System Management Principles Statement
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- Leon Richardson
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1 System Management Principles Statement Compliance report for December 213 and January 214 Summary of balancing actions and breaches for December January 214 Performance compared to last year
2 Summary Report Dec-13 Jan-14 Total Number of Buy Actions 9 5 Total Number of Sell Actions 1 17 Total Dec-13 Jan-14 Number of Material Breaches Number of Non-Material Breaches Jan-14 Jan-13 Number of Balancing Actions (Calendar year to date) Number of Material Breaches (Calendar year to date) Number of Non-Material Breaches (Calendar year to date) 2
3 Transporter Actions and Neutrality Energy Balancing Capacity
4 Transporter Energy Traded on the OCM January 213 to January 214 Vs Previous Year National Grid Monthly Buys and Sells Jan 213 to Jan 214 vs Previous Year GWh , -1,2-1,4 Jan-13 Feb-13 Mar-13 Apr-13 May-13 Jun-13 Jul-13 Aug-13 Sep-13 Oct-13 Nov-13 Dec-13 Jan-14 Month Buy 213/14 Buy Prev Year Sell 213/14 Sell Prev Year , -1,2-1,4 Year 214 [YTD] Jan Dec 13 Buy [GWh] Sell [GWh]
5 Days of Default SMP Prices From February 213 to January 214 SMPB Calculation Summary Feb 213 to Jan 214 %age Feb-13 Mar-13 Apr-13 SMPB [NG Set Price] May-13 Jun-13 Jul-13 Aug-13 Sep-13 SMPB [Default Marginal] Oct-13 Nov-13 Dec-13 Jan-14 Month SMPB SMPS Both Jan 14 94% 77% 71% SMPS Calculation Summary Feb 213 to Jan 214 %age Feb-13 Mar-13 Apr-13 May-13 SMPS [NG Set Price] Jun-13 Jul-13 Aug-13 SMPS [Default Marginal] Sep-13 Oct-13 Nov-13 Dec-13 Jan-14 5
6 Energy Balancing Balancing Costs Nov - Dec 213 Payments / Charges / Net Credit / Debit [Imbalance / Scheduling / OCM] - 1st Nov to 31st Dec 213 6,, 5,, Net Debit 2,291,785 4,, 7,965, ,476 12,798,263 3,, 2,, 37,342,989 35,473,98 1,, Credits Debits Imbalance Scheduling OCM 6
7 Energy Balancing Balancing Costs Nov - Dec 213 OCM Payments / Charges Graph 1st Nov 213 to 31st Dec 213 1,5, Payment [TTB] Charge [TTS] Imbalance Payments / Charges Graph 1st Nov 213 to 31st Dec 213 3,, Payment [DCS] Charge [DCT] 1,, 2,5, 2,, 5, 1,5, -5, -1,, 1,, 5, -5, -1,, -1,5, -1,5, -2,, -2,, -2,5, 1/11/213 8/11/213 15/11/213 22/11/213 29/11/213 Day 6/12/213 13/12/213 2/12/213 27/12/213 1/11/213 8/11/213 15/11/213 22/11/213 29/11/213 Day 6/12/213 13/12/213 2/12/213 27/12/213 4, Scheduling Charges Graph 1st Nov 213 to 31st Dec 213 Exit Charge [EXS] Entry Charge [ESC] Exit Charge [DXS] 35, 3, 25, 2, 15, 1, 5, 1/11/213 8/11/213 15/11/213 22/11/213 29/11/213 Day 6/12/213 13/12/213 2/12/213 27/12/213 7
8 Capacity Neutrality Net Cost / Revenue From 1 st April 213 to 31 st December 213 Revenue/Costs WDDSEC/DAI Entry Capacity Revenue - 454,856 Total Entry Constraint Management Operational Costs Entry Capacity Overrun Revenue - 11,94 Non-Obligated Sales Revenue (Entry only) - 85,537 Revenue from Locational Sells and PRI Charges Net Revenue - 651,333 8
9 Capacity Neutrality Revenues from WDDSEC and DAI From 1 st April 213 to 31 st December 213 Capacity Neutrality Revenues from WDDSEC and DAI April 213 to December , 165, 145, 125, 15, 85, 65, 45, 25, 5, St Fergus Teesside Barrow Theddlethorpe Easington Bacton Other 9
10 Capacity Neutrality Revenues from Entry Cap Overruns and Non-Obligated Sales, and Locational Sells and PRI Charges. Totals From 1 st April 213 to 31 st December 213 Month Entry Cap Overrun Revenue Non-obligated sales revenue (entry) Month Locational Sells and PRI charges revenue Apr-13-4, Apr-13 May-13-7,376 - May-13 Jun-13-33,996 - Jun-13 Jul-13-16,257 - Jul-13 Aug-13 Sep-13 Oct-13 Nov-13 Dec-13 Jan-14 Feb-14 Mar-14-6,8-11,538-5,355-22,2-3, ,755-27,943-28, Aug-13 Sep-13 Oct-13 Nov-13 Dec-13 Jan-14 Feb-14 Mar Total - 11,94 (FY13-14) - 85,537 (FY13-14) Total (FY13/14) 1
11 Operational Overview
12 National Composite Weather October 213 to Feb 214 vs. Historical Range 2 Month ahead ensemble weather 15 Degrees CWV Oct 1-Nov 1-Dec 1-Jan 1-Feb 1-Mar 1-Apr -5 Minimum to seasonal normal Seasonal normal to maximum Ensemble forecasts Mean Ensemble 212/13 CWV 12
13 Mean Composite Weather Variables December 213 vs. Previous Yrs Mean National Composite Weather for December Degrees CWV
14 Mean Composite Weather Variables January 214 vs. Previous Yrs Mean National Composite Weather for January Degrees CWV
15 Demands
16 Gas Demand Breakdown 1 st Oct 213 to 2 nd Feb 214 vs Previous Year Gas Demand Breakdown 1st Oct 213 to 2nd February 214 vs Previous Year Oct-13 8-Oct Oct Oct Oct-13 5-Nov Nov Nov Nov-13 3-Dec-13 1-Dec Dec Dec Dec-13 7-Jan Jan Jan Jan-14 4-Feb Feb Feb Feb-14 4-Mar Mar Mar Mar-14 mcm NDM DM (Excl Interconnectors) Total Interconnector Export Storage Injection SND Cold Demand Warm Demand Previous Years Demand
17 LDZ Demand 1st October 213 to 2 nd February 214 Gas Demand Breakdown [LDZ 213/14 vs Previous Year] vs NTS Demand / CWV's 1st Oct 213 to 2nd Feb Oct-13 8-Oct Oct Oct Oct-13 5-Nov Nov Nov Nov-13 3-Dec-13 1-Dec Dec Dec Dec-13 7-Jan Jan Jan Jan-14 mcm Gas Day LDZ Demand 13/14 LDZ Demand Previous Year NTS Demand 13/14 CWV 13/
18 Power Generation October 213 to February 214 Gas Consumption for Power Generation Sep 7-Oct 14-Oct 21-Oct 28-Oct 4-Nov 11-Nov 18-Nov 25-Nov 2-Dec 9-Dec 16-Dec 23-Dec 3-Dec 6-Jan 13-Jan 2-Jan 27-Jan 3-Feb 1-Feb 17-Feb 24-Feb 3-Mar mcm/d 1-Mar 17-Mar 24-Mar 31-Mar Actual for Power Generation Base Case High Previous Year
19 Depressed Demand this Winter 19
20 Supplies
21 Gas Supply Breakdown 1 st October 213 to 2 nd February 214 Gas Supply Breakdown 1st October 213 to 2nd February 214 vs Previous Year Oct-13 8-Oct Oct Oct Oct-13 5-Nov Nov Nov Nov-13 3-Dec-13 1-Dec Dec Dec Dec-13 7-Jan Jan Jan Jan-14 4-Feb Feb Feb Feb-14 4-Mar Mar Mar Mar-14 Gas Day UKCS Norway (est) LNG Imports BBL I(UK) LRS Supplies MRS Supplies SRS Supplies Previous Year Actual Supply mcm/d
22 Gas Supply Breakdown IUK 1 st October 213 to 3 rd February 214 IUK Export / Import volumes Oct Feb 214 vs Previous Year / SAP 22 2-Feb 29-Jan 25-Jan 21-Jan 17-Jan 13-Jan 9-Jan 5-Jan 1-Jan 28-Dec 24-Dec 2-Dec 16-Dec 12-Dec 8-Dec 4-Dec 3-Nov 26-Nov 22-Nov 18-Nov 14-Nov 1-Nov 6-Nov 2-Nov 29-Oct 25-Oct 21-Oct 17-Oct 13-Oct 9-Oct 5-Oct 1-Oct price (p/tm) Volumes (mcm) IUK Export IUK Import IUK Import [Previous Year] IUK Export [Previous Year] SAP SAP [Previous Year]
23 Gas Supply Breakdown LNG 1st October 213 to 3 rd February 214 LNG terminal flows Oct Feb 214 vs Previous Year / SAP Feb 29-Jan 25-Jan 21-Jan 17-Jan 13-Jan 9-Jan 5-Jan 1-Jan 28-Dec 24-Dec 2-Dec 16-Dec 12-Dec 8-Dec 4-Dec 3-Nov 26-Nov 22-Nov 18-Nov 14-Nov 1-Nov 6-Nov 2-Nov 29-Oct 25-Oct 21-Oct 17-Oct 13-Oct 9-Oct 5-Oct 1-Oct Volumes (mcm) Price (p/th) SouthHookTer DragonTer Isle of grain DragonTer [Previous Year] Isle of grain [Previous Year] SouthHookTer [Previous Year] SAP SAP [Previous Year]
24 Gas Supply Breakdown Norway 1 st October 213 to 3 rd February 214 Norwegian* supply volumes Oct Feb 214 vs Previous Year / SAP Feb 29-Jan 25-Jan 21-Jan 17-Jan 13-Jan 9-Jan 5-Jan 1-Jan 28-Dec 24-Dec 2-Dec 16-Dec 12-Dec 8-Dec 4-Dec 3-Nov 26-Nov 22-Nov 18-Nov 14-Nov 1-Nov 6-Nov 2-Nov 29-Oct 25-Oct 21-Oct 17-Oct 13-Oct 9-Oct 5-Oct 1-Oct Volumes (mcm) Price (p/th) Norway* Norway* [Previous Year] SAP SAP [Previous Year]
25 Gas Supply Breakdown Storage 1 st October 213 to 3 rd February 214 Storage flows Oct Feb 214 vs Previous Year / SAP Feb 29-Jan 25-Jan 21-Jan 17-Jan 13-Jan 9-Jan 5-Jan 1-Jan 28-Dec 24-Dec 2-Dec 16-Dec 12-Dec 8-Dec 4-Dec 3-Nov 26-Nov 22-Nov 18-Nov 14-Nov 1-Nov 6-Nov 2-Nov 29-Oct 25-Oct 21-Oct 17-Oct 13-Oct 9-Oct 5-Oct 1-Oct Volumes (mcm) Price (p/tm) Storage Storage [Previous Year] SAP SAP [Previous Year]
26 Storage Stocks - UK 1 st Oct 213 to 4 th February 214 Vs Previous Years 45. LRS Stocks 14. MRS Stocks TWh TWh Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep. Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep LRS 21/211 LRS 211/212 LRS 212/213 LRS 213/214 MRS 21/211 MRS 211/212 MRS 212/213 MRS 213/214.7 SRS Stocks.6.5 TWh Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep MRS 21/211 SRS 211/212 SRS 212/213 SRS 213/214 26
27 213/14 Reflection Storage Stocks 1 1% 9 9% % 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1 1% % 27 Net Storage Injection (mcm) 1-Apr 8-Apr 15-Apr 22-Apr 29-Apr 6-May 13-May 2-May 27-May 3-Jun 1-Jun 17-Jun 24-Jun 1-Jul 8-Jul 15-Jul 22-Jul 29-Jul 5-Aug 12-Aug 19-Aug 26-Aug 2-Sep 9-Sep 16-Sep 23-Sep 3-Sep 7-Oct 14-Oct 21-Oct 28-Oct 4-Nov 11-Nov 18-Nov 25-Nov 2-Dec 9-Dec 16-Dec 23-Dec 3-Dec 6-Jan 13-Jan 2-Jan 27-Jan 3-Feb 1-Feb 17-Feb 24-Feb 3-Mar 1-Mar 17-Mar 24-Mar 31-Mar Storage Stock Percentage Full Rough Humbley Grove Hatfield M oor Hornsea Holford Holehouse Farm Aldbrough Avonmouth LRS % Full 212 M RS % Full 212 SRS % Full 212 LRS % Full 213 M RS % Full 213 SRS % Full 213
28 Storage Stocks - EU From 1 st Oct 213 to 1 st February 214 vs. Previous Years Storage Data for Wednesday Total EU Weekly Storage Levels 8, 7, 6, mcm 5, 4, 3, 2, 1, Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep 21/ / / /214 Date Note: AGSI+ are no longer publishing aggregated data on hub level. 28
29 Gas Supply comparison Winter 212/13 vs 213/14 29
30 UK Gas Prices 1 st Jan 213 to 4 th Feb 214 Vs Previous Years 13 System Prices 1st Jan 213 to 4th February 214 Vs Previous Years SAP p/therm 1-Jan Jan Jan Feb Feb Mar Mar-13 9-Apr Apr-13 7-May May-13 4-Jun Jun-13 2-Jul Jul-13 3-Jul Aug Aug-13 1-Sep Sep-13 8-Oct Oct-13 5-Nov Nov-13 3-Dec Dec Dec Jan Jan-14 SAP SMP Buy SMP Sell SAP Previous Year
31 What Operational Issues Affected Users? 31
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