Operational Forum Meeting

Transcription

1 Operational Forum Meeting Place your chosen image here. The four corners must just cover the arrow tips. For covers, the three pictures should be the same size and in a straight line. 13th April 2011, 10:30AM, Radisson Grafton Hotel, 130 Tottenham Court Road, London.

2 System Management Principles Statement Place your chosen image here. The four corners must just cover the arrow tips. For covers, the three pictures should be the same size and in a straight line.

3 System Management Principles Statement Compliance report Period March 2011 Summary of balancing actions and breaches for March 2011 Performance compared to last year 3

4 Summary Report Mar 2011 Total Number of Buy Actions 5 Total Number of Sell Actions 23 Total 28 Number of Material Breaches 0 Number of Non-Material Breaches 0 4

5 2010 / 2011 Comparison To Mar To Mar Number of Balancing Actions (Calendar year to date) Number of Material Breaches 0 0 (Calendar year to date) Number of Non Material Breaches 0 0 (Calendar year to date) 5

6 Operational Overview Place your chosen image here. The four corners must just cover the arrow tips. For covers, the three pictures should be the same size and in a straight line.

7 Weather Place your chosen image here. The four corners must just cover the arrow tips. For covers, the three pictures should be the same size and in a straight line.

8 01/03/ /03/ /03/ /03/ /03/ /03/ /03/ /03/ /03/ /03/ /03/ /03/ /03/ /03/ /03/ /03/ /03/ /03/ /03/ /03/ /03/ National CWV and EP2 SNCW Weather March /03/ /03/ /03/ /03/ /03/ /03/ /03/ /03/ /03/ /03/2011 8

9 Mean Composite Weather Variables March 2011 Mean National Composite Weather for March Other years 9 degrees CWV

10 Demands Place your chosen image here. The four corners must just cover the arrow tips. For covers, the three pictures should be the same size and in a straight line.

11 Gas Demand Breakdown 1 st February 2011 to 2 nd April 2011 Gas Demand Breakdown 1st February 2011 to 2nd April Feb Feb Feb Feb Feb Feb Feb Feb Feb Feb Mar Mar Mar Mar Mar Mar Mar Mar Mar Mar Apr-11 Gas Day NDM DM (Excl Interconnectors) Storage Injection Total Interconnector Export SND Cold Demand Warm Demand mcm

12 Power Generation 1st February 2011 to 2 nd April Power generation gas demand m c m /d Feb 08-Feb 15-Feb 22-Feb 01-Mar 08-Mar 15-Mar 22-Mar 29-Mar High Seasonal normal Low Actual 12

13 Supplies Place your chosen image here. The four corners must just cover the arrow tips. For covers, the three pictures should be the same size and in a straight line.

14 Gas Supply Breakdown 1 st February 2011 to 2 nd April 2011 Gas Supply Breakdown 1st February 2011 to 2nd April Feb Feb Feb Feb Feb Feb Feb Feb Feb Feb Feb Feb Feb Feb Mar Mar Mar Mar Mar Mar Mar Mar Mar Mar Mar Mar Mar Mar Mar Mar Apr-11 Gas Day UKCS Norw ay (est) LNG Imports BBL I(UK) LRS Supplies MRS Supplies SRS Supplies mcm/d

15 Gas Supply Breakdown LNG Flows Total LNG flows By Gas Day [October March 2011] /03/ /02/ /02/ /02/ /03/ /03/ /03/ /10/ /10/ /10/ /10/ /10/ /11/ /11/ /11/ /11/ /12/ /12/ /12/ /12/ /12/ /01/ /01/ /01/ /01/ /02/2011 Gas Day Highest LNG Flows Gas Day 21 st Jan mcm Flow (MCM)

16 Gas Supply Breakdown LNG Flows Total LNG Flows 2010 Vs 2011 Total Flow (MCM) % 86% 50% Jan Feb Mar Month 16

17 Storage Stocks - UK From 1 st October 2010 to 7 th April 2011 LRS Stocks MRS Stocks G W h G Wh O c t N ov D ec J an F eb Mar Apr M ay J un J ul Aug Sep O c t Nov Dec J an F eb M ar Apr May J un J ul Aug Sep LRS 2008/2009 LRS 2009/2010 LRS 2010/2011 MRS 2008/2009 MRS 2009/2010 MRS 2010/ SRS Stocks 2.00 GWh Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep SRS 2008/2009 SRS 2009/2010 MRS 2010/

18 Storage Stocks - EU From 1 st October 2010 to 5 th April 2011 Total EU Weekly Storage Levels m c m 70,000 60,000 50,000 40,000 30,000 20,000 10, O c t N o v D e c J a n F e b M a r A p r M a y J u n J u l Date 2008/ / / A u g S e p Stocklevel Status at 06:00CET on Monday Hub Area Stock Level (mcm) % Full Baumgarten % Germany % Iberian % NBP % France % PSV % TTF (Eurohub) % ZEE % Total Hubs % 18

19 Transporter Actions and Neutrality Place your chosen image here. The four corners must just cover the arrow tips. For covers, the three pictures should be the same size and in a straight line.

20 System Prices 1 st February 2011 to 6 th April System Prices 1st February 2011 to 6th April 2011 Following Supply Loss Friday 11 th March 2011 Japan was hit by two of it s worst natural disasters [earthquake and subsequent tsunami] p/therm Feb Feb Feb Feb Mar Mar Mar Mar Mar Apr-11 SAP SMP Buy SMP Sell SAP

21 Transporter Energy Traded on the OCM Buys and Sells by Month From March 2010 to March National Grid Monthly Buys and Sells March 2010 to March GWh ,000 Mar-10 Apr-10 May-10 Jun-10 Jul-10 Aug-10 Sep-10 Oct-10 Nov-10 Dec-10 Jan-11 Feb-11 Mar-11 Buy Sell 21

22 Transporter Energy Traded on the OCM Buys and Sells by Day From 1 st February 2011 to 6 th April ,000,000 Transporter Energy Traded on the OCM 1st February 2011 to 6th April ,000,000 40,000,000 20,000,000 kwh 0-20,000,000-40,000,000-60,000,000-80,000, Feb Feb Feb Feb Mar Mar Mar Mar Mar Apr-11 Gas Day Buy Sell 22

23 Days of Default SMP Prices From March 2010 to March SMP Buy SMP SELL Both Feb % 92.90% 85.70% Mar % 77.40% 74.20% SMP Days Of Default March 2010 to March 2011 %age Mar-10 Apr-10 May-10 Jun-10 Jul-10 Aug-10 Sep-10 Oct-10 Nov-10 Dec-10 Jan-11 Feb-11 Mar-11 Both 23

24 Transporter Actions on the OCM Mechanism Revenues / Costs From 1 st October 2010 to 31 st March 2011 Quantity Average Price Cost TWh p/kwh Therms m System Buy System Sell Net Position Transporter Actions on OCM March 2010 to March Mar-10 Apr-10 May-10 Jun-10 Jul-10 Aug-10 Sep-10 Oct-10 Nov-10 Dec-10 Jan-11 Feb-11 Mar-11 m Month System Cost - Buy System Cost - Sell 24

25 Shipper Imbalance Revenues / Costs From 1 st October 2010 to 28 th February 2011 Quantity Average Price Average price Cost (TWH) P/KWh P/Therm m System Buy Shipper Over Delivery/Cost to Neutrality System Sell Shipper Under Delivery/Revenue to Neutrality Net Position Shipper Imbalances - Revenue Costs February 2010 to February Feb-10 Mar-10 Apr-10 May-10 Jun-10 Jul-10 Aug-10 Sep-10 Oct-10 Nov-10 Dec-10 Jan-11 Feb-11 m Month System Cost - Buy System Cost - Sell 25

26 Scheduling Revenues From 1 st October 2010 to 28 th February 2011 Cost m Input Output Total Scheduling Revenues February 2010 to February 2011 m Feb-10 Mar-10 Apr-10 May-10 Jun-10 Jul-10 Aug-10 Sep-10 Oct-10 Nov-10 Dec-10 Jan-11 Feb-11 Month Input Output 26

27 Balancing Costs From 1 st October 2010 to 28 th February 2011 m Transporter Actions on OCM Imbalance Charge Scheduling Charge Balancing Cost Balancing Costs February 2010 to February Feb-10 Mar-10 Apr-10 May-10 Jun-10 Jul-10 Aug-10 Sep-10 Oct-10 Nov-10 Dec-10 Jan-11 Feb-11 m Month OCM Imbalance Sched 27

28 Capacity Neutrality Revenues from DSEC and DAI From 1 st April 2010 to 28 th February 2011 St Fergus 116, Teesside 22, Barrow 6, Theddlethorpe 23, Easington 209, Bacton 73, Other 109, , , , , Capacity Neutrality Revenues from DSEC and DAI April 2010 to February , St Fergus Teesside Barrow Theddlethorpe Easington Bacton Other 28

29 Capacity Neutrality Prompt Buy Backs From 1 st April 2010 to 28 th February

30 Capacity Neutrality Capacity Management Agreement (Including RMTTSEC) From 1 st April 2010 to 28 th February 2011 Month Cost Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar-11 TOTAL

31 Capacity Neutrality Revenues from Locational Sells and PRI Charges From 1 st April 2010 to 28 th February 2011 Month Revenue Apr-10-1,677, May Jun Jul Aug , Sep Oct Nov , Dec Jan Feb Mar-11 TOTAL - 2,355,

32 Capacity Neutrality Revenues from Entry Capacity Overruns and Non-Obligated Sales From 1 st April 2010 to 28 th February 2011 Month Entry Capacity Non-Obligated Sales Apr-10-5,080, May-10-13, Jun-10-1, Jul-10-77, Aug Sep-10-1, Oct-10-2, , Nov-10-11, , Dec-10-64, , Jan-11-29, , Feb-11-5, , Mar-11 TOTAL - 5,288, ,

33 Capacity Neutrality Net Cost / Revenue From 1 st April 2010 to 28 th February 2011 Month Revenue DSEC/DAI Revenue - 561, Buy Back Costs 0.00 Capacity management Agreement 0.00 Entry Capacity Overrun Revenue - 5,288, Non-Obligated Sales Revenue - 520, Revenue from Locational Sells and PRI Charges - 2,355, Net Revenue - 8,725,