STATISTISCHER ANHANG VORLÄUFIGE AUSGABE

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1 OECD-Wirtschaftsausblick Ausgabe 2013/1 OECD 2013 STATISTISCHER ANHANG VORLÄUFIGE AUSGABE Die statistischen Daten für Israel wurden von den zuständigen israelischen Stellen bereitgestellt, die für sie verantwortlich zeichnen. Die Verwendung dieser Daten durch die OECD erfolgt unbeschadet des völkerrechtlichen Status der Golanhöhen, von Ost-Jerusalem und der israelischen Siedlungen im Westjordanland. Dieses Dokument und die darin enthaltenen Karten berühren nicht den völkerrechtlichen Status und die Souveränität über Territorien, den Verlauf der internationalen Grenzen und Grenzlinien sowie den Namen von Territorien, Städten und Gebieten. 213

2 Real GDP Percentage changes from previous year Fourth quarter Australia Austria Belgium Canada Chile Czech Republic Denmark Estonia Finland France Germany Greece Hungary Iceland Ireland Israel Italy Japan Korea Luxembourg Mexico Netherlands New Zealand Norway Poland Portugal Slovak Republic Slovenia Spain Sweden Switzerland Turkey United Kingdom United States Euro area Total OECD Brazil China India Indonesia Russian Federation South Africa These numbers are working-day adjusted and hence may differ from the basis used for official projections. 214

3 Real private consumption expenditure Percentage changes from previous year Fourth quarter Australia Austria Belgium Canada Chile Czech Republic Denmark Estonia Finland France Germany Greece Hungary Iceland Ireland Israel Italy Japan Korea Luxembourg Mexico Netherlands New Zealand Norway Poland Portugal Slovak Republic Slovenia Spain Sweden Switzerland Turkey United Kingdom United States Euro area Total OECD These numbers are working-day adjusted and hence may differ from the basis used for official projections. 215

4 Real total gross fixed capital formation Percentage changes from previous year Fourth quarter Australia Austria Belgium Canada Chile Czech Republic Denmark Estonia Finland France Germany Greece Hungary Iceland Ireland Israel Italy Japan Korea Luxembourg Mexico Netherlands New Zealand Norway Poland Portugal Slovak Republic Slovenia Spain Sweden Switzerland Turkey United Kingdom United States Euro area Total OECD These numbers are working-day adjusted and hence may differ from the basis used for official projections. 216

5 Real total domestic demand Percentage changes from previous year Fourth quarter Australia Austria Belgium Canada Chile Czech Republic Denmark Estonia Finland France Germany Greece Hungary Iceland Ireland Israel Italy Japan Korea Luxembourg Mexico Netherlands New Zealand Norway Poland Portugal Slovak Republic Slovenia Spain Sweden Switzerland Turkey United Kingdom United States Euro area Total OECD These numbers are working-day adjusted and hence may differ from the basis used for official projections. 217

6 Contributions to changes in real GDP in OECD countries Chain link calculations Australia France Final domestic demand Final domestic demand Stockbuilding Stockbuilding Net exports Net exports GDP GDP Austria Germany Final domestic demand Final domestic demand Stockbuilding Stockbuilding Net exports Net exports GDP GDP Belgium Greece Final domestic demand Final domestic demand Stockbuilding Stockbuilding Net exports Net exports GDP GDP Canada Hungary Final domestic demand Final domestic demand Stockbuilding Stockbuilding Net exports Net exports GDP GDP Chile Iceland Final domestic demand Final domestic demand Stockbuilding Stockbuilding Net exports Net exports GDP GDP Czech Republic Ireland Final domestic demand Final domestic demand Stockbuilding Stockbuilding Net exports Net exports GDP GDP Denmark Israel Final domestic demand Final domestic demand Stockbuilding Stockbuilding Net exports Net exports GDP GDP Estonia Italy Final domestic demand Final domestic demand Stockbuilding Stockbuilding Net exports Net exports GDP GDP Finland Japan Final domestic demand Final domestic demand Stockbuilding Stockbuilding Net exports Net exports GDP GDP

7 Contributions to changes in real GDP in other OECD countries Chain link calculations Korea Slovenia Final domestic demand Final domestic demand Stockbuilding Stockbuilding Net exports Net exports GDP GDP Luxembourg Spain Final domestic demand Final domestic demand Stockbuilding Stockbuilding Net exports Net exports GDP GDP Mexico Sweden Final domestic demand Final domestic demand Stockbuilding Stockbuilding Net exports Net exports GDP GDP Netherlands Switzerland Final domestic demand Final domestic demand Stockbuilding Stockbuilding Net exports Net exports GDP GDP New Zealand Turkey Final domestic demand Final domestic demand Stockbuilding Stockbuilding Net exports Net exports GDP GDP Norway United Kingdom Final domestic demand Final domestic demand Stockbuilding Stockbuilding Net exports Net exports GDP GDP Poland United States Final domestic demand Final domestic demand Stockbuilding Stockbuilding Net exports Net exports GDP GDP Portugal Euro area Final domestic demand Final domestic demand Stockbuilding Stockbuilding Net exports Net exports GDP GDP Slovak Republic Total OECD Final domestic demand Final domestic demand Stockbuilding Stockbuilding Net exports Net exports GDP GDP

8 Output gaps Deviations of actual GDP from potential GDP as a percentage of potential GDP Australia Austria Belgium Canada Chile Czech Republic Denmark Estonia Finland France Germany Greece Hungary Iceland Ireland Israel Italy Japan Luxembourg Mexico Netherlands New Zealand Norway Poland Portugal Slovak Republic Slovenia Spain Sweden Switzerland Turkey United Kingdom United States Euro area Total OECD Potential output follows the methodology outlined in Chapter 4 of no. 91 and is described in more details in Å Johansson (2012), "Long-term growth scenarios", no Mainland Norway. 220

9 GDP deflators Percentage changes from previous year Fourth quarter Australia Austria Belgium Canada Chile Czech Republic Denmark Estonia Finland France Germany Greece Hungary Iceland Ireland Israel Italy Japan Korea Luxembourg Mexico Netherlands New Zealand Norway Poland Portugal Slovak Republic Slovenia Spain Sweden Switzerland Turkey United Kingdom United States Euro area Total OECD

10 Consumer prices Percentage changes from previous year Fourth quarter Australia Austria Belgium Canada Chile Czech Republic Denmark Estonia Finland France Germany Greece Hungary Iceland Ireland Israel Italy Japan Korea Luxembourg Mexico Netherlands New Zealand Norway Poland Portugal Slovak Republic Slovenia Spain Sweden Switzerland Turkey United Kingdom United States Euro area Brazil China India Indonesia Russian Federation South Africa For the United Kingdom, the euro area countries and the euro area aggregate, the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) is used. In the United Kingdom the HICP is known as the Consumer Price Index. 222

11 Private consumption deflators Percentage changes from previous year Fourth quarter Australia Austria Belgium Canada Chile Czech Republic Denmark Estonia Finland France Germany Greece Hungary Iceland Ireland Israel Italy Japan Korea Luxembourg Mexico Netherlands New Zealand Norway Poland Portugal Slovak Republic Slovenia Spain Sweden Switzerland Turkey United Kingdom United States Euro area Total OECD

12 Unemployment rates Fourth quarter Australia Austria Belgium Canada Chile Czech Republic Denmark Estonia Finland France Germany Greece Hungary Iceland Ireland Israel Italy Japan Korea Luxembourg Mexico Netherlands New Zealand Norway Poland Portugal Slovak Republic Slovenia Spain Sweden Switzerland Turkey United Kingdom United States Euro area Total OECD

13 Short-term interest rates Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Australia Canada Chile Czech Republic Denmark Hungary Iceland Israel Japan Korea Mexico New Zealand Norway Poland Sweden Switzerland Turkey United Kingdom United States Euro area Individual euro area countries are not shown since their short term interest rates are equal to the euro area rate. 225

14 Long-term interest rates Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Australia Austria Belgium Canada Chile Czech Republic Denmark Finland France Germany Greece Hungary Iceland Ireland Israel Italy Japan Korea Luxembourg Mexico Netherlands New Zealand Norway Portugal Slovak Republic Slovenia Spain Sweden Switzerland Turkey United Kingdom United States Euro area year benchmark government bond yields where available or yields on similar financial instruments. The long-term interest rates refer to yields in secondary bond markets and are not representative of average government funding costs. 226

15 General government financial balance Surplus (+) or deficit (-) as a percentage of GDP Australia Austria Belgium Canada Czech Republic Denmark Estonia Finland France Germany Greece Hungary Iceland Ireland Israel Italy Japan Korea Luxembourg Netherlands New Zealand Norway Poland Portugal Slovak Republic Slovenia Spain Sweden Switzerland United Kingdom United States Euro area Total OECD Brazil China India Indonesia Russian Federation South Africa Financial balances include one-off factors such as those resulting from the sale of the mobile telephone licenses. As data are on a national account's basis (SNA93/ESA95), the government financial balances may differ from the numbers reported to the European Commission under the Excessive Deficit Procedure for some EU countries. For more details see Sources and Methods For Non-OECD countries, fiscal balances are not comparable across countries as different concepts are applied. 227

16 General government cyclically-adjusted financial balance Surplus (+) or deficit (-) as a percentage of potential GDP Australia Austria Belgium Canada Czech Republic Denmark Estonia Finland France Germany Greece Hungary Iceland Ireland Israel Italy Japan Korea Luxembourg Netherlands New Zealand Norway Poland Portugal Slovak Republic Slovenia Spain Sweden Switzerland United Kingdom United States Euro area Total OECD For more details on the methodology used for estimating the cyclical component of government balances see OECD Economic Outlook Sources and Methods 1. As a percentage of mainland potential GDP. The cyclically-adjusted balances shown exclude revenues from petroleum activities. 228

17 General government underlying financial balance Surplus (+) or deficit (-) as a percentage of potential GDP Australia Austria Belgium Canada Czech Republic Denmark Estonia Finland France Germany Greece Hungary Iceland Ireland Israel Italy Japan Korea Luxembourg Netherlands New Zealand Norway Poland Portugal Slovak Republic Slovenia Spain Sweden Switzerland United Kingdom United States Euro area Total OECD The underlying balances are adjusted for the cycle and for one-offs. For more details see Sources and Methods 1. As a percentage of mainland potential GDP. The underlying balances shown exclude revenues from petroleum activities. 2. Revenues due to quantitative easing that have accumulated in a special fund for several years, and that will be transferred to the treasury in well-identified instalments over the projection period, are treated as fiscal one-offs and excluded from underlying fiscal measures. 229

18 General government gross financial liabilities As a percentage of GDP Australia Austria Belgium Canada Czech Republic Denmark Estonia Finland France Germany Greece Hungary Iceland Ireland Israel Italy Japan Korea Luxembourg Netherlands New Zealand Norway Poland Portugal Slovak Republic Slovenia Spain Sweden Switzerland United Kingdom United States Euro area Total OECD Gross debt measures are not always comparable across countries due to a different definition or treatment of debt components. For euro area countries with unsustainable fiscal positions that have asked for assistance from the European Union and the IMF (Greece, Ireland and Portugal) the change in 2010 and 2011 in government financial liabilities has been approximated by the change in government liabilities recorded for the Maastricht definition of general government debt. 230

19 Balance on current account Percentage of GDP Australia Austria Belgium Canada Chile Czech Republic Denmark Estonia Finland France Germany Greece Hungary Iceland Ireland Israel Italy Japan Korea Luxembourg Mexico Netherlands New Zealand Norway Poland Portugal Slovak Republic Slovenia Spain Sweden Switzerland Turkey United Kingdom United States Euro area Total OECD Brazil China India Indonesia Russian Federation South Africa

20 Balance on current account $ billion Australia Austria Belgium Canada Chile Czech Republic Denmark Estonia Finland France Germany Greece Hungary Iceland Ireland Israel Italy Japan Korea Luxembourg Mexico Netherlands New Zealand Norway Poland Portugal Slovak Republic Slovenia Spain Sweden Switzerland Turkey United Kingdom United States Euro area Total OECD China Other industrialised Asia Russia Brazil Other oil producers Rest of the world Total of non-oecd countries World (discrepancy) Chinese Taipei; Hong Kong, China; Malaysia; Philippines; Singapore: Vietnam and Thailand, India and Indonesia. 232

21 Quarterly demand and output projections Percentage changes from previous period, seasonally adjusted at annual rates, volume Fourth quarter 1 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q Private consumption Canada France Germany Italy Japan United Kingdom United States Euro area Total OECD Public consumption Canada France Germany Italy Japan United Kingdom United States Euro area Total OECD Business investment Canada France Germany Japan United Kingdom United States Total investment Canada France Germany Italy Japan United Kingdom United States Euro area Total OECD Year-on-year growth rates in per cent. 233

22 Quarterly demand and output projections Percentage changes from previous period, seasonally adjusted at annual rates, volume Fourth quarter 1 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q Total domestic demand Canada France Germany Italy Japan United Kingdom United States Euro area Total OECD Exports of goods and services Canada France Germany Italy Japan United Kingdom United States Total OECD Imports of goods and services Canada France Germany Italy Japan United Kingdom United States Total OECD GDP Canada France Germany Italy Japan United Kingdom United States Euro area Total OECD Year-on-year growth rates in per cent. 2. Includes intra-regional trade. 234

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