GHG Emissions A Canadian Perspective

Transcription

1 GHG Emissions A Canadian Perspective Issues With the Introduction of EPA GHG Regulations Southwest Research Institute San Antonio, Texas

2 Outline How do the US and Canadian truck markets vary? Applications & vehicle specifications Climate conditions How do these differences affect GHG regulations? Would adoption of the US GHG regulations introduce market distortions or operational problems in Canada? Conclusions 2

3 HD Vehicle Applications The US and Canadian markets have essentially the same range of truck applications Long haul with 53 box van trailers, flat beds, tankers, bulk haulers, etc. LCVs and heavy haulers Mining, logging, and oil field service Regional and short haul (mostly LTL) Urban applications Garbage trucks, dump trucks, cement mixers, busses, local delivery 3

4 HD Vehicle Applications The difference is in relative market shares Canada has a higher share of: LCVs and heavy haulers This is a good thing from a GHG perspective, although the current GHG regulation does not consider this, and may actually inhibit use of LCVs & heavy haulers because of limits on the number of vocational tractors 53 doubles reduce CO 2 by 25% plus compared to 53 singles on a ton- or cube-mile basis A good approach for additional GHG reduction would be to expand the scope for LCV and heavy hauler applications. Provincial and US state limitations vary widely and are an impediment to CO 2 reduction 4

5 HD Vehicle Applications Turnpike Doubles Canada also has a higher share of: On/off road applications such as logging, mining, and oil field service These demand high traction capability and rugged construction, and are thus classified as vocational tractors 5

6 Operating Climate Canada enjoys lots of ice, snow, and cold weather operation Dealing with ice and snow buildup is crucial to achieving reliability / durability Traction on snow and ice is important Air conditioning is less important than in the US, but is still often installed The US has a wide range of climate The northern US is not that different from Canada 6

7 What Is Regulated? What is a combination tractor? Primary purpose is to pull trailers with a 5 th wheel Exceptions will be described later 7

8 What Is Regulated? For combination tractors: Engine CO 2, including credit for alt fuels Vehicle efficiency, based on a combination of Vehicle aerodynamics Tire rolling resistance Weight reduction features (optional, but there is an assumed adoption rate) Idle reduction features (optional, but the regulations anticipate 100% adoption in tractors with sleepers) Road speed governor (optional) Credits can be generated by using innovative fuel saving features not contemplated in the regulation 8

9 What Is Regulated? EPA definition of vocational All straight trucks Anything not pulling a trailer using a 5 th wheel Pulling a trailer with a pintle hook is still vocational 9

10 What Is Regulated? For vocational trucks, regulations cover Engine efficiency Vehicle efficiency, based only on: Tire rolling resistance Available credits for hybrid vehicles and innovative technologies Certain tractors can be classified as vocational trucks 10

11 Which Tractors are Vocational? Vocational tractors have a 5 th wheel, but are Low roof urban P&D, 120,000 pounds GCWR (heavy hauler), or Designed for off-road or mixed service operation 11

12 Limitations on Vocational Tractors EPA limits the volume of vocational tractors to 21,000 in any consecutive 3 model year period (for each OEM) Effective limit of 7,000 per year per OEM, based on a running 3 year average Includes tractors classified as vocational and as off road OEMs can decide how to classify tractors, subject to EPA review Must apply the vocational provision in good faith 12

13 Which Trucks Are Exempt from the Tire Rolling Resistance Requirement? Off-road and low speed vehicles Intended primarily for off-road use, such as forestry, oil field, and construction site trucks Criteria: Tires with a maximum speed rating of 55 MPH, or Has components attached which are designed to work in an off-road environment or designed to operate at low speed so it is unsuitable for highway operation, and one of the following: o A gross axle rating (GAWR) of 29,000 pounds or more o Capable of 33 MPH in 2 miles o Capable of 45 MPH in 2 miles, and has an unloaded weight 95% of GVWR 13

14 Which Trucks Are Designed for Off- Road Use? Off-road is further defined by: High ground clearance Reinforced frame 14

15 Effects of Climate The primary issues are: Durability / effectiveness of aerodynamic features in ice and snow Performance of low rolling resistance tires on ice and snow Idle reduction features (sleeper cabs only) The EPA standards take these issues into account, since the northern US has a similar situation Done by weighting of penetration rates for specific technologies, and choice of goals 15

16 Effects of Climate EPA assumes: 100% penetration of idle shutdown for sleeper tractors High penetration of tractor aerodynamic features with low ground clearance Bumpers Side skirts 16

17 Effects of Climate Manufacturers are working to improve aero feature durability in snow and ice Fuel saving benefit can be reduced and even go negative with snow and ice buildup EPA and EC believe there are low C rr tires with adequate traction performance for most on-road applications industry is not sure These issues should be watched in case problems arise, but they should not be show stoppers 17

18 Effects of Climate Idle reduction is an issue in Canada EPA requirement is 5 minute shutdown, which assumes an APU or other means of handling hotel load In the US, this covers heat and A/C needs In Canada, fuel fired cab heaters are cost effective, but an APU to provide A/C is often not, because of the short A/C season & limited use Canada needs a provision to allow pro-rating of idle shutdown EPA is working on this. A technical revision is expected soon 18

19 Idle Reduction Pro-Rating EPA plans to add pro-rating to the rule: Based on allowable idle hours per calendar year The pro-rate percentage is: X (Allowed idle hours / 1800) Assumes an idle reduction of 1800 hours = 100% Note: EPA still assumes 100% idle reduction adoption in sleeper tractors OEMs must add other technology to compensate for pro-rated idle reduction High use of pro-rating in Canada has the effect of making the rest of the regulation more stringent 19

20 Effects of Application Market Share Canada has more LCVs and heavy haulers Canada has more on/off road applications This could cause significant issues, because 20

21 Effects of Application Market Share Canada plans to use the EPA assumptions for vocational tractor market share This would limit importers to 2,100 vocational tractors in any consecutive 3 model year period The limit of 2,100 includes off-road tractors One OEM told me that they sell nearly 2,100 vocational tractors in Canada per year 21

22 Effects of Application Market Share Effect of using EPA assumptions for vocational tractor market share: This may force OEMs to list vocational tractors as standard combination tractors in Canada, adding features that won t provide a real-world benefit Issues with aero features that rarely see high speed, plus ice/snow accumulation and ground clearance problems Poor cost/benefit, road kill issues 22

23 Effects of Application Market Share Vocational tractors represent a higher percentage of the tractor total in Canada A survey to understand the actual market is needed The regulation should be modified in this one feature to match the Canadian situation, as necessary Averaging over the North American market is another option, but This would have the effect of making the US regulation more stringent unless the overall cap takes Canadian vocational volumes into account The EPA is not interested in this approach 23

24 Fleet Baseline CO 2 The Canadian fleet is likely to have a different baseline CO 2 level from the US Different average payload Different operating conditions (speeds, road types, grades) Increased use of LCVs and heavy haulers Different current penetration of existing fuel saving technologies Aero features, low Crr tires, etc. 24

25 Fleet Baseline CO 2 Carrying the US baseline into the Canadian regulation is risky This may make the Canadian standard more or less stringent in its effect than the US standard 25

26 Implementation Issues Canada plans to apply the regulations to the importer In the case of vocational trucks, the importer may be a dealer or body builder Canada plans to implement the same timing as EPA Some 2013 model trucks being used to create EPA GHG credits are already in production Very little time to sort out any issues 26

27 Conclusions Introduction of harmonized GHG standards in Canada is in general a good idea, but There are some issues that need to be considered 27

28 Conclusions 1. There may be some applications where aerodynamic features run into problems with ice / snow buildup a) Fuel saving performance deteriorates with ice and snow buildup, so benefits in Canada will be lower than those projected for the US b) There may be some road kill issues c) These problems will also occur in the US, but they will be more prevalent in Canada 28

29 Conclusions 2. There may be a few applications where low rolling resistance tires could provide inadequate traction a) This could also be a problem in the northern US, but in the US it will be much easier to handle it via credit averaging i. Based on climate conditions and the composition of the US fleet b) Canada is likely to have a more difficult situation i. Canada lacks the range of climates that would allow OEMs flexibility with tire rolling resistance 29

30 Conclusions 3. The share of vocational tractors in Canada is higher than in the US a) Possible allowance for more than 2,100 vocational and off-road tractors in any 3 consecutive model years b) Possible overall North American market vocational allowance is unlikely to get EPA acceptance 30

31 Conclusions 4. Need to allow idle reduction pro-rating, to fit widespread use of fuel-fired cab heaters Recognize that this has the effect of making the overall regulation more stringent 5. The Canadian baseline CO 2 level is probably not the same as in the US 6. There are some implementation issues to consider, such as timing 31

32 Not Every Good Idea is Practical 32

33 Southwest Research Institute 33