Category NFR/CRF 1A3b Road transport

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1 JRC Bldg 26A, October Expert meeting on the Development of Emission Factors for the Road Transport Sector 1 Use of Guidebook EFs for producing Global Emission Inventories Category NFR/CRF 1A3b Road transport Ulrike Doering, John van Aardenne, Suvi Monni, Valerio Pagliari, Lorenzo Orlandini, Fulgencio SanMartin

2 JRC Bldg 26A, October Expert meeting on the Development of Emission Factors for the Road Transport Sector 2 Goal: Computation of global road transport emissions with the model Emission Database for Global Atmospheric Research (EDGARv4) on a regional scale EDGAR based on a joint project of RIVM-MNP, Bilthoven (NL), and JRC-IES, Ispra (IT) and stores global emission inventories of direct and indirect greenhouse gases from anthropogenic sources (since 2007, the database is hosted at the JRC, CCU)

3 JRC Bldg 26A, October Expert meeting on the Development of Emission Factors for the Road Transport Sector 3 Anthropogenic emissions of greenhouse gases (GHG) and air pollutants (AP) - air pollutants: NO x, NH 3, CO, NMVOC, HC, BC, PM, PM1, OC, SO 2 - annnual (& historical emissions >1970) emissions from EDGARv4 including to the extend possible local information, also scenarios (years 2030, 2050) - allocation of EDGAR emissions by country and sector on 0.1 grid. - allocation of EDGAR emissions to monthly data

4 JRC Bldg 26A, October Expert meeting on the Development of Emission Factors for the Road Transport Sector 4 Technology based activity data: Activity Data (ADc,s): {ADc,s, (yr) * TECHAD,c,s (yr) * EOPAD,c,s,TECH (yr)} - National energy consumption of the International Energy Balance (IEB, 2007) Technologies (tad,c,s): - International Statistics from the International Road Federation (IRF, 2007) and also historical data ( and ) - Country specific statistics of the fleet distribution & information of the emissions standards of the RAINS model (IIASA) End of pipe measures (EOP AD,c,s,t) - Consideration of the introduction of the specific emission regulations (CONCAWE, report 6/1997 and 2/2001; national communications, dieselnet ( ), UNEP, worldbank report, 1996, CAI ASIA, UNECE Corinair Guidebook, May 2008)

5 JRC Bldg 26A, October Expert meeting on the Development of Emission Factors for the Road Transport Sector 5 Technology based emission factors: {EFAD,c,s,TECH * (1-REDEOP)} Emission Factors (EFAD,c,s,TECH): - EF of CO, NMVOC, N2O, NH3: UNECE Corinair Guidebook (TIER2), May 2008 & IPCC Guidelines (TIER1), 1996 & 2006, some country specific EF (e.g. JAPAN, USA & CANADA), except EF of NOx (EF of RAINS model), of PM, PM1, OC, BC (EF of Quantify project based on BOND et al., 2004) Reduction Percentage (REDEOP) Emissionx,c(yr) = sum{adc,s, (yr) * TECHAD,c,s(yr) * EOPAD,c,s,TECH (yr)} * EFAD,c,s,TECH * (1-REDEOP)

6 JRC Bldg 26A, October Expert meeting on the Development of Emission Factors for the Road Transport Sector 6 Gas evaporation: - AD: National energy consumption of the International Energy Balance (IEB, 2007) for gasoline - Technologies (tad,c,s): International Statistics from the International Road Federation (IRF, 2007) and also historical data ( and ),Country specific statistics of the fleet distribution & information of the emissions standards of the RAINS model (IIASA) - EF: UNECE Guidebook (Tier 1), May 2008, considering the annual average temperature for the specific country/ climate regions

7 JRC Bldg 26A, October Expert meeting on the Development of Emission Factors for the Road Transport Sector 7 1. CO emissions in ktons for the year 2000, calculated with the CO EF of the Corinair GB, in comparison to other calculated (publications) or reported CO emissions to LRTAP/ UNFCCC. Regions Countries or Regions Corinair GB Other Source Reference AFR AFR Total CEC CEC Czech Republic CEC Hungary CEC Poland CEC Estonia CEC Latvia CEC Lithuania Total CIS CIS Ukraine CO emissions in ktons (different sources, UNFCC, UNECE, other publications) CIS Russia EAS CHN b Total EAS Total LAM LAM Argentinia Total MEA MEA Turkey Total OCN OCN Australia OCN New Zealand Total SAS b SAS Bangladesh b SAS India b Total SEA b SEA Singapore b SEA Thailand b SEA Indonesia b Total WEU (OECD) WEU France WEU Germany WEU UK WEU Spain Total World in [Mt] CO emissions of 10 different regions for the year 2000 y = x R 2 = CO emissions in ktons, calculated with Corinair EF

8 JRC Bldg 26A, October Expert meeting on the Development of Emission Factors for the Road Transport Sector 8 2. NMVOC emissions in ktons for the year 2000, calculated with the NMVOC EF of the Corinair GB, in comparison to other calculated (publications) or reported NMVOC emissions to LRTAP/ UNFCCC. Regions Countries or Regions Corinair GB Other Source Reference AFR AFR Total CEC CEC Czech Republic CEC Hungary CEC Poland CEC Estonia CEC Latvia CEC Lithuania NMVOC emissions in ktons (different sources, UNFCC, UNECE, other publications) Total CIS CIS Ukraine CIS Russia EAS CHN Total EAS Total LAM LAM Argentinia Total MEA MEA Turkey Total OCN OCN Australia OCN New Zealand Total WEU (OECD) WEU France WEU Germany WEU UK WEU Spain Total SAS Total SEA Total World in [Mt] NMVOC emissions of 10 different regions for the year 2000 y = x R 2 = NMVOC emissions in ktons, calculated with Corinair EF

9 JRC Bldg 26A, October Expert meeting on the Development of Emission Factors for the Road Transport Sector 9 3. NO x emissions in ktons for the year 2000, calculated with the NO x EF of the Corinair GB, in comparison to other calculated or reported NO x emissions to LRTAP/ UNFCCC. Regions C_code_IEA Corinair GB RAINS/Quantify Other Sources Reference k Total AFR Total CEC CEC Czech Republic CEC Hungary CEC Poland CEC Estonia CEC Latvia NOx emissions of 10 different regions for the year 2000 CEC Lithuania Total CIS CIS Ukraine CIS Russia Total CHN y = x Total EAS R 2 = Total LAM LAM Argentinia LAM Mexico Total MEA MEA Turkey Total OCN OCN Australia OCN New Zealand Total SAS Total SEA Total WEU (OECD) WEU France WEU Germany WEU UK WEU Spain NOx emissions in ktons (different sources, UNFCC, UNECE, other publications) Total World in [Mt] y = x R 2 = NOx emissions in ktons, calculated with Corinair EF or RAINS/Quantify EF RAINS/Quantify Corinair GB

10 JRC Bldg 26A, October Expert meeting on the Development of Emission Factors for the Road Transport Sector 10 Global NO x emissions in ktons for the year 2005

11 JRC Bldg 26A, October Expert meeting on the Development of Emission Factors for the Road Transport Sector 11 Conclusions - For CO and NMVOC the EF are at close range to other used EFs, but the uncertainty of NMVOC EFs is much higher (>50%) for the calculation. - Differences of emission calculations occur due to differences between national and international statistics of the saled fuel and the fleet distribution (particular motorcycles!). - The Corinair Guidebook EF for NOx seems a little bit too low.

12 JRC Bldg 26A, October Expert meeting on the Development of Emission Factors for the Road Transport Sector 12 Next step: Comparison the results of the EDGAR model with the results of the next COPERT version. Thank you for your attention!

13 JRC Bldg 26A, October Expert meeting on the Development of Emission Factors for the Road Transport Sector 13 CO references: Reference No. Title/Model Author Year 4 EDGAR 3.2 Aardenne et al IEA/SMP Fulton, L. and G. Eads. IEA / SMP Model Documentation and Reference Case Projections b REAS FOR_HTAP_FROM_REAS file from Jun-ichi Kurokawa National Institute for Environmental Studies, 16-2 Onogawa, Tsukuba; delivered 27 Aug UNFCCC National Communication,

14 JRC Bldg 26A, October Expert meeting on the Development of Emission Factors for the Road Transport Sector 14 NMVOC references: Reference No Title/Model Quantify EDGAR 3.2 IEA/SMP CoppertIII UNFCCC Author Jens Borken et al., Road transport's echaust emissions in the year country and gridwise Aardenne et al. Fulton, L. and G. Eads. IEA / SMP Model Documentation and Reference Case Projections Hao Cai a. Shaodong Xie. Estimation of vehicular emission inventories in China from 1980 to 2005, Atmospheric Environment, Vol. 41, Is. 39, pp , 2007 National Communiction, 2008 Year unpublished /

15 JRC Bldg 26A, October Expert meeting on the Development of Emission Factors for the Road Transport Sector 15 NOx references: Reference No. Title/Model Author Year 1 Quantify Jens Borken et al., Road transport's echaust emissions in the year country and gridwise unpublished 9 UNECE/UNFCC C National Communiction, 2008 and HTAP emissions 2008

16 JRC Bldg 26A, October Expert meeting on the Development of Emission Factors for the Road Transport Sector 16 Global NMVOC emissions in ktons for the year 2005

17 JRC Bldg 26A, October Expert meeting on the Development of Emission Factors for the Road Transport Sector 17 Global CO emissions in ktons for the year 2005

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