Vivaldi, Trees, and Urban Mobility. Jakob Puchinger September 28, 2016

Transcription

1 Vivaldi, Trees, and Urban Mobility Jakob Puchinger September 28, 2016

2 u Story Vivaldi, Trees, and Urban Mobility 2

3 Vivaldi, Trees, and Urban Mobility 3

4 A long personal story, but why is it interesting? Vivaldi, Trees, and Urban Mobility 4

5 Urban Mobility u Habits u Feelings u Irrationality u Society u Economics u Housing An Overview of Urban Mobility From: Ouail Al Maghraoui, Flore Vallet, Jakob Puchinger, Anthropolis Deliverable 1, Vivaldi, Trees, and Urban Mobility u 5

6 Vivaldi, Trees, and Urban Mobility 6

7 Major Challenges in Habitability, Ecology, and Accessibility Vivaldi, Trees, and Urban Mobility 7

8 Vivaldi, Trees, and Urban Mobility 8

9 Cars are by far the most used mode of daily transport (54%) Urban public transport (19%) Vivaldi, Trees, and Urban Mobility Eurobarometer

10 Convenience (61%) and speed (31%) are much more important than price (12%) Eurobarometer Vivaldi, Trees, and Urban Mobility 10

11 27 % of the daily commute in Île-de-France is saturated For a 25 km journey this represents about 7 km of traffic jams Vivaldi, Trees, and Urban Mobility Vtraffic Study 2015 Île-de-France 11

12 Belief that the urban traffic situation will improve in the future: 24% will stay the same: 35% get worse: 37% Eurobarometer Vivaldi, Trees, and Urban Mobility 12

13 Bilan des déplacements à Paris 2014 Vivaldi, Trees, and Urban Mobility City of Paris: Le bilan des déplacements en

14 Vivaldi, Trees, and Urban Mobility 14

15 Bilan des déplacements à Paris 2014 Vivaldi, Trees, and Urban Mobility City of Paris: Le bilan des déplacements en

16 Home-based telework is a fairly restricted phenomenon in France Without an exogenous shock ( ) telework is likely to remain as it is today. Aguilera, A., Lethiais, V., Rallet, A., & Proulhac, L. (2016). Home-based telework in France: Characteristics, barriers and perspectives. Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, 92, Vivaldi, Trees, and Urban Mobility 16

17 Vivaldi, Trees, and Urban Mobility 17

18 Sharing Economy Vivaldi, Trees, and Urban Mobility 18

19 Vivaldi, Trees, and Urban Mobility 19

20 Vivaldi, Trees, and Urban Mobility 20

21 Towards a Mobility as a Service Nous ne pouvons pas afficher cette image pour l instant. Nous ne pouvons pas afficher cette image pour l instant. Vivaldi, Trees, and Urban Mobility 21

22 Nous ne pouvons pas afficher cette image pour l instant. Vivaldi, Trees, and Urban Mobility 22

23 Autonomous Vehicles Google Self-Driving Car VEDECOM electric and autonomous vehicle Uber Car Vivaldi, Trees, and Urban Mobility Navya Arma Car 23

24 Autonomous vehicle fleets ( ) will account for the majority of Lyft rides within 5 years. By 2025, private car ownership will all-but end in major U.S. cities. Vivaldi, Trees, and Urban Mobility The Third Transportation Revolution John Zimmer, Lyft Co-Founder, 18/09/

25 Enable your car to make money for you when you aren't using it. This dramatically lowers the true cost of ownership to the point where almost anyone could own a Tesla. Vivaldi, Trees, and Urban Mobility Master Plan Part Deux, Elon Musk, Tesla, 20/07/2016, 25

26 The future of mobility: Whats next? Deloitte University Press 14/09/2016 Vivaldi, Trees, and Urban Mobility 26

27 Vivaldi, Trees, and Urban Mobility 27

28 If we take action, we can build a dream transportation system around self-driving cars. If we don t, we ll create a nightmare Vivaldi, Trees, and Urban Mobility Robin Chase, Author of Peers Inc; co-founder Veniam, vehicle mesh and co-founder former CEO Zipcar Self-Driving Cars Will Improve our Cities. If They Don t ruin them. backchannel.com 10/08/

29 The future of mobility: Whats next? Deloitte University Press 14/09/2016 Vivaldi, Trees, and Urban Mobility 29

30 Vivaldi, Trees, and Urban Mobility 30

31 Radical changes are ahead We need a human centered approach Vivaldi, Trees, and Urban Mobility 31

32 The «Anthropolis» chair investigates human centered eco-innovations in the context of urban mobility systems and their interactions with other urban systems. Vivaldi, Trees, and Urban Mobility 32

33 Users and usage scenarios u u u Identify needs, behaviors and habits in personal mobility Define typical usage scenarios Develop observation protocols for given usage scenarios Vivaldi, Trees, and Urban Mobility 33

34 Disruptive Technologies and Innovation u u u Identify future disruptive developments Innovation design for user-centered mobility Solutions encouraging ecological and sustainable transport Vivaldi, Trees, and Urban Mobility 34

35 Impact on urban systems u u u u Adapt existing tools for impact assessment Operational design of novel mobility services Evaluate the impact of disruptive technologies Impact on business models and policy Vivaldi, Trees, and Urban Mobility 35

36 Observation Vivaldi, Trees, and Urban Mobility 36

37 Empirical Approach u u u Main question: «What are the pains/satisfactions experienced by travelers in daily urban mobility?» Aim: integrate qualitative insights on pains ans satisfactions into a model of urban mobility experience; the design of new offers Method: micro-qualitative (Mariton 2008) and quantitative approach Observations Diaries/logbooks N=[10-30] Interviews N=[10-30] Survey (online) N= ] Ontology of pains in mobility experience Model mobility experience Design new offers Vivaldi, Trees, and Urban Mobility 37

38 Observation at Massy Palaiseau (3/05/16) Descente bus 199 vers gare RER Voyageurs avec bagages vers gare TGV Vivaldi, Trees, and Urban Mobility 38

39 Trip representations Home Paris 19è M 11 M 5 RER B BUS 395 CentraleSupélec Châtenay-Malabry 7:50 8:00 8:08 8:17 8:49 9:12 9:15 Antony RER B M 11 Télégraphe M 5 République Gare du Nord RER B République Gare du Nord Vivaldi, Trees, and Urban Mobility 39

40 Impact Vivaldi, Trees, and Urban Mobility 40

41 Impacts - City Centers Restrictions u u Daily fee for entering the controlled area u London, Singapore, Stockholm,.. Old town centers u Durnham, Riga,.. u Milan (Area C) u prohibition of old fossil fuelled vehicles u others have to pay a fee ( 2-5) u electric / hybrid vehicles free of charge G. Hiermann, R. F. Hartl, J. Puchinger and T. Vidal. Hybrid Electric Fleet Routing with City Center Restrictions. Route Vivaldi, Trees, and Urban Mobility 41

42 Impacts - City Centers Restrictions ICEV restricted 2 ICEV 5 BEV 100 customers 50 inside 50 outside Vivaldi, Trees, and Urban Mobility km inside/outside ICEV: - /161,53 BEV: 176,80/141,49 42

43 Paris (50/50) distance travelled km 600,00 500,00 400,00 300,00 200,00 100,00 0,00 liter kwh 50,00 0,00 not daily fee km fee (0.2) km fee (1.0) restricted Outside (BEV) Inside (BEV) Outside (ICEV) Inside (ICEV) consumption inside the city center fuel electricity #vehicles vehicle usage not daily fee km fee (0.2) km fee (1.0) restricted BEV (S) BEV (M) BEV (L) ICEV (S) ICEV (M) Vivaldi, Trees, and Urban Mobility 43

44 Flore Vallet Researcher Expert in Eco-Design and Innovation Ouail Al Maghraoui PhD Student Users, Usage Scenarios, and Novel Services Feirouz Ksontini Research Engineer Expert in Transport modelling Abood Mourad PhD Student Synchronization for shared mobility in an uncertain environment Jakob Puchinger Chair Holder Expert in Transportation an Operations Research Vivaldi, Trees, and Urban Mobility

45 Thank you! Vivaldi, Trees, and Urban Mobility