WHY INVEST IN TURKISH AUTOMOTIVE INDUSTRY?

Transcription

1 WHY INVEST IN TURKISH AUTOMOTIVE INDUSTRY? Ethem Tokgözlü Project Director Torino

2 Content Executive Summary Turkish Automotive Industry Outlook Suppliers and Engineering in the Industry Growth Drivers in Turkey Success Stories 2

3 Executive Summary Turkey - A strong production and engineering hub for the global automotive value chain Turkish automotive industry Suppliers and engineering in the industry High level of integration into the global automotive industry 14th major automotive producer in the World, with 78% average export rate Vehicles of Turkish origin hold the leading position among the vehicles coming from outside of EU Production, export, and engineering hub of global brands for international markets Quality products with high export rates Hundreds of Tier 1 companies working directly with OEMs Center of excellence in automotive engineering and R&D, in which new technologies are developed Growth drivers in Turkey Strong international presence Strong macroeconomic growth with increasing income per capita and a bourgeoning middle-class Favorable demographics with a dynamic, young, and skilled labor force supporting the industry Cost-competitive labor and energy prices Strong government support through incentives Giants of global automotive value chain benefit from Turkey s location, cost, and competitive advantages Because of their profitable business in the country, companies in Turkey continue to invest in the country s future 3

4 Content Executive Summary Turkish Automotive Industry Outlook Suppliers and Engineering in the Industry Growth Drivers in Turkey Success Stories 4

5 Production Turkey has become an important part of the global value chain of international OEMs in the last 25 years Development of Vehicle Production Thousand Units Performance in Recent Years Thousand Units 1,214 1,696 CAGR % _ _ _ Average Production of Period Passenger Cars Commercial Vehicles Source: Automotive Manufacturers Association, Automotive World Production Databook 5

6 OEMs in Turkey The engagement of 15 OEMs is not limited to production. They are also benefiting from the engineering skills of Turkey İzmit - Sakarya Bursa Ankara _Aksaray İzmir Adana 9 R&D centers support not only the local operations, but also the operations in other plants of parent companies. Ford Otosan s R&D department is one of Ford s 3 largest global R&D centers. R&D center in Bursa is the only center of Fiat outside of Italy serving the European market. For Courier, Ford s new light commercial vehicle, the Yeniköy plant is the sole production center in the world. Toyota s C-HR Hybrid is produced in Turkey for World markets Daimler R&D is the center of competence for some parts and carries global responsibility. With more than 40 thousand employees, automotive OEMs are one of the major employers in the manufacturing industry. 6

7 Turkey in CEE & the World Turkey, the leader of CEE in vehicle production, climbs the ranks in the World Auto Production list as well Automotive Production in 2017 Thousand Units World Auto Production in 2017 Million Units 1,696 China (1) USA (2) 1,420 Japan (3) Germany (4) India (5) 1, S. Korea (6) Mexico (7) Spain (8) Brazil (9) France (10) Canada (11) Thailand (12) #1 in CEE #5 in Europe #14 in the World UK (13) Turkey (14) Russia (15) Source: OICA 7

8 Investments Almost $14 Billion invested between ; OEMs developed their R&D skills as well as manufacturing capabilities OEM Investment Stock - Billion $ Automotive Plants in Europe 3,94 3,61 4,33 2, _ _ _ _2017 Development of Production Capacity 800,000 1,250,000 1,650,000 2,000, Source: Automotive Manufacturers Association of Turkey, ACEA 8

9 Market The increase in the purchasing power of Turkish people paved the way for record levels of sales in the recent period Change in Vehicle Sales Thousand Units Top Emerging Vehicle Markets Million Units CAGR ,86 2,84 Annual Average Sales ( ) 14% , , ,16 0,83 0,82 0,78 0, _ _ _ _2017 Annual Average Sales Source: Turkish Statistical Institute (Turkstat), OICA 9

10 Market Consumer preferences of Turkish drivers seem to shift towards passenger cars. Small engine cars dominate the market Passenger Car Sales Thousand Units Sales by Engine Size (2017) % 3% 1% Commercial Vehicle Sales Thousand Units <1600cc 1601cc-2000cc >2000cc Source: Turkstat, Automotive Distributors Association of Turkey 10

11 Markets Around Turkey The markets around Turkey From Western Europe to Central Asia - have a combined annual sales volume of over 25 million vehicles A Market of 25 Million Vehicles: from Western Europe to Central Asia (2017) Europe 21 M 3 M Middle East & Central Asia 1 M North Africa Source: OICA 11

12 Exports Turkey is the largest export base of global OEMs in the region outside of the EU, with an average export rate of 78% Development of Vehicle Exports Million $ Deliveries to the EU Market (2017) CAGR ,847 Turkey (1) 729,738 units 11,122 16% 12,397 Japan (2) 551,010 units S. Korea (3) 460,904 units 4,418 Morocco (4) 240,907 units 2001_ _ _ Average Exports of Period Mexico (5) 235,321 units Source: Automotive Manufacturers Association of Turkey, ACEA 12

13 Content Executive Summary Turkish Automotive Industry Outlook Suppliers and Engineering in the Industry Growth Drivers in Turkey Success Stories 13

14 Component Manufacturing 400+ Tier 1 suppliers working directly with OEMs contribute greatly to the high localization rates of the cars manufactured in the country # of suppliers in the city ## İSTANBUL İZMİR & MANİSA BURSA 105 İZMİT&SAKARYA 80 o o o o o o o o o o o Engine Body&Structural Interior Transmission Axles, Driveshaft's Climate Control&Engine Cooling Suspension Electric Components o Braking Fuel System o Audi&Telematics Steering o Wheels&Tires Plastic Components o Exhaust o Body Glass o Die-casting Parts o Forging Components o Raw Material o Small/General Parts 9

15 Component Exports In line with global developments, component exports have increased by 13% CAGR over the past 16 years, reaching diversified markets all around the World Development of Component Exports Million $ Top 15 Export Markets (2017) Million $ CAGR % 3,805 3,990 Germany (1) France (2) Italy (3) England (4) Belgium (5) 218 USA (6) 211 2,382 Spain (7) Romania (8) Poland (9) 151 Russia (10) Iran (11) Czech Rep (12) Slovenia (13) 52 Holland (14) _ _ _ _2017 Japan (15) 49 Source: Turkish Statistical Institute (TurkStat) 15

16 Major Suppliers 10 automotive suppliers with USD 200 Million+ revenue in 2017 Rank Major Suppliers Products 1 Bosch 2017 Revenue (Million $) Brake systems, boosters, power limiters & regulators, repair kids, brake shoes, wheel brake cylinders, drum & disk brakes 1,051 2 Brisa Tires, batteries, coverings 3 Yazaki Group Electrical and electronics components 4 Maxion İnci Wheels 5 Goodyear Tires 6 7 Steering wheels, seat belts, air bags Tires 8 Wheels 9 Delphi 10 Beyçelik Gestamp Cables, electrical/electronic architecture systems and components, fuel pumps, fuel injectors, nozzles, valves Molds, chassis systems, lock technologies Source: Istanbul Chamber of Industry: Top 500 Industrial Enterprises Study

17 R&D Automotive industry leads the country in R&D and patent applications R&D Spending ( ) Billion TL R&D Centers (2018) Automotive Others R&D Employment 2016: 7594 Change ( ): 72% Patent Applications 2016: 1325 Change ( ): 165% Source: Turkstat, Ministry of Industry, Science & Technology, Turkish Patent Institute (Turkpatent), R&D employment data consists of OSD members 17

18 Engineering & Design Turkey as a key location for automotive R&D and engineering Company Description Operations in Turkey AVL Established by Hans List in 1948 in Austria. Employs engineers in its 40+ affiliates. The world's largest independent company for the development of powertrain systems with internal combustion engines as well as instrumentation and test systems. Has an office in Istanbul with 140+ engineers Aims to become a global engineering hub One of the two exporting affiliates of AVL Planning to establish 3rd R&D center and to employ more than 200 engineers by 2018 started to work on Hybrid and autonomous car technologies. (Electric car for 2018, autonomous car for 2020) is supported by Tubitak for its works on electric and autonomous car projects FEV GmbH Idiada Established in 1978 in Aachen, Germany Employs researchers and developers Focusing on powertrain components engineering (mainly engine design, turbo-charger and transmission) Established in 1973 with its headquarters in Santa Oliva, Spain Employs employees Present in 25 countries, focusing on design, testing, engineering, and certification services in automotive Expanded into Turkey in 2011 with 10 engineers working in the Turkey office The main focus is design and R&D consulting of powertrain and ICE for the automotive sector Works on design, simulation, software development, and engine/vehicle calibration with 50+ engineers Expanded into Turkey in 2000 There are 4 full-time engineers in the Turkey office Focus is on testing of R&D consulting for automotive Ricardo Established in 1927 with its headquarters in Shorehamby-Sea, England Employs ~3000 engineers Operating in 15 countries with focus on engines, transmissions, and intelligent transportation systems Works together with Anova (a Turkish engineering house) for powertrain development and R&D consulting in Turkey Source: Press Excerpts, ISPAT Team Analysis 18

19 Content Executive Summary Turkish Automotive Industry Outlook Suppliers and Engineering in the Industry Growth Drivers in Turkey Success Stories 19

20 Robust Economy A track record of growth and a bright future 13 th largest economy in the world Actual Forecast 2017 GDP ($Trillion, PPP) Real GDP Growth (Index: 2002=100) Average Annual GDP Growth % Average Annual GDP Growth % China (1) US (2) India (3) 9,4 23,1 19, Turkey Japan (4) 5,4 200 Poland Germany (5) Russia (6) 4,2 4,0 180 Romania Indonesia (7) Brazil (8) UK (9) France (10) Mexico (11) 3,2 3,2 2,9 2,8 2, Czech Rep Hungary Italy (12) 2,3 100 Turkey (13) 2,1 Source: TurkStat, OECD, World Bank, IMF, CIA World Factbook, PPP: Purchasing Power Parity 20

21 Bourgeoning Middle Class Turkey s economic growth has paved the way for the emergence of a sizeable middle-class Tripling Income per capita (GDP per capita, current prices) GDP per capita in countries with population over 50 million (2017) US (1) $59,501 $3.581 $ Germany (2) France (3) UK (4) Japan (5) Italy (6) Korea (7) Russia (8) Turkey (9) Brazil (10) $10,608 $10,597 $9,895 $31,984 $29,891 $44,550 $39,869 $39,735 $38,440 Among countries with population over 50 million, only 8 countries have GDP per capita over $10, million 23 million The Rise of Turkish Middle Class I n c o m e G r o u p s (Annual disposal income per capita) High (>$55K) Upper-middle ($25K $55K) Middle ($10K $25K) Low ($5K $10K) million 40 million 10.8 million 21.3 million Poor (<$5K) 3 Source: IMF, TurkStat, Euromonitor 21

22 Skilled & Cost-competitive Labor Force Turkey s education system has been upgraded to support a skilled labor pool... Annual Number of University Grads in Automotive Related Fields (2017) Number of Grads from Vocational & Technical High Schools Motor Vehicles, Ships, etc. Electronics & Automation TOTAL 50, Mechanical Labor Force by Education Level University 10% University 23% High School and below 90% High School and below 77% Source: Higher Education Council of Turkey, Turkish Statistical Institute 22

23 Investment Support Schemes Lucrative Incentives Automotive investments in manufacturing and R&D can benefit from various lucrative incentives Investment parameters General Scheme Sector & Product Investment Amount Region Regional Large Scale VAT & Custom Duty Interest Support Social Security Support Tax Support Priority Strategic Region 1 Region 2 Region 3 Region 4 Region 5 Region 6 Technology Level Regions Source: Ministry of Economy 23

24 Turkish Cargo Total Passenger Destinations Total Freighter Destinations

25 Turkish Cargo Turkish Cargo unique framework for automotive industry: Italy to Turkey Why Turkish Cargo? Widest network in the world New Airport facilities and Dedicated infrastructure On-time track Team Quick ramp transfer IST airport which is 4 rank for the best connection airports league Tailor made solution for automotive industry Just In Time philosopy Extended Cut-off time Early Document Handling 14 hours acceptance to release goods 25

26 Turkish Cargo Frequent flight options for TK freighter and passenger flights MXP Day Departure Arrival TK6451 ( Freighter ) Monday 04:20 08:00 TK6419 ( Freighter ) Tuesday 02:45 06:25 TK6397 ( Freighter ) Thursday 01:25 05:05 TK6324 ( Freighter ) Friday 02:05 06:00 TK6326 ( Freighter ) Saturday 02:05 06:00 TK6394 ( Freighter ) Sunday 02:10 05:50 TK1876 ( WB / Passenger ) Daily 19:45 23:40 FCO Day Departure Arrival TK1862 ( WB / Passenger ) Daily 11:25 14:55 *All of the times are local 26

27 Content Executive Summary Turkish Automotive Industry Outlook Suppliers and Engineering in Turkey Growth Drivers in Turkey Success Stories 27

28 Success stories Turkey as an international center of excellence for automotive giants Foundation of first factory was laid in 1959 Has total capacity of production of 415,000 cars per year Commercial vehicle manufacturing hub of Ford Europe Has Turkey s largest R&D center located in a single campus in Istanbul Exports worth $ 3.8 billion in 2016 to 83 countries One of the 3 largest R&D centers of Ford Global One of the biggest factories of Renault with annual production capacity of 360,000 cars and 750,000 engines Total exports in last 15 years exceed $30 billion Flagship company in passenger car production for years employees, almost 1500 of which are white-collar The facilitiy was established in 1968 Has the capacity of 450,000 vehicles per year Employs more than 7000 workers Only factory in the country that manufactures both passenger and light commercial vehicles R&D center in Bursa is the only center of Fiat outside Italy serving the European market Stepped into Turkish market in 1990 Started to manufacture in 1997 in Izmit factory Has production capacity of 245,000 vehicles annually employees Positioned as the manufacturing hub for European markets Invested almost $2 billion since entering the country Over 3500 staff, 280,000 annual production capacity Almost 85% of the production exported to more than 50 countries Started the production of first hybrid vehicle in Turkey, C-HR, with an investment worth EUR 350 million Operational since 1967 First production in 1968, first export in 1970 Has two facilities: Bus factory in Istanbul, Truck factory in Aksaray Almost EUR 1 billion total investment with 6000 employees Operational in Turkey since 1992 Production of Civic model started in 1997 Izmit factory, 50,000 annual production capacity with over 1000 employees Invested almost $ 500 million since the beginning Exports Civic to 46 countries throughout the World The German giant began operations in Turkey in 1966 MAN s first factory outside Germany Largest integrated bus company of MAN Global Has 2000 annual bus production capacity, employees Production base of premium Neoplan bus brand Exports to 41 countries including European ones. Source: Company Websites, Press Excerpts 28

29 Success stories Strong international presence in Turkey... 29

30 invest.gov.tr Contact: 30