Renewable Energy System Tariffs and Pricing

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1 Renewable Energy System Tariffs and Pricing National Association of Regulatory Utility Commissioners Energy Regulatory Partnership Program with The National Commission for Energy State Regulation of Ukraine Deborah Erwin Public Service Commission of Wisconsin Kiev, Ukraine May 21-25, 2012

2 Outline What is a Feed-in Tariff? Tariff Design Options Basic Pricing Options & Considerations Advantages and Disadvantages of FIT Policies Wisconsin s Experience 2

3 What is a Feed-in Tariff (FIT)? A tariff refers to a document containing detailed, standard terms on which an electric provider or grid operator provides service A feed-in tariff contains standard terms and conditions on which an electric provider or grid operator is willing to purchase renewable energy, at a price that provides an incentive for installing renewable energy (to feed in to the grid) 3

4 Core Elements of a Feed-in Tariff 1. Establishes a right to connect to the grid 2. Offers a stable, long term power purchase agreement 3. Payment level based on cost to produce renewable energy Example: Utility will buy [solar] power from generators up to [500 kw] in size at [X UAH] per kilowatthour for [15] years 4

5 Core Elements of a Feed-in Tariff Payment at a level sufficient to drive renewable energy development Most feed-in tariff policies are created by establishing a legal requirement for electric utilities to purchase renewable electricity that meets certain conditions 5

6 Feed-in Tariff Design Options Type of eligible technology Size of eligible project (max, min, or both) Cap on total eligible installed capacity? Geographic considerations, resource quality Price method and amount Length of contract 10, 20, 25 years? 6

7 Feed-in Tariff Pricing Options 1) Levelized cost to generate renewable energy, plus rate of return* 2) Auction based on bids by potential renewable energy sellers* 3) Value of renewable energy to the utility/grid operator (avoided costs) 4) Value of renewable energy to society (externalities) 5) Some other simple, fixed incentive *A rate that reflects actual cost + profit will likely be *A rate that reflects actual cost + profit will likely be preferred by many renewable energy developers 7

8 Pricing Options Considerations What other incentives are available to renewable energy developers? Don t want to require payments higher than necessary or create windfall profits for renewable energy sellers. What can the utility or grid operator and its customers afford to pay? What information is available about the cost to install and finance renewable energy? 8

9 Pricing Options - Considerations Price degression (regression) projects that come along later are offered lower prices Encourages renewable developers to act early Can reduce price paid as technology becomes more common and costs to install decrease If prices need to be adjusted over time, be sensitive to effects on the market Too sudden or too large changes in price or eligibility requirements decrease market stability & attractiveness to investors 9

10 1 & 2: Cost + Rate of Return (Profit) 1) Use market research and empirical analysis to determine cost to finance, install & operate each type of renewable technology Or 2) Auction-based pricing = use auction bids by renewable energy producers help to set price Be careful of underbidding bids held artificially low to increase chance of being selected Projects that are underbid may not actually be constructed due to insufficient funds 10

11 3: Value to Utility/Grid Operator: Avoided Cost Develop a fixed price to be paid based on cost compared to anticipated future cost of providing energy from other resources If other sources of energy become more expensive, a fixed price can result in lower cost to the utility than without the feed-in tariff Fixed price means price certainty for renewable e abe energy developers good for investors, as long as the price is high enough 11

12 3: Value to Utility/Grid Operator: Avoided Cost Utility s avoided cost Cost of other sources of energy Cost of other renewable sources of energy Cost of other sources of this kind of renewable energy May also consider: Time of energy production Grid benefits Value of price certainty to purchaser 12

13 4: Value to Society Premium/rate based on current or future societal costs related to fossil fuel energy as the avoided alternative Historical or anticipated risks associated with energy security, price volatility Greenhouse gas emissions reduction Public health, pollution reduction Value of job creation, economic development 13

14 Market + Premium (Any basis) Develop a premium to be paid above market price based on renewable system cost compared to anticipated future market prices Need to identify payment level necessary to support renewable projects Need to forecast future market prices another variable (another place for error in forecasting) 14

15 Market + Premium (Any basis) May want to identify a price cap Lesser of market + [premium] or [?]UAH/MWh If market prices go above [?], then no premium Limits the amount of additional cost to utility Without a cap, does not limit absolute cost to utility Does not provide much price certainty for developers If market prices drop below predicted levels, some projects may fail, unless minimum price is established 15

16 Price Adjustments Examples Annual degression goes down every [?] months Periodic adjustments when milestones are reached (lower price offered after first [?] megawatts or kilowatts are installed) May want to make adjustments to account for effect of inflation on costs to install Will price adjustments apply to existing projects, or only future projects going forward? 16

17 Revenue Stream Considerations Same price for the entire contract, or should it change over time? Front-end loading = higher price for early years, then lower price for remainder of contract Can pay off investors faster than a static fixed price may help to attract investors Combine fixed and market-based pricing = fixed for initial period, then receives market price or market price + premium Provides some price certainty, but also reduces amount of risk to utility (by placing some risk on renewable energy developer) 17

18 Tailoring to Your Preferred Resource Bonus payments to encourage: Energy production during time of peak demand Very efficient systems (co-generation for example) Use of specific fuel stream (farm waste, municipal waste) Ownership structure (local, community owned) Siting in particular location (on buildings, near high energy loads, certain grid locations) Repowering/upgrading existing facilities 18

19 Advantages of Feed-in Tariffs Payment for energy generated Encourages good quality, efficient systems to be installed Can create price certainty for renewable energy suppliers Easier for developers to get project financing Can identify & to some extent limit financial impact on utility & its customers s By using caps, price degression Can tailor to specific technology, project size 19

20 Disadvantages of Feed-in Tariffs Many factors affect pricing Hard to keep up with changes in cost of renewable energy systems, other incentives available Likely to cause increase in the cost of electricity to customers unless other funding sources (taxpayers?) are used Requires administrative commitment to: Set prices accurately Conduct periodic review 20

21 Wisconsin s Experience Many utilities voluntarily offer limited feed-in tariffs Cap on eligible system size small systems only Cap on total installed capacity eligible for tariff price experimental tariffs limits financial impact on utility customers Renewable energy purchased by utility under feed-in tariffs is eligible for utility to use to: Meet part of its renewable portfolio standard requirement, or Sell to customers who choose to purchase green electricity from the utility (blocks of energy or %) 21

22 Wisconsin s Experience Public Service Commission of Wisconsin conducted investigation regarding g expanding feed-in tariffs in Wisconsin ( ) Based on stakeholder input, Commission staff identified price levels that could be sufficient to encourage new installations Utilities continue with voluntary, limited tariff offerings 22

23 Example Commission Investigation (2009) Hypothetical Production Cost 10 year Contract (cents/kwh) Technology Category 1 Category 2 Category 3 Category 4 ( 20 kw) ( kw) (200 kw-1 1MW) (1-5MW) Solar PV Not analyzed Not analyzed Wind Biogas Not analyzed (1-2 MW) 8.8 (2-5 MW) Biomass (solid) Not analyzed Not analyzed Not analyzed 21.6 Landfill Gas Not analyzed Not analyzed Not analyzed 4.8 Hydro Not analyzed Not analyzed 4.1 Not analyzed *Despite economies of scale, biogas category 3 is higher than category 2 because financial incentives are limited for larger systems 23

24 Example Commission Investigation (2009) Possible Adequate Incentive Prices 10 year Contract (cents/kwh) Technology Category 1 Category 2 Category 3 Category 4 ( 20 kw) ( kw) (200 kw-1 MW) (1-5MW) Solar PV PPA/Avoided cost PPA/Avoided cost Wind Net metering Biogas Net metering (1-2 MW) 8.4 (2-5 MW) Biomass (solid) Net metering Landfill Gas Net metering PPA/Avoided cost PPA/Avoided cost PPA/Avoided cost Hydro Net metering PPA/Avoided cost PPA/Avoided cost PPA/Avoided cost Other renewables Net metering PPA/Avoided cost PPA/Avoided cost PPA/Avoided cost 24

25 Example Northern States Power Co. Utility recently proposed new experimental FIT program in its regular rate case, costs to be part of general rate base Several categories & price levels Prices based on what the utility believes is sufficient to help projects succeed, without providing windfall profits to customer-owned owned generators Other interested parties had opportunity to comment on price & terms of the proposed tariffs 25

26 Example Northern States Power Co. Overall program cap at 0.25% of the Company s retail electricity sales (in MWh) for 2010 as submitted in the Company s FERC Form 1 filing Biomass/Biogas: Tier 1: 800 kw Tier 2: 2 MW Tier 3: 5 MW (Community-based Projects Only) Wind: Tier 1: 100 kw Tier 2: 2 MW Tier 3: 5 MW (Community-based Projects) Solar: 10 kw Community-based Projects: 5 MW 26

27 Example Northern States Power Co. Offers payment under a 10 year contract at rates listed in the tariff Biomass/Biogas Energy Systems Tier 1: $0.086 per kwh Tier 2: $0.082 per kwh Tier 3 (Community-based Projects Only): $0.080 per kwh Wind Energy Systems Tier 1: $0.080 per kwh Tier 2: $0.075 per kwh Tier 3 (Community-based Projects Only): $ per kwh Solar Energy Systems The customer will receive a $1.50/watt capital incentive payment up to a total of $15,000 per facility, and $0.11 per kwh 27

28 Additional Input from Other Panelists Tariff Design Options Pricing Options & Considerations Advantages and Disadvantages of FIT Policies Examples 28

29 Thank You! Deborah Erwin i i 29

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