ANALYST S BRIEFING : No.1/2016. March 4, 2016
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1 ANALYST S BRIEFING : No.1/2016 March 4, 2016
2 This presentation was made from the analysis of reliable information in order to assist investment community to better understand the company's financial status and operation. It also supports the "Good Corporate Governance Project" of the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). However, the information within this presentation has been derived from the existing factors in the present time. Therefore, the forward-looking information on this presentation may not occur in the future if the aforementioned factors or situations are changed. Investors are, nevertheless, required to use their own discretion regarding the use of information contained in this presentation for any purpose. For further information, please contact Investor Relations Section of the Electricity Generating Public Company Limited (EGCO) at Tel: (662) or 2
3 EGCO Group s Overview EGCO Group s Overview 2015 Financial Results Projects in Pipeline 3
4 EGCO Group s Overview EGCO s Shareholders Portfolio and Corporate Strategies 4
5 As of September 4, 2015 EGCO Group s Overview EGAT 25.41% TEPCO 50% NVDR 17.29% Foreign Investors 20.88% TEPDIA 23.94% Thai Investors 12.48% MC 50% 5
6 EGCO Group s Overview EGCO s Shareholders Portfolio and Corporate Strategies 6
7 EGCO Group s portfolio comprises 23 operating power plants, total contracted capacity 3, MWe. 3.28% 32.78% 7.35% IPP SPP 56.59% Renewable Power Plant: IPP Power Plant: SPP EGCO s Shares EGCO s Shares Contracted Cap. (MW) Contracted Cap. (MW) MW Equity KEGCO (KN 2&3) % KK % 1, BLCP 50.00% 1, Total 2, MW Equity EGCO Cogen 80.00% Roi-Et Green 70.30% GCC 50.00% NKCC 50.00% SCC 50.00% GYG 50.00% Total Power Plant: Renewable (Domestic) EGCO s Shares Contracted Cap. (MW) MW Equity NED 66.67% SPP % SPP % SPP % SPP % GPS 60.00% TWF 90.00% Solarco 49.00% GIDEC 50.00% Power Plant: Overseas EGCO s Shares Contracted Cap. (MW) Total MW Equity NTPC 35.00% 1, QPL % MPPCL Unit 1& % SEG 20.00% BRWF % Total 1, Overseas 7
8 EGCO Group s portfolio consists of 5 under construction projects and 3 under development projects, total contracted capacity 1, MWe % 84.81% Under Construction Under Development Power Plant: Under Construction Power Plant: Under Development EGCO s Shares EGCO s Shares Contracted Cap. (MW) Contracted Cap. (MW) MW Equity KEGCO (KN4) % XPCL 12.50% 1, CWF 90.00% TJ Cogen % SBPL 49.00% Total 1, MW Equity TP Cogen % SK Cogen % MPPCL Unit % Total
9 EGCO Group s other business portfolio comprises 5 companies: EGCO Group s Overview ESCO (100%) O&M Coal Mining MME (40%) PEPOI (100%) O&M Water EASTW (18.72%) QMS (100%) Management Service 9
10 EGCO Group s Overview Operate power plants to achieve optimum efficiency and manage projects under construction to achieve COD on time Boost long-term earnings by acquisition of greenfield projects and/or expansion of existing projects Acquire operating assets to realize quick earnings, with focus on the Asia Pacific region 10
11 EGCO Group s Overview 2015 Financial Results Projects in Pipeline 11
12 Unit: Million Baht EGCO s Overview 7,705 7,920 MD&A +215 MB or +3% ,471 6,715 Power Generation Others Divestment of EGCOM Tara 12
13 Unit: Million Baht 2,566 Change of AP RYPP (1,926) KK2 (211) KEGCO (KN2&3) (109) BLCP (58) (2,304) Under Construction & Under Development 654 (31) New Power Plants MPPCL 648 NED (Additional Shares) 251 BRWF 23 SEG 13 QPL(Additional Shares) 13 GIDEC (4) 7,705 EGCOM Tara 7, Divestment of Operating Performance RYPP 1,355 North Pole 324 KEGCO (KN2&3) 258 NTPC 90 ESCO 52 EGCO Cogen 29 KK2 22 MME 9 BLCP (38) EGCOM Tara (42) Renewable Group (124) QPL (146) GEC (171) EGCO (964) 13
14 Unit: Million Baht 7,667 Net Profit before FX, DT and TFRIC 4&12 Gain from sale of TARA MD&A +215 MB or +3% 4, FX TFRIC 4&12 Deferred Tax Impairment of QPL 7,705 7,920 6,968 (677) (3,332) (271) (483) 14
15 Million Baht 4,000 3,500 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,869 1,299 2,566 2,597 2,662 2,150 1,120 1,362 1, Q1 Q2 Q3 Q
16 Million Baht Net Profit Net Profit before FX, Deferred Tax, TFRIC 4&12 and Impairment Gain from combination 4,310 MB 4,990 11,240 6,930 7,164 7,667 4,319 5,301 6,060 7,375 7,705 7,
17 Other Business 253 MB, 2% (EGCOM Tara, ESCO, MME) KEGCO 153 MB, 1% Renewable (Overseas) 18 MB, 1% SPP 356 MB (GEC, EGCO Cogen) 3% KK2 1,013 MB 9% 26% Quezon 2,772 MB 10% MPPCL 1,084 MB 12% 21% BLCP 2,231 MB NTPC 1,277 MB 15% Note: Excluding EGCO Renewable (Domestic) 1,661 MB 17
18 Total Outstanding As of Sep 30, 2015 Total Outstanding As of Dec 31, 2015 AUD 244 M AUD 241 M USD 1,419 M USD 1,620 M THB 23,463 M THB 25,306 M Total Outstanding (Baht equivalence) THB 84,558 M THB 88,230 M 18
19 Times (X) Equity 77,750 MB EGCO + Subsidiaries EGCO 1.31 EGCO + Subsidiaries Debt 102,062 MB Equity 56,639 MB EGCO Debt 46,831 MB 19
20 Unit: Million Baht 2015 Beginning Cash 892 Cash Payments from Operations (EGCO) (920) Cash Receipts from RYPP 112 Net Cash Receipts from Operating Activities (809) Dividend Receipts from Subsidiaries, Joint Venture & Others 8,048 Cash Payments for Acquisition of Additional Investment in Subsidiaries and Joint Venture (1,448) Other Investments (Payments) and Interest Receipts 287 Net Cash Payments in Investing Activities 6,888 Loan Receipts and Payments (4,410) Interest Payments and Financing Fee (1,234) Cash Receipt from Debenture 4,637 Dividend Payments (3,289) Net Cash Receipts from Financing Activities (4,296) Ending Cash 2,675 20
21 Baht/Share Interim Payment Second Payment EGCO Group s Overview Note Our dividend policy is 40% of the consolidated net profit after tax. BOD in the 29 th February s Meeting approved the appropriation of net profit from the second-half year operation of 2015 at 3.25 baht for the second dividend payment which will be paid on April 29,
22 2015 Projects Financial Pipeline Results EGCO Group s Overview 2015 Financial Results Projects in Pipeline 22
23 2015 Projects Financial Pipeline Results CWF (Wind) SBPL (Coal) KEGCO (KN4) (Gas) TJ Cogen (Gas) XPCL (Hydro) TP Cogen (Gas) MPPCL Unit 3 (Coal) SK Cogen (Gas) Under Construction Projects Under Development Projects 23
24 XPCL Xayaburi, Laos PDR SCOD: October 1, 2019 Thailand Laos Philippines SBPL Quezon, The Philippines SCOD : June 2019 KEGCO (KN4) Nakhon Si Thammarat, Thailand SCOD: June 19, 2016 CWF Sub Yai, Chaiyaphum, Thailand SCOD: December 1, 2016 TJ Cogen Klong Luang, Pathum Thani SCOD: June
25 Type: Combined Cycle Power Plant Location: Khanom, Nakhon Si Thammarat Shareholders : EGCO 100% SCOD : June 19, 2016 Contractual Type : IPP Contracted Capacity : 930 MW PPA : 25 years with EGAT Overall Progress : Ending 2015, the overall progress was 99.60%. ( The construction plan was 99.70%. ) 25
26 Type : Wind Power Plant Location : Sub Yai, Chaiyaphum Shareholders : EGCO 90%, PVI Group 10% SCOD : December 1, 2016 Contractual Type : SPP Non-Firm Contracted Capacity : 90 MW with EGAT Adder : 3.50 Baht/kWh for 10 years Overall Progress : Ending 2015, the overall progress was 49.85%. ( The construction plan was 49.65%.) 26
27 Type : Hydro Power Plant (Run-of- River) Location : Xayaburi District, Laos PDR Shareholders : EGCO 12.5%, CKP 30%, EDL 20%, BEM 7.5%, GPSC 25%, PT Construction and Irrigation Co., Ltd. 5% SCOD : October 29, 2019 Contractual Type : IPP Contracted Capacity : 1,220 MW with EGAT and 60 MW with EDL PPA : 29 years with EGAT and EDL Overall Progress : Ending 2015, the overall progress was 56.09%. ( The construction plan was 44.00%.) 27
28 Type : Cogeneration Power Plant Location : Klong Luang, Pathum Thani Shareholders : EGCO 100% SCOD : June 2017 Contractual Type : SPP Cogeneration Installed Capacity : 115 MW Contracted Capacity : 90 MW with EGAT Contracted Capacity with IU : 17 MW and 10 t/h of steam Overall Progress : Project financing was achieved on December 11, Ending 2015, the overall progress was 31.10%. ( The construction plan was 34.15%.) 28
29 Type : Coal-Fired Power Plant Technology : Supercritical Boiler Location : Quezon, Luzon, The Philippines Shareholders : EGCO Group 49%, MPG 51% SCOD : June 2019 Contractual Type : IPP Installed Capacity : 500 MW Contracted Capacity : 455 MW with Meralco PSA Term : 20 years with 5-year extension Overall Progress: Project financing was achieved on December 1, Ending 2015, site preparation and construction equipment survey have been commenced. 29
30 KEGCO (KN4) CWF XPCL TJ Cogen Plan 99.70% Plan 49.65% Plan 44.00% Plan 34.15% Actual 99.60% Actual 49.85% Actual 56.09% Actual 31.10% 30
31 TP Cogen Ban Pong, Ratchaburi SCOD: October 2017 Thailand Philippines SK Cogen Ban Pong, Ratchaburi SCOD: October 2017 MPPCL Unit 3 Existing Site in Zambales, Luzon SCOD: June
32 Project Description Type : Cogeneration Power Plant Location : Ban Pong, Ratchaburi Shareholders : EGCO 100% SCOD : October 2017 Contractual Type : SPP Cogeneration Installed Capacity : 125 MW each Contracted Capacity : 90 MW each with EGAT Contracted Capacity with IU : TP Cogen 23 MW and 40 t/h of steam SK Cogen 17 MW and 60 t/h of steam Project Progress Financing : Project financing is expected to be achieved in March
33 Project Description Type : Brownfield expansion - Coal-fired Power Plant Project is an expansion at the same campus for Units 1&2 with same shareholders and project holding company Technology : Supercritical Boiler Location : Existing Site in Zambales, Luzon Shareholders : EGCO 40.95%, AES 51% and IFC 8.05% SCOD : June 2019 Contracted Capacity : 119 MW to date with Electric Cooperatives (EC) Installed Capacity : 335 MW Term of Contract : 20 years with the ECs Project Progress Omnibus Expansion Financing Agreement for the expansion was signed on December 1, 2015 Limited Notice to Proceed issued on December 4, 2015 Groundbreaking ceremony on March 3,
34 NED Lopburi Additional Shares Purchase of 33.33% Acquisition Date : February 4, 2015 (EGCO owned 66.67% stake after acquisition.) MPPCL Unit 3 Existing Site in Zambales, Luzon SCOD: June 2019 Philippines EGCOM Tara Ratchaburi and Samut Songkram Divestment date: August 31, 2015 Thailand SBPL Quezon Province, Luzon First drawdown of funds: December 8, 2015 QPL Quezon Province, Luzon Additional Share Purchase of 2% Acquisition Date : Oct 1, 2015 (EGCO Group owned 100% stake after acquisition.) 34
35 Project Description Type : Solar Power Plant Technology : Thin-Film Solar Cell Location : Lopburi Province Shareholder after Acquisition : EGCO 66.67% and CLP 33.33% COD : Lopburi Solar - Dec 2011 Wang Ploeng Solar - May 2011 Contracted Capacity : Lopburi Solar - 55 MW with EGAT Adder : 8 Baht/kWh for 10 years Wang Ploeng Solar - 8 MW with PEA Achievement Acquisition of additional shares of 33.33% in NED from Diamond Generating Asia, Limited. Share Transfer was completed on February 4,
36 Detail of Business Type : Tap Water Producer Location : Ratchaburi and Samut Songkram Province Contractual Type : BOO Term of Contract : 30 years from April 7, 2001 with PWA Detail of Divestment Sale all ESCO s share in EGCOM Tara (74.19% of share in EGCOM Tara) to Universal Utility Co., Ltd, a wholly owned subsidiary of East Water. The divestment of EGCOM Tara was completed on August 31,
37 Project Description Type : Coal-fired Power Plant Technology : Supercritical Boiler Location : Quezon Province, Luzon, The Philippines Shareholders after Acquisition : EGCO 100% ownership in QPL COD : May 30, 2000 Contracted Capacity : 460 MW with Meralco Term of Contract : 25 years Achievement Purchase of 2% indirect ownership interest in QPL from PMR Holding Corp. Share Transfer was completed on October 1,
38 Project Description Type : Coal-Fired Power Plant Technology : Supercritical Boiler Location : Quezon, Luzon, The Philippines Shareholders : EGCO Group 49%, MPG 51% SCOD : December 8, 2015 Contractual Type : IPP Installed Capacity : 500 MW Contracted Capacity : 455 MW with Meralco PSA Term : 20 years with 5-year extension Achievement First Drawdown of funds from loan facility for the commencement of construction on December 8,
39 Project Description Type : Brownfield expansion - Coal-fired Power Plant Project is an expansion at the same campus for Units 1&2 with same shareholders and project holding company Technology : Supercritical Boiler Location : Existing Site in Zambales, Luzon Shareholders : EGCO 40.95%, AES 51% and IFC 8.05% SCOD : June 2019 Contracted Capacity : 119 MW to date with Electric Cooperatives (EC) Installed Capacity : 335 MW Term of Contract : 20 years with the ECs Project Progress Omnibus Expansion Financing Agreement for the expansion was signed on December 1, 2015 Limited Notice to Proceed issued on December 4, 2015 Groundbreaking ceremony on March 3,
40 THANK YOU 40
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42 As of December 2015, Thailand s Power Installed Capacity was 38, MW. Classified by Producer Classified by Fuel type 5.0% 13.2% 8.9% 14.6% 41.0% 14.6% 36.9% 65.8% EGAT IPP SPP IMPORT NATURAL GAS HYDRO COAL OTHERS* EGAT : 15,518 MW IPP : 13,967 MW SPP : 5,013 MW Import : 3,387 MW Natural Gas : 24,938 MW Hydro : 5,523 MW Coal : 5,538 MW Others* : 1,885 MW Source: EGAT *OTHERS = Fuel Oil, Diesel, Renewable 42
43 MW 30,000 26, MW (April 23, 2014) 27, MW (June 11, 2015) 1.5% 25, MW (December 2, 2015) 25,000 20,000 15,000 January February March April May June July August September October November December Source: EGAT
44 FX Variance MD&A 44
45 Deferred Income (Expense) Tax 45
46 Impact of the Adoption of TFRIC 4 and TFRIC 12 Million Baht (100) (200) (300) (400) (500) (13) RYPP KEGCO Roi-Et Green (487) (403) (12) (2) BLCP GPG GYG NTPC ET +336 MB MB 46
47 Financial Ratio Highlights (Consolidated) Debt to Equity (Time) Net Debt to Equity (Time) Net Profit before FX* (Million Baht) 7,786 7,166 EPS (Baht) Operating Cash Flow / share (Baht) BV / share (Baht) * FX gains/losses from Income Statements including financial cost from foreign currency loans (EGCO & Subs and JVs) 47
48 Segmental Operating Results, Ended December 30, Holding (Million Baht) EGCO RYPP KEGCO EGCO Cogen Roi-Et Green Subsidiaries Power Generation SPP4 SPP3 Solarco SPP2 SPP5 TWF Quezon TJ Cogen TP&SK Cogen CWF BRWF North Pole Joint Ventures Power Generation Total Power generation Subsidiaries Others BLCP KK2 GEC NED NT2 GPS GIDEC SBPL MPPCL SEG ESCO Egcom Tara Joint Ventures Others MME Total Other businesses Grand Total Sales of Electricity - - 1,400 1, , , , ,939 - Capacity Payment - - 1, , ,338 - Energy Payment , , ,014 Other Income Sales of Water Service Income Cost of Sales - - (1,150) (1,750) (177) (38) (49) (326) (51) (51) (27) (5,945) (389) - (9,953) (734) (47) - (781) (10,734) Cost of Services - (152) (239) (40) (18) (46) (57) (421) (57) (54) (37) (1,826) (451) - (3,398) (157) (28) - (185) (3,583) Gross Profit , ,598 (12) (1) (9) , ,400 EBITDA (1,264) (93) , ,060 (12) (1) (9) 676 (216) 2,891 1, , (4) (10) 2, , ,095 EBIT (1,438) (95) , ,392 (12) (1) (9) 361 (216) 2,891 1, , (4) (10) 2, , ,985 Net Profit before Imparement, FX and deferred income tax (2,332) (95) ,772 (12) (3) (24) (17) (217) 2,231 1, , (34) (10) 1, , ,920 Net Profit before FX (2,689) (49) ,757 (12) (3) (23) (96) (216) 1,932 1, , (34) (10) 993 (36) 6, ,166 Net Profit (5,707) (49) (980) ,727 (14) 9 50 (95) (210) 2, , (34) (6) 931 (54) 3, ,834 48
49 Segmental Operating Results, Ended December 30, Holding (Million Baht) EGCO RYPP KEGCO EGCO Cogen Roi-Et Green Subsidiaries Power Generation SPP4 SPP3 Solarco SPP2 SPP5 TWF Quezon TJ Cogen TP&SK Cogen CWF BRWF North Pole Joint Ventures Power Generation Total Power generation Subsidiaries Others BLCP KK2 GEC NED NT2 GPS GIDEC SBPL MPPCL SEG ESCO Egcom Tara Joint Ventures Others MME Total Other businesses Grand Total Sales of Electricity - 1,960 1,513 2, , , , ,100 - Capacity Payment - 1,926 1, , ,662 - Energy Payment , , , , ,440 Sales of Water Service Income Cost of Sales - 1,337 1,314 2, , , ,555 Cost of Services Gross Profit , ,834 (1) (1) (1) (35) - 7, ,053 EBITDA (1,732) 1, , ,768 (0) 2 (2) (40) - 3,789 2, , (27) (30) , ,401 EBIT (1,856) 478 (45) , ,086 (0) 2 (2) (40) - 3,004 1, , (27) (30) , ,172 Net Profit before FX and deferred income tax (2,621) 461 (112) ,396 (0) 2 (2) (40) - 2,327 1, , (30) (30) , ,705 Net Profit before FX (2,434) 448 (131) ,397 (0) 2 (2) 155-2,311 1, , (30) (30) , ,930 Net Profit (2,954) 448 (133) ,395 (0) 2 (2) 163-2,161 1, , (30) (31) , ,253 49
50 3,722 2,319 2,535 2,788 2,258 2,170 2,167 1,762 2,201 2,038 1,959 1,528 6,317 7,672 8,107 7,937 10,825 8,667 17,909 17,706 17,868 18,505 17,255 22,506 22,750 22,655 20,462 29,649 27,470-2,952 2,127 1,155 5,643 4,783 5,476 4,976 4,004 5,311 2,693 5,188 5,258 4,778 10,018 9,329 10,036 9,857 5,816 10,617 8,813 6,361 5,770 6,274 6,150 6,283 5,073 5,314 10,770 10,848 10,157 9,323 10,825 10,784 Net Generation Annual Net Generation & Electricity Sales for the Year RYPP KEGCO (KN2&3) BLCP KK2 NT2 GWh 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2, Electricity Sales Million Baht 35,000 30,000 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5, EGAT is the sole off-taker for electricity produced by Rayong Power Plant and KEGCO under long term cost-plus based Power Purchase Agreements (PPAs). REGCO and KEGCO receive the capacity payment (Rayong Power Plant) or availability payment (KEGCO) for maintaining the availability of the power plants, regardless of whether the electric power will be supplied to EGAT or not. 50
51 Major Maintenance Expenses 2014 KEGCO Quarter Total Actual Actual Actual Actual Spare Parts Service Charge Total KEGCO Quarter Total Actual Actual Actual Actual Spare Parts Service Charge Total Million Baht 51
52 Operating Performance Equivalent Availability Factor KEGCO Plant Type Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 Target EAF (%) Actual EAF (%) Target EAF (%) Actual EAF (%) Target EAF (%) Actual EAF (%) Target EAF (%) Actual EAF (%) Barge # Barge # CCGT # KEGCO Plant Type Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 Target EAF (%) Actual EAF (%) Target EAF (%) Actual EAF (%) Target EAF (%) Actual EAF (%) Target EAF (%) Actual EAF (%) Barge # Barge # CCGT #
53 Net Generation and Fuel Consumption KEGCO Barge # 2 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 Net Generation - - By Natural Gas (GWh) By Secondary Fuel (GWh) Fuel Consumption - - By Natural Gas (MMBTU) 1,470,853 1,659,281 1,585,786 1,286, , , , ,593 - By Secondary Fuel (Million Litre) CCGT # 3 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 Net Generation - - By Natural Gas (GWh) 1,099 1,302 1,237 1,152 1,195 1,181 1,156 1,067 - By Secondary Fuel (GWh) Fuel Consumption - - By Natural Gas (MMBTU) 10,493,579 10,619,075 10,041,191 10,269,237 10,269,184 9,728,099 9,518,343 8,973,170 - By Secondary Fuel (Million Litre)
54 Net Generation and Fuel Consumption QPL 2014 Plant Type 1Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 Target EAF (%) Actual EAF (%) Target EAF (%) Actual EAF (%) Target EAF (%) Actual EAF (%) Target EAF (%) Actual EAF (%) 88.00% 77.80% 88.00% 98.28% 88.00% 90.36% 88.00% 94.22% QPL 2015 Plant Type 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 Target EAF (%) Actual EAF (%) Target EAF (%) Actual EAF (%) Target EAF (%) Actual EAF (%) Target EAF (%) Actual EAF (%) 51.42% 46.57% 93.39% 98.43% 91.43% 94.56% 95.06% 95.51% 54
55 Net Generation and Fuel Consumption QPL Q14 2Q14 3Q14 4Q14 1Q15 2Q15 3Q15 4Q15 Net Generation - By Coal (GWh) By Secondary Fuel (GWh) Fuel Consumption - By Coal (Ton) 328, , , , , , , ,647 - By Secondary Fuel (Million Litre)
56 Maintenance in 2014 VS 2015 : Actual in 2014 # : Unit : Actual in 2015 D : Days Power Plant Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun May Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec BLCP #1 (9D) #1 (22D) #2 (19D) QPL MPPCL (17D) #2 (21D) #2 (43D) (46D) #1 (7D) #1 (12D) Roi-Et Green (12D) (22D) 56
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