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1 While today s turnaround from early weakness to solid gains has been impressive, the early to mid part of April has historically been relatively flat to weak for equities, before finishing off on a positive note. Over the last ten years, the S&P 500 has seen a median gain of 0.06% from the close on 4/6 through 4/20 with positive returns just half of the time. Since the bull market began in 2009, the S&P 500 has only been up during this period twice. From a sector perspective, performance in the first half of April has been evenly split between gains and losses at five sectors each. In terms of the size of both gains and losses, though, the moves are pretty unimpressive. As shown in the table below, no sector has seen a median move of more than 1% and only three have seen moves of more than 50 bps. The best performing sector during this period has been Energy, which has seen a median gain of 0.59% with positive returns 50% of the time. On the downside, Health Care and Telecom Services have seen median declines of 0.55% and 0.52%, respectively. In terms of consistency no sector has risen more than 60% or less than 40% of the time, so all in all, there is not much in the way of trends in either direction. S&P 500 and Sector Returns - Next Two Weeks (4/6-4/20) Sector Change (%) Positive Outperforms S&P Energy Con Staples Cons Discret Utilities Financials S&P Technology Industrials Materials Telecom Svcs Health Care S&P 500 Performance (%) Next Two Weeks Copyright 2015, Bespoke Investment Group, LLC. Bespoke Investment Page 1 of 8 Group, LLC believes all information contained in this report to be accurate, but we do not guarantee its accuracy. None of the information in this report or any opinions expressed constitutes a solicitation of the purchase or sale of any securities or commodities.

2 The table below lists the 15 best and worst performing S&P 500 stocks over the last ten years during the upcoming two-week period (4/6 4/20). Topping the list this week is Under Armour (UA), which has seen a median gain of just 3.49% with positive returns 78% of the time. When the best performing stock over a two-week period has a median return of less than 4%, you know it is not a terribly bullish time for equities. Shares of UA have been up nearly 80% of the time over the last ten years, but there are 19 other stocks in the S&P 500 that have been up more than 80% of the time over the next two weeks, including six that have been up 90% of the time or more. On the downside, Tesoro (TSO) and CF Industries (CF) have both seen median declines of more than 5% and both stocks have also been down more than half of the time. Other notable losers on the list include Dow members Apple (AAPL) and Goldman Sachs (GS), which have averaged declines of over 2.5%. In terms of consistency, no stock in the S&P 500 has been down during the upcoming two weeks in each of the last ten years, but both Urban Outfitters (URBN) and CA have only seen one up period in the last ten years. S&P 500 and Performing Stocks - Next Two Weeks (4/6-4/20) Ticker Sector Change (%) Positive Outperforms S&P UA Cons Discret n/a APH Technology XEC Energy ATI Materials GWW Industrials INTC Technology ADS Technology NBR Energy BHI Energy MAC Financials C Financials REGN Health Care TEL Technology n/a n/a n/a NFLX Cons Discret EMC Technology TSO Energy CF Materials n/a VAR Health Care UNH Health Care GS Financials NRG Utilities FCX Materials MOS Materials HES Energy IVZ Financials RHI Industrials AAPL Technology GRMN Cons Discret AMAT Technology NUE Materials Page 2 of 8

3 Below and on the following page are annual charts of the S&P 500 over each of the last ten years ( ). In each chart, we have highlighted the current period in either red or green depending on whether or not the S&P 500 was up or down from 4/6 4/ S&P 500: 2005 S&P 500: /3/05 3/3/05 5/3/05 7/3/05 9/3/05 11/3/ /3/06 3/3/06 5/3/06 7/3/06 9/3/06 11/3/ S&P 500: 2007 S&P 500: /3/07 3/3/07 5/3/07 7/3/07 9/3/07 11/3/ /2/08 3/2/08 5/2/08 7/2/08 9/2/08 11/2/08 S&P 500: 2009 S&P 500: /2/09 3/2/09 5/2/09 7/2/09 9/2/09 11/2/09 1/4/10 3/4/10 5/4/10 7/4/10 9/4/10 11/4/10 Page 3 of 8

4 S&P 500: 2011 S&P 500: /3/11 3/3/11 5/3/11 7/3/11 9/3/11 11/3/ /3/12 3/3/12 5/3/12 7/3/12 9/3/12 11/3/ S&P 500: 2013 S&P 500: /2/13 3/2/13 5/2/13 7/2/13 9/2/13 11/2/ /2/14 3/2/14 5/2/14 7/2/14 9/2/14 11/2/14 S&P 500: Page 4 of 8

5 S&P Cons Discret Sector (78 Stocks) Sector UA n/a NFLX GME YUM GT GRMN PHM RCL URBN LEN Cons Staples Sector (38 Stocks) Percent of Time Last Ten Years - Percent Change (%) Sector CLX TSN LO n/a n/a n/a n/a DPS n/a n/a n/a n/a GMCR COST PM n/a n/a n/a KR WFM HRL Energy Sector (39 Stocks) Sector XEC NBR BHI HAL SE n/a n/a TSO HES VLO APC FTI Page 5 of 8

6 S&P 500 Percent of Time Last Ten Years - Percent Change (%) Financials Sector (84 Stocks) Sector MAC C CCI SPG HCP GS IVZ KEY HIG NDAQ Health Care Sector (51 Stocks) Sector REGN EW BAX HSP ESRX VAR UNH MYL HUM THC Industrials Sector (60 Stocks) Sector GWW DNB UNP CHRW KSU RHI PBI DHR FAST DAL n/a n/a n/a Page 6 of 8

7 S&P Materials Sector (28 Stocks) Sector ATI PPG SHW EMN ECL CF n/a FCX MOS NUE VMC Technology/Telecom Sector (68 Stocks) Percent of Time Last Ten Years - Percent Change (%) Sector APH INTC ADS TEL n/a n/a n/a EMC AAPL AMAT FLIR VZ STX Utilities Sector (30 Stocks) Sector NRG PPL SO PEG EXC NU GAS PNW ED SRE Page 7 of 8

8 Explanation The Bespoke Stock Seasonality Report analyzes the short-term tendencies of the S&P 500 and each of its components on a rolling two-week basis looking at the last ten years worth of data. Page one of the report summarizes the historical return of the S&P 500 and all ten sectors over the last ten years, including the average return over the last ten years (A), the percentage of time each sector/index is positive (B), the frequency with which it outperforms the S&P 500 (C), and finally the performance during each of the last ten years (D). At the bottom of page one we also show the same calculations for the fifteen S&P 500 stocks that have historically performed best and worst during the period analyzed. Pages five through seven of the Bespoke Stock Seasonality Report looks at the five best and worst performing stocks over the next two weeks by sector. Here we present the same calculations as outlined on page one. For the purposes of this report, however, we have combined the Technology and Telecom Services due to the fact that the Telecom Services sector contains less than ten stocks. Page 8 of 8