Jicable'15 Welcome Lecture Josias Matos de Araujo Eletrobras June, 2015

Transcription

1 Jicable'15 Welcome Lecture Josias Matos de Araujo Eletrobras June, 2015

2 Regulatory framework in Brazil

3 Regulatory Framework in Brazil Politics National Congress President of the Republic of Brazil National Council for Energy Policy - CNPE Ministry of Mines and Energy - MME Regulation and Supervision Brazilian Electricity Regulatory Agency ANEEL State Agencies Market Electric Energy Trading Chamber CCEE G T D National System Operator - ONS ANP, ANATEL Consumers Council SNRH, MMA, ANA, IBAMA C SDE, SEAD, CADE Institutional Agents Energy Research Company - EPE Players Eletrobras Electricity Sector Monitoring Committee - CMSE BNDES 3 and other banks

4 Brazilian Electricity Market & Generation, Transmission and Distribution Overview

5 Electric Energy Consumption Statistics in Brazil Population 1 : 201,901,000 Area: 8,514,876,599 km² Network Energy Consumption 2,3 : 463,335 GWh Energy Consumption per Capita 1,2,3 : 2,295 kwh/yr. Average Energy Consumption: 64,003 amw Number of Consumers 4 : 77,069,509 Residential Consumers 4 : 65,928,608 Average Monthly Energy Consumption: 516,1 kwh/mo. Average Monthly Residential Energy Consumption : 163,0 kwh/mo. Sources: 1 IBGE (Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics), Include self-produced energy 3 EPE (Energy Research Company), ANEEL (Brazilian Electricity Regulatory Agency),

6 Electric Energy Consumption by Sector 17,51% 8,30% 4,50% 15,65% 463,335 GWh 23,01% 31,03% Residential Industry Commercial Rural Other Losses Source: EPE (Energy Research Company),

7 Brazilian Electric Energy Market Players ,222 2,715 2, Trader Independent producer Generator Special consumer Free consumer Self-producer Distributor Total Players Source: CCEE (Electric Energy Trading Chamber),

8 Generation in Brazil - Actual Status and Prospects -

9 National Installed Capacity (GW), Source: National Energy Balance (BEN 2014), EPE 9

10 Energy Generation: How the installed capacity is shared by type source? % Hydroelectric Termoelectric Thermoeletric Eolic Wind Nuclear Solar (< 0.01%) 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Source: National Energy Balance (BEN 2014), EPE 10

11 National Installed Capacity (MW) 89,193 1,990 4, ,913 MW Hydroelectric Termoelectric Eolic Wind Nuclear Solar (15 MW) 1 st. Bid of solar (2014) : 890 MW contracted 37,827 Source: National Energy Balance (BEN 2014), EPE 11

12 Evolution of Brazilian Installed Capacity by Geographic Region (GW) +107% +210% N NE % +20% SE & CW S +31% Source: PDE 2023 (Ten-year Energy Expansion Plan 2023), EPE

13 Evolution of Renewable Energy Generation (MW) Import 6,032 Hydro 82,620 Others 21, Wind 5,452 Biomass 10,684 SHP 5,538 Import 4,716 Solar 0 Hydro 112,178 Others 47, Wind 22,439 Biomass 13,983 SHP 7,319 Solar 3,500 Source: PDE 2023 (Ten-year Energy Expansion Plan 2023), EPE 13

14 Evolution of Non-renewable Energy Generation (MW) Nuclear 1,990 Natural Gas 11,442 Others 8, Coal 3,210 Crude Oil 3,490 Diesel 1,402 Nuclear 3,395 Processed Gas 687 Natural Gas 20,016 Others 8, Crude Oil 3,493 Coal 3,210 Diesel 947 Source: PDE 2023 (Ten-year Energy Expansion Plan 2023), EPE Processed Gas

15 Transmission in Brazil - Current Status and Prospects -

16 Interconnected National System - SIN 99% Integrated 1% Isolated Source: MME (Ministry of Mines and Energy),

17 Transmission Lines (Thousand km), kv 345 kv 440 kv 500 kv ±600 kv 750 kv Source: National Energy Balance (BEN 2014), EPE 17

18 Transmission Lines (km) 40,649 6,728 10, ,859 km 12,816 2, kv 345 kv 440 kv 500 kv ±600 kv 750 kv 52,680 Source: Electrical System Monitoring Bulletin, CMSE,

19 Madeira HVDC Link (Bipole 1) Voltage level: ±600 kv Operation start-up: Sept., 2013 Capacity: 3,150 MW Extension: 2,384 km Towers: approx. 4,300 Total investment: US$ 1.0 billion Construction duration: 38 months States crossed by the line: Rondônia (RO), Mato Grosso (MT), Goiás (GO), Minas Gerais (MG), São Paulo (SP). Line owners: RO MT GO SP MG Partner 51% 49% Source: ONS (National Electric System Operator)/ANEEL (Brazilian Electricity Regulatory Agency),

20 Madeira HVDC Link (Bipole 1) Source: Internet 20

21 Madeira HVDC Link (Bipole 2) Voltage level: ±600 kv Operation start-up: 2015 (prevision) Capacity: 3,150 MW Extension: 2,412 km Towers: approx. 4,300 Total investment: US$ 973 million Construction duration: 50 months States crossed by the line: Rondônia (RO), Mato Grosso (MT), Goiás (GO), Minas Gerais (MG), São Paulo (SP). Line owners: RO MT GO SP MG Partner 51% 49% Source: ONS (National Electric System Operator)/ANEEL (Brazilian Electricity Regulatory Agency),

22 Belo Monte UHVDC Link (Bipole 1) Voltage level: ±800 kv Under construction Capacity: 4,000 MW Extension: 2,096 km Towers: approx. 4,500 Total investment: US$ 1.67 billion Construction duration: 46 months States crossed by the line: Pará (PA), Tocantis (TO), Goiás (GO), Minas Gerais (MG). Line owners: PA TO GO MG Partner 51% 49% Source: ANEEL (Brazilian Electricity Regulatory Agency),

23 Belo Monte UHVDC Link (Bipole 2) Voltage level: ±800 kv Capacity: 3,850 MW Extension: 2,518 km Total investment: US$ 2.58 billion Prevision for commercial operation: September, States crossed by the line: Pará (PA), Tocantis (TO), Goiás (GO), Minas Gerais (MG), Rio de Janeiro (RJ). Line owners: PA TO GO MG RJ Source: ANEEL (Brazilian Electricity Regulatory Agency),

24 Evolution of Transmission Lines (km) % 179, ,656 76,408 49,897 11,918 6,922 39,083 6,371 9,518 10,272 6,728 3, kv 345 kv 440 kv 500 kv ±600 kv ±800 kv Total 109,976 Existing in 2013 in 2023 Source: PDE 2023 (Ten-year Energy Expansion Plan 2023), EPE 24

25 Transmission Line Investments from ±800 kv ±600 kv 500 kv 440 kv 345 kv 230 kv 1% 3% 12% 15% 4% US$ Billion 65% Source: PDE 2023 (Ten-year Energy Expansion Plan 2023), EPE. 25

26 Substations Investments from ±800 kv ±600 kv 500 kv 440 kv 345 kv 230 kv 18% 24% 7% 2% US$ 9.47 Billion 3% 46% Source: PDE 2023 (Ten-year Energy Expansion Plan 2023), EPE. 26

27 Evolution of the Interconnected National System SIN, Source: MME (Ministry of Mines and Energy),

28 Distribution in Brazil - Current Status and Prospects -

29 Distribution Utilities in Brazil Source: ABRADEE,

30 Distribution Utilities in Brazil Total Consumers Residential Consumers 77.1 Million 65.9 Million Nº of new consumers/year 2.9 Million Distribution lines (km) Undergrounded transmission lines (km) Gross Revenues Annual investments Market (free + captive) More than 3.1 Million Almost 13,000 US$ 56.7 Billion US$ 3.85 Billion 432 mil GWh (343 captive) Source: ABRADEE, ANEEL and companies sites,

31 Underground Distribution Systems Installed in Brazil Porto Maravilha Region Rio de Janeiro (RJ) Jardim dos Namorados System Salvador (BA) Before After Downtown Zone Belo Horizonte (MG) Source: ANEEL, 2014 Ibirapuera Park São Paulo (SP) 31

32 Energy Integration in South America

33 Energy import/export Electric Energy Natural Gas Source: MME (Ministry of Mines and Energy),

34 A brief overview of the Eletrobras System

35 Eletrobras System Research Center Generation and Transmission Generation Binational Generation Distributors (100.00%) Shareholdings SPEs (99.47%) G 7 T 9 (99.91%) (50,00%) (100.00%) (83.71%) 16 Mangue Seco 2 Eolic (49.00%) (99.58%) SPEs G 43 T 10 (99.99%) (100.00%) (94.26%) Belo Monte (15.00%) 53 Minorities G, T and D 26 (99.56%) SPEs G 59 T 18 (100.00%) (100.00%) Shareholdings Abroad 77 Centrales Hidroeléctricas de Nicaragua CHN (50,93%) (100.00%) (50.00%) (99.88%) SPEs G 10 T Rouar S.A. (50.00%) Inambari Geração de Energia S.A. IGESA (29.40%) 35

36 Eletrobras System 5% 1% 9% 33.0% Transmission Lines 48.4% 125,858 km Generation (Installed capacity) 85% Hydro Nuclear 133,918 MW Solar+Wind Fuel BRAZIL Source: Eletrobras Anual Report 2014 Eletrobras System Transmission lines (Total length - km) (*) *>=230 KV (including partnerships) Generation (Installed capacity - MW) Furnas 19,907 8,829 Chesf 19,692 10,616 Eletronorte 10,703 9,476 Eletrosul 11, Itaipu - 7,000 CGTEE Eletronuclear - 1,990 Eletrobras - 13 Amazonas En ,083 CERON - 3 Partnership 5,440 2,891 Total 67,582 44,156 36

37 Generation Projects Under Construction in Dec-30, 2014 Teles Pires 1,820 MW Jan-15 Santo Antônio 3,568 MW 1,854 MW operating Mauá MW Dec-14 Belo Monte 11,233 MW Feb-15 Sinop 400 MW Jan-18 UHE UHE Ubatuba, Santa Catarina, Pitombeira e Horizonte 76 MW Jan-16 Ventos de Santo Augusto e Santa Joana 390 MW Sep-15 Jirau 3,750 MW 675 MW operating MW U$ Billion UHE UHE 20, ,73 UTN 1, ,37 UEE 1, ,75 UTE ,37 Total (ELB+SPEs) 24, ,22 Total ELB 12, ,78 Chuí Eolic Complex 144 MW Oct-14 Livramento Eolic Complex 78 MW 30 MW operating Source: Eletrobras Anual Report 2014 UHE UHE UHE UHE S. V. do Palmar Eolic Complex 258 MW Jul-14 Angra 3 1,405 MW May -18 Coxilha Seca 48 MW Dec-15 Casa Nova I 180 MW Dec-14 Baraúnas I, Mussambê e Morro Branco I 89 MW Sep-15 Holding Furnas Eletronorte Eletrosul Chesf Eletronuclear Amazonas Energia 37

38 Basics Studies and Projects Generation 1 Project MW 3 Projects 1,479 MW 1 Project 350 MW 6 Projects 1,412.2 MW 5 Projects 483 MW 2 Projects 2,200 MW AC Studies and Projects Power Installed Units Capacity (MW) RO US$ Bi RR AM Basic Project ,27 Feasibility Study 24 21, ,58 Inventory Study Total 29 22, ,85 MT MS BRA ARG PA AP PR TO GO SC SP DF MA MG Source: Eletrobras Anual Report 2014 RJ 1 Project 220 MW BA CE ES RN PB PE AL SE 7 Projects 14,450.6 MW 2 Projects 596 MW 1 Project 270 MW Main Projects (Values in US$) S. Luiz do Tapajós PA 8,040 MW 9,56 Bi Jatobá PA 2,338 MW 3,39 Bi Marabá PA 1,850 MW 4,16 Bi Serra Quebrada MA/TO 1,328 MW 1,31 Bi Garabi BRA/ARG 1,152 MW 1,54 Bi Panambi BRA/ARG 1,048 MW 1,41 Bi Total - 15,756 MW 21,38 Bi 38

39 Main Transmission Lines Projects under construction LTs Eletrobras System Existent Future LTs Eletrobras System with Partnership LTs Other Companies Paraná River Complex Paranapanema River Complex Grande River Complex Paranaíba River Complex Paulo Afonso Complex Full Participation 2,784 km - 32 projects LTs + SEs associated 8,360 MVA Partnership 8,247 Km - 23 projects LTs + SEs associated being 4,013.3 km owned by ELB 14,884 MVA being 7,237.5 MVA owned by ELB Total 11,031 km 23,244 MVA Investment: US$ 3.52 billion, being US$ 771 million in full participation Source: Eletrobras Anual Report

40 Distribution Eletrobras System Cities attended 3% 15% 34% 700 9% 0% 7% 32% Transmission Lines Consumers 4% 9% 4% 15% 47% 468,685 km 9% 18% 41% 6,658,008 13% 1% 12% Source: Eletrobras Anual Report % 9% 17% 40

41 Electric Inclusion with Insulated Cables in Brazil

42 Light for All Program The Light for All program was launched by the Federal Government in November 2003, and it has as its goal to end the electric exclusion in the country in the rural ambit. 16 million people attended 42

43 The Amazon Rainforest The Amazon region has peculiarities that make it difficult to supply electricity to households in isolated regions. Long stretches of forest, rivers, streams and lakes become obstacles to the construction of conventional air distribution network. Eletrobras owns the local distribution company. The chosen solution is the use of underwater cables. 43

44 Underwater cable from Manacapuru to St. Afonso Island

45 Underwater cable from Manacapuru to St. Afonso Island

46 Maués - Vera Cruz Island Crossing 46

47 Maués - Vera Cruz Island Crossing 3, meters 47

48 Increase in underwater cable in the Amazon Region (km) * * Estimated in

49 Light for All underwater cables statistics in the Amazon region(*) 4.53 km is the largest river crossing located at Andirá river. 31 cities crossed. 67 total crossings. 69 km of underwater cables. 10,300 households served. 51,500 people served. (*) Data between

50 Some of the people who are now served

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54 Challenges

55 Challenges Huge investments in electrical infrastructure expansion in Brazil; Great business opportunities for generation, transmission and distribution companies from now by 2023; Almost 6,000 km new transmission lines every year; Almost 5,000 MW new generation every year; Almost 2.9 million new consumers every year. Increase use of underground cables in crowded cities; Integrate new small plants (distributed generation) in the existent networks; Improve smart grids actions in distribution network; Promote regional integration with Latin America countries; 55

56 Challenges Increasing and maintaining a clean generation matrix in Brazil Stimulate a consistent environmental protection in new power plants and transmission lines Work in towards a sustainable company Act to reduce emission level of tons of CO 2 every year 56

57 The End