prepared by Western Suffolk BOCES, Office of School Planning and Research, for Chappaqua CSD, 2008/09

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1 Appendix A

2 ====================== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== CHAPPAQUA CENTRAL SCHOOL DISTRICT Accuracy of January 2003 Western Suffolk BOCES Projection for ====================== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== Grade Actual Projected ====================== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== KINDERGARTEN FIRST SECOND THIRD FOURTH FIFTH SIXTH SEVENTH EIGHTH NINTH TENTH ELEVENTH TWELFTH ====================== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== Difference ======== Projected/Actual==== ======== K ,096 4, % K - 4 1,556 1, % 5-8 1,370 1, % ,170 1, % ====================== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== Grafflin % Roaring Brook % Westorchard % ====================== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== Note: Totals may not add up to the sum of numbers due to rounding. ====================== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ========

3 CHAPPAQUA CENTRAL SCHOOL DISTRICT HISTORICAL DISTRICT ENROLLMENT GRADE ===================== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== reconfig. ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== KINDERGARTEN FIRST SECOND THIRD FOURTH FIFTH SIXTH SEVENTH EIGHTH NINTH TENTH ELEVENTH TWELFTH TOTAL K ,670 3,783 3,869 3,959 4,055 4,096 4,169 4,231 4,213 4,254 4,212 % CHANGE 3.1% 2.3% 2.3% 2.4% 1.0% 1.8% 1.5% -0.4% 1.0% -1.0% DISTRICT MIGRATION AVERAGE K % 105.7% 110.0% 111.8% 109.4% 107.2% 105.6% 106.7% 104.3% 101.2% 104.1% % 102.5% 99.0% 102.3% 103.4% 100.0% 102.2% 100.6% 100.6% 102.7% 101.3% % 100.9% 99.7% 101.4% 100.3% 100.0% 102.7% 100.3% 100.9% 100.9% 101.2% % 99.7% 100.3% 99.7% 101.0% 100.9% 99.3% 99.1% 99.7% 100.0% 99.7% % 103.3% 102.0% 101.4% 100.3% 101.7% 101.6% 101.7% 102.9% 101.2% 101.9% % 98.2% 100.9% 100.3% 98.9% 100.0% 99.0% 99.1% 100.3% 101.7% 100.4% % 101.6% 98.5% 98.3% 99.2% 102.6% 98.2% 103.3% 99.4% 101.3% 101.3% % 100.7% 99.7% 100.0% 99.7% 101.9% 99.4% 98.1% 102.2% 97.5% 99.3% % 103.5% 100.7% 97.4% 100.0% 101.2% 101.6% 96.3% 99.7% 100.6% 98.9% % 98.6% 99.6% 101.4% 102.3% 99.1% 96.5% 100.3% 99.1% 97.8% 99.0% % 101.2% 103.6% 102.3% 96.8% 98.7% 98.4% 96.6% 100.3% 99.1% 98.8% % 94.3% 101.2% 98.6% 98.5% 98.2% 100.7% 101.0% 100.9% 97.6% 100.0%

4 CHAPPAQUA CENTRAL SCHOOL DISTRICT HISTORICAL DISTRICT ENROLLMENT BY GRADE CONFIGURATION GRADE ===================== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== reconfig. ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== KINDERGARTEN FIRST SECOND THIRD FOURTH FIFTH TOTAL (K - 5) or (K - 4) 1,931 1,962 1,948 1,903 1,895 1,556 1,581 1,606 1,606 1,602 1,570 % CHANGE 1.6% -0.7% -2.3% -0.4% -17.9% 1.6% 1.6% 0.0% -0.2% -2.0% FIFTH SIXTH SEVENTH EIGHTH TOTAL (6-8) or (5-8) ,023 1,370 1,358 1,303 1,258 1,305 1,310 % CHANGE 4.1% 9.0% 6.7% 5.1% 33.9% -0.9% -4.1% -3.5% 3.7% 0.4% NINTH TENTH ELEVENTH TWELFTH TOTAL ,009 1,083 1,137 1,170 1,230 1,322 1,349 1,347 1,332 % CHANGE 5.2% 2.5% 7.3% 5.0% 2.9% 5.1% 7.5% 2.0% -0.1% -1.1% TOTAL K ,670 3,783 3,869 3,959 4,055 4,096 4,169 4,231 4,213 4,254 4,212 % CHANGE 3.1% 2.3% 2.3% 2.4% 1.0% 1.8% 1.5% -0.4% 1.0% -1.0%

5 CHAPPAQUA CENTRAL SCHOOL DISTRICT KINDERGARTEN PROJECTIONS Births District Ratios. year Westchester County year K K/ County Births , , ,980 relative ,696 change , , % , % , % , % , % , % , % , % , % yr avg. est , yr avg. est , yr avg. * est , yr avg. est , est , est , est , * Note: 2009 K is K registration as of August 2009.

6 CHAPPAQUA CENTRAL SCHOOL DISTRICT KINDERGARTEN DISTRIBUTION TO ELEMENTARY SCHOOLS Year Grafflin Roaring Brook Westorchard % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % est est est est est est est est est est yr avg 34.4% 32.6% 33.1%

7 CHAPPAQUA CENTRAL SCHOOL DISTRICT PROJECTED DISTRICT ENROLLMENT GRADE ===================== Actual ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== KINDERGARTEN FIRST SECOND THIRD FOURTH FIFTH SIXTH SEVENTH EIGHTH NINTH TENTH ELEVENTH TWELFTH TOTAL K ,212 4,152 4,117 4,106 4,090 4,092 4,095 4,043 4,022 3,994 3,950 % CHANGE -1.4% -0.8% -0.3% -0.4% 0.0% 0.1% -1.3% -0.5% -0.7% -1.1%

8 CHAPPAQUA CENTRAL SCHOOL DISTRICT PROJECTED DISTRICT ENROLLMENT BY GRADE CONFIGURATION GRADE ===================== Actual ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== KINDERGARTEN FIRST SECOND THIRD FOURTH TOTAL K - 4 1,570 1,553 1,514 1,503 1,469 1,484 1,478 1,481 1,486 1,480 1,470 % CHANGE -1.1% -2.5% -0.7% -2.3% 1.0% -0.4% 0.2% 0.3% -0.4% -0.7% FIFTH SIXTH SEVENTH EIGHTH TOTAL 5-8 1,310 1,334 1,372 1,322 1,340 1,304 1,275 1,270 1,226 1,238 1,234 % CHANGE 1.8% 2.8% -3.6% 1.4% -2.7% -2.2% -0.4% -3.5% 1.0% -0.3% NINTH TENTH ELEVENTH TWELFTH TOTAL ,332 1,265 1,231 1,281 1,281 1,304 1,342 1,292 1,310 1,276 1,246 % CHANGE -5.0% -2.7% 4.1% 0.0% 1.8% 2.9% -3.7% 1.4% -2.6% -2.4% TOTAL K ,212 4,152 4,117 4,106 4,090 4,092 4,095 4,043 4,022 3,994 3,950 % CHANGE -1.4% -0.8% -0.3% -0.4% 0.0% 0.1% -1.3% -0.5% -0.7% -1.1%

9 ===================== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== CHAPPAQUA CENTRAL SCHOOL DISTRICT AVERAGE DISTRICT GRADE LEVEL SIZE ===================== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== change.. Grade /1 3/2 4/3 ===================== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== KINDERGARTEN % -5.7% 0.0% FIRST % -7.1% -1.3% SECOND % -5.6% -1.7% THIRD % -3.7% -3.8% FOURTH % -0.6% -4.7% FIFTH % 0.3% -5.8% SIXTH % 2.7% -7.4% SEVENTH % 1.2% -5.4% EIGHTH % -0.3% -3.0% NINTH % -3.0% -0.9% TENTH % -3.0% 0.9% ELEVENTH % -0.6% 3.1% TWELFTH % 3.9% 0.6% ===================== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== DISPLACEMENT BETWEEN ENTERING AND EXITING COHORTS Year Grade 12 Year Grade K Difference ===================== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ===================== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== Average Difference Average Difference Average Difference Average Difference ===================== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ========

10 DOUGLAS GRAFFLIN ELEMENTARY SCHOOL HISTORICAL ENROLLMENT GRADE ===================== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== reconfig. ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== KINDERGARTEN FIRST SECOND THIRD FOURTH FIFTH th grade moved to middle schools after 2003 TOTAL (K - 5) or (K - 4) % CHANGE 3.6% 1.3% -4.3% -1.3% -19.1% -2.7% -2.4% 2.7% 1.5% 0.4% Grafflin Migration AVERAGE K % 111.2% 105.0% 106.5% 108.4% 98.0% 105.9% 110.1% 104.0% 102.6% 105.5% % 102.5% 98.3% 106.6% 104.1% 102.6% 99.0% 100.9% 101.8% 102.9% 101.9% % 103.1% 96.7% 100.0% 103.5% 98.0% 103.4% 105.1% 100.0% 103.6% 103.1% % 97.7% 100.0% 100.8% 100.9% 101.7% 98.0% 95.9% 103.8% 105.5% 101.8% % 106.7% 104.8% 100.8% 5th grade moved to middle schools after 2003 DOUGLAS GRAFFLIN ELEMENTARY SCHOOL PROJECTED ENROLLMENT GRADE ===================== Actual ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== KINDERGARTEN FIRST SECOND THIRD FOURTH TOTAL K % CHANGE -1.5% -1.5% -0.9% -3.2% 1.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.2% -0.6% -0.6%

11 DOUGLAS GRAFFLIN ELEMENTARY SCHOOL based on the maximum class size PROJECTED ENROLLMENT: SECTIONAL ANALYSIS K = 20, Grade 1= 23, Grades 2-4 = 25 GRADE ===================== Actual ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== KINDERGARTEN Sections Section Size FIRST Sections Section Size SECOND Sections Section Size THIRD Sections Section Size FOURTH Sections Section Size Total K Total Sections Difference from Avg Section Size

12 ROARING BROOK ELEMENTARY SCHOOL HISTORICAL ENROLLMENT GRADE ===================== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== reconfig. ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== KINDERGARTEN FIRST SECOND THIRD FOURTH FIFTH th grade moved to middle schools after 2003 TOTAL (K - 5) or (K - 4) % CHANGE 2.5% 1.2% -1.2% -2.6% -17.7% 2.5% 4.5% -3.9% -2.8% -1.1% Roaring Brook Migration AVERAGE K % 105.8% 111.3% 109.8% 112.7% 111.1% 105.1% 100.9% 106.0% 104.1% 103.7% % 106.2% 98.2% 92.4% 105.0% 96.5% 107.0% 100.8% 97.4% 100.0% 99.6% % 98.1% 101.7% 100.0% 95.4% 100.0% 101.8% 97.2% 101.6% 100.0% 99.6% % 101.8% 100.0% 95.1% 102.8% 99.0% 97.2% 99.1% 96.2% 96.9% 97.4% % 101.8% 99.1% 102.0% 5th grade moved to middle schools after 2003 ROARING BROOK ELEMENTARY SCHOOL PROJECTED ENROLLMENT GRADE ===================== Actual ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== KINDERGARTEN FIRST SECOND THIRD FOURTH TOTAL K % CHANGE -4.8% -3.2% 0.6% -1.0% 0.0% -0.6% 0.2% 0.0% -0.4% -0.6%

13 ROARING BROOK ELEMENTARY SCHOOL based on the maximum class size PROJECTED ENROLLMENT: SECTIONAL ANALYSIS K = 20, Grade 1= 23, Grades 2-4 = 25 GRADE ===================== Actual ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== KINDERGARTEN Sections Section Size FIRST Sections Section Size SECOND Sections Section Size THIRD Sections Section Size FOURTH Sections Section Size Total K Total Sections Difference from Avg Section Size

14 WESTORCHARD ELEMENTARY SCHOOL HISTORICAL ENROLLMENT GRADE ===================== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== reconfig. ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== KINDERGARTEN FIRST SECOND THIRD FOURTH FIFTH th grade moved to middle schools after 2003 TOTAL (K - 5) or (K - 4) % CHANGE -1.7% -5.3% -1.1% 3.3% -16.6% 5.7% 2.8% 1.5% 0.6% -5.3% Westorchard Migration AVERAGE K % 97.3% 114.9% 120.3% 106.9% 112.9% 106.0% 110.0% 103.1% 97.3% 103.5% % 97.7% 101.4% 110.6% 101.1% 100.9% 100.9% 100.0% 102.7% 105.0% 102.6% % 100.9% 101.2% 105.6% 102.1% 102.1% 102.8% 99.1% 101.1% 99.1% 99.8% % 100.0% 100.9% 104.7% 98.7% 102.1% 103.1% 102.7% 99.1% 97.8% 99.9% % 101.0% 101.7% 101.8% 5th grade moved to middle schools after 2003 WESTORCHARD ELEMENTARY SCHOOL PROJECTED ENROLLMENT GRADE ===================== Actual ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== KINDERGARTEN FIRST SECOND THIRD FOURTH TOTAL K % CHANGE 3.2% -2.9% -1.8% -2.4% 1.9% -1.0% 0.4% 0.8% -0.2% -0.8%

15 WESTORCHARD ELEMENTARY SCHOOL based on the maximum class size PROJECTED ENROLLMENT: SECTIONAL ANALYSIS K = 20, Grade 1= 23, Grades 2-4 = 25 GRADE ===================== Actual ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== KINDERGARTEN Sections Section Size FIRST Sections Section Size SECOND Sections Section Size THIRD Sections Section Size FOURTH Sections Section Size Total K Total Sections Difference from Avg Section Size

16 ROBERT E. BELL MIDDLE SCHOOL HISTORICAL ENROLLMENT GRADE =================== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== reconfig. ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== FIFTH SIXTH SEVENTH EIGHTH TOTAL (6-8) OR (5-8) , % CHANGE 4.1% 9.0% 6.7% 5.1% -15.8% -18.2% -4.1% -5.5% 5.0% -1.0% Bell Migration AVERAGE % 98.8% 97.5% 103.5% 100.5% 100.5% % 101.6% 98.5% 98.3% 51.0% 104.7% 101.2% 103.6% 99.4% 104.0% 102.3% % 100.7% 99.7% 100.0% 99.7% 102.2% 99.4% 97.0% 102.3% 97.5% 98.9% ROBERT E. BELL MIDDLE SCHOOL PROJECTED ENROLLMENT GRADE =================== Actual ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== FIFTH SIXTH SEVENTH EIGHTH TOTAL % CHANGE 3.2% 3.8% -3.8% 1.2% -2.7% -2.4% -0.2% -3.8% 1.1% -0.3%

17 SEVEN BRIDGES MIDDLE SCHOOL HISTORICAL ENROLLMENT GRADE =================== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== reconfig. ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== FIFTH SIXTH SEVENTH EIGHTH TOTAL % CHANGE 28.5% -4.0% -1.3% 2.4% 1.9% Seven Bridges Migration AVERAGE % 99.3% 100.6% 97.5% 102.9% 100.4% % 95.1% 102.9% 99.4% 98.7% 100.0% % 99.4% 99.4% 102.1% 97.5% 99.7% SEVEN BRIDGES MIDDLE SCHOOL PROJECTED ENROLLMENT GRADE =================== Actual ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== FIFTH SIXTH SEVENTH EIGHTH TOTAL % CHANGE 0.5% 1.8% -3.5% 1.6% -2.6% -2.1% -0.6% -3.1% 0.8% -0.3%

18 HORACE GREELEY HIGH SCHOOL HISTORICAL ENROLLMENT GRADE NINTH TENTH ELEVENTH TWELFTH TOTAL ,009 1,083 1,137 1,170 1,230 1,322 1,349 1,347 1,332 % CHANGE 5.2% 2.5% 7.3% 5.0% 2.9% 5.1% 7.5% 2.0% -0.1% -1.1% HS Migration AVERAGE % 98.6% 99.6% 101.4% 102.3% 99.1% 96.5% 100.3% 99.1% 97.8% 99.0% % 101.2% 103.6% 102.3% 96.8% 98.7% 98.4% 96.6% 100.3% 99.1% 98.8% % 94.3% 101.2% 98.6% 98.5% 98.2% 100.7% 101.0% 100.9% 97.6% 100.0% HORACE GREELEY HIGH SCHOOL PROJECTED ENROLLMENT GRADE ===================== Actual ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== ======== NINTH TENTH ELEVENTH TWELFTH TOTAL ,332 1,265 1,231 1,281 1,281 1,304 1,342 1,292 1,310 1,276 1,246 % CHANGE -5.0% -2.7% 4.1% 0.0% 1.8% 2.9% -3.7% 1.4% -2.6% -2.4%

19 Appendix B

20 Chappaqua CSD Accuracy of January 2003 Western Suffolk BOCES Projection 2003/04 Enrollment Actual Projected Number of Students 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000 1,000 4,096 4,117 1,556 1,548 1,370 1,386 1,170 1,183 0 K - 12 K Grade Configuration

21 Chappaqua CSD Enrollment Grades K ,600 student enrollment 4,400 4,200 4,000 3,800 3,600 3,400 3,200 3, year

22 Chappaqua CSD Enrollment Grades K-5 (1998~2002), K-4 (2003~2018) 2,500 student enrollment 2,250 2,000 1,750 1,500 1,250 1, District Reconfigured in year

23 Chappaqua CSD Enrollment: Elementary Schools Grafflin Roaring Brook Westorchard student enrollment District Reconfigured in year

24 Chappaqua CSD Enrollment Grades 6-8 (1998~2002), 5-8 (2003~2018) 2,000 student enrollment 1,750 1,500 1,250 1, District Reconfigured in year

25 Chappaqua CSD Enrollment: Middle Schools Bell MS Seven Bridges MS student enrollment 1,100 1, District Reconfigured in 2003 Seven Bridges Middle School opened in year

26 Chappaqua CSD Enrollment Horace Greeley High School (Grades 9 12) 1,600 student enrollment 1,400 1,200 1, year

27 Chappaqua CSD School Enrollment Change K K - 12 # of students gained or lost comparative years

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