Electric Vehicles Today and Tomorrow November 6, 2017

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1 Electric Vehicles Today and Tomorrow November 6, 2017 Enjoy a cup of coffee! Please be sure to get a copy of the agenda and bios and sign in for APA CM Credits We will start promptly at 10:00

2 Electric Vehicles Today and Tomorrow November 6, 2017 Rob Graff Manager, Office of Energy and Climate Change Initiatives Delaware Valley Regional Planning Commission

3 Electric Vehicles Today and Tomorrow Welcome Logistics Breaks Lunch APA CM Credit Participant Introduction Name/Organization What are you hoping to learn today? Intro to DVRPC Context for Today Overview of Day Speaker Introduction

4 About DVRPC Metropolitan Planning Organization (MPO) for the bi-state, 9-county Philadelphia region Home rule region: 351 municipalities land use power resides with local governments Issue areas: Transportation Land Use Economy Environment Board makeup: Governors Counties and cities State agencies

5 Contextual Overview International Strong Presence in Much of the World Auto Companies Moving Away from ICE to EVs National Electrify America National Plug-in Electric Vehicle Infrastructure Analysis Proposed End of the $7,500 Tax Deduction State/Regional Drive Electric PA Coalition NJ BPU NJTPA Interagency Collaboration on AFV Infrastructure Philadelphia EV Task Force Driven by Untenable 2007 Law

6 The Environmental Motivation for Electric Vehicles Transportation emissions are now the largest source of CO 2 emissions in the U.S. EVs are a market-ready, low-carbon technology that can meet fleet needs

7 EV Technologies Two main types of EV: All Electric Vehicles & Plug-In Hybrids

8 Plug-In Hybrid Electric Vehicle (PHEV) Two Types In some situations all-electric, some all gasoline, some mix. Plug-in Prius Chevy Volt (not Bolt) a.k.a. Extended Range EV (EREV) BMW i3 Advantages: Long range Can easily substitute for a gasoline car For many drivers, will provide a 100% electric commute. Disadvantages: More complex Burn gasoline

9 All Electric Vehicles (AEVs) a.k.a. Battery Electric Vehicles (BEVs) No gasoline. Battery only. Examples: Nissan LEAF Tesla All models Chevy Bolt (not Volt) Performance: Range fine for most commutes Challenges for long trips, or unexpected trips Range decrease in hot or cold weather

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11 EV Charging Technologies Three standard types of charging: Level 1, Level 2, and DC Fast Charge Level 1: home outlet (120V / 1400W) about what a powerful hair dryer uses. Adds about 4 miles of range in an hour. Level 2: 240V/7700W like an electric stove with all burners and oven on. Adds miles of range in an hour. DC Fast Charge: 480+V/50,000 to 120,000W or more. Like a commercial building. Adds 40 to 100 miles in 10 minutes Note: Gasoline adds about 250 mile of range per minute.

12 DVRPC s EV Analysis History 2011 Ready to Roll? Overview of Challenges and Opportunities for Alternative Fuel Vehicles in the Delaware Valley 2012 DVRPC Electric Vehicle Transportation Study Funded by PECO 2013 Ready to Roll! US DOE funded Regional EV Readiness Plan 2015 FHWA funded model of EVs energy and emissions (forthcoming) Key analysis by Adam Beam, DVRPC 2017 NCST-Funded partnership with UC Davis to calibrate model

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17 How Far Do We Drive?

18 Approximate miles using Level 1 charging Approximate miles using Level 2 charging

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21 By Mariordo (Mario Roberto Durán Ortiz) (Own work) [CC BY-SA 3.0 ( via Wikimedia Commons

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23 PH&EV Research Center launched in 2007 with CA Public Interest Energy Research (PIER) funds for transportation research. Collaborates closely with California utilities, automakers, regulators, and others on research to develop a sustainable market for plugin vehicles. DVRPC has been working with their researchers informally for 4 or 5 years

24 UC Davis EV Planning Toolbox Market Tool ACS and LODES* data Shows concentration of vehicles based on user-decided parameters Workplace Charging Tool Uses Market Tool output and LODES data to determine where workplace charging most likely to occur Uses three scenarios: Free Work Charging, Work Charging Equal Cost of Home Charging, Work Charging Double Cost of Home Charging Project will be to calibrate tools using SE PA counties data Willing to add other geographies to analysis (e.g., rest of PA, NJ) *Longitudinal Employer-Household Dynamics Origin-Destination Employment Statistics

25 Goals of Work with UC Davis Calibrate EV Planning Toolkit to the Greater Philadelphia Region Where PEV owners will live Predict workplace charging demand by location Predict long distance DCFC demand by location Help optimize locations for publicly available charging Overnight Workplace DCFC Additional Goals Identify potential electric distribution grid concerns Inform siting overnight charging infrastructure in urban areas

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27 Projected EV Concentration Default Parameters 1% of HHs buying new vehicles buy PEVs

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29 Work Charging Same Cost as Home Charging

30 EV Uptake Issues Cost Decreasing Range Increasing Charging Where the need for planning lies

31 Presenters from UC Davis Tom Turrentine, Ph.D. Director, The Plug-in Hybrid & Electric Vehicle Research Center, Institute of Transportation Studies, University of California, Davis. Gil Tal, Ph.D. Research Director, The Plug-in Hybrid & Electric Vehicle (PH&EV) Research Center, Institute of Transportation Studies, University of California, Davis. Wei Ji Graduate Student in Transportation Technology and Policy, Institute of Transportation Studies, University of California, Davis.

32 Agenda Morning Session Electric Vehicles Today Global and regional review of the EV market Supply and demand: Understanding trends in EV cost and buyers awareness Incentives and the EV market PEV users travel and charging behavior Public infrastructure needs Afternoon Session Modeling the Future of Electric Vehicles in the DVRPC Region Predicting PEV ownership locations Forecasting demand for workplace and other commute related charging DC fast charging location modeling

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