What does the move to electric vehicles mean for steel and ArcelorMittal?

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1 What does the move to electric vehicles mean for steel and ArcelorMittal? Philippe Aubron CMO Automotive Europe ArcelorMittal Europe Flat Products Europe media day 2017 Paris, 28 November

2 What s driving change in the automotive sector today? Key factors behind the growth of electric vehicles The impact of electrification on lightweighting How is ArcelorMittal placed to benefit? Steel as the material of choice Autonomous vehicles - what they mean for steel

3 What s driving change in the automotive sector today? New regulations: reducing CO 2 emissions while tightening testing requirements Vehicle design and driving restrictions: aimed at reducing smog and particulate levels for improved public health particularly in city centres Local impact: smog Pollution Global impact: climate change

4 CO 2 reductions and future targets EU proposal, Nov 8 th % vs g Significant reductions in CO 2 emissions have been achieved BUT Significant reductions are still expected Source: IICT July 2017

5 Clean air regulations are growing New regulations Europe: EU C regulation: -30 % in 2030 vs 2021, with more stringent test conditions Nafta: US may revise their objectives for 2025 China: 20% of new electrical vehicle by 2025; 50% improvement on mileage/litre Political trends UK and France: targeting end of internal combustion engine cars by 2040 China, India: targeting fast growth in electrification

6 Impact of regulations on the automotive sector New fuel efficiency regulations, aimed at reducing C0 2 emissions will: improve drive train efficiency reduce vehicle weight improve vehicle drag and friction When smog and particulate reductions are combined with fuel efficiency regulations automakers will develop electric vehicles This trend will also change consumer behaviour and habits

7 Today s technologies for electric vehicles Technologydriven trends in the automotive industry are leading to new powertrain technologies

8 What are the key short term drivers of electric vehicle design? Cost BEV range Source : Ricardo, 2017 Charging infrastructure

9 Summary of market changes: we are moving quickly towards an electrified world VW to spend $40bn on electrification in next five years GM to launch at least 20 new electric vehicles by 2023 Raft of announcements from OEMs in the last three months, announcing investments in electrification % rise in BEVs sales, year on year 1 million BEV sales expected

10 When will Battery Electric Vehicle sales really take off? Cost and range are two key drivers However, there are many other benefits that will attract consumers: BEVs have roughly 1/8 the rotating parts, meaning less wear and tear and potentially up to 1,000,000 km vehicle life. Regular maintenance is significantly lower ( eg. no oil changes) Operating costs per km are significantly lower

11 Electrical vehicles today favour lightweight design similar to traditional vehicles Designing vehicles with cost effective weight reduction: The mass-market Tesla Model 3 body and chassis is a blend of steel and aluminum, unlike the Tesla Model S which is an aluminium body (Source: Tesla website*) 86% steels including 44% of AHSS on the body-in-white of the Chevrolet Bolt (source General Motors) * Electric vehicles today employ advanced lightweighting to achieve their range goals

12 The improvements in battery performance impact on lightweighting Less pressure on lightweighting due to battery technology improvements (costs & driving range) Small increase in numbers of batteries will likely be more cost effective at adding range than lightweighting with alternative materials Steel will remain a costeffective lightweight material. Battery cost ($/KWh) Current BEV design (using combustion engine vehicle architecture) Future BEV design Energy density (vehicle range)

13 How is ArcelorMittal placed to benefit? Global footprint Broadest product offer Co-engineering with OEMs Downstream solutions Broad set of emerging solutions

14 Global presence global reach Automotive production facilities Alliances & JVs Commercial teams R&D centres Vehicle production 2016 > 20 M veh > 15 M veh & < 20 M veh > 10 M veh & < 15 M veh > 5 M veh & < 10 M veh > 2.5 M veh & < 5 M veh > 1 M veh & < 2.5 M veh < 1 M veh Global supplier with increasing emerging market exposure

15 Our European automotive production sites - Flat Products and downstream Downstream facilities Steelmaking facilities Steelmaking and downstream facilities Belgium Germany Luxembourg Poland Avilès (ES) Borçelik* (TR) Bremen (DE) Desvres (FR) Dudelange (LU) Dunkerque (FR) Eisenhuẗtenstadt (DE) Florange (FR) Fos-sur-Mer (FR) Galați (RO) Genk (BE) 1 Spain 19 France Italy Romania 10 2 Turkey Gent (BE) Kraków (PL) Liège (BE) Mardyck (FR) Montataire (FR) Mouzon (FR) Piombino (IT) Sagunto (ES) Saint-Chély-d Apcher** (FR) *Joint ventures **Electrical steels production

16 Our solutions for e-mobility and lightweighting Usibor Ductibor Fortiform Fortiform S Press hardenable steels (PHS) / hot stamping steels offer strengths up to 2000 MPa. Usibor 1500, Usibor 2000, Ductibor 450, Ductibor 500, Ductibor 1000 Can be combined thanks to laser welded blanks (LWB). Third-generation UHSS for cold stamping. Cold rolled and coated products 980 and 1180 MPA strength levels; 1470 MPA in 2018 Cold rolled fully martensitic steels with tensile strengths currently from 900 MartINsite to 1700 MPa. Dedicated to roll forming applications Innovative coatings icare Full range of innovating coating supporting the development of UHSS Jetgal as Hydrogen free process, Zagnelis Zinc-Magnesium as improved corrosion protection, Innovative coatings improving PHS in wet areas Electrical steels for electrified power train optimization Our ranges Save, Torque and Speed are specifically designed for a typical electric automotive application.

17 ArcelorMittal engineering studies: hybrid and electric vehicle structures ArcelorMittal has performed several studies on BEV and PHEV (plug-in hybrid electric vehicle) structures: BEV and PHEV vehicles have higher total vehicle mass due to higher overall powertrain system mass (including battery cells) Increased requirements in terms of structure Increased need for high strength materials such as Advanced High Strength Steels in order to protect passengers Battery cell protection also requires strong structures AHSS are a high performance, light and cost-efficient solution

18 Our S-in motion catalogue already includes our first solutions for electric vehicles S-in motion ICE C-Segment S-in motion Electric C-Segment S-in motion Plug-in Hybrid C-Segment S-in motion D-Segment EU market S-in motion Mid-size Sedan S-in motion Mid-size SUV S-in motion Light Commercial S-in motion Pick-up Trucks S-in motion Truck Cabs NA market - -60kg (-15%) vs current ICE baseline -50 kg (-16%) vs current PHEV baseline

19 Our Tailored Blanks facilities around the world China Shanghai Baosteel & Arcelor Tailor Metal (JV) Gonvvama Loudi (JV) Gonvvama Shanghai area (JV) Gonvvama Shenyang (JV) Gonvvama Chongqing (JV) North America ArcelorMittal Tailored Blanks Concord, Ontario, Canada Woodstock, Ontario, Canada Detroit, Michigan, USA (project) Pioneer, Ohio, USA Murfeesboro, Tennessee, USA Silao, Guanajuato, México San Luis Potosí, S.L.P., México Delaco ArcelorMittal Tailored Blanks Tonawanda, NY, USA (JV) Dearborn, Michigan, USA (JV) Montezuma, Iowa, USA (JV) Europe Birmingham, UK Bremen, Germany Neuwied, Germany Liège, Belgium Genk, Belgium Gent, Belgium Lorraine, France Senica, Slovakia Zaragoza, Spain Orhangazi, Turkey (JV) India Arcelor Neel Tailored Blank Chennai (JV) Arcelor Neel Tailored Blank Pune (JV) Located close to our automotive customers

20 Steel as the material of choice Audi A8 Switched back to steel with body structure to be made up of more than 40 % steel including 17% PHS If you compare the stiffness weight ratio, press hardenable steel is currently ahead of aluminium. Dr. Bernd Mlekusch, head of Audi s Leichtbauzentrum

21 Steel as the material of choice Peugeot 3008 Body structure is 90% steel, including 65% high strength steels 10% 25% 65% Other steels High Strength Steels Other materials Source Eurocarbody Conference 2016

22 Autonomous vehicles encourage electrification Source: Morgan Stanley Research, August 2017

23 Autonomous vehicles - steel is addressing the safety challenge There is no reason to believe that vehicle autonomy will prevent all crashes. Passive safety solutions will continue to play a major role. Extreme weather can block sensors, causing tyres to loose grip unexpectedly; humans or animals can emerge suddenly; human drivers will still be on the road; sensors can fail or act erratically; hacking presents a risk. Autonomous vehicles will continue to need the safety, affordability, light weight, and environmental credentials of advanced steel body structure solutions well into the future. Vehicle safety structure and systems are not expected to be reduced. When it comes to safety, the performance of steel cannot be matched.

24 Conclusions: ArcelorMittal will keep focusing on the development of lightweight design solutions for all vehicles (hybrid, electric and combustion). Steel is the material of choice in a world where weight reduction is critical to achieving emissions reduction regulations. In a future world, where batteries are low cost and BEVs are the vehicle of choice, we forecast steel will continue to be the material of choice for manufacturers. Pressure on CO2 emissions, smog, and particulate reduction will continue to be a major driver for greater production of electric vehicles. Megatrends affecting automotive industry and mobility are an opportunity to demonstrate the capacity of steel to adapt in all circumstances.