Canadian Bioenergy Association

Transcription

1 Canadian Bienergy Assciatin IEA Task 38 Wrkshp Status f Frest Bimass Strategy Victria, BC, Sept 15, 2004 Dug Bradley President Climate Change Slutins Directr CANBIO

2 Tpics CanBi Bienergy Issues v Bimass vlumes, csts v Technlgies v Financial Requirements v Incentives v Bitrade Bienergy Strategy 15 Sept 2004 IEA Bienergy Task 38 2

3 CanBi: Natinal, industry driven, nn-prfit Objectives v Prmte bienergy develpment v Natinal vice fr bienergy industry v Develp natinal bienergy strategy v Identify barriers, pprtunities v Infrmatin exchange/ Educate v Influence plicies, incentives 15 Sept 2004 IEA Bienergy Task 38 3

4 Tpics CanBi Bienergy Issues v Bimass vlumes v Technlgies v Financial Requirements v Incentives v Bitrade Bienergy Strategy 15 Sept 2004 IEA Bienergy Task 38 4

5 Vlumes- Hw much d we have? Lts! (Frestry- B. McCly & Assc.,2003 Ag and Municipal- Bicap Canada, 2003) M BDT Mill Residue 5.9 Stck Piles 0.3 Pulp Sludge 1.0 Frest Flr MT CO 2 e Frest Industry Livestck Waste Agricultural Residues Municipal Waste 29.3 Ttal Sept 2004 IEA Bienergy Task 38 5

6 BC Interir- Muntain Pine Beetle 9 millin ha infested- 108 millin M 3 15 Sept 2004 IEA Bienergy Task 38 6

7 Ptential frm the frest flr- Use f slash in Finland Bundling harvest slash Stacking bundles Trucking bundles 15 Sept 2004 IEA Bienergy Task 38 7

8 Perceived Envirnment Issue?- Nutrients Mst nutrients in needles Leave needles 100% 90% 80% 70% Fliage versus stem mass in trees 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% Needles Branches Stem SPRUCE PINE BIRCH 10% % bimass N P 15 Sept 2004 IEA Bienergy Task 38 8

9 Tpics CanBi Bienergy Issues v Bimass vlumes v Technlgies (Cmbustin, Bi-il) v Financial Requirements v Renewable Energy Incentives v Bitrade Bienergy Strategy 15 Sept 2004 IEA Bienergy Task 38 9

10 Lumber dry kilns, pulp mill lime kilns, diesels Bi Oil Electricity and Prcess Heat Char Green Pwer Generatin Electricity Exprt t Grid Shipping / Exprt f Bi Oil Eurpe Japan United States Heat Briquettes Activated Bi Oil Refinery Carbn 15 Sept 2004 IEA Bienergy Task 38 Derivative Prducts f Bi Oil Resins / Chemicals / Bi Methanl ++

11 Dynamtive- First Mdular 100 TPD Plant 15 Sept 2004 IEA Bienergy Task 38

12 Staged Develpment 1996 / >>>>>> Value Added Higher Lwer STAGE 4: Chemical Refining Derivative Prducts STAGE 3: Transprtatin Fuels Blends, Syngas, Bi-Methanl STAGE 2: Pwer Generatin - Turbines, Diesels Small Scale Industrial, Remte STAGE 1: Industrial Fuels - Bilers, Kilns, Furnaces Sugar Industry, District Heating, etc. Time

13 Tpics CanBi Bienergy Issues v Bimass vlumes v Technlgies v Financial Requirements v Incentives v Bitrade Bienergy Strategy 15 Sept 2004 IEA Bienergy Task 38 13

14 Financing Mdels Needed Much capital needed Frest Industry has n mney! v $capital n cre business Need vehicles t funnel investment t bienergy v Flw thrugh shares/investment Funds v Oil & gas explratin examples 15 Sept 2004 IEA Bienergy Task 38 14

15 Oil Price Wrld Oil Price $US/ barrel Daily Sept 2004 IEA Bienergy Task 38 15

16 Tpics CanBi Bienergy Issues v Bimass vlumes v Technlgies v Financial Requirements v Incentives v Bitrade Bienergy Strategy 15 Sept 2004 IEA Bienergy Task 38 16

17 Bienergy- Perceptin vs Reality Public Perceptin Wind Pwer Bienergy 15 Sept 2004 IEA Bienergy Task 38 17

18 Bienergy- Perceptin vs Reality Public Perceptin Reality 15 Sept 2004 IEA Bienergy Task 38 18

19 Wind Pwer Its free! N significant pllutin Little nise, impact n birds Needs wind v Min 13-- Opt Shut 90 Intermittent Electricity nly Captures nly 15-40% f turbine capacity Prblem linking energy surce with need 15 Sept 2004 IEA Bienergy Task 38 19

20 Canadian Gvernment Incentives $Millin c/kwh Wind Grain Ethanl Plants R&D, mktg Bienergy 15 Sept 2004 IEA Bienergy Task 38 20

21 Gvernment Plicy Existing v REDI (Renewable Energy Deplyment Initiative) max $80,000 v Cdn Renewable & Cnservatin Expenses (Tax) v Tax Depreciatin 43.1 fr generatin equipment v MIP (Market Incentive Prgram) 40% refund f marketing csts nly v 10 per litre excise tax exemptin n ethanl fuel v 20% gv t pwer purchases frm renewable v Wind Pwer 1 /Kwh prductin incentive $250 millin Need meaningful incentives v Feed-in-tariffs (price premiums) v RPS (Renewable Prtfli Standard) v Grants (capital supprt) 15 Sept 2004 IEA Bienergy Task 38 21

22 ROI - Bi-il Plant % CO2e = $3 CO2e = $10 1c/KWh Cst f Bimass $/BDMT 15 Sept 2004 IEA Bienergy Task 38 22

23 Bienergy prductin ptential in 2050 Surce: Smeets, Faaij 2004 harvesting residues bienergy crps Nrth America Caribean & Latin America W.Eurpe E.Eurpe Near East & 410 Nrth Africa Japan Oceania 15 Sept 2004 IEA Bienergy Task sub-saharan Africa CIS & Baltic States Suth Asia East Asia Ptential Oceania 4-6 times prjected primary energy use

24 Impact f EU Directive (Penalty/tnne CO2e: , ) Maximum Price f Bi-il $Cdn/Litre $0.50 $0.20 $0.24 $0.24 EU Penalty Price- Lt Oil (fssil) Sept 2004 IEA Bienergy Task 38 24

25 IEA Task Task 40- Bitrade Supply Chains- Slid bimass delivered t Netherlands Csts ( /tnnedry delivered) Strage Densificatin Drying Sizing Ship Train Truck Wire Bimass 0 Residues Scandinavia 12.5MW Pellets per Ship Crps Scandinavia 300MW Pelletsper Ship Crps LA inland 300MW Pellets Crps LA Castal 300MW Pellets Crps LA inland 1200MW Pellets Crps (future) LA inland 1200 MW Pellets Crps Eastern Eurpe 1200 MW Pellets per train Crps Eastern Eurpe 1200MW Pellets per ship 15 Sept 2004 IEA Bienergy Task 38 25

26 Frest Bimass Strategy Sep Oct Nv Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr Bimass inventry- csts Technlgy readiness Develpment ptins Financing mdels Strategy- Develpment Plan Sci-ecnmic impacts Gv t incentives Envirnmental repsitining 15 Sept 2004 IEA Bienergy Task 38 26

27 Bimass Lng Term Supply Frest Mgt Affrestatin Pine Beetle Harvest Slash Mill Residues Sept 2004 IEA Bienergy Task 38 27

28 Technlgy Readiness Direct Cmbustin Bi-il frm Fast Pyrlysis- 100 TPD in 2004 Gasificatin 20,000 18,000 16,000 14,000 12,000 TPD 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 Bi-il is happening! (Dynamtive Energy Prjectin) Biprducts, bichemicals Operating Capacity Prjects in Develpment Plants 15 Sept 2004 IEA Bienergy Task 38 28

29 Bimass Lng Term Plan Develpment Optins- hypthetical Cmbustin5 0 Bi-il Cmbustin Gasificatin- Birefinery Frest Mgt Affrestatin Pine Beetle Harvest Slash Mill Residues Sept 2004 IEA Bienergy Task 38 29

30 Prgress- Frest Bimass Strategy Bimass Vlumes Funding REDI Partnership Prpsals Prgress Cmpletin Technlgy Readiness Evaluate what is dne Sci-ecnmic benefits Financing Vehicles REDI Partnership Develpment Plan Strategy Planning Sessin Gvernment Incentives FPAC Envirnmental Repsitining EC/FPAC/NRCan = funding in place = partnership prpsals under review 15 Sept 2004 IEA Bienergy Task 38 30

31 What will a frest bimass strategy shw? Industry? Impact n sharehlder value Gvernment? Impact n ecnmic grwth, trade NGOs? Impact n envirnment relative t ther energy surces 15 Sept 2004 IEA Bienergy Task 38 31

32 What have we seen? Bimass vlumes are sizable Many technlgies are ready Need innvative investment ptins Recgnize sciecnmic benefits Explre Incentives (equal t wind) Where we are ging? Hw get there? A frest bimass strategy! 15 Sept 2004 IEA Bienergy Task 38 32

33 Canadian Bienergy Assciatin 3330 White Oak Rad, Lndn, Ontari N6E 1L8 Web: Phne: (519) Fax: (519) Dug Bradley 69 Fultn Avenue Ottawa, Ontari Canada K1S 4Y7 phne web site 15 Sept 2004 IEA Bienergy Task 38 33