Annual Oil Statistics

Transcription

1 Annual Oil Statistics Oil Questionnaire Overview Energy Statistics Training International Energy Agency Ana-Luisa Sao Marcos Annual Oil Statistician

2 Share of oil in Total Primary Energy Supply share of oil in TPES remains the biggest

3 Oil Questionnaire Collecting Reporting Disseminating

4 Annual Oil Questionnaire Collecting the Data from Different Sources IEA Processing Data Verification of the questionnaire Disseminating Data

5 Data Collection Cycle Year Year+1 Year+2 DATA COLLECTION PROCESS DATA PUB COUNTRY IEA x34

6 Collecting Data National Authority

7 Multiple Companies National Authority IEA/ESTAT/UNSD

8 Annual Oil Questionnaire Collecting the Data from Different Sources IEA Processing Data Verification of the questionnaire Disseminating Data

9 Table 1 Questionnaire Structure Table 2A & 2B Table 3

10 Year & Country Table 1 Supply of Crude Oil, NGL, Refinery Feedstocks, Additives and Others

11 Table 1 1. Crude Oil A mineral oil of natural origin comprising a mixture of hydrocarbons and associated impurities. It exists in the liquid phase under normal surface temperature and pressure and its physical characteristics. 2. Natural Gas Liquids (NGL) Liquid or liquefied hydrocarbons recovered from natural gas in separation facilities or gas processing plants. 3. Refinery Feedstocks Processed oil destined for further processing. 4. Additives/Oxygenates Non-hydrocarbon compounds added to or blended to modify fuel properties. 5. Other Hydrocarbons Synthetic crude oil.

12 Crude, NGL & Feedstocks Flows From Other Sources Exports Direct Use Stock Change Production Refinery Imports Backflows from Petrochemical Industry Products Transferred

13 Table 2A and 2B Table 2A & 2B

14 Table 2A Supply of Finished Products

15 Supply of Finished Products IEA data collection Refinery Gas Ethane LPG Naphtha Motor Gasoline Aviation Gasoline Gasoline Type Jet Fuel Kerosene Type Jet Fuel Other Kerosene Gas/Diesel Oil Fuel Oil White Spirit and SBP Lubricants Bitumen Paraffin Waxes Petroleum Coke Other Oil Products Lighter molecules Transport Diesel Heating and Other Gasoil Low Sulphur Fuel Oil High Sulphur Fuel Oil Heavier molecules

16 Oil Product Flow Chart Refinery Fuel International Marine Bunkers Exports Products Transferred Gross Output Inland Deliveries Refinery Crude Oil Primary Products Receipts Recycled Products Imports Interproduct Transfers Stock Change

17 Table 2B: Petrochemical Flows Refinery INLAND DELIVERY Petrochemical plant Fertilisers Plastics Feedstock - Ethane - Naphtha - LPG - Gas/Diesel Oil - Other Non Energy Use Synthetic rubber and fiber Pesticides PETROCHEMICAL BACKFLOWS (e.g. pyrolysis gasoline)

18 Table 3 Table 3

19 Table 3: Gross Deliveries by Sector Transformation Sector Energy Sector Distribution Loss Transport Sector Gross Inland Deliveries Total Final Consumption Industry Sector Residential Commercial Agriculture Fishing Etc

20 Transformation & Energy Sectors GROSS INLAND DELIVERIES (1) TOTAL TRANSFORMATION SECTOR Main Activity Producer Electricity Plants (2) Autoproducer Electricity Plants (3) Main Activity Producer CHP Plants (2) Autoproducer CHP Plants (3) Main Activity Producer Heat Plants (2) Autoproducer Heat Plants (3) Gas Works (Transformation) Blended Natural Gas Coke Ovens (Transformation) Blast Furnaces Petrochemical Industry Patent Fuel Plants Non Specified (Transformation) TOTAL ENERGY SECTOR Coal Mines Oil and Gas Extraction Coke Ovens (Energy) Blast Furnaces Gas Works (Energy) Power Plants Non Specified (Energy) Quantities of fuel that will be use to produce another energy form Main activity producers: all fuel used for all production Autoproducers: all fuel used for all electricity produced and fuel used for heat sold only Quantities of fuel that will be consumed to support the oil and gas extraction or the transformation activity Distribution Losses

21 Final Consumption FINAL CONSUMPTION TOTAL TRANSPORT SECTOR International Aviation Domestic Aviation Road Rail Domestic Navigation Pipeline Transport Non Specified (Transport) TOTAL INDUSTRY SECTOR Iron and Steel Chemical (incl. Petrochemical) Non Ferrous Metals Non Metallic Mineral Products Transportation Equipment Machinery Mining and Quarrying Food, Beverages and Tobacco Pulp, Paper and Printing Wood and Wood Products Construction Textiles and Leather Non Specified (Industry) TOTAL OTHER SECTORS Commerce - Public Services Residential Agriculture/Forestry Fishing Non Specified (Other) Oil used for transport activity, regardless of the sector Breakdown International / Domestic Aviation is very important for the CO 2 calculation Oil used in support of primary activities Includes oil consumed for autoproducer heat that is not sold ISIC Oil used in other sectors Agriculture includes non-highway use in tractors

22 Gross Deliveries Gross Inland Deliveries Non- Energy Use

23 Of Which: Non-Energy Use is already included in Gross Deliveries Naphtha Gas / Diesel Oil Lubricant Bitumen Other Products Inland Demand Transf Energy Non-Energy Use Transport Industry Chemical Others Non- Energy Use Transport 300 Industry Chemical Others 10

24 Table 4 and 5 Table 4 Country of Origin for 102 countries Table 5 Country of Destination for 94 countries Crude Oil, NGL, Additives: country of ultimate origin Refinery Feedstocks, Other Hydrocarbons: country of last consignment

25 Annual Oil Questionnaire Collecting the Data from Different Sources IEA Processing Data Verification of the questionnaire (brief overview) Disseminating Data

26 Verification of the questionnaire Data are loaded into IEA databases and verified Arithmetically Aggregates LS Fuel Oil + HS Fuel Oil = Fuel Oil Stock Change = Opening - Closing stock levels No breaks in stock levels Opening = Closing of Previous Year Internal consistency e.g. Total imports by origin = Imports on Supply report Comparison with National Publications

27 Gross Refinery Output Indigenous Production (+) 1 Other Sources (+) 2 Backflows from Petrochemical Industry (2) (+) 3 Products Transferred (3) (+) 4 Total Imports (4) (+) 5 Total Exports (5) (-) 6 Direct Use (includes transfers to consumption) (6) (-) 7 Stock Change (+ or -) (7) (+) 8 REFINERY INTAKE (Calculated) (sum of 1 to 8) (=) 9 Statistical Difference (+ or -) (9 minus 11) (-) 10 REFINERY INTAKE (Observed) (=) 11 MEMO ITEMS: Table 1 Refinery Losses 12 Crude Oil Natural Gas Liquids Refinery Feedstocks Additives (1)/ Oxygenates Of which Biofuels (1) Other Hydrocarbons TOTAL (A to F, excl. E) A B C D E F G Table 2A Primary Product Receipts (2) (+) 1 Gross Refinery Output (3) (including refinery fuel) (+) 2 Recycled Products (+) 3 Refinery Fuel (-) 4 Total Imports (4) (+) 5 Total Exports (5) (-) 6 Intl. Marine Bunkers (-) 7 Interproduct Transfers (6) (+ or -) (+) 8 Products Transferred (7) (-) 9 Stock Change (+ or -) (8) (+) 10 GROSS INLAND DELIVERIES (Calculated) (=) 11 Statistical Difference (9) (-) 12 GROSS INLAND DELIVERIES (Observed) (=) 13 TOTAL (A to W excl. H,N) X Gr. Ref. Output Ref. Intake Ref. Losses 200

28 Table 2A Table 1 Table 3 Direct Use/ Primary Product Receipts Crude Oil Addit./ Oxygen. Motor Gasoline Indigenous Production Imports Exports 600 Direct Use Stock Change NGL Ethane LPG Refinery Intake Primary Product Receipts Interproduct Transfers Gross Inland Deliveries Inland Demand Public Electricity Plants Road Sector Chemical Sector

29 Total Imports and Exports Table 1 Indigenous Production (+) 1 Other Sources (+) 2 Backflows from Petrochemical Industry (2) (+) 3 Products Transferred (3) (+) 4 Total Imports (4) (+) 5 Total Exports (5) (-) 6 Direct Use (includes transfers to consumption) (6) (-) 7 Stock Change (+ or -) (7) (+) 8 REFINERY INTAKE (Calculated) (sum of 1 to 8) (=) 9 Statistical Difference (+ or -) (9 minus 11) (-) 10 REFINERY INTAKE (Observed) (=) 11 Crude Oil Natural Gas Liquids Refinery Feedstocks Additives (1)/ Oxygenates Of which Biofuels (1) Other Hydrocarbons TOTAL (A to F, excl. E) A B C D E F G Table 4: Imports by Origin row 104 Table 5: Exports by Destination row 104 Crude Oil, NGL, Additives: country of ultimate origin Refinery Feedstocks, Other Hydrocarbons: country of last consignment

30 kilo tonnes Intra-fuel comparison 445 Electricity vs. oil inputs into electricity plants AOS ELE Year

31 Main Problems Timeliness Breaks in time series Statistical Differences Negative Refinery Losses Trade (submissions sometimes very different from one country to another) Inconsistencies between Questionnaires

32 oct.-07 janv.-08 avr.-08 juil.-08 oct.-08 janv.-09 avr.-09 juil.-09 oct.-09 janv.-10 avr.-10 juil.-10 oct.-10 janv.-11 avr.-11 kilo tonnes Breaks in time series Crude Oil Stock

33 Inconsistency between AOS & MOS

34 Annual Oil Questionnaire Collecting the Data from Different Sources IEA Processing Data Verification of the questionnaire Disseminating Data

35 Accessing Oil Information

36 Accessing the Data Data Service Book

37 Thank you Tianlai Xu