific source:2009 Energy Statistics Yearbook United Nations,

8 Production and Consumption of energy in the ESCAP region (2009) production consumption total solids liquids gas electricity production consumption source:2009 Energy Statistics Yearbook United Nations,

9 Energy production by sub-region(2009) Million tons of oil equivalent electricity gas liquids solids ESCAP region Total South and South-West Asia Total South-East Asia Total East and North-East Asia Total North and Central Asia Total Pacific source:2009 Energy Statistics Yearbook United Nations,

10 Share of global energy production and consumption in ESCAP region (2009) Percentage of world total Region production consumption total solids liquids gas electricity total solids liquids gas electricity World ESCAP region Total South and South-West Asia Total South-East Asia Total East and North- East Asia Total North and Central Asia Total Pacific source:2009 Energy Statistics Yearbook United Nations,

11 Fossil fuel reserves at the end of 2011 country Thousand million barrels Oil: Proved reserves Natural gas: Proved reserves Coal: Proved Reserves at end 2011 Share of total R/P ratio Trillion cubic metres Share of total R/P ratio Million tonnes Share of total Australia % % % 184 Azerbaijan % % 85.8 Bangladesh % 17.8 Brunei % % 22.5 China % % % 33 Democratic People s Republic of Korea % 19 India % % % 103 Indonesia % % % 17 Iran % % * Japan 350 w 275 Kazakhstan % % % 290 Malaysia % % 39.4 Myanmar % 17.8 News land % 115 Pakistan % % * PapuaNew Guinea % * Republic of Korea 126 w 60 Russian Federation % % % 471 Thailand 0.4 w % % 58 Turkey % 30 Turkmenistan 0.6 w % * Uzbekistan 0.6 w % 28.1 Vietnam % % w 3 Other Asia Pacific % % % 53 R/P ratio Source: BP, BP Statistical Review of World Energy 2011,

12 Import dependency(2009) World Total Pacific Total East and North-East Asia Total North and Central Asia Total South-East Asia Total South and South-West Asia source:2009 Energy Statistics Yearbook United Nations,

13 Total primary energy supply projection, 2030 (Million tons of oil equivalent) Asia and Pacific World World alternative projection coal oil Gas Nuclear Hydro Biomass and waste Other renewable TOTAL Source: International Energy Agency, World Energy Outlook 2004 (Paris, IEA, 2004).

14 Energy investment projections for several Asian and Pacific countries and country groupings based on current trends, upto 2030 (Billions of year 2000 United States dollars) World OECD Pacific Russian Federation and transition economies China India Other South and East Asia Asia- Pacific Developing countries of Asia- Pacific Coal Electricity Oil Gas Total Source: Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development/International Energy Agency, World Energy Investment Outlook (Paris, OECD/IEA, 2003).

15 Energy investment projections, upto 2030 (Billions of year 2000 United States dollars) Asia-Pacific World Universal electricity access (world) Alternative world scenario Coal Electricity Oil Gas Total Average annual investment Source: Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development/International Energy Agency, World Energy Investment Outlook 2003 (Paris, OECD/IEA, 2003), and World Energy Outlook 2004 (Paris, OECD/IEA, 2004).

16 Energy Cooperation initiatives

17 Regional electricity integration Technical and economic benefits Organizational Requirements Financial Requirements Operational Requirements

18 Energy Cooperation Challenges

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