System Management Principles Statement
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- Daniela Bennett
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1 System Management Principles Statement Compliance report for June 214 to August 214 Summary of balancing actions and breaches for June 214 to Aug 214 Performance compared to last year
2 Summary Report Jun-14 Jul-14 Aug-14 Total Number of Buy Actions Total Number of Sell Actions Total Jun-14 Jul-14 Aug-14 Number of Material Breaches Number of Non-Material Breaches Aug-14 Aug-13 Number of Balancing Actions (Calendar year to date) Number of Material Breaches (Calendar year to date) Number of Non-Material Breaches (Calendar year to date) 2
3 Operational Overview
4 Month-ahead ensemble CWV October 213 to Sept 214 vs. Historical Range 2 15 Degrees CWV /1/213 1/11/213 1/12/213 1/1/214 1/2/214 1/3/214 1/4/214 1/5/214 1/6/214 1/7/214 1/8/214 1/9/214 Minimum to seasonal normal Maximum to seasonal normal Actual CWV Ensemble forecasts Mean Ensemble 4
5 Demands
6 Gas Demand Breakdown 1 st October 213 to 27 th August 214 Vs Previous Year mcm Oct-13 Nov-13 Dec-13 Jan-14 Feb-14 Mar-14 Apr-14 May-14 Jun-14 Jul-14 Aug-14 NDM DM [Exc Interconnectors] Total Interconnector Export Storage Injection Previous Years Actual Demand 6
7 Gas Demand Statistics 1 st October 213 to 27 th August NDM Gas Year 13/14 Average Storage Injection Gas Year 13/14 Max Gas Year 13/14 Min DM [Exc Interconnectors] Total Interconnector Export 7
8 Gas Demand Vs SND / Cold / Warm 1 st October 213 to 27 th August mcm Oct-13 Nov-13 Dec-13 Jan-14 Feb-14 Mar-14 Apr-14 May-14 Jun-14 Jul-14 Aug-14 Total Demand SND Cold Warm 9
9 LDZ Actual Demand Vs LDZ SND 1 st October 213 to 28 th August mcm 1 5 Gas Year 13/14 Average Winter average [Oct to Mar] Summer average [Apr to Current Date] LDZ Actual LDZ SND 1
10 12 Actual Power Generation demand Model High Power Previous Year 1-Oct 8-Oct 15-Oct 22-Oct 29-Oct 5-Nov 12-Nov 19-Nov 26-Nov 3-Dec 1-Dec 17-Dec 24-Dec 31-Dec 7-Jan 14-Jan 21-Jan 28-Jan 4-Feb 11-Feb 18-Feb 25-Feb 4-Mar 11-Mar 18-Mar 25-Mar 1-Apr 8-Apr 15-Apr 22-Apr 29-Apr 6-May 13-May 2-May 27-May 3-Jun 1-Jun 17-Jun 24-Jun 1-Jul 8-Jul 15-Jul 22-Jul 29-Jul 5-Aug 12-Aug mcm/d Gas Consumption for Power Generation October 213 to Aug 214
11 Supplies
12 Gas Supply Breakdown 1 st October 213 to 26 th August 214 vs Previous Year mcm Oct-13 Nov-13 Dec-13 Jan-14 Feb-14 Mar-14 Apr-14 May-14 Jun-14 Jul-14 Aug-14 Gas Day UKCS Norway BBL IUK LRS MRS SRS LNG Previous Year Supply 14
13 NSS [Non-Storage Supply] 1 st October 213 to 26 th August Gas Year 13/14 Gas Year 13/14 Margins Notice Average Max Assumptions Capacity UKCS Norway LNG BBL IUK 15
14 IUK Flows Vs NBP & ZEE Price Differential 1 st October 213 to 27 th August IMPORT TO NBP mcm/d pp/th differential (NBP vs. Zee) EXPORT TO ZEE -8 1-Oct-13 1-Nov-13 1-Dec-13 1-Jan-14 1-Feb-14 1-Mar-14 1-Apr-14 1-May-14 1-Jun-14 1-Jul-14 1-Aug-14-1 IUK IUK Import Capacity IUK Export Capacity IUK Price Differential 16
15 LNG Terminal Flows 1st October 213 to 31 st August mcm Oct-13 Nov-13 Dec-13 Jan-14 Feb-14 Mar-14 Apr-14 May-14 Jun-14 Jul-14 Aug-14 South Hook Isle of Grain Dragon Previous Year LNG 17
16 Norway Flows 1 st October 213 to 31 st August mcm Oct-13 Nov-13 Dec-13 Jan-14 Feb-14 Mar-14 Apr-14 May-14 Jun-14 Jul-14 Aug-14 Langeled Vesterled [estimated] FLAGS [estimated] Previous Year Norway 18
17 Norway vs LNG Flows 1 st October 213 to 31 st August mcm Oct-13 Nov-13 Dec-13 Jan-14 Feb-14 Mar-14 Apr-14 May-14 Jun-14 Jul-14 Aug-14 Sep-14 Total Norway Total LNG 19
18 Storage Withdrawal Vs Injection 1 st October 213 to 31 st August Mcm Oct-13 Nov-13 Dec-13 Jan-14 Feb-14 Mar-14 Apr-14 May-14 Jun-14 Jul-14 Aug-14 Withdrawal Injection 2
19 Long Range Storage Stocks [LRS] 1 st October 213 to 2 nd September 214 Vs Previous Years twh Oct-13 Dec-13 Feb-14 Apr-14 Jun-14 Aug-14 LRS 212/213 LRS 213/214 21
20 Medium Range Storage Stocks [MRS] 1 st October 213 to 2 nd September 214 Vs Previous Years twh Oct-13 Dec-13 Feb-14 Apr-14 Jun-14 Aug-14 MRS 212/213 MRS 213/214 22
21 Short Range Storage Stocks [SRS] 1 st October 213 to 2 nd September 214 Vs Previous Years twh Oct-13 1-Dec-13 1-Feb-14 1-Apr-14 1-Jun-14 1-Aug SRS 212/213 SRS 213/214 23
22 Combined EU Storage Stocks [% Full] From 1 st October 213 to 2 nd September 214 Vs Previous Years % Oct 1-Nov 1-Dec 1-Jan 1-Feb 1-Mar 1-Apr 1-May 1-Jun 1-Jul 1-Aug 1-Sep 21/ / / /214 24
23 UK Gas Prices 1 st October 213 to 31 st August 214 Vs Previous Years p/ptherm Oct-13 1-Dec-13 1-Feb-14 1-Apr-14 1-Jun-14 1-Aug-14 SAP SMPB SMPS Previous Year SAP 25
24 What Operational Issues Affected Users? 26
25 Transporter Actions and Neutrality Energy Balancing Capacity
26 Transporter Energy Traded on the OCM NGG Monthly Buys and Sells Aug 213 to Aug 214 Vs Previous Year Gwh Aug-13 1-Oct-13 1-Dec-13 1-Feb-14 1-Apr-14 1-Jun-14 1-Aug Buy 213/14 Buy Prev Year Sell 213/14 Sell Prev Year 28
27 Days of Default SMP Prices [SMPB] From Sept 213 to Aug % Sep-13 Oct-13 Nov-13 Dec-13 Jan-14 Feb-14 Mar-14 Apr-14 May-14 Jun-14 Jul-14 Aug-14 SMPB [NG Set Price] SMPB [Def ault Marginal] 29
28 Days of Default SMP Prices [SMPS] From Sep 213 to Aug % Sep-13 Oct-13 Nov-13 Dec-13 Jan-14 Feb-14 Mar-14 Apr-14 May-14 Jun-14 Jul-14 Aug-14 SMPS [NG Set Price] SMPS [Def ault Marginal] 3
29 Energy Balancing Balancing Costs Payments / Charges / Net Credit / Debit [Imbalance / Scheduling / OCM] May - July ,, 4,, 35,, 7,16,81 Net Credit 2,479,299 3,, 625,874 12,32,372 25,, 2,, 15,, 1,, 31,182,19 24,133,193 5,, Credits Debits 31
30 Energy Balancing Balancing Costs May - July 214 May-14 Jun-14 Jul-14 Imbalance Payment [DCS] -6,565,892-9,93,615-8,473,686 Charge [DCT] 14,338,457 8,158,583 8,685,15 Scheduling Exit Charge [DXS] 6,573 6,592 11,776 Exit Charge [EXS] 53,737 45,37 48,898 Entry Charge [ESC] 114,376 19, ,463 OCM Payment [TTB] -7,632,296-1,441,933-3,228,143 Charge [TTS] 1,942,318 2,916,747 2,247,736 Balancing Costs 2,257,274 7, ,85 32
31 Energy Balancing Balancing Costs OCM Payments / Charges May - July 214 Payment [TTB] Charge [TTS] 1,5, 1,, 5, -5, -1,, -1,5, 1/5/214 15/5/214 29/5/214 12/6/214 26/6/214 1/7/214 24/7/214 Day 33
32 Energy Balancing Balancing Costs Imbalance Payments / Charges May - July 214 Payment [DCS] Charge [DCT] 2,, 1,5, 1,, 5, -5, -1,, -1,5, 1/5/214 15/5/214 29/5/214 12/6/214 26/6/214 1/7/214 24/7/214 Day 34
33 Energy Balancing Balancing Costs Scheduling Charges May Jul 214 Exit Charge [DXS] Entry Charge [ESC] Exit Charge [EXS] 3, 25, 2, 15, 1, 5, 1/5/214 15/5/214 29/5/214 12/6/214 26/6/214 1/7/214 24/7/214 Day 35
34 Capacity Neutrality Net Cost / Revenue From 1 st April 214 to 31 th August 214 Revenue/Costs WDDSEC/DAI Entry Capacity Revenue - 159,64 Total Entry Constraint Management Operational Costs Entry Capacity Overrun Revenue - 71,614 Non-Obligated Sales Revenue (Entry only) Revenue from Locational Sells and PRI Charges Net Revenue - 231,39 36
35 Net Capacity Neutrality Revenue [Daily Obligated Entry Capacity and Interruptible Entry Capacity: WDDSEC + DAI] From 1 st April 214 to 31 st August ,. -2,. -3,. St Fergus Teesside Barrow Theddlethorpe Easington Bacton Other - 1, ,194-21,771-4,. -5,. -6,. -7,. - 5,52-8,. -9,. - 76,839 Net Capacity Neutrality Revenue [WDDSEC + DAI] 37
36 Capacity Neutrality Revenues from Entry Cap Overruns and Non-Obligated Sales, and Locational Sells and PRI Charges. Totals From 1 st April 214 to 31 st August 214 Month Entry Cap Overrun Revenue Non-obligated sales revenue (entry) Month Locational Sells and PRI charges revenue Apr-14-5, Apr-14 May-14-8, May-14 Jun-14-23,853 - Jun-14 Jul-14-34,442 - Jul-14 Aug-14 Sep-14 Oct-14 Nov-14 Dec-14 Jan-15 Feb-15 Mar-15 Not yet available Aug-14 Sep-14 Oct-14 Nov-14 Dec-14 Jan-15 Feb-15 Mar-15 Total - 71,614 (FY14-15) - 361(FY14-15) Total (FY14/15) 38
37 Customer Outputs (June August 214) Capacity Constraints Pressure Obligations Maintenance Rules Breached Gas Quality Excursions Operating Margins Gas Deficit Warnings Margins Notices None 21 Breaches of Agreed / Assured Pressures 71 Non Routine Operations completed 127,383 OPNs received. 57,789 non-compliant 293 interventions None None None No Scalebacks or Buy Backs % achieved 1% successful 35 rejections 5 Gas Quality Breach 39
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