The European pigmeat sector. "Single CMO" Management Committee 17 September 2009

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1 The European pigmeat sector "Single CMO" Management Committee 17 September 2009

2 Price in Euro/100 kg Development of the Community average market price for pig carcases yr Avg (03-07) DG AGRI C4 17 September

3 Percentual change in Pig prices August 2009 Difference in uro in % 15% 10% 5% 0% -5% -10% -15% -1 year - 1 month -20% BE BG CZ DK DE EE EL ES FR IE IT CY LV LT LU HUMT NL ÖS PL PT RO SI SK SF SV UK EU DG AGRI C4 17 September

4 Development of the Community average market price for piglets 45 uro/ piece yr avg (03-07) DG AGRI C4 17 September

5 6.0% Slaughter: Quarterly change compared to the same period in the previous year (EU 25/27) 3.5% 1.0% -1.5% -4.0% / / Q1-3.7% 2.6% 5.4% 1.3% -3.3% Q2 2.0% 1.1% 2.9% -0.3% -1.5% Q3 0.5% 0.5% 4.2% -1.7% -1.5% Q4-0.4% 1.4% 4.7% -3.8% -1.3% Ann -0.5% 1.0% 4.3% -1.2% -1.9% DG AGRI C4 17 September

6 Slaughter communications January - May 2009 as a result of regulation 1165/2008 compared to forecast of this slaughter, based on GIP forecast be bg cz dk de ee ie gr es fr it cy lv lt lu hu mt nl at pl pt ro si sk fi se uk EU 0% -10% -20% -30% -40% -50% -60% Slaughter without "home slaughter" Slaughter forecast based on GIP forecast. DG AGRI C4 17 September

7 350.0 Comparisson betw e en Compoundfeed for Pigs and a Cereal-Feedmix Euro/ T (compound feed) Euro/ 100kg (pig carcase) margin pig/ comp. Feed (4.4) Cereal-mix Compound feed Pig carcase Avg Margin forecast price forecast forecast DG AGRI C4 17 September

8 800 TOEPFER weekly Cereal and Substitute prices US$/T week 36 of % compared to week 1 of FREIGHT Panamax soja beans USA soja pellets ARG Citrus p. Palm pitkernels EU maïs in US$ C.G.F. DG AGRI C4 17 September

9 Weekly average Pigprices EU, Brazil and the US in Euro/ 100kg carcase EU = weighted avg of MS prices grade E <55% lean meat US = weekly USDA prices carcase lean hogs Iowa-Minn lb BR = avg of maximum prices in main producing states (suino.com.br) weeks DG AGRI C4 17 September EU US Braz. avg

10 195 Pigprices in US and EU and forecasts EU forecast: Working group priceforecast pigmeat US Forecast: Feedstuffs 170 uro/ 100kg EU US DG AGRI C4 17 September

11 Weekly exchange rate US dollar uro =...US$ DG AGRI C4 17 September

12 Trade in Pigmeat DG AGRI C4 17 September

13 EU imports of selected PIG products Trade figures (COMEXT tonnes product weight) Origins Jan-Jul 09 Compared tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % to Jan-Jul 08 Chile % % % % % + 23% Sw itzerland % % % % % + 42% USA % % % % % - 77% Croatia % % % % % - 8% Russia % % % % % +++ Serbia % % % % % - 73% Canada % % % % % + 95% Other % % % % % EXTRA EU % change + 49% + 34% + 38% % DG AGRI C4 17 September

14 EU imports of selected PIG products Trade figures (COMEXT tonnes product weight) IMPORTS of PIG Meat into EU-27 (Tonnes prod. weight) Jan-Jul 07 Jan-Jul 08 Jan-Jul Tonnes (product w eight) USA Chile Switzerland Croatia Serbia Other destinations IMPORTS of PIG Meat into EU-27 (1000 EUR) Jan-Jul 07 Jan-Jul 08 Jan-Jul USA Chile Switzerland Croatia Serbia Other destinations 0 1,000 EUR DG AGRI C4 17 September

15 Imports of selected PIG products in Tonnes (product weight) Jan Jan Jan Jan Jan 10 0 FRESH FROZEN FAT OTHERS DG AGRI C4 17 September

16 Destinations EU exports of selected PIG products: Trade figures (COMEXT tonnes product weight) Jan-Jul 09 Compared tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % tonnes % to Jan-Jul 08 Russia % % % % % - 15% Hong Kong % % % % % - 27% Japan % % % % % - 24% Ukraine % % % % % + 14% China % % % % % + 6% South Korea % % % % % - 21% Croatia % % % % % + 16% USA % % % % % - 15% Angola % % % % % + 13% Australia % % % % % - 0% Philippines % % % % % - 50% Belarus % % % % % - 64% Other % % % % % EXTRA EU % change + 8% - 9% + 34% % DG AGRI C4 17 September

17 EU exports of selected PIG products Trade figures (COMEXT tonnes product weight) EU-27 EXPORTS of PIG Meat (Tonnes prod. weight) Jan-Jul 07 Jan-Jul 08 Jan-Jul Russia Hong Kong China Japan Ukraine Other destinations 0 Tonnes (product w eight) EU-27 EXPORTS of PIG Meat (1000 EUR) Jan-Jul 07 Jan-Jul 08 Jan-Jul 09 Russia Hong Kong China Japan Ukraine Other destinations 0 1,000 EUR DG AGRI C4 17 September

18 Exports of selected PIG products in Tonnes (product weight) Jan Jan Jan Jan Jan 10 0 FRESH FROZEN FAT LIVE ANIMALS OTHERS DG AGRI C4 17 September

19 EU trade of PIG products IMPORTS EXPORTS Tonnes product weight Jan- Jul DG AGRI C4 17 September

20 Cumulated quantity of weekly requests for Export licenses in the Pigmeat se ctor for Gatt year Tonn Cumulative quantity available cumulative attributio ns DG AGRI C4 17 September

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