Emissions Trading Around the World
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1 Emissions Trading Around the World Presentation at MoE-IGES Carbon Market Seminar Tokyo, 18 June 2016 Dr Constanze Haug, ICAP Secretariat
2 Outline 1. Around the world with emissions trading: 17 systems across 4 continents 2. Europe & the periphery 3. North America 4. Asia Pacific 5. Trends & Challenges 6. Future Outlook International Carbon Action Partnership 2
3 Emissions Trading Worldwide: 10 years on... International Carbon Action Partnership 3
4 Global Trends: A snapshot of 17 systems Source: ICAP Status Report 2016 International Carbon Action Partnership 4
5 Europe & the Periphery EU ETS: 2030 Climate & Energy Framework International Carbon Action Partnership 5
6 Europe & the Periphery EU ETS Market Stability Reserve from 2019 Currently negotatiating revisions for period; proposed increase of Linear Reduction Factor: 1.74% to 2.2% International Carbon Action Partnership 6
7 Europe & the Periphery Kazakhstan System temporarily suspended until 2018 to improve MRV, GHG regulations and functioning of Kazakhstan s ETS Turkey MRV system in place, reporting started this year Ukraine Plans to establish a national ETS that can be linked to the EU ETS International Carbon Action Partnership 7
8 North America: Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative (RGGI) Covers power sector, almost 100% auctioning System review: impact of Clean Power Plan & cap stringency post Price just under USD 5 Initiative by New York s Governor: linking with California-Québec? International Carbon Action Partnership 8
9 North America: California & Québec 2014: Bilateral link, joint auctions 2015: Extended to transport sector by covering fuel distribution (~85% coverage) Minimum auction price & cost containment reserve Price around USD Set to expand to Ontario International Carbon Action Partnership 9
10 North America: US (National Level) EPA-Clean Power Plan Regulate GHG emissions from existing power plants 32% reduction by 2030 compared to 2005 levels Compliance can be rate- or mass-based (ETS) Flexibility: joining with other states in an ETS like RGGI -> CPP implementation currently on hold by Supreme Court International Carbon Action Partnership 10
11 Asia Pacific New Zealand Broad system coverage System review: phasing out transitional measure (1-for-2 surrender) by 2019 Price around 9.5 USD International Carbon Action Partnership 11
12 Asia-Pacific Tokyo and Saitama - Tokyo first ETS in Asia & first ETS in a city - Linked to Saitama since By 2015, 25% emission reduction compared to base-year emissions South Korea - Newest system (2015) - covers 2/3 national GHG emissions - Price around 11 USD International Carbon Action Partnership 12
13 Asia-Pacific China US-China Declaration, 2015: National Chinese ETS starting in 2017 (design in process) Estimated size: 3-4b tco2e (7,000 entities) 7 Chinese pilots have built capacity & tested design elements International Carbon Action Partnership 13
14 ETS Trends & Challenges First generation ETS: Undergoing system reviews, ensuring the program remains fit for purpose Market Management: qualitative and quantitative mechanisms to regulate supply and demand Dealing with lower than expected prices Gradual increase of auctioning allowances Linking: interest from jurisdictions but significant challenges (EU-SUI, US states) Asia emerging as the new ETS hub: Korea, China International Carbon Action Partnership 14
15 Future Outlook ETS continue to spread worldwide: 2 new systems planned for 2017 with many more jurisdictions considering an ETS ETS linking and cooperation: gradual emergence of ETS hubs (eg. European market, US subnational systems) Accounting under UNFCCC, Article 6 ETS in developing countries: accounting for growth & development under a cap, carbon pricing in regulated power sectors. International Carbon Action Partnership 15
16 More information on ETS ICAP interactive world map Latest information on existing and planned systems ICAP Status Report Emissions Trading Worldwide Detailed factsheets on all systems, infographics and articles on the latest trends in ETS ICAP-PMR ETS Handbook Emissions Trading in Practice Newsletter Global Trends in Emissions Trading International Carbon Action Partnership 16
17 Thank you International Carbon Action Partnership 17
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