SAGD Cogenera-on: Towards Lower Carbon Power & Oil Sands Produc-on
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1 SAGD Cogenera-on: Towards Lower Carbon Power & Oil Sands Produc-on David B. Layzell, PhD, FR. Professor and Director, Canadian Energy Systems Analysis Research (CESAR) Ini-a-ve, Univ. of Calgary. Web: IA Symposium 217 Calgary Banff, AB - Oct , 217 Co-Authors: Eric Shewchuk (Elect. Engineer) Song Sit, Ph.D. (Chem. Engineer) Madhav Narendran (Elect. Eng. & Econ.) Manfred Klein (Mech. Engineer)
![Mt CO 2 e/yr 8 6 4 [215 GHGs in Mt COAgriculture Waste [25] 2 e/yr] Canada s Greenhouse Gas (GHG) Emissions & Targets Agriculture](/docs-images/94/121699972/images/2-1.jpg "[59] Ind. proc. & prod. Use [51] Energy Fugi-ve [57] Energy Transporta-on [22] Failed 1997 Kyoto Commitment [722] Oct.")
2 Mt CO 2 e/yr [215 GHGs in Mt COAgriculture Waste [25] 2 e/yr] Canada s Greenhouse Gas (GHG) Emissions & Targets Agriculture [59] Ind. proc. & prod. Use [51] Energy Fugi-ve [57] Energy Transporta-on [22] Failed 1997 Kyoto Commitment [722] Oct. 217 Failed -17% 29 Copenhagen Energy Systems (81%) Canada s GHG Challenge (a ~6 MtCO 2 e/yr Problem) -3% 215 Paris -65% 2 Energy Sta-onary [328] Alberta s Contribu-on: 274 Mt CO 2 e/yr (37%) 215 Paris -9% Modified from EC 216 and 217 Na5onal Inventory Reports 199 Year
3 The Flow of Carbon Through the Energy Systems of Alberta in 213 Primary Energy Energy Sectors Demand Sectors
4 DRAFT Version for Review - Do not Cite
5 DRAFT Version for Review - Do not Cite
6 Genera-on Capacity (GW) Alberta Plant Re-rement Federal ~5 yr Re-rement Policy! New genera-on: NG- or beher 119* Mt CO 2 Provincial Policy - by 23:! Off! 3% renewables! NG- likely balance What If # SAGD Cogen. were to enable the early re5rement of coal; # The GHG benefits were to be shared between power genera5on and SAGD OS crude produc5on? Power 75% CF (TWh/y) *Assumes: genera5on (@ 18 kg CO 2 /MWh) replaced with NG-Cogen or NG- (@ 39 kg CO 2 /MWh)
7 Two Reports: Free download from: Facility Perspec5ve # Target Audience: SAGD Operators # Techno/economic/environmental analysis showing that a standard 33, bpd SAGD facility could efficiently use all the heat from two 85 MW gas turbines and put ~15 MW on the grid Provincial Perspec5ve # Modelled Five Energy Scenarios to 23 for all SAGD + all Electrical Grid in Alberta $ S1: 214 Policy $ S2: Current Policy (~3% renewables, coal Early rekrement: $ S3: w/ng $ S4: w/sagd Cogen Max $ S5: w/sagd Cogen Rnw
8 Oil Produc-on Forecast 5 AB Total Crude Produc-on NEB Oct 216 Ref. Forecast million bbl/d # Number of 33 kbpdequivalent SAGD facili-es 25 SAGD CSS Mining 49 1 Primary (CHOPS, etc) Conven-onal
9 The Five Scenarios Power Genera-on (TWh/yr) ECR=Early Re-rement Genera-on (TWh/y) Import Bio S1: BAU 215 S2: Current Policy Import Hydro Bio PV Hydro Genera-on (TWh/y) S3: ECR w/ NG S4: ECR w/ SAGD Max S5: ECR w/ SAGD Rnw Import PV PV PV Import Import Bio Hydro Bio Hydro Bio Hydro
10 The Five Scenarios SAGD Energy Demand (PJ/y) 75 6 Heat & Power Flows in SAGD SAGD Energy Demand (PJ/y) FA- 45 OTSG OTSG OTSG 3 15 FA- FA- Grid"SAGD Grid"SAGD FA- Grid"SAGD Cogen"Grid Cogen"Grid Cogen"Grid OTSG Grid"SAGD Cogen"Grid S3: ECR w/ NG S4: ECR w/ SAGD Max S1: BAU 215 S2: Current Policy FA- Grid"SAGD Cogen"Grid OTSG S5: ECR w/ SAGD Rnw
11 The Five Scenarios Greenhouse Gas Emissions (AB Grid + SAGD) Mt CO 2 /yr S1: BAU 215 S2: Current Policy 28 Mt OTSG OTSG FA- FA- Grid"SAGD Grid"SAGD Grid (except SAGD) Grid (except SAGD) Mt CO 2 /yr S3: ECR w/ NG S4: ECR w/ SAGD Max 147 Mt 17 Mt FA- OTSG FA- OTSG Grid"SAGD Grid"SAGD S5: ECR w/ SAGD Rnw Grid"SAGD OTSG 162 Mt FA- Grid (except SAGD) Grid (except SAGD) Grid (except SAGD)
12 SAGD GHG Intensity (kg CO 2 /bbl) The AllocaKon of GHG Emission ReducKons AB Grid Takes Priority NG Per cogen barrel BAU 215 SAGD Rnw Current Policy 23 Mt CO 2 e SAGD Max Conven5onal Oil GHG Intensity Lower, but s-ll much larger than conven-onal oil Beyond Regula-on Flexibility Per cogen barrel BAU 215 Current Policy NG 142 Mt CO 2 e SAGD Max SAGD Rnw Conven5onal Oil GHG Intensity 1 1 Grid GHG Intensity (kg CO 2 /MWh) BAU 215 Current Policy NG SAGD Rnw SAGD Max BAU 215 NG Current Policy SAGD Max SAGD Rnw
13 Conclusions Industrial Scale (e.g. SAGD) Cogenera;on: # Improve energy efficiency in the use of natural gas fuels; # Achieve ~142 Mt CO 2 e of addi5onal emissions reduc5ons between now and 23; # Constrain AB electricity prices; # Could enable SAGD opera5ons to decrease C intensity of oil sands produc5on to equal conven5onal oil:! OS produc5on more important to the AB/Cdn economy than the GHG intensity of the AB Grid # Industrial Cogen. i-on has been established in AB to ensure new capacity market recognizes this opportunity
14 Thank you Coauthors: Eric Shewchuk (Electrical Engineer) Song Sit, Ph.D. (Chemical Engineer) Madhav Narendran (Electrical Engineering & Economics) & Manfred Klein (Mechanical Engineer) David B Layzell, PhD, FR, Director, CESAR Ini-a-ve; Professor, Univ. of Calgary; dlayzell@ucalgary.ca Web: Oct
15 The Five Scenarios Genera-on Capacity (GW) = Peak Load Gen. Capacity (GW) S1: BAU 215 S2: Current Policy PV Bio Bio Hydro Hydro Gen. Capacity (GW) S3: ECR w/ NG S4: ECR w/ SAGD Max Bio Hydro PV Bio Hydro PV S5: ECR w/ SAGD Rnw Bio Hydro PV
16 The Five Scenarios SAGD Electricity Produc-on and End Use SADG Electricity (TWh/y) S1: BAU 215 S2: Current Policy Cogen " SAGD Grid " SAGD Cogen " Grid Cogen " SAGD Grid " SAGD Cogen " Grid SADG Electricity (TWh/y) S3: ECR w/ NG S4: ECR w/ SAGD Max Grid " SAGD Cogen " SAGD Cogen " Grid Cogen " SAGD Grid " SAGD Cogen " Grid S5: ECR w/ SAGD Rnw Grid " SAGD Cogen " SAGD Cogen " Grid
SAGD Cogeneration: Towards Lower Carbon Power & Oil Sands Production
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