36.76% 12.71% 32.56% 10.21%
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1 DIE VRAAG-EN-AANBOD VAN WITMIELIES IN DIE RSA THE SUPPLY AND DEMAND FOR WHITE MAIZE IN SOUTH AFRICA Opgedateer / Updated: SAGIS GSA Projections Oppervlak aangeplant/area planted (x1 000 ha) Opbrengs/Yield (ton/ha) NOK produksie skatting/cec crop estimate ('000ton) Terughoudings / Retentions Minus: vroeë lewerings / Early Deliveries (Current season) Plus: vroeë lewerings (Next season) / Early Deliveries (Next season) Beskikbaar vir kommersiële lewerings / Avalable for Commercial Deliveries Beginvoorraad (1 Mei) / Opening stocks (1 May ) Kommersiële lewerings / Commercial deliveries Surplus (Adjustment of the reconciliation) 22 Invoere /Imports 0 Totaal kommersiële aanbod /Total commercial supply Voedsel / Food *Voer / Feed Totaal / Total Omruilmaal / Gristing Onttrek deur produsente / Withdrawn by producers Vrygestel aan eindverbruikers / Released to end consumers Net Reciepts 8 Totaal / Total Totaal RSA verbruik (kommersieel) / Total RSA consumption (commercial ) Produkte / Products Heelmielies / Whole maize Totaal / Total Exports Totaal kommersiële vraag / Total commercial demand Eindvoorraad (30 April) / Carry-out (30 April) Benodigde pyplyn / Pipeline requirements (1.5 months) Surplus bo pyplyn/surplus above pipeline Eindvoorrade as % van RSA verbruik/ Carry-out as a % of RSA consumption Eindvoorrade as % van totale kommersiële vraag/ Carry-out as a % of total commercial demand 36.76% 12.71% 32.56% 10.21% **Uitvoere verteenwoordig uitvoerbare surplus gegewe 'n pyplyn voorraad van 1.5 mnde
2 DIE VRAAG-EN-AANBOD VAN GEELMIELIES IN DIE RSA THE SUPPLY AND DEMAND FOR YELLOW MAIZE IN SOUTH AFRICA SAGIS GSA Projections Opgedateer / Updated Bemarkingsjaar/Marketing Year 2017/ /19* Oppervlak aangeplant/area planted (x1 000 ha) Opbrengs/Yield (ton/ha) NOK produksie skatting/cec crop estimate ('000ton) Terughoudings / Retentions Minus: vroeë lewerings / Early Deliveries (Current season) Plus: vroeë lewerings / Early Deliveries (Next season) Beskikbaar vir kommersiële lewerings / Avalable for Commercial Deliveries Beginvoorraad (1 Mei) / Opening stocks (1 May ) Kommersiële lewerings / Commercial deliveries Surplus (Adjustment of the reconciliation) 25 Invoere /Imports 0 Totaal kommersiële aanbod /Total commercial supply Voedsel / Food Voer / Feed Totaal / Total Omruilmaal / Gristing Onttrek deur produsente / Withdrawn by producers Vrygestel aan eindverbruikers / Released to end consumers Net Receipts 8 17 Totaal / Total Totaal RSA verbruik (kommersieel) / Total RSA consumption (commercial ) Produkte / Products Heelmielies / Whole maize Totaal / Total Totaal kommersiële vraag / Total commercial demand Eindvoorraad (30 April) / Carry-out (30 April) Benodigde pyplyn / Pipeline requirements (1.5 months) Surplus bo pyplyn/surplus above pipeline Eindvoorrade as % van RSA verbruik/ Carry-out as a % of RSA consumption 31.59% 13.31% Eindvoorrade as % van totale kommersiële vraag/ Carry-out as a % of total commercial demand 22.43% 7.78% **Uitvoere verteenwoordig uitvoerbare surplus gegewe 'n pyplyn voorraad van 1.5 mnde
3 DIE VRAAG-EN-AANBOD VAN MIELIES IN DIE RSA THE SUPPLY AND DEMAND FOR MAIZE IN SOUTH AFRICA SAGIS GSA Projections Opgedateer / Updated Oppervlak aangeplant/area planted (x1 000 ha) Opbrengs/Yield (ton/ha) NOK produksie skatting/cec crop estimate ('000ton) Terughoudings / Retentions Minus: vroeë lewerings / Early Deliveries (Current season) Plus: vroeë lewerings / Early Deliveries (Next season) Beskikbaar vir kommersiële lewerings / Avalable for Commercial Deliveries Beginvoorraad (1 Mei) / Opening stocks (1 May ) Kommersiële lewerings / Commercial deliveries Surplus 47 Invoere /Imports Totaal kommersiële aanbod /Total commercial supply Voedsel / Food Voer / Feed Totaal / Total Omruilmaal / Gristing Onttrek deur produsente / Withdrawn by producers Vrygestel aan eindverbruikers / Released to end consumers Net Receipts Totaal / Total Totaal RSA verbruik (kommersieel) / Total RSA consumption (commercial) Produkte / Products Heelmielies / Whole maize Totaal / Total Totaal kommersiële vraag / Total commercial demand Eindvoorraad (30 April) / Carry-out (30 April) Benodigde pyplyn / Pipeline requirements (1.5 months) Surplus bo pyplyn / Surplus above pipeline Eindvoorrade as % van RSA verbruik/ Carry-out as a % of RSA consumption 34.81% 12.93% Eindvoorrade as % van totale kommersiële vraag/ Carry-out as a % of total commercial demand 28.21% 9.11%
4 DIE VRAAG-EN-AANBOD VAN SORGHUM IN DIE RSA THE SUPPLY AND DEMAND FOR SORGHUM IN SOUTH AFRICA Opgedateer / Updated SAGIS GSA Projection 27 July July 2018 Oppervlak aangeplant/area planted (x1 000 ha) Opbrengs/Yield (ton/ha) NOK produksie skatting/cec crop estimate ('000ton) Terughoudings en saadproduksie / Retentions and Production of Seed 3 3 Beskikbaar vir kommersiële lewerings / Avalable for Commercial Deliveries Kommersiële aanbod / Commercial Supply Beginvoorraad (1 Maart) / Opening stocks (1 March) Kommersiële lewerings / Commercial deliveries Invoere / Imports Surplus / Surplus Totale kommersiële aanbod / Total commercial supply Kommersiële vraag / Commercial Demand Voedselverbruik / Food consumption Binnenshuise vermouting / Indoor malting Vloervermouting / Floor malting Meel, rys en gruis / Meal, rice and grits Totaal voedsel / Total food Voerverbruik / Feed consumption Troeteldier / Pet Food Pluimvee / Poultry Ander lewende hawe voer / Other livestock feed Totaal voer / Total feed Biobrandstof / Biofuel Ontrek deur produsente / Withdrawn by producers Vrygestel aan eindverbruikers / Released to end consumers SAGIS (Nota 8 / Note 8) Totaal ander verbruik / Total other consumption Totaal kommersiële verbruik / Total domestic demand Uitvoere / Exports Totale vraag / Total demand Eindvoorraad (28 Februarie) / Carry-out (28 February) Benodigde pyplyn / Pipeline requirements Surplus bo pyplyn/surplus above pipeline Eindvoorrade as % van RSA verbruik/ Carry-out as a % of RSA consumption 34.99% 28.17% Eindvoorrade as % van totale kommersiële vraag/ Carry-out as a % of total commercial demand 32.39% 26.92%
5 Sensitiwiteitsanalise van mielie uitvoerbare surplusse gegewe verskeie aanplantings- en opbrengs scenario's vir die 2018/19 bemarkingsjaar - Uitvoerbare surplus is surplus bo pyplyn - Verbruik slegs 3jr. Gemiddelde binnelandse verbruik - Geen Afrika uitvoere by verbruik ingereken nie -20% -15% -10% NOK voorneme +10% +15% +20% - Oordrag voorraad volgens SASDEC skatting Witmielies / White Maize NOK voorneme om te plant (ha) Gemiddele opbrengs (ton/ha) 4.20 Opbrengs Oordrag voorraad 2017/18 (ton) (ton/ha) Totale plaaslike verbruik (3 jr. gemiddeld) (ton) Pyplyn voorraad (± 1.5 mnde) (ton) < ton > ton -20% -15% -10% NOK voorneme +10% +15% +20% Geen surplusse Geelmielies / Yellow Maize NOK voorneme om te plant (ha) Gemiddele opbrengs (ton/ha) 5.40 Opbrengs Oordrag voorraad 2017/18 (ton) (ton/ha) Totale plaaslike verbruik (3 jr. gemiddeld) (ton) Pyplyn voorraad (± 1.5 mnde) (ton) < ton > ton -20% -15% -10% NOK voorneme +10% +15% +20% Geen surplusse Totaal mielies / Total Maize NOK voorneme om te plant (ha) Gemiddele opbrengs (ton/ha) 4.80 Opbrengs Oordrag voorraad 2017/18 (ton) (ton/ha) Totale plaaslike verbruik (3 jr. gemiddeld) (ton) Pyplyn voorraad (± 1.5 mnde) (ton)
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