Balancing Responsibilities

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1 Balancing Actions Place your chosen image here. The four corners must just cover the arrow tips. For covers, the three pictures should be the same size and in a straight line.

2 Balancing Responsibilities National Shippers Role Grid s Role Residual Balancer Ensure Obliged NTS to balance provide commercial is within safe input operating and output limits nominations (forecasts) balancing trade actions at times of forecast imbalance No obligation to physically balance portfolio Cannot instruct users Incentivised to balance portfolio NTS Connected neutral Sites to direct costs of system NTS Connected balancing, Sites but Obliged incentivised to provide physical to ensure Obliged to provide physical entry profiles (DFN s) exit profiles (OPN s) Daily change in line pack < 2.8mcm Impact of actions taken on price is minimised Gas Supply Gas demand 2

3 Shipper Balancing Responsibilities Shippers Role Obliged to provide commercial input and output nominations to National Grid before the day (forecasts) Can chose to re-nominate throughout the gas day Incentivised to ensure nominations / re-nominations are accurate Incentivised rather than obliged to physically balance portfolio NTS Connected Sites Obliged to provide physical entry profiles (DFN s) Gas Supply NTS Connected Sites Obliged to provide physical exit profiles (OPN s) Gas demand 3

4 Projected Closing Linepack v Closing Linepack 4

5 Linepack Target National Grid are incentivised to keep linepack changes to below 2.8mcm day on day. The volume of linepack required could differ each day due to: Changes in Supply and Demand ranges Maintenance Activities Pressure requirements at the offtakes of our customers Operational Risk Envelope 5

6 th September 24 Opening Linepack 339.9, PCLP 348.8, Target UKCS 2. Storage System closed at Storage PCLP : 8: : 2: 4: 6: 8: 2: 22: : 2: 4: 6: Supply Reduction: 7.4 Interconnector Supply Loss: 5.7 UKCS Supply Loss: 4.4 UKCS Supply Reduction: 2.7 Interconnector Demand Increase: 2.2 Interconnector 6

7 th September OCM Trading 7 9/Sep/24 3:2 /Sep/24 6: /Sep/24 7:22 /Sep/24 8:5 /Sep/24 :32 /Sep/24 :55 /Sep/24 :52 /Sep/24 2:7 /Sep/24 2:39 /Sep/24 3:24 /Sep/24 4:6 /Sep/24 4:47 /Sep/24 5:47 /Sep/24 6:6 /Sep/24 6:2 /Sep/24 6:5 /Sep/24 7:4 /Sep/24 7:4 /Sep/24 7:43 /Sep/24 7:43 /Sep/24 7:44 /Sep/24 8:34 /Sep/24 8:34 /Sep/24 9: /Sep/24 9:8 /Sep/24 9:29 /Sep/24 9:35 /Sep/24 9:35 /Sep/24 9:59 /Sep/24 2:5 /Sep/24 2:2 /Sep/24 2:44 /Sep/24 2: /Sep/24 2:5 /Sep/24 2:33 /Sep/24 22:2 /Sep/24 22:24 /Sep/24 22:4 /Sep/24 22:45 /Sep/24 22:47 /Sep/24 22:54 /Sep/24 22:58 /Sep/24 23:23 /Sep/24 23:24 /Sep/24 23:47 /Sep/24 23:59 /Sep/24 :4 /Sep/24 :7 /Sep/24 :9 /Sep/24 :59 /Sep/24 :7 /Sep/24 :9 /Sep/24 :32 /Sep/24 :46 /Sep/24 2: /Sep/24 2:28 National Grid Gas Trading Performance Default SMP Default SMP Sell SAP SMP SMP Sell Shipper Transco

8 4 th September 24 Opening Linepack 335.9, PCLP 335.6, Target UKCS 8.2 Storage 2.8 L System closed at 333. PCLP : 8: : 2: 4: 6: 8: 2: 22: : 2: 4: : Supply Reduction: 3.5 Interconnector Supply Reduction: 8.2 Interconnector Supply Loss: 3.3 UKCS 8

9 4 th September OCM Trading 9

10 5 th September 24 Opening Linepack 333., PCLP 37.4 Target UKCS 3.7 Interconnector Supply Increase : 2.7 Storage Supply Loss: 6.4 UKCS System closed at 33.2 PCLP : 8: : 2: 4: 6: 8: 2: 22: : 2: 4: Interconnector 6: 7. Storage 3.2 Storage 2.8 L

11 th September OCM Trading 4/Sep/24 9:2:22 6/Sep/24 :46: 4/Sep/24 2:59:46 4/Sep/24 23:4:44 5/Sep/24 7:43:33 5/Sep/24 :49:7 5/Sep/24 2:7:55 5/Sep/24 4:5:28 5/Sep/24 5:4:45 5/Sep/24 5:53:48 5/Sep/24 6:2:24 5/Sep/24 8:4:29 5/Sep/24 9:8:7 5/Sep/24 9:2:22 5/Sep/24 9:3:23 5/Sep/24 9:57:8 5/Sep/24 2:6:8 5/Sep/24 2:5:7 5/Sep/24 2:58:48 5/Sep/24 2:28:23 5/Sep/24 22::36 5/Sep/24 22::57 5/Sep/24 22:9:5 5/Sep/24 22:8: 5/Sep/24 22:48:56 5/Sep/24 22:53: 5/Sep/24 23:6:46 5/Sep/24 23:7:25 5/Sep/24 23::4 5/Sep/24 23:9: 5/Sep/24 23:53:4 5/Sep/24 23:54:9 6/Sep/24 :7:4 6/Sep/24 :8:47 6/Sep/24 :24:2 6/Sep/24 :35:28 6/Sep/24 :38:8 6/Sep/24 :49:7 6/Sep/24 :54:39 6/Sep/24 :2:9 6/Sep/24 :7:33 6/Sep/24 :8:3 6/Sep/24 :2:27 6/Sep/24 :7:54 6/Sep/24 :3:25 6/Sep/24 :36:33 6/Sep/24 :38:42 6/Sep/24 :44:32 6/Sep/24 2::5 National Grid Gas Trading Performance Default SMP Default SMP Sell SAP SMP SMP Sell Shipper Transco

12 8 th October 24 Opening Linepack 345.6, PCLP Target 344 Demand Decrease: 2.35 Storage System closed at Norway PCLP Sell : 8: : 2: 4: 6: 8: 2: 22: : 2: 4: Sell Sell Sell Sell 6: Supply Reduction: 2. Norway Demand Increase:.2 Interconnector Supply Reduction: 2.5 Norway Supply Reduction: 2.8 Norway Supply Reduction:.8 UKCS 2

13 8 th October OCM Trading 3

14 Interesting Day Gas Day 29 th October 24 Place your chosen image here. The four corners must just cover the arrow tips. For covers, the three pictures should be the same size and in a straight line.

15 High level timeline ) m c (m k c a p e in L Injection Decrease: 5.9mcm MRS : 6 34 : 7 : 8 : 9 : : Withdrawal Increase: 4.7mcm MRS : 2 : 3 Supply loss: 5.9mcm UKCS : 4 : 5 : 6 : 7 : 8 : 9 Max LP Swing (6.2 mcm) Withdrawal Increase: 3.mcm LRS : 2 : 2 : 2 Withdrawal Decrease:.5mcm MRS : 3 2 : : : 2 : 3 : 4 : : 6 Withdrawal Increase:.8mcm MRS P ric e (p /th ) Actual LP PCLP Target LP Opening LP Max LP Swing (6.2 mcm) SMP SMP Sell SAP Trade Sell Trade Withdrawal Increase: 34mcm MRS Withdrawal Increase: 2.6mcm MRS The day opened at 34.7, target set to 342. System closed at

16 Storage Physical Flows 6

17 Shipper Imbalance Top Shipper Light Imbalance at End of Day Trading (MCM) Shipper/Hour bar Shipper Shipper 2 Shipper 3 Shipper 4 Shipper 5 Shipper 6 Shipper 7 Shipper 8 Shipper 9 Shipper 6: : : : : : : : : : : : :

18 OCM Trading 8 28/Oct/24 3:45:42 29/Oct/24 6:4:52 29/Oct/24 8:23:6 29/Oct/24 9:58:5 29/Oct/24 :36:4 29/Oct/24 :34:36 29/Oct/24 2:3:32 29/Oct/24 4:58:43 29/Oct/24 5:58:26 29/Oct/24 7:4:59 29/Oct/24 8:4:46 29/Oct/24 8:33:29 29/Oct/24 8:49: 29/Oct/24 9::3 29/Oct/24 9:26:3 29/Oct/24 9:4:47 29/Oct/24 9:4:49 29/Oct/24 9:44:26 29/Oct/24 9:45:4 29/Oct/24 2:2: 29/Oct/24 2:3:43 29/Oct/24 2:7:2 29/Oct/24 2:9:58 29/Oct/24 2:27:46 29/Oct/24 2:38:29 29/Oct/24 2:39:22 29/Oct/24 2::29 29/Oct/24 2:6:9 29/Oct/24 2:9:59 29/Oct/24 2:22:47 29/Oct/24 2:3:8 29/Oct/24 2:37:4 29/Oct/24 2:43:3 29/Oct/24 2:58:9 29/Oct/24 22:4:36 29/Oct/24 22:48:38 29/Oct/24 22:58:22 29/Oct/24 23:2:4 29/Oct/24 23:3:2 29/Oct/24 23:4: 29/Oct/24 23::6 29/Oct/24 23::49 29/Oct/24 23:24:2 29/Oct/24 23:48:27 3/Oct/24 :6:58 3/Oct/24 :7:5 3/Oct/24 ::5 3/Oct/24 :23:4 3/Oct/24 :24:29 3/Oct/24 :27:7 3/Oct/24 :3: 3/Oct/24 :39:24 3/Oct/24 :6:47 3/Oct/24 :27:42 3/Oct/24 2:9:57 3/Oct/24 2:6:32 3/Oct/24 2:2:45 3/Oct/24 2:42:24 3/Oct/24 3:4:5 3/Oct/24 3:34:58 National Grid Gas Trading Performance Default SMP Default SMP Sell SAP SMP SMP Sell Shipper Transco

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