ELECTRIC VEHICLES TODAY AND TOMORROW Delaware Valley Regional Planning Commission
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1 ELECTRIC VEHICLES TODAY AND TOMORROW Delaware Valley Regional Planning Commission Monday, November 6, 2017 Gil Tal Wei Ji Tom Turrentine
2 Modeling DC Fast Charging History
3 How much Public Charging Do We Need?
4 Energy consumption US -2 (travel east) Energy consumption Whatt/h miles Travel
5 US 2 - Seattle Wenatchee Travel West
6 60.0 US 2 - Seattle Wenatchee Corridor Cold day and heavy car Average miles left Range Scenario (Travel East) Range Scenario (Travel East) Elevation profile DC Fast Charger location miles Travel -20.0
7 Regional Models May Miss Some Demand. Larger Regions Have Less Error % 80.00% 70.00% Percent of Demand From Inside Region vs Battery Size Percent of Demand 60.00% 50.00% 40.00% 30.00% 20.00% 10.00% 0.00% y = x Vehcile Range Los Angeles Bay Area San Diego Sacramento Power (Bay Area)
8 Sacramento to Bakersfield I-5 or Hwy 99?
9 Charging for on a long corridor is not practical based on Value of time
10 Charge Window Illustration D= 85 mile tour Charge window on D is mile A = 4 customers B =3 customers C=6 customers
11 Tool - Our Data Set: Caltrans Travel Survey ~40,000 Persons. Can Gasoline Travel be Done in an EV? California Statewide Charging Assessment Model for Plug-in Electric Vehicles: Learning from Statewide Travel Surveys. UCD-ITS-WP http:// u/?page_id=10063&pub_id=
12 Charger Choices in San Diego
13 Charger Choices in San Diego
14 Charger Choices in San Diego
15 Charger Choices in San Diego
16 Charger Choices in San Diego
17 Where do People Want Chargers?
18 Given Only 5 Choices, Priority is Home Area
19 Quick Charging Insights: Destination Charging Q C
20 130 Mile Tour
21 130 Mile Tour
22 130 Mile Tour
23 Completed Work. BEV80 State Demand Distribution: 200 Initial Locations (246 BEV)
24 Statewide Demand Distribution: BEV Locations
25 Statewide Demand Distribution: BEV Locations
26 Statewide Demand Distribution: BEV Locations
27 Statewide Demand Distribution: BEV Locations
28 Future Scenario Choosing the Best Stations with three BEV Sizes
29 Use Cases for Fast Chargers Level 2 backup - Workplace I have the time to charge, but I can t find an open L2 charger Destination/L2 Backup/ Home Home charger/home backup I have no home charger I only have level 1 at home Corridor fast charger I don t have the range and need to charge Corridor Fast Charger Destination fast charger perhaps near regional centers. I have to meet someone for dinner and I won t spend long enough at dinner to charge 29
30 Leaf DC fast charging Desired vs needed vs actual Cumulative Distance Distribution of Desired, Modeled and Used Chargers by LEAF Drivers Percentage of Chargers 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Desired DC Fast: Leaf Survey Modeled BEV 100 Choices Scaled to Frequency Used Chargers for Leafs Distance from home to desired charger (miles)
31 PG&E Scenario 2025 Home dominates in urban areas (10 AM peak) Work centers have work based demand (noon and 6pm peak) Corridors draw from far away (5-8 pm peak) Corridors are the most speculative. Depends on confidence of availability and increase in battery Size 31
32 Trips longer than the car range are only small share of the DC fast usage DC Fast substitute for slower origin or destination charging When free When needed Not as a daily use Need new data for low frequency charging Updated modeling tools (for spatial and temporal distribution) Modeling impact of longer range BEVs? Shared mobility vehicles? Driverless vehicles? Conclusions and Next Steps
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