Future Vehicle Technology

Transcription

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2 Jim Kenzie Chief Auto Reviewer, Toronto Star Wheels section commentator, TSN s Motoring 2015 TV show - 27 years!! freelance writer, broadcaster unrepentant car enthusiast

3 Overview: materials and structure engines and fuel sources transmissions in-car entertainment, navigation, communication systems telematics traffic management systems

4 Popular Screwdriver does this look like YOUR commute? what THEY thought the future would hold

5 First modern car 1900 Mercedes

6 First modern car body-on-frame construction front engine rear-drive gate-type transmission live-axle suspension honeycomb water radiator

7 Nothing new under the sun! cars didn t change all that much from the 1900s to the 1960s a mechanic transported back in time would be able to fix old cars November 5,

8 Consumers unite! agitation for: more safety better fuel economy reduced environmental impact November 5,

9 Cars get complicated fuel injection electronic control safety belts and air bags cars with computers to computers with wheels

10 Your car is the most technologically advanced product you own designed and built using the highest technology the car industry is not a smokestack industry November 5,

11 Is THIS the future? General Motors Ultralite

12 Carbon Fibre advantages stronger than steel lighter than aluminum simple to design - just six pieces no painting! November 5,

13 Carbon Fibre advantages durable easy to repair fast tooling critical marketing advantage

14 Carbon Fibre advantages carbon-fibre expensive, but only as black steel low overhead first steel car costs $2 billion 2 nd through 800,000 th cost a handful of dollars

15 Carbon Fibre advantages lower economies of scale decentralised manufacture no high-volume car maker has given it a chance November 5,

16 Short-term progress: Audi A8, Acura NSX, Rolls- Royce Phantom, Jaguar XJ and XK aluminum General Motors and others magnesium components

17 Short-term progress: Carbon fibre: McLaren 12C, now 650S Alfa Romeo 4C BMW i3 Lamborghini

18 Short-term progress: must design around properties of new materials impact on body repair industry smaller engines synergy

19 Who will do it? maybe NOT a car company November 5,

20 Power sources fossil fuels are finite HOW finite, we don t know... God isn t making any more dinosaurs except SUVs November 5,

21 What if we had a fuel that was infinite pollution-free widely-available potentially cheap November 5,

22 Because we do have such a fuel: it s called: HYDROGEN!!! November 5,

23 Hydrogen: solar-powered catalytic crackers to turn sea water into hydrogen and oxygen burn hydrogen, and you get WATER! November 5,

24 Hydrogen downsides: expensive / energy-consuming to produce difficult to carry around bad P.R. November 5,

25 So, why don t we have hydrogen now? first reason: November 5,

26 So, why don t we have hydrogen now? second reason: November 5,

27 Hydrogen in an internal combustion engine Mazda Miata BMW 7-Series November 5,

28 BMW Re-fuelling station

29 Hydrogen in a fuel cell: Proton Exchange Membrane Cell

30 First fuel cell cars: Toyota FCV on sale in Japan now methanol or gasoline reformers (on board or stationary) reduce pollution by 20 percent small impact on fossil fuel use if we need to burn oil to create hydrogen

31 Hydrogen challenges: infrastructure on-board storage economics

32 Hydrogen leader - ICELAND! geothermal energy to produce H 2 oil-free by 2050 November 5,

33 Other contenders: propane natural gas methanol ethanol Bio-Diesel natural gas / coal Diesel (GTL, CTL) hybrids nitrogen electrics

34 Electric cars: another old principle one of three early leaders in automotive history, with steam and gasoline November 5,

35 Electric cars: Original impetus, California Zero- Emissions requirement tailpipe measurement only only technology that looked feasible still need too long an extension cord

36 General Motors EV-1

37 Electric cars: Robert Bryce, US journalist: Electric cars are the next big thing......and they always will be.

38 Electric cars: Tesla - great car or stock play? Nissan Leaf Mitsubishi i-miev Kisa Soul EV

39 Hybrid Vehicles: another old concept railroad locomotives are Diesel-electric hybrids can locally be zero-tailpipe emissions vehicles eliminate range and uncertainty concerns of pure electrics

40 Honda Insight / Civic / Accord gasoline engine electric assist November 5,

41 Toyota Prius electric motor gasoline assist Lexus RX400h Highlander Camry Lexus LS 460h

42 Hybrid Vehicles: hybrids often have: light-weight frames excellent aerodynamics regenerative braking advantages no matter what engine initial cost versus fuel savings payback? Up to 25 years!

43 Hybrid Vehicles

44 Plug-In Range-extended Hybrid Chevrolet Volt 60 km on battery plug in overnight to recharge on-board gasoline engine to recharge on the go November 5,

45 Immediate short- to medium-term alternative: DIESEL! anathema to Americans Europeans can t get enough many on-road advantages particulates versus CO 2 which way do you want to die?

46 Immediate short- to medium-term alternative: Great Britain taxes company cars based on CO 2 emissions changed buying habits in less than a year needs clean sulphur-free fuel November 5,

47 Volkswagen 1-Litre car 220 mpg!

48 Smart car fuel economy can be cool!

49 None of the above is THE Answer: cost availability infrastructure fossil fuel reduction greenhouse gas reduction may be many solutions November 5,

50 Transmissions small speed range multiple-ratio transmission the more, the merrier (9 is the current maximum) electronic control automatic manual shifting

51 Ferrari Enzo automatic manual gearbox

52 Smart car automatic manual gearbox

53 Continuously-variable transmission (CVT) nobody really knows how these work November 5,

54 Continuously-variable transmission (CVT) comfort and convenience of an automatic performance and fuel economy of a manual lighter and simpler than either November 5,

55 In-Car Electronics audio / video / television telephone Internet satellite navigation

56 Voice Activation control audio, HVAC, phone, other systems limited syntax requires training, both of car and driver November 5,

57 BMW idrive

58 BMW idrive

59 BMW idrive

60 New buzzwords telematics x -by-wire throttle-by-wire - everybody brake-by-wire - Mercedes- Benz steer-by-wire - Infiniti Q50 November 5,

61 Drive-by-wire controls

62 Road-to-driver communication we re not alone out there traffic information systems variable speed limits but the human factor November 5,

63 Platooning

64 Look Ma, no hands!

65 Lane-keeping system

66 Mercedes-Benz Distronic

67 Electronic tracking GPS sat-nav = real-time traffic information fleet management advantages rental car company nannies police chases eliminated? privacy and social issues

68 Autonomous Driving GPS sat-nav = real-time traffic information several companies have selfguided steering the Google Car regulatory issues

69 Is this trip necessary? one person in eight has a car what if one person in FOUR? telecommuting electronic travel and freight when can we fax a pizza?

70 Moller SkyCar are you kidding me? November 5,

71 Segway lean forward to go forward lean back to go back lean right to go right lean left

72 Segway the President of the company drove one off a cliff and died...

73 AUTOnomy

74 AUTOnomy

75 Hy-wire

76 Hy-wire chassis

77 Hy-wire cut-away

78 Hy-wire schematic

79 Hy-wire - interior

80 Hy-wire - left-hand drive

81 Hy-wire - right-hand drive!

82 When? within ten years the car isn t the problem it s the infrastructure, stupid cell phones show the way?

83 When? gasoline - $5.00 a gallon? we CAN do it we HAVE to do it organizations have to get ready for change November 5,

84 Things to do keep abreast car magazines, Internet

85 Porsche four-wheel drive electro-diesel hybrid November 5,

86 Thank you!