Putting America s Waterways to Work NYSE: KEX May 2015

Transcription

1 Putting America s Waterways to Work NYSE: KEX May 2015

2 Forward Looking Statements Non-GAAP Financial Measures Statements contained in this presentation with respect to the future are forwardlooking statements. These statements reflect management s reasonable judgment with respect to future events. Forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties. Actual results could differ materially from those anticipated as a result of various factors, including cyclical or other downturns in demand, significant pricing competition, unanticipated additions to industry capacity, changes in the Jones Act or in U.S. maritime policy and practice, fuel costs, interest rates, weather conditions and the timing, magnitude and the number of acquisitions made by Kirby. Forward-looking statements are based on currently available information and Kirby assumes no obligation to update such statements. A list of additional risk factors can be found in Kirby s annual report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2014 filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Kirby reports its financial results in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP). However, Kirby believes that a certain Non-GAAP financial measure is useful in managing Kirby s businesses and evaluating Kirby s performance. This presentation contains a Non-GAAP financial measure, EBITDA. Please see the Appendix for a reconciliation of GAAP to the Non-GAAP financial measure, EBITDA. 2

3 Business Segments Marine Transportation 69% of 2014 Revenue Diesel Engine Services 31% of 2014 Revenue Largest U.S. Tank Barge Operator Nationwide Diesel Engine Services 3

4 Public Market Information NYSE: KEX Current Price (May 11, 2015) $ Number of Shares O/S (May 6, 2015) 55.8M Market Capitalization $4,586M Debt (March 31, 2015) $819M Enterprise Value $5,405M Employees 4,500 4

5 Company Overview Marine Transportation Largest inland and coastal tank barge operator 905 inland tank barges and 249 towboats 69 coastal tank barges and 73 tugboats 80% of inland revenues under term contracts, of which approximately 56% are under time charters 85% of coastal revenues under term contracts, of which approximately 90% are under time charters Diesel Engine Services Nationwide diesel engine services and parts provider for medium-speed and highspeed diesel engines Manufacturer, remanufacturer, and service provider of oilfield service equipment and manufacturer of compression equipment Return on Capital Driven Investment Decisions Industry Consolidator Successful integration of 32 marine and 17 diesel acquisitions 5

6 Date Marine Transportation Acquisitions No./Tank Barges Description Date No./Tank Barges Description Alliance Marine Alamo Inland Marine Co Brent Towing Company International Barge Lines, Inc Sabine Towing & Transportation Co Ole Man River Towing, Inc Scott Chotin, Inc * South Texas Towing TPT, Division of Ashland 1993 * Guidry Enterprises Chotin Transportation Company Dow Chemical (transportation assets) Hollywood Marine, Inc. Stellman, Alamo Barge Lines, Ellis Towing, Arthur Smith, Koch Ellis, Mapco Cargo Carriers Coastal Towing, Inc. (barge management agreement for 54 barges) Dow/Union Carbide (transportation assets) SeaRiver Maritime (ExxonMobil) American Commercial Lines (black oil fleet) 2006 * Capital Towing Coastal Towing, Inc. (operated barges since 2002 under barge management agreement) Cypress Barge Leasing, LLC (operated as leased barges since 1994) Midland Marine Corporation (operated as leased barges) Siemens Financial (operated as leased barges) OFS Marine One (operated as leased barges) 2011 * Kinder Morgan (Greens Bayou fleet) Enterprise Marine (ship bunkering) K-Sea Transportation (coastal operator) Seaboats, Inc. (coastal transportation assets) Lyondell Chemical Co. (transportation assets) Allied Transportation Co. (coastal transportation assets) Penn Maritime Inc. (coastal operator) West Coast Barge Leasing (operated as leased barges) Martin Midstream Partners (pressure barges) Shipper Owned (Red) Independent (Green) * Towboats Only 6

7 Diesel Engine Services Expansions Acquisitions Internal Growth 1987 National Marine 1991 Ewing Diesel 1995 Percle Enterprises 1996 MKW Power Systems 1997 Crowley (Power Assembly Shop) 2000 West Kentucky Machine Shop 2000 Powerway 2004 Walker Paducah Corp TECO (Diesel Services Division) 2006 Global Power Holding Company 2006 Marine Engine Specialists 2007 NAK Engineering (Nordberg Engines) 2007 P&S Diesel Service 2007 Saunders Engine & Equipment Company 2008 Lake Charles Diesel, Inc United Holdings LLC 2012 Flag Services & Maintenance, Inc Midwest 1992 Seattle 2000 Cooper Nuclear 7

8 In Millions Historical Revenue Growth Marine Transportation and Diesel Engine Services Revenue From Continuing Operations 11.3% compound annual growth $301 $318 $320 $335 $327 $366 $513 $567 $535 $613 $ $796 $984 $1,173 $1,360 $1,082 $1,850 $1,110 $2,113 $2,242 $2,566 8

9 $6.00 Historical EPS Growth Earnings Per Share From Continuing Operations Excluding Non-Recurring Items $5.00 $4.00 $3.00 $2.00 $1.00 $ % compound annual growth $1.33 $0.82 $0.94 $0.98 $0.82 $0.83 $0.31 $0.37 $0.42 $0.48 $0.52 $0.63 $1.79 $2.29 $2.91 $2.34 $2.15 $3.73 $3.33 $4.44 $4.93 $ $ Last Published Guidance See Appendix for reconciliation of GAAP to Non-GAAP earnings per share Earnings per share have been revised to reflect 2-for-1 stock split effective May 31, 2006 (1) Kirby most recently published earnings guidance in the April 29, 2015 press release announcing earnings for the 2015 first quarter. That guidance is shown for convenience only and does not constitute confirming or updating the guidance, which will only be done by public disclosure. 9

10 MARINE TRANSPORTATION 10

11 U.S. Inland and Coastal Waterway Systems Kirby is one of the few operators offering distribution throughout the Mississippi River System, Gulf Intracoastal Waterway, along U.S. coasts, plus Alaska and Hawaii St. Paul Sioux City Chicago Cincinnati Pittsburgh 12,000 miles of navigable waterways link America s heartland to the world Tulsa St. Louis Charleston Houston St. Marks Corpus Christi New Orleans Texas and Louisiana account for 80% of the total U.S. production of chemicals and petrochemicals 11

12 Barge Industry Facts The U.S. barge industry serves the inland waterways, U.S. coastal ports, Alaska and Hawaii The inland tank barge fleet is comprised of approximately 18,000 dry cargo barges and 3,700 liquid tank barges The coastal market, including Alaska and Hawaii, encompasses approximately 260 tank barges that are 195,000 barrels or smaller Kirby is principally in the liquid cargo transportation business No competition from foreign companies due to a U.S. law known as the Jones Act Equipment not subject to economic obsolescence because draft, lock and port restrictions limit the size of barges Barges are mobile, carry wide range of cargoes and service different geographic markets Water transportation plays a vital role in the U.S. economy U.S. waterway systems are an environmentally friendly mode of transportation 12

13 Marine Transportation Demand Drivers Revenue Distribution * Markets and Products Moved Products Drivers 46% Petrochemicals and Chemicals Benzene, Styrene, Methanol, Acrylonitrile, Xylene, Caustic Soda, Butadiene, Propylene Consumer non-durables 70% Consumer durables 30% 33% Black Oil Residual Fuel Oil, Coker Feedstock, Vacuum Gas Oil, Asphalt, Carbon Black Feedstock, Crude Oil, Ship Bunkers 18% Refined Petroleum Products Gasoline, No. 2 Oil, Jet Fuel, Heating Oil, Diesel Fuel, Naphtha, Ethanol 3% Agricultural Chemicals Anhydrous Ammonia, Nitrogen-based Liquid Fertilizer, Industrial Ammonia Fuel for Power Plants and Ships, Feedstock for Refineries and Road Construction Vehicle Usage, Air Travel, Weather, Refinery Utilization Corn, Cotton, Wheat Production, Chemical Feedstock Usage * For the three months ended March 31,

14 Shale Liquids Production Creates New Transport Needs Puget Sound Vancouver Bakken Albany San Francisco Bay Niobrara Wellsville Weirton New York Utica Marcellus Harbor Delaware Bay Kenova / Natrium Los Angeles Cushing Permian Eagle Ford Haynesville Baton Rouge Pt. Arthur St. James Houston New Orleans LOOP Freeport Corpus Christi New Crude Barge Originations New crude-by-rail unit train routes Sources: American Petroleum Institute, Company announcements, Kirby Corp. 14

15 Strong Emphasis on Safety Safety is the first and foremost concern in everything we do Our customers place a high value on safety Safe operations are good for morale and benefit financial performance in the long run Extensive company-owned and operated training facility (towboat simulator) Pictured above is our towboat simulator where wheelhouse crew can gain repetitive practice navigating in extreme conditions and high-risk scenarios 15

16 Inland Tank Barge Markets 16

17 Number of Inland Tank Barges For the years 1994 through March 31, ,900 3,700 3,500 The inland tank barge market has grown at 1.2% over the last 20 years and 2.7% over the last 10 years 3,700 3,300 3,100 2,900 2, single hull tank barges industry wide, 9 operated by Kirby 2,500 2,300 2,100 Source: Informa Economics, Barge Fleet Profile, March Adjusted 17

18 Inland Tank Barge Fleet Age Profile 1200 Inland Tank Barge Age Distribution (Number of barges by age in years) to 5 5 to to to to to to to 40 > Source: Informa Economics, Barge Fleet Profile, March

19 Inland Fleet Size and Flexibility Better Asset Utilization Tank Barge Fleet Large fleet facilitates better asset utilization More backhaul opportunities Faster barge turnarounds Diversity of barge products and spot opportunities Less cleaning Towboat Fleet Operated an average of 249 towboats during the 2015 first quarter Chartered towboats used to balance horsepower with demand 19

20 Inland Tank Barge Owners Kirby Outpaces the Competition Shipper Owned Independent Tank Barges Operated Dry Cargo Barges Operated Kirby Corporation American Commercial Lines LLC 353 1,567 Canal Barge Company, Inc Ingram Barge Company 207 4,285 Marathon Oil ( Hardin St. Marine ) Florida Marine Higman Barge Lines, Inc Blessey Marine Services Enterprise Products Partners Settoon Towing, LLC American River Transportation Co 103 1,792 LeBeouf Brothers Towing Co 80 - Southern Towing Company 68 - PPG Industries, Inc Genesis Energy, L.P John W. Stone Oil 48 Martin Midstream Partners 47 - Cenac Towing 45 - Golding Barge Lines, Inc Devall Barge Line 40 - Magnolia Marine Transport Co. 40 AEP River Operations 40 2,673 Tank Barges Operated Dry Cargo Barges Operated Chem Carriers, Inc Accu Trans Marine 33 - Westlake Vinyl 30 Buffalo Marine Service, Inc. 27 SCF Marine/Waxler 27 1,127 NGL Energy Partners 25 - Rhodia, Inc Olin Corporation 15 - River City Towing Services 17 - Progressive Barge Line 10 - TARGA 10 - AgriChemical Marine 8 - Cierra Marine 7 - Merichem Company 6 - Natures Way Marine 5 - Mon River Towing, Inc. 4 - Highland Marine 3 - Campbell Transportation James Transportation 3 - Plaquemine Towing 3 - Other dry cargo carriers - 5,565 TOTAL 3,705 18,092 Informa Economics, Barge Fleet Profile, March Adjusted 20

21 Coastal Tank Barge Markets 21

22 Coastal Tank Barge Markets Largest operator of coastal tank barges and towing vessels participating in the regional distribution of refined petroleum products, black oil products, and distribution of petrochemicals between PADDs Fleet consists of 69 tank barges with 6.0 million barrels of capacity and 73 tugboats Operates along the U.S. East, West and Gulf Coasts, and in Alaska and Hawaii 195,000 barrel and smaller tank barges, which represents all of Kirby s coastal fleet, have the flexibility to access ports inaccessible to larger vessels, while still delivering large volumes of products Adding to fleet capacity Building two 185,000 barrel, 10,000 horsepower articulated tug barge ( ATB ) units for $75 to $80 million each. Deliveries expected in mid-to-late 2015 and early-2016 Building two 155,000 barrel, 6,000 horsepower ATBs, with deliveries expected in mid-to-late 2016 and early-to-mid

23 Number of Barges Coastal Tank Barge Age Profile Coastal Barge Market Age Profile Number of barges by age The average age of the nation s coastal tank barge fleet is ~16 years Years 5-10 Years Years Years Years Years Years 35+ Years Tank barges less than 195K barrels 23

24 Coastal Tank Barge Owners Coastal Tank Barges Operated * Kirby is Well- Positioned in U.S. Coastal Markets Kirby Corporation 69 Vane Brothers 63 Olympic Tug & Barge (Harley Marine) 27 Reinauer Transportation 23 Bouchard Transportation 17 Crowley Marine 14 Moran Towing 10 Saltchuk Resources (Foss Maritime) 10 Genesis Energy L.P. 9 Sause Brothers 8 U.S. Shipping Corporation 4 Martin Gas Marine 3 Poling & Cutler 2 Overseas Shipholding Group * 195,000 barrels or less tank barges 24

25 Kirby Engine Systems United Holdings DIESEL ENGINE SERVICES 25

26 Diesel Engine Services Revenue Distribution * Markets Services Offered Customers and Market Drivers 69% Land-Based Distributes and services high-speed diesel engines and transmissions, and manufactures, remanufactures and services oilfield service equipment, including hydraulic fracturing equipment 22% Marine Overhaul, repair and replacement parts provider for medium-speed and high-speed diesel engines, reduction gears, transmissions, starters, governors and marine clutches 9% Power Generation, Nuclear and Industrial * For the three months ended March 31, 2015 Overhaul, repair and replacement parts provider for medium-speed diesel engines and provides diesel engine-generator set upgrades Oil & Gas Services Power Generation Transportation Compression Inland, Coastal and Harbor Waterway Carriers Dry and Liquid Offshore Oil & Gas Services Offshore Towing Dry and Liquid Harbor Towing Dredging Great Lakes Ore Carriers Standby Power Generation Pumping Stations Industrial Reduction Gears 26

27 Diesel Engine Services Engines, Transmissions and Reduction Gears Medium-Speed Electro-Motive Diesel (EMD) Cooper-Bessemer Nordberg High-Speed Transmissions/ Reduction Gears Caterpillar Cummins MTU Detroit Diesel John Deere Isuzu Allison Falk Twin Disc 27

28 Land-Based Oil Services Market One of the largest diesel engine service providers to the land-based oil services market Shale oil and gas is an energy game changer Hydraulic fracturing technology has significantly expanded and reduced the cost of producing U.S. natural gas and oil reserves Manufacturer and remanufacturer of oilfield equipment used in the hydraulic fracturing of shale formations Approximate installed base of 20 million horsepower of frac equipment Heavy duty cycle associated with fracturing has created an annuity for the service and parts business 28

29 Pressure Pumping Market Size Each pressure pumping unit is ~2,250 hp and must be replaced or remanufactured every 3-5 years Estimated North American Pressure Pumping Horsepower (millions) E Sources: Spears & Associates, Simmons & Company International 29

30 OUTLOOK 30

31 2015 Guidance Last published 2015 second quarter guidance of $0.95 to $1.10 per share, versus $1.31 for the 2014 second quarter (1) Last published 2015 full year guidance of $4.10 to $4.40 per share, versus $4.93 for 2014 (1) Marine Transportation: Normal seasonal operating conditions Inland and coastal utilization in the 90% to 95% range Mid-single digit pricing increases on coastal tank barge term contract renewals Downward pressure on inland tank barge term and spot contract pricing Diesel Engine Services: Continued decline in the land-based market as customer requests to delay orders have pushed much of the backlog for new pressure pumping units into 2016 Consistent marine service and power generation markets, with some weakness in the Gulf of Mexico oil service supply vessel and drilling operator markets (1) Kirby most recently published earnings guidance in the April 29, 2015 press release announcing earnings for the 2015 first quarter. That guidance is shown for convenience only and does not constitute confirming or updating the guidance, which will only be done by public disclosure. 31

32 FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS 32

33 First Quarter Ended March 31, 2015 Change from 2014 Income Statement $ % Revenues: Marine Transportation $ 420M $ 436M $ (16)M (4)% Diesel Engine Services Total $ 588M $ 589M $ (1)M % Operating Income: Marine Transportation $ 96M $ 98M $ (2)M (2)% Diesel Engine Services 9 13 (4) (31) Corporate Expenses (4) (4) (6) (6) Other Income (Expense) 1 (1) 2 Interest Expense (5) (6) 1 17 Pre-Tax Earnings (3) (3) Taxes (36) (38) 2 5 Net Earnings $ 61M $ 62M $ (1)M (2)% Earnings Per Share $ 1.09 $ 1.09 $ 33

34 Operating Margins 30% 25% 21.1% 22.4% 23.6% 21.1% 21.9% 22.1% 23.8% 24.3% 20% 15% 18.9% 18.4% 16.6% 14.6% 15.7% 17.4% 19.0% 14.9% 15.6% 15.0% 10% 10.0% 10.1% 10.1% 9.5% 9.7% 11.7% 10.5% 10.6% 10.4% 9.4% 8.1% 7.5% 5% 0% Marine Transportation Diesel Engine Services 34

35 EBITDA Per Share Growth $12.00 $11.23 $ % compound annual growth $9.03 $10.49 $8.00 $7.95 $6.66 $6.00 $5.60 $5.73 $5.46 $4.39 $4.00 $2.00 $1.02 $1.26 $1.47 $1.59 $1.70 $2.00 $2.65 $2.81 $2.53 $2.73 $2.95 $3.52 $ See Appendix for reconciliation of GAAP net earnings to Non-GAAP EBITDA 35

36 In Millions Cash Flows $700 $600 Cash Expansion from Operations Barges Capital Expenditures $601 $500 $439 $400 $300 $200 $100 $83 $97 $48 $59 $73 $48 $112 $72 $127 $94 $236 $246 $164 $173 $142 $150 $139 $122 $319 $193 $245 $137 $30 $312 $226 $326 $312 $253 $355 $325 $315 $0 * Unaudited Last Published Guidance 36

37 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% Q Q3 Q Q3 Q Q3 Q Q3 Q Q3 Q Q3 Q Q3 Q Q3 Q Q3 Q Q3 Q Q3 Q Q3 Q Q3 Q Q3 Q Q3 Q Capital Structure % 26.9% Debt-to-Total Capital

38 Financial Strength Investment grade rating Standard & Poor s: A-, stable outlook Moody s: Baa3, stable outlook $500 million unsecured Private Placement $150 million 7-year maturity at 2.79% $350 million 10-year maturity at 3.34% Proceeds used for Penn Maritime acquisition and to replace $200 million Private Placement in February 2013 $550 million Bank Revolving Credit Facility Signed April 30, 2015, replacing $325 million revolver and term loans with $100 million outstanding $317MM outstanding as of April 30, 2015 Maturity date of April 30,

39 WHY INVEST IN KIRBY? 39

40 Why Invest in Kirby? Consistent long-term record of success Experienced management teams in both core businesses Marine Transportation U.S. feedstock position puts our refinery, chemical, and integrated major customers in a globally competitive position and is driving volume growth 80% of inland business under term contracts, of which approximately 56% are under time charters 85% of coastal business under term contracts, of which approximately 90% are under time charters Approximately 70% of petrochemicals moved produce consumer nondurable goods Diesel Engine Services Provides essential service to marine, land-based, and power generation industries Largest geographic footprint of any U.S. diesel service provider Strong financial discipline and cash flow 40

41 Kirby Corporation Putting America s Waterways to Work Thank You For Listening to Our Story

42 KIRBY CORPORATION Reconciliation of GAAP to Non-GAAP Financial Measure Kirby reports its financial results in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP). However, Kirby believes that the non-gaap financial measure EBITDA is useful in managing Kirby s businesses and evaluating Kirby s performance. EBITDA, which Kirby defines as net earnings attributable to Kirby before interest expense, taxes on income, depreciation and amortization, is used because of its wide acceptance as a measure of operating profitability before non-operating expenses (interest and taxes) and noncash charges (depreciation and amortization). EBITDA is one of the performance measures used in Kirby s incentive bonus plan. EBITDA is also used by rating agencies in determining Kirby s credit rating and by analysts publishing research reports on Kirby, as well as by investors and investment bankers generally in valuing companies. This non-gaap financial measure is not a substitute for GAAP financial results and should only be considered in conjunction with Kirby s financial information that is presented in accordance with GAAP. Quantitative reconciliations of GAAP net earnings attributable to Kirby to Non-GAAP EBITDA are provided in the following tables. 42

43 KIRBY CORPORATION Reconciliation of GAAP Net Earnings Attributable to Kirby to Non-GAAP EBITDA ($ in millions) Net earnings attributable to Kirby, GAAP $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ 95.5 $ 68.8 $ 49.5 Interest expense Provision for taxes on income Depreciation and amortization EBITDA, Non-GAAP $642.6 $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $

44 KIRBY CORPORATION Reconciliation of GAAP Net Earnings Attributable to Kirby to Non-GAAP EBITDA Three Months Ended March 31, Twelve Months Ended December 31, ($ millions) Net earnings attributable to Kirby $ 61.1 $ 62.3 $ $ Interest expense Provision for taxes on income Depreciation and amortization EBITDA, Non-GAAP $ $ $ $

45 KIRBY CORPORATION MARINE TRANSPORTATION PERFORMANCE MEASUREMENTS Year Year Year Year Year Year 1 st Q 2 nd Q 3 rd Q 4 th Q Year 1 st Q 2 nd Q 3 rd Q 4 th Q Year 1 st Q Inland Performance Measurements: Ton miles (in millions) (1) 16,716 14,267 11,977 12,957 13,414 12,224 3,012 2,969 2,904 2,869 11,754 2,990 3,358 3,414 3,326 13,088 3,098 Revenues/Ton mile (cents/tm) (2) Towboats operated (3) Delays days (4) 8,157 8,267 5,201 5,772 6,777 6,358 2,049 2,520 1,289 1,985 7,843 2,897 2,117 1,020 1,770 7,804 2,378 45

46 USD/MT US Global Ethylene Cost Advantage 1, Ethylene Margins by Producing Region Expansion Barges $ Ethane Contract Naphtha Contract Naphtha Spot LPG spot -200 US Europe Asia * Unaudited Source: ICIS, 2014 data as of May 12,

47 $100+ Billion of Planned U.S. Petrochemical Investments* Pacific Northwest Cost ($MM) NW Innovation 2018 New methanol unk (2 locations) Tesoro 2017 New xylene 400 Houston Ship Channel and surrounding TX Cost ($MM) Ascend 2015 New propane PDC 1,200 Celanese-Mitsui 2015 New methanol 800 Celanese 2016 Methanol expansion unk Celanese 2018 New methanol unk CP Chemical 2017 New ethylene 5,000 Chevron Phillips 2016 PAO expansion unk Enterprise 2016 New PDH unk Equistar 2016 Ethylene unk Exxon Mobil 2017 New ethylene 3,000 Exxon Mobil 2016 New polyethylene Formosa 2018 New ethylene 3,000 Formosa 2017 New propylene 2,000 Ineos 2017 Ethylene debottleneck Unk LyondellBasell 2016 Tri-ethylene glycol exp. unk LyondellBasell 2019 Propylene oxide unk LyondellBasell 2017 Ethylene expansion 170 Flint Hills TBD New PDH unk Fund Connell 2018 Methanol expansion unk Oxy 2018 Ethylene expansion unk Iowa Cost ($MM) Orascom (OCI) 2015 New fertilizer unk Iowa fertilizer 2015 New ammonia 1,800 CF Industries 2015 Ammonia expansion 1,900 Monaca, PA Cost ($MM) Shell 2018 New ethylene unk Indiana Cost ($MM) Midwest Fert New ammonia 2,400 West Virginia Cost ($MM) Oklahoma Ascent 2018 Ethylene expansion unk Cost ($MM) Odebrecht TBD New ethylene 3,200 Koch 2016 Urea expansion 1,000 LSB Ind New ammonia 275 Mobile, AL Cost ($MM) Huntsman Chemical 2015 Epoxy expansion unk Beaumont/Orange, TX Cost ($MM) FHR 2015 Ethylene expansion unk Huntsman 2015 Ethylene oxide exp. unk LANXNESS 2016 Butadiene rubber unk Natgasoline 2016 New methanol unk Orascom Construction (OCI) 2016 New methanol unk Freeport Old Ocean, TX Cost ($MM) BASF-Yara New ammonia unk BASF 2019 Methane-to-propylene unk Corpus Christi/Point Comfort, TX Dow 2017 New ethylene unk Cost ($MM) Dow 2015 New PDH unk LyondellBasell Late 2015 Ethylene expansion 350 Dow 2018 New propylene unk Formosa 2017 Ethylene dichloride 2,000 Dow 2017 Gas to liquids unk Formosa 2016 New PDH unk CP Chemical 2017 Ethylene expansion 923 Formosa 2016 New propylene 2,000 CP Chemical 2017 New polyethylene 6,000 M&G Group 2016 New PET unk M&G Group 2016 New PTA unk Oxy/Mexichem JV 2017 New ethylene (2 units) 1,000 *Notes: Date reflects anticipated year in-service, red font reflects construction in progress, unk=unknown Baton Rouge New Orleans Corridor, LA Cost ($MM) Axiall/Lotte 2018 Ethylene expansion 3,000 BioNitrogen 2015 New UAN 1,200 Castleton 2018 New Methanol 1,200 Commodities CF Industries 2015 Ammonia expansion 1,900 Dyno Nobel 2016 New ammonia 1,000 Eurochem 2017 New ammonia 1,500 Leucadia (LCCE) 2017 Methanol expansion unk Methanex 2014 Methanol migration unk Methanex 2016 Methanol migration 550 Methanex 2018 Methanol expansion unk S. LA Methanol 2016 New methanol 1,200 S. LA Methanol 2017 Methanol expansion unk Shell 2017 Ethylene expansion Unk Valero 2018 New methanol 700 Lake Charles, LA Cost ($MM) Dow 2015 Ethylene expansion 1,060 G2X 2017 Methanol-to-gasoline 1,300 LyondellBasell Late 2015 Ethylene expansion 430 Sasol 2018 New ethylene Sasol 2016 New polyethylene 8,100 Westlake 2015 Ethylene 330 Sources: ICIS, Company announcements, Kirby Corp.

48 Additional Capacity, 000s tons/year Timing of Announced US Ethylene Expansion Source: ICIS 48