High fuel costs could last Diesel and propane may not get much cheaper in 2019 By Bryce Knorr, senior grain market analyst
|
|
- Deirdre Thomas
- 5 years ago
- Views:
Transcription
1 High fuel costs could last Diesel and propane may not get much cheaper in 2019 By Bryce Knorr, senior grain market analyst In July I recommended using a dip in the energy market to lock in propane for fall drying and step up diesel coverage to two-thirds of harvest needs. Despite a modest pullback in crude oil Wednesday, those prices look cheap compared to where the petroleum market is at today. For buyers needing fuel, bargains may be hard to come by. And the pain at the pump could continue into Based on current fundamentals of global supply and demand, crude oil could average $64.67 next year, just $1.50 cheaper than in That means farmgate diesel could average nearly $2.50 a gallon in And without a prolonged downturn in crude, costs may not get much lower than that to provide real buying opportunities. Of course, crude is a volatile market that trades in wide ranges some years. It s traded in a range of $17 this year but lows were made in February. Since then, futures have risen more or less steadily depending on the news flow out of OPEC and its allies. China swung the market this week. New retaliatory sanctions were expected to be placed on imports of U.S. crude and trade data showed Chinese imports already slowing in July. But the U.S. is such a major producer now that China couldn t ignore our supply. It sanctioned products like diesel and gasoline, but not the crude its refineries need. Saudi Arabia also appears to be having trouble boosting production and trouble spots remain around the world, including Libya and Venezuela. The latest forecasts show world inventories tightening more in the year ahead, making pullbacks difficult until the news flow turns bearish. A meltdown in financial markets could accomplish that goal. But U.S. sanctions on Iran and Russia may make it harder for those countries to operate, though both desperately need petrodollars. A warm El Nino winter in the U.S. could ultimately benefit growers if less heating oil gets burned, increasing supplies of distillates. Winter normally is the best time to book diesel anyway because farmers here aren t using as much. In the short run, weather could cut the other way. Hurricane Harvey disrupted supplies of fuel from the Texas Gulf a yea ago, and its impact is still being felt in the propane market. The Texas benchmark for propane continues to run nearly 20 cents a gallon higher than costs out of the Conway, Kansas hub. Propane appears to making its seasonal run higher into the heating season, with only limited buying opportunities available now. The strong feel to the petroleum market has helped growers on the revenue side of their income statements. Ethanol remains at a significant discount to gasoline, supporting blending and keeping production strong. Plants churned out near-record amounts of the biofuel last week, though that increased supplies and kept ethanol prices on the defensive.
2 Crude Oil Commitment of Traders - Crude Oil ,000,000 2,500,000 2,000,000 1,500,000 1,000, ,000 - Crude Oil Open Interest net position long/short Crude Oil Futures and Options Managed Money Crude Oil Futures $ $ $ $ $ $20 0 1/1/2014 1/1/2015 1/1/2016 1/1/2017 1/1/2018 $0 Source: CFTC, NYME/CME
3 thousand barrels/day U.S. CRUDE OIL PRODUCTION AND RIG COUNTS Production Rig Counts Source: U.S. EIA, Baker-Hughes oil and gas rigs 550 U.S. CRUDE OIL STOCKS Current 5-Year Min. 5-Year Max. million barrels
4 Stocks WEEKLY ETHANOL PRODUCTION AND STOCKS Production 1150 thousand barrels thousand barrels/day /1/16 11/1/16 1/1/17 3/1/17 5/1/17 7/1/17 9/1/17 11/1/17 1/1/18 3/1/18 5/1/18 7/1/18 Ending stocks Daily Production 2.95 ETHANOL PRODUCTION GALLONS FROM EACH BUSHEL USED Sep 14 Jan 15 May 15 Sep 15 Jan 16 May 16 Sep 16 Jan 17 May 17 Sep 17 Jan 18 May 18
5 Average Corn Belt Ethanol Plant Margins $2.50 $2.00 $1.50 $1.00 $0.50 $0.00 $0.50 $1.00 Average Corn Belt Ethanol Prices $2.40 $2.20 $2.00 $1.80 $1.60 $1.40 $1.20 $1.00
6 U.S. GASOLINE STOCKS 270 Current 5-Year Min. 5-Year Max. 250 million barrels DAYS OF GASOLINE SUPPLIES Current Year Prior Year
7 REFINERY CAPACITY UTILIZATION 100 Current Year Prior Year 95 per cent TOTAL PETROLEUM PRODUCT EXPORTS thousand barrels per day
8 thousand barrels MIDWEST DIESEL Stocks Production thousand barrels/day
9 MID CONTINENT DIESEL SEASONAL cents/gal /5 8/5 9/5 10/5 11/5 12/5 1/5 2/5 3/5 4/5 5/5 6/5 MID CONTINENT DIESEL SEASONAL BASIS $ $0.15 $0.10 cents/gal $0.05 $0.00 $0.05 $0.10 $0.15 7/5 8/5 9/5 10/5 11/5 12/5 1/5 2/5 3/5 4/5 5/5 6/5
10 330 GROUP 3 DIESEL SEASONAL /1 8/1 9/1 10/1 11/1 12/1 1/1 2/1 3/1 4/1 5/1 6/1 $0.15 $0.10 GROUP 3 DIESEL SEASONAL BASIS $0.05 $0.00 $0.05 $0.10 $0.15 $0.20 7/1 8/1 9/1 10/1 11/1 12/1 1/1 2/1 3/1 4/1 5/1 6/1
11 U.S. DIESEL STOCKS 180 Current 5-Year Min. 5-Year Max million barrels DAYS OF DISTILLATE SUPPLIES
12 Crude oil $72 $67 ENERGY FUTURES PRICE CURVE Diesel $2.30 $2.20 $62 $2.10 $2.00 $57 $52 Crude oil Diesel $1.90 $1.80 $47 Aug 2018 Aug 2019 Aug 2020 Aug 2021 $ DIESEL SWAPS Mid Continent Group
13 U.S. PROPANE STOCKS 115 Current 5-Year Min. 5-Year Max million barrels DAYS OF PROPANE SUPPLIES
14 TOTAL PROPANE SUPPLIED (DEMAND) thousand barrels per day Spot propane prices vs Crude oil $200 $180 $160 $140 $120 $100 $80 $60 $40 $20 $0 Mid-Continent Propane Crude Oil
15 Seasonal propane prices (Mont Belvieu, Texas) Average Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Average Seasonal propane prices (Conway, Kansas) Average Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
16 CME Swaps Curve Mont Belvieu, TX wholesale price $1.00 $0.95 $0.90 $0.85 $0.80 $0.75 $0.70 $0.65 $0.60 $0.55 $ Aug 18 Nov 19 Feb 19 May 19 Aug 19 Nov 20 Feb 20 May 20 Aug 20 Nov 21 Feb 21 May 21 Aug 21 Nov 22 Feb 22 May 22 Aug 22 Nov per gallon Source: CME Group CME Swaps Curve Conway Kansas wholesale price per gallon $0.95 $0.90 $0.85 $0.80 $0.75 $0.70 $0.65 $0.60 $0.55 $0.50 $0.45 Source: CME Group
Prices indeed dropped on Thursday, aided by a surprise increase in crude oil supplies caused by stronger imports.
Trump s war on OPEC Farm fuel prices resist President s attempt to jawbone cartel By Bryce Knorr, senior grain market analyst For a day or two, at least, it looked like President Trump s attempt to tweet
More informationDiesel prices finally ease Winter weather and international events could determine your fuel bill for 2018 By Bryce Knorr, senior grain market analyst
Diesel prices finally ease Winter weather and international events could determine your fuel bill for 2018 By Bryce Knorr, senior grain market analyst After rallying to their highest level in nearly three
More informationDiesel prices at multi-year highs mean pain at the pump
Diesel prices at multi-year highs mean pain at the pump Conflicting signals from Wall Street keep commodity prices unsettled By Bryce Knorr, senior grain market analyst Headline news this week provided
More informationStart covering fall fuel needs OPEC unity stabilizes oil market for now By Bryce Knorr, senior grain market analyst
Start covering fall fuel needs OPEC unity stabilizes oil market for now By Bryce Knorr, senior grain market analyst OPEC and its allies are a strange bunch. Iran hates Saudi Arabia as much as it dislikes
More informationIt s time to start buying propane for fall Expect to pay more to dry 2017 corn crop By Bryce Knorr, senior grain market analyst
It s time to start buying propane for fall Expect to pay more to dry 2017 corn crop By Bryce Knorr, senior grain market analyst It s the end of winter hopefully and that means it s a good time to buy coats,
More informationEnergy Outlook. U.S. Energy Information Administration. For EnerCom Dallas February 22, 2018 Dallas, TX
Energy Outlook For EnerCom Dallas Dallas, TX Jeff Barron Industry Economist, U.S. Energy Information Administration U.S. Energy Information Administration Independent Statistics & Analysis www.eia.gov
More informationPetroleum and Natural Gas Situation
Petroleum and Natural Gas Situation John C. Felmy Chief Economist and Director Statistics Department American Petroleum Institute Felmyj@api.org www.api.org www.gasolineandyou.org www.naturalgasfacts.org
More informationA summary of national and global energy indicators. FEDERAL RESERVE BANK of KANSAS CITY
THE U.S. Energy DATABOOK A summary of national and global energy indicators JULY 1, 17 FEDERAL RESERVE BANK of KANSAS CITY SUMMARY OF CURRENT ENERGY CONDITIONS The number of total active drilling rigs
More informationHistory gives hope for wheat rally Be sure to reward $2 rally. By Bryce Knorr, Senior Grain Market Analyst
History gives hope for wheat rally Be sure to reward $2 rally By Bryce Knorr, Senior Grain Market Analyst For years the wheat market stagnated waiting for a single trigger: A sharp reduction in global
More informationMay 2018 Short-Term Energy Outlook
May 2018 for Williston Basin Petroleum Conference Bismarck, N.D. by Dr. Linda Capuano Administrator U.S. Energy Information Administration Independent Statistics & Analysis www.eia.gov Brent crude oil
More informationBasis gains despite transport woes Floods shut river system while congestion snarls rail traffic to Mexico By Bryce Knorr
Basis gains despite transport woes Floods shut river system while congestion snarls rail traffic to Mexico By Bryce Knorr Transportation problems at harvest are nothing new for farmers, but when they occur
More informationENERGY SLIDESHOW. Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
ENERGY SLIDESHOW Updated: March 13, 2018 ENERGY PRICES www.dallasfed.org/research/energy Brent & WTI & Crude Brent Oil Crude Oil Dollars per barrel 140 Brent (Mar 9 = $65.12) WTI (Mar 9 = $61.65) 120 100
More informationENERGY SLIDESHOW. Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas
ENERGY SLIDESHOW Updated: January 16, 2019 ENERGY PRICES www.dallasfed.org/research/energy Brent & WTI & Crude Brent Oil Crude Oil Dollars per barrel 140 120 100 Brent (Jan 11 = $58.64) WTI (Jan 11 = $50.78)
More informationNo sale Farmers continue to hold tight By Bryce Knorr
No sale Farmers continue to hold tight By Bryce Knorr Basis in the grain cash market didn t firm everywhere during Thanksgiving week, but overall the trend is for strengthening as growers resist selling
More informationCommercial-in-Confidence Ashton Old Baths Financial Model - Detailed Cashflow
Year 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 Oct-16 Nov-16 Dec-16 Jan-17 Feb-17 Mar-17 Apr-17 May-17 Jun-17 Jul-17 Aug-17 Sep-17 Oct-17 2,038 2,922 4,089 4,349 6,256 7,124 8,885 8,885 8,885 8,885 8,885 8,885 9,107
More informationGas & electricity - at a glance
$/barrel /tco 2 e p/therm /MWh Gas & electricity - at a glance Week-on-Week Annual Gas Price Changes Short-term gas contracts jump Cold snap forecast for the first half of February, lifting demand Longer-dated
More informationStrong Global Grain Production Isn t Good Enough. David Hightower The Hightower Report
Strong Global Grain Production Isn t Good Enough David Hightower The Hightower Report Big Picture Factors Cost of Production Pricing Not a downtrend signal Goldman $20 oil Forecast was wrong 8.9 mbd!
More informationWeekly Fuel Monitor Update
May 1, 2006 DISTILLATES AND DIESEL UPDATE NYMEX heating oil futures settled higher Friday amid concerns about world supply disruptions given ongoing militant activity in Nigeria that is cutting into supplies
More informationUS biofuel Indicators and a changing market dynamic
US biofuel Indicators and a changing market dynamic Seth Meyer AMIS October 1-2, 13, Rome Movement of Ag and Energy Ethanol production and capacity 16 35 Crude oil and maize prices 14 3 billion gallons
More information2017 Risk and Profit Conference Breakout Session Presenters. 13. Ethanol and Biodiesel Market and Profitability Prospects
2017 Risk and Profit Conference Breakout Session Presenters 13. Ethanol and Biodiesel Market and Profitability Prospects Dan O Brien Daniel O Brien was raised on a grain and livestock
More informationMacroeconomic Outlook. Presented by Dr. Bruce A. Scherr Chairman of the Board Chief Executive Officer Emeritus
Macroeconomic Outlook Presented by Dr. Bruce A. Scherr Chairman of the Board Chief Executive Officer Emeritus Waterways Symposium Cincinnati, OH November 15-17, 2016 Topics Energy Macro Implications Inflation
More informationPREVIEW FundamentalEdge Report October 2018
GLOBAL CRUDE OIL SUPPLY AND DEMAND PREVIEW FundamentalEdge Report October 2018 learn more at drillinginfo.com Key Takeaways This is a PREVIEW of a 20+ Page Report Global Crude Oil Supply and Demand is
More informationThe Changing Relationship Between the Price of Crude Oil and the Price At the Pump
In 2007, what goes up, does not necessarily come down... May 3, 2007 The Changing Relationship Between the Price of Crude Oil and the Price At the Pump Prepared by: Tim Hamilton Petroleum Industry Consultant
More informationEnergy Briefing: US Petroleum Products Supplied
Energy Briefing: US Petroleum Products Supplied December 29, 217 Dr. Edward Yardeni 516-972-7683 eyardeni@ Mali Quintana 48-664-1333 aquintana@ Please visit our sites at www. blog. thinking outside the
More informationWhat you might have missed Bioenergy Situation & Outlook
What you might have missed Bioenergy Situation & Outlook Ag Lenders Conference David Ripplinger Fall 2018 Record US Corn Ethanol Production Record US Corn Ethanol Exports Expanding US Corn Ethanol Capacity
More informationCOMPARISON OF FIXED & VARIABLE RATES (25 YEARS) CHARTERED BANK ADMINISTERED INTEREST RATES - PRIME BUSINESS*
COMPARISON OF FIXED & VARIABLE RATES (25 YEARS) 2 Fixed Rates Variable Rates For Internal Use Only. FIXED RATES OF THE PAST 25 YEARS AVERAGE RESIDENTIAL MORTGAGE LENDING RATE - 5 YEAR* (Per cent) Year
More informationUS Crude Oil Reshaping International Crude Oil Flows. Olivier Jakob,
US Crude Oil Reshaping International Crude Oil Flows Olivier Jakob, ojakob@petromatrix.com www.petromatrix.com Claimer Petromatrix publishes since 2006 a daily market note on the oil markets Our reports
More informationCOMPARISON OF FIXED & VARIABLE RATES (25 YEARS) CHARTERED BANK ADMINISTERED INTEREST RATES - PRIME BUSINESS*
COMPARISON OF FIXED & VARIABLE RATES (25 YEARS) 2 Fixed Rates Variable Rates FIXED RATES OF THE PAST 25 YEARS AVERAGE RESIDENTIAL MORTGAGE LENDING RATE - 5 YEAR* (Per cent) Year Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun
More informationMarket Outlook. David Reinbott.
Market Outlook David Reinbott Agriculture Business Specialist P.O. Box 187 Benton, MO 63736 (573) 545-3516 http://extension.missouri.edu/scott/agriculture.aspx reinbottd@missouri.edu Trending Issues Volatile
More information05/17/2011
RETAIL DIESEL FUEL OUTLOOK A Fundamental Petroleum Trends Weekly Report Lehi German Tel: 816.505.0980 www.fundamentalpetroleumtrends.com Tuesday, May 17, 2011 Diesel Fuel Price Trends U.S. retail diesel
More informationOil Markets into Peter Davies Chief Economist, BP plc British Institute of Energy Economics London. 24 January, 2006
Oil Markets into 26 Peter Davies Chief Economist, BP plc British Institute of Energy Economics London. 24 January, 26 Outline Oil and energy today How did we get to here? Prospects for 26 Into the medium
More information02/02/2011
www.fundamentalpetroleumtrends.com 2/2/211 WEEKLY GASOLINE FUNDAMENTAL-PRICE-BASIS OUTLOOK A Fundamental Petroleum Trends Weekly Report Lehi German Tel: 816..98 www.fundamentalpetroleumtrends.com Wednesday,
More informationMacro economic and Energy Factors Driving the Agricultural Outlook
Macro economic and Energy Factors Driving the Agricultural Outlook Michael Swanson Ph.D. Wells Fargo September 2013 Inter connected Markets Economic growth GDP, Population and Income Currency competition
More informationIEA Refinery Outlook European Recovery in Sight?
IEA Refinery Outlook European Recovery in Sight? Platts 6 th Annual European Refining Markets Conference Brussels, 24-25 September 2012 Toril Bosoni, International Energy Agency Subdued Global Oil Demand
More informationWEEKLY REFINING INDICATORS REPORT WEEK ENDING 06/17/2016
WEEKLY REFINING INDICATORS REPORT WEEK ENDING 06/17/2016 Blake Fernandez, Analyst 713.393.4524 blakef@howardweil.com Quick Take: Somewhat bearish stats on the refining side as we had hoped for some gasoline
More informationGlobal Overview of Middle Distillates Supply and Demand ICE Market Forum Rotterdam, November 2012
Global Overview of Middle Distillates Supply and Demand ICE Market Forum Rotterdam, November 2012 About Petromatrix Based in Switzerland (city of Zug) Publishes a daily newsletter on oil markets Mix of
More informationWeek Letter. Latest on the Oil& Gas market. January the 21th - January the 25th
Week Letter Latest on the Oil& Gas market January the 21th - January the 25th Headlines this week US oil and gas firms are ready to spend as confidence grows Iran Looks To Boost Oil, Gas Production Capacity
More informationSoybean Trade Growth: A Story of Brazil, the United States, and China
United States Department of Agriculture Foreign Agricultural Service October 2017 Soybean Trade Growth: A Story of Brazil, the United States, and China 12-Month Soybean Export Growth Year Ending September
More informationEarly-Season U.S. Soybean Meal Sales Surge
United States Department of Agriculture Foreign Agricultural Service November 2014 Early-Season U.S. Soybean Meal Sales Surge U.S. soybean meal export commitments (accumulated exports plus outstanding
More informationReviewing a volatile year for PET What does the future hold?
Reviewing a volatile year for PET What does the future hold? Matt Tudball Head of European Markets www.icis.com 1 Agenda PET price and sentiment drivers in 2017: Europe, Americas, Asia & feedstocks Predictions
More informationRecent Developments in EU Refining and in the Supply and Trade of Petroleum Products
Recent Developments in EU Refining and in the Supply and Trade of Petroleum Products Third Meeting of the EU Refining Forum Brussels, 22 May 2014 Toril Bosoni, International Energy Agency OECD/IEA 2014
More informationMajor Junctions Ahead Energy, Grains and Metals. David Hightower President, The Hightower Report
Major Junctions Ahead Energy, Grains and Metals David Hightower President, The Hightower Report 30 25 23.55 2018 Commodity Performance - Annual Percent Change 20 16.49 15 10 10.09 6.44 5 0 0.24-5 -10-15
More informationEthanol and the Economics of Octane The Superior Solution
Ethanol and the Economics of Octane The Superior Solution Geoff Cooper Renewable Fuels Association October 20, 2017 Today s Presentation What is octane and why is it important? Options for boosting octane
More informationUpdate of Poultry Fundamentals April 18
Update of Poultry Fundamentals April 18 Contact us: 402.898.9458 www.advancedeconomicsolutions.com knox@aesresearch.com Visit our updated website Follow us on Twitter @AES_Research 4/13/2018 AdvancedEconomicSolutions
More informationThe Fuel and Vehicle Trends Report August 31, 2016
ISSN 1948-2388 The Fuel and Vehicle Trends Report August 31, 2016 This report is a summary of the latest fuel prices and other oil industry key statistics. In addition, this report provides the latest
More informationANALYST BRIEFING FOR THE FOURTH QUARTER ENDED FEBRUARY 2017
ANALYST BRIEFING FOR THE FOURTH QUARTER ENDED 2016 22 FEBRUARY 2017 MSM Malaysia Holdings Berhad Analyst Briefing Q4 2016 22/2/2017 1 CONTENTS 01 02 03 04 05 Group Financial Highlights Performance Review
More informationDAILY MARKET REPORT 01 NOVEMBER 2018
DAILY MARKET REPORT 01 NOVEMBER 2018 Unigrain (Pty) Ltd Tel. No. : +27 11 692 4400 Fax. No. : +27 11 412 1183 Economic Indicators Quote at 12h00 previous day Current quote Change % Change Rand/Dollar 14.74
More informationNEW HAMPSHIRE GAS CORPORATION WINTER PERIOD ORIGINAL FILING CONTENTS 3. CONVERSION OF GAS COSTS - GALLONS TO THERMS SCHEDULE A
NEW HAMPSHIRE GAS CORPORATION COST OF GAS RATE FILING - DG 13- WINTER PERIOD 2013-2014 ORIGINAL FILING CONTENTS 1. TARIFF PAGE - COST OF GAS RATE 2. MARKED TARIFF PAGE - COST OF GAS RATE 3. CONVERSION
More informationNEU Electric and Natural Gas Price Update
$ / MWH Jan-11 May-11 Sep-11 Sep-12 Jan-13 Electric: Short-Term Outlook The NYMEX Northern Illinois Hub 12-month forward price at the end of August 2016 for the September 2016 to August 2017 period was
More informationCopyright 2018 Renewable Energy Group, Inc. AFOA Biomass Based Diesel Market Trends
AFOA Biomass Based Diesel Market Trends Agenda Production Trends Modest and steady growth in biodiesel Potential Growth in RD, timeline is uncertain Co-processing volume yet to materialize Market Trends
More informationSystem Management Principles Statement
System Management Principles Statement Compliance report for December 213 and January 214 Summary of balancing actions and breaches for December 213 - January 214 Performance compared to last year Summary
More informationFuel Oil Sulfur Spreads Set to Widen Through 2020 Regulations upend bunker fuel market.
? Fuel Oil Sulfur Spreads Set to Widen Through 2020 Regulations upend bunker fuel market. Morningstar Commodities Research June 11, 2018 Sandy Fielden Director, Oil and Products Research +1 512 431-8044
More informationMarket Report Series: Oil 2018 Analysis & Forecasts to Energy Community 10 th Oil Forum, Belgrade, 25 September 2018
Market Report Series: Oil 218 Analysis & Forecasts to 223 Energy Community 1 th Oil Forum, Belgrade, 25 September 218 Short term update: crude prices (excl. WTI) up strongly Aug/Sep $/bbl 8 Benchmark Crude
More informationFuel Focus. Understanding Gasoline Markets in Canada and Economic Drivers Influencing Prices. Issue 20, Volume 8
Fuel Focus Understanding Gasoline Markets in Canada and Economic Drivers Influencing Prices Issue 20, Volume 8 October 18, 2013 Copies of this publication may be obtained free of charge from: Natural Resources
More informationMidwest Association of Rail Shippers
January 13, 2016 Midwest Association of Rail Shippers Lance Fritz Chairman and CEO Union Pacific 1 2015 Economic Results Consumer-driven growth 1 Consumer Spending 2 Light Vehicle Sales 3.6% 3.0% 3.0%
More informationCanola Weekly. Index. WCE May/07 Canola Jul 9-Aug 14-Sep 20-Oct 27-Nov 4-Jan 8-Feb 16-Mar
March 2, 2 Canola Weekly Index ) Canola Steady Despite Weak Soy Complex 2) Slow Crush Improves Canola Oil Basis ) Export Demand Underpins Canola Last week, we mentioned that May canola had key support
More information2007 AAEA Livestock Outlook Symposium
27 AAEA Livestock Outlook Symposium Ron Plain Professor of Agricultural Economics University of Missouri-Columbia www.ssu.missouri.edu/faculty/rplain Hog Price Outlook Production Efficiency 1 Head 9.5
More informationHEAVY FUEL THE NARROWING LIGHT-HEAVY CRUDE OIL SPREAD
Jan-95 Jan-96 Jan-97 Jan-98 Jan-99 Jan-00 Jan-01 Jan-02 Jan-03 Jan-04 Jan-05 Jan-06 Jan-07 Jan-08 Jan-09 Jan-10 Jan-11 Jan-12 Jan-13 Jan-14 Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17 $/B HEAVY FUEL THE NARROWING LIGHT-HEAVY
More informationSoybean Oil Prices Diverge on Different Supply Situations
United States Department of Agriculture Foreign Agricultural Service Circular Series FOP 10-09 October 2009 Soybean Oil Prices Diverge on Different Supply Situations Soybean Oil Price ($/ton) $900 $850
More informationThe Shale Boom Heard Around the World
The Shale Boom Heard Around the World Ben Montalbano Director of Research and Operations Energy Policy Research Foundation, Inc. (EPRINC) Clingendael Institute November 5, 2013 Is this the wrong question?
More informationSoybean and Oilseed Meal Import Prospects Higher as Severe Weather Damages EU Crops
Million Tons Million Tons Million Tons United States Department of Agriculture Foreign Agricultural Service August 2018 Soybean and Oilseed Meal Import Prospects Higher as Severe Weather Damages EU Crops
More informationAbout Czarnikow. The Premier Provider of Sugar Market Services. Czarnikow has been in the sugar business since 1861
About Czarnikow The Premier Provider of Sugar Market Services Czarnikow has been in the sugar business since 1861 Czarnikow is the leading professional services company in the sugar market Czarnikow has
More information2016/17 Global Olive Oil Production Down But Prices Stabilize
United States Department of Agriculture Foreign Agricultural Service November 2016 Global Olive Oil Down But Prices Stabilize Global Olive Oil and Stocks 4000 3500 5000 Extra Virgin Olive Oil Prices Stabilizing
More informationWhere are palm oil prices heading?
Where are palm oil prices heading? Grepalma Congress August 2016 2016 LMC International. All rights reserved. www.lmc.co.uk Palm oil is still tied to petroleum today. El Niño and the Chinese Strategic
More informationWeekly Petroleum Status Report
DOE/EIA-0208(2015-34) Distribution Category UC-98 Data for Week Ended: August 14, 2015 Weekly Petroleum Status Report EIA DATA ARE AVAILABLE IN ELECTRONIC FORM The tables in the Weekly Petroleum Status
More informationBrent spot. Brent 20-day rolling average. WTI - Brent Arb. USD per barrel. USD per barrel
USD per barrel USD per barrel Oil benchmark prices are looking bullish again as Saudi Arabia and Russia announced that they will be extending production cuts until March 2018. The extension would reinforce
More informationEnergy Briefing: US Petroleum Weekly Inventories
Energy Briefing: US Petroleum Weekly Inventories September 6, 18 Dr. Edward Yardeni 516-972-7683 eyardeni@ Debbie Johnson 480-664-1333 djohnson@ Mali Quintana 480-664-1333 aquintana@ Please visit our sites
More informationFor Region 5 and Region 7 Regional Response Teams Meeting April 22, 2015 St. Charles, Missouri via video/teleconference
For Region 5 and Region 7 Regional Response Teams Meeting St. Charles, Missouri via video/teleconference By Grant Nülle, Upstream Oil & Gas Economist, Exploration and Production Analysis Team U.S. Energy
More informationShort - Term Outlook for the World Oil Market and Oil Price
Short - Term Outlook for the World Oil Market and Oil Price Supplement to the Short-term Energy Supply and Demand Outlook Presented at the 376th Regular Meeting of Research Briefings 1. Background of recent
More informationBiofuels: Implications for Prices and Production. Darrel L. Good and Scott H. Irwin
Biofuels: Implications for Prices and Production Darrel L. Good and Scott H. Irwin Why Ethanol? Convert relatively abundant domestic sources of energy into a substitute for imported petroleum Energy Conversion
More informationIndian Soybean Meal Exports Unlikely to Recover in 2015/16
United States Department of Agriculture Foreign Agricultural Service November 2015 Indian Soybean Meal Exports Unlikely to Recover in Though once a significant regional exporter of soybean meal, India
More informationNorth American Storage and Transportation Trends
North American Storage and Transportation Trends Brian Busch Director, Oil Markets and Business Development www.genscape.com 2016 Genscape Incorporated. All rights reserved. What we do 2 Current State
More informationRESULTS FOR Q ANALYST TELECONFERENCE
RESULTS FOR Q4 216 ANALYST TELECONFERENCE Market 1 2 Operation Financials 3 Market 1 216 Fourth Quarter Market Conditions Product Market Crude Oil Postponed Maintenances Started to take place High Agricultural
More informationEnergy Briefing: US Gasoline Weekly
Energy Briefing: US Gasoline Weekly February 16, 2018 Dr. Edward Yardeni 516-972-7683 eyardeni@ Debbie Johnson 480-664-1333 djohnson@ Mali Quintana 480-664-1333 aquintana@ Please visit our sites at www.
More informationArgentine Exporters Switch to Soybean Oil as Biodiesel Exports Fall
United States Department of Agriculture Foreign Agricultural Service Circular Series FOP 08-13 Argentine Exporters Switch to Soybean Oil as Biodiesel Exports Fall Argentina s soybean oil exports have surged
More informationDefining the Debate: Crude Oil Exports
Defining the Debate: Crude Oil Exports Trisha Curtis, Director of Research Upstream and Midstream Energy Policy Research Foundation, Inc. (EPRINC) Brookings Task Force February 28th, 214 About EPRINC www.eprinc.org
More informationPalm and Soy Oil Use Expands at Expense of Other Oils
United States Department of Agriculture Foreign Agricultural Service September 2015 Revised on September 15, 2015 Palm and Soy Oil Use Expands at Expense of Other Oils As global demand for vegetable oil
More informationJet Demand Takeoff - Strong Prospects for U.S. Refiners Bunker fuel changes to boost prices in a growing market.
? Jet Demand Takeoff - Strong Prospects for U.S. Refiners Bunker fuel changes to boost prices in a growing market. Morningstar Commodities Research March 26, 2018 Sandy Fielden Director, Oil and Products
More informationEmerging Trends in Petroleum Markets
Emerging Trends in Petroleum Markets For Defense Logistics Agency, Worldwide Energy Conference Washington, D.C. By T. Mason Hamilton, Petroleum Markets Analyst U.S. Energy Information Administration Independent
More informationChina Tariffs Driving U.S. Soybean Exports To the European Union to a 30-Year High
United States Department of Agriculture Foreign Agricultural Service March 2019 China Tariffs Driving U.S. Soybean Exports To the European Union to a 30-Year High 12-MONTH MOVING TOTAL U.S. SOYBEAN EXPORTS
More informationFOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
Article No. 6928 Available on www.roymorgan.com Roy Morgan Unemployment Profile Wednesday, 17 August 2016 Australian real unemployment jumps to 10.5% (up 0.9%) in July during post-election uncertainty
More informationTHE PARTNERSHIP OF RAIL & COAL MOVING AHEAD 2014 RMCMI ANNUAL MEETING SEPTEMBER 19, 2014
THE PARTNERSHIP OF RAIL & COAL MOVING AHEAD 2014 RMCMI ANNUAL MEETING SEPTEMBER 19, 2014 1 BNSF is a Leading U.S. Railroad A Berkshire Hathaway company 32,500 route miles in 28 states and two Canadian
More informationSystem Management Principles Statement
System Management Principles Statement Compliance report for September 214 and October 214 Summary of balancing actions and breaches for September 214 October 214 Performance compared to last year Summary
More informationU.S. GASOLINE AND DISTILLATE FUELS UPDATE - DECEMBER 20, 2017
U.S. GASOLINE AND DISTILLATE FUELS UPDATE - DECEMBER 20, 2017 PRICE TRENDS Monday, December 18 According to the Energy Information Administration (EIA), the average U.S. retail price for regular grade
More informationOutlook for Franchised New Car Dealers
1 Outlook for Franchised New Car Dealers Fourteenth Annual Automotive Outlook Symposium June 1, 2007 Paul Taylor, Ph.D., Chief Economist National Automobile Dealers Association, McLean, VA www.nada.org
More informationSharp Decline in Vegetable Oil Stocks Leads to Steeply Higher Prices
United States Department of Agriculture Foreign Agricultural Service Circular Series FOP 1-11 Sharp Decline in Vegetable Oil Leads to Steeply Higher Prices Commodity prices have been on an upward trend
More informationRESEARCH & KNOWLEDGE MANAGEMENT. Oil & Gas Updates: US Shale Industry
RESEARCH & KNOWLEDGE MANAGEMENT FEBRUARY 218 Key highlights US crude oil and condensate proved reserves amounted to 35.2bln barrels (-12% YoY) in 215, based on the latest available data. The share of tight
More informationAssessment of Summer 1997 Motor Gasoline Price Increase
DOE/EIA-0621 May 1998 Assessment of Summer 1997 Motor Gasoline Price Increase Washington DC 20585 This report was prepared by the, the independent statistical and analytical agency within the Department
More informationDevaluation Energizes Argentine Soybean Crush
United States Department of Agriculture Foreign Agricultural Service March 2016 Devaluation Energizes Argentine Soybean Crush Argentina Quarterly Soybean Crush Volume Exchange Rate* and Constant Dollar
More informationMeasuring the Quality of the Crude Oil Supply and its Impact on Basis Differentials
Measuring the Quality of the Crude Oil Supply and its Impact on Basis Differentials Quality Flexibility Relationship Innovation Information = Advantage Ali AL-SUMAITI PhD Candidate, Colorado School of
More informationU.S. Soybean Prices Fall as Buyers Focus Turns to South America
United States Department of Agriculture Foreign Agricultural Service Circular Series FOP 2-10 ruary 2010 U.S. Soybean Prices Fall as Buyers Focus Turns to South America $11.00 Daily U.S. Soybean Cash Price
More informationA perspective on the refining industry. Platts European Refining Summit Brussels, 29 September2016 Kristine Petrosyan, International Energy Agency
A perspective on the refining industry Platts European Refining Summit Brussels, 29 September2016 Kristine Petrosyan, International Energy Agency OECD/IEA 2016 mb/d European refiners: busy 2015 OECD Europe
More informationFuel Focus. Understanding Gasoline Markets in Canada and Economic Drivers Influencing Prices. Issue 24, Volume 8
Fuel Focus Understanding Gasoline Markets in Canada and Economic Drivers Influencing Prices Issue 24, Volume 8 December, Copies of this publication may be obtained free of charge from: Natural Resources
More informationPOSITIONED FOR GROWTH BNSF Railway. John Miller Group Vice President Agricultural Products BNSF Railway
POSITIONED FOR GROWTH BNSF Railway John Miller Group Vice President Agricultural Products BNSF Railway 1 Historic Rail Industry Volumes U.S. Class I Weekly Rail Volumes 800,000 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
More informationU.S. Soybean Exports Forecast to Reach Record
United States Department of Agriculture Foreign Agricultural Service July 2017 U.S. Soybean Exports Forecast to Reach Record 60 Accumulated Exports by Week Total Commitments of Soybeans as of End of June
More informationPHOTOS: SHUTTERSTOCK. June Editor s note: The Arkansas Energy Report is Sponsored by MISO & Arkansas State Chamber of Commerce.
PHOTOS: SHUTTERSTOCK June 2016 Editor s note: The Arkansas Energy Report is Sponsored by MISO & Arkansas State Chamber of Commerce. Arkansas energy picture in recent months is one of low pump prices, a
More informationStrong Brazilian Soybean Sales Expected to Slow Rebound in Argentine Exports
United States Department of Agriculture Foreign Agricultural Service December 2018 Strong Brazilian Soybean Sales Expected to Slow Rebound in Argentine Exports Oct. 1 - Nov. 30 Brazil Soybean Exports (Million
More informationU.S. Dis(llates: A tale of economic resurgence and failed policy
U.S. Dis(llates: A tale of economic resurgence and failed policy Ben Montalbano Director, Research and Opera7ons Energy Policy Research Founda7on, Inc. (EPRINC) PlaDs 2 nd Annual North American Refined
More informationOperational Overview. Operational Forum, 24 th March 2010
Operational Overview Operational Forum, 24 th March 21 Weather Weather February 21 The cold weather continued throughout February with all but one day being colder than the 17-year seasonal normal CWV.
More informationThe Lies We ve Been Told
The Lies We ve Been Told November 18, 2008 Role of Petroleum in U.S. Energy Policy Meeting of the Committee on Earth Resources Board on Earth Sciences and Resources National Research Council of the National
More information