E-mobility adoption pathways in France, Germany and Norway
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1 E-mobility adoption pathways in France, Germany and Norway Comparative analysis of macro-environmental factors for knowledge transfer and best practice identification Eglantine Kunle, Christine Minke, Jens zum Hingst, Martin Faulstich
2 Agenda Sustainable mobility Adoption path comparison Why these differences? 2
3 Sustainable mobility Share of European GHG Transport Industry Agriculture Waste management Fuel combustion Share of European transport GHG Road Aviation Maritime Others Eurostat,
4 CO 2 emissions in g/km Sustainable mobility 200 Average CO2 emissions in g/km from new passenger cars Germany France Norway Eurostat 4
5 Sustainable mobility Electricity Map electricitymap.org June
6 Vehicle lifecycle CO 2 emissions in g/km Sustainable mobility Vehicle manufacturing Tailpipe emissions 100 Upstream fuel 50 cycle emissions Lithium-ion battery 0 Most efficient BEV France BEV Germany BEV Norway manufacturing ICE Adapted from Hall, Dale; Lutsey, Nic (2018): Effects of battery manufacturing on electric vehicle life-cycle greenhouse gas emissions. ICCT. 6
7 Analysis framework National adoption identification - Transport sector emissions - EV market share - New EV registration Country A Selection of informative national pathways Country B Adoption path and macro-environmental factor interaction Country C Comprehensive macro-environmental adoption factors review Political Technological Business Socio-cultural Environmental 7
8 Agenda Sustainable mobility Adoption path comparison Why these differences? 8
9 Market share comparison 40% % 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% BEV EV PHEV 5% 0%
10 New registration comparison BEV PHEV
11 Number of electric vehicles Electric vehicle fleet and political goals actual fleet political goal statista.com; challenges.fr; cleantechnica.com; elbil.no; tresor.economie.gouv.fr; theicct.org 11
12 Car industry Number of fully electric models by make Peugeot Citroen Bolloré Renault Volkswagen Porsche* Mercedes BMW Audi* *upcoming
13 Agenda Sustainable mobility Adoption path comparison Why these differences? 13
14 Electric car stock in thousands cars Electric car stock and model availability Mitsubishi I-Miev Bolloré Bluecar Volvo V60 Toyota Prius Opel Ampera Chevrolet Volt VW e-golf Renault Zoe BMW i8 Audi A3 Mitsubishi Outlander Peugeot Ion Citroen C-Zero Nissan Leaf Tesla S BMW i3 VW e-up! Ford Focus SmartForTwo Mercedes Benz B Volkswagen Golf Volkswagen Passat BMW X5 BMW 2-series Mercedes Benz C Volvo XC90 Mercedes Benz GLE BMW i3 PHEV Mercedes Benz S Tesla Model X Hyundai IONIQ Mercedes Benz GLC BMW 3-series Audi Q7 BMW 7-series Kia Optima Mercedes Benz E 14
15 Monetary subsidy 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% Average of financial incentive as % of net EV price 0% Norway Germany France McKinsey 2017 Tietge et al.: Comparison of leading electric vehicle policy and deployment in Europe. (2016) ICCT 15
16 Exemplary calculation: Renault ZOE Life 41kWh France Germany Norway List Price VAT Exempted Bonus None Home charging facility % tax credit 1500 Offered Registration tax Exempted (~46 ) ~27 Exempted Annual ownership/road tax Not applicable Exempted five years Exempted End price
17 Fuel prices 2 1 Gasoline price in /Liter 0,4 0,3 0,2 0,1 Electricity prices in /kwh Households Industry 0 Norway Germany France 0 Norway Germany France Fuel price in per 100km 10 5L/100km 5 0 Norway Germany France EV ICE 20kWh/100km 100% home charging EUROSTAT; globalpetrolprices.com 17
18 Public charging points Directive 2014/94/EU Deployment of alternative fuels infrastructure: In point per 10 cars McKinsey 2017; STATISTA; bdew.de; eafo.eu; avere-france.org; fleetcarma.com; ecologiquesolidire.gouv.fr 18
19 A matter of time? National action plan for the electrification of road transport Electric mobility act Energy transition law for green growth Purchase tax exemption VAT exemption Bonus/ malus Bonus Indirect incentives 19
20 Conclusions & outlook Early significant monetary incentive National simple and unified plan New mobility patterns 20
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ALAMEDA GREEN YOUR DREAM HOME SERIES
Presenters Mary Bryan, P.E. Board of Directors, CTE Kelly B. Brezovec Program Manager Agenda Climate change and transportation emissions Types of vehicles available today Why EV is the right choice What