The July 2018 Carry-out from the July 2018 Position Report compared to actual:
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- Harold Henderson
- 5 years ago
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1 September 11, 2018 Dear Industry Members, Please note that the Beginning Inventory/Carry-in figure for 8/1/2018 reflects the actual Loss & Exempt (L&E) figure for the 2017/2018 crop year. The actual L&E of 2.15% versus the 2% forecasted L&E figure resulted in a negative adjustment of (3,414,564) pounds. The restated 8/1/2018 beginning inventory is 359,012,851 pounds. The July 2018 Carry-out from the July 2018 Position Report compared to actual: Actual July 2018 PosRpt Beginning Inventory 398,677, ,677,112 Receipts 2,260,476,211 2,260,476,211 Loss & Exempt (48,624,088) 2.15% (45,209,524) 2.0% Forecast Total Supply 2,610,529,235 2,613,943,799 Shipments (2,251,516,384) (2,251,516,384) Equals Ending Inventory 359,012, ,427,415 (3,414,564) Crop Size (million pounds) 2,400 1,800 1, Loss & Exempt Percentages & Crop Size History 1.9% 1.6% 2.5% 2.3% 2.2% - 13/14 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 Crop Size 2,010 1,868 1,894 2,136 2,260 Loss & Exempt 1.9% 1.6% 2.5% 2.3% 2.2% 3.0% 2.0% 1.0% 0.0% The five year average for L&E is 2.1%. Best regards, Bryce Spycher Manager, Marketing Order Services
2 Almond Industry Position Report AUGUST Crop Year Salable Forecast Million Lbs /01-08/31 Kernel Wt /01-08/31 Kernel Wt. % Change 1. Carryin August 1, ,012, ,677, % 2. Crop Receipts to Date 2, ,498, ,622, % 3. [2% Loss and Exempt] (49.0) (3,789,967) (4,312,451) 4. New Crop Marketable (2-3) 2, ,708, ,310, % 5. [Reserve] n/a Total Supply (1+4-5) 2, ,721, ,987, % Shipments by Handlers 7. Domestic ,047,862 67,247, % 8. Export 1, ,179, ,319, % 9. Total Shipments 2, ,227, ,566, % 10. Forecasted Carryout Computed Inventory (6-9) 390,493, ,420, % Commitments (sold, not delivered)** 12. Domestic 13. Export 14. Total Committed Shipments 225,102, ,997, ,100, ,637, ,548, ,185, % % % 15. Uncommitted Inventory (11-14) -124,606, ,765, % Handlers reporting commitments represent 96% of the 2017/2018 crop MONTHLY REPORT OF SALABLE HANDLER SHIPMENTS Crop Year Crop Year 08/01-08/31 08/01-08/31 08/01-08/31 08/01-08/31 DOMESTIC Shelled 43,664,009 43,664,009 45,923,020 45,923,020 Manufactured 28,227,289 28,227,289 26,250,351 26,250,351 Products 422, , , ,401 Inshell 358, , , ,697 (Interhandler Transfers) (3,084,139) (3,084,139) (1,375,586) (1,375,586) (Industry Purchases) (2,540,483) (2,540,483) (4,717,836) (4,717,836) Total: 67,047,862 67,047,862 43% 67,247,047 67,247,047 40% EXPORT Shelled 50,685,917 50,685,917 64,531,796 64,531,796 Manufactured 11,650,054 11,650,054 12,624,260 12,624,260 Products 153, ,478 42,359 42,359 Inshell 24,690,060 24,690,060 24,121,290 24,121,290 Total: 87,179,509 87,179,509 57% 101,319, ,319,705 60% NET SHIPMENTS 154,227, ,227, % 168,566, ,566, % EXEMPT/INEDIBLE SHIPMENTS 2,380,613 2,380, , ,901 Source: ABC Form 25 September 11, 2018
3 Global 2018/ Current YTD Current YTD Percent vs. Current Month - August, 2018 August 1 through August 31, 2018 Current Month - August, 2017 August 1 through August 31, 2017 Destination > 250,000 LBS. Current YTD are reported Total 2017/18 World Region Shiments YTD Destination SHELLED INSHELL TOTAL SHELLED INSHELL TOTAL SHELLED INSHELL TOTAL SHELLED INSHELL TOTAL + / - 72% 28% 100% 72% 28% 100% 76% 24% 100% 76% 24% 100% NORTH AMERICA 3% Canada 5,509, ,509,609 5,509, ,509,609 5,323, ,323,748 5,323, ,323,748 44% Mexico 2,053, ,053,398 2,053, ,053,398 1,421, ,421,140 1,421, ,421,140 12% 81% Ttl NORTH AMERICA LATIN AMERICA/CARIBBEAN Chile 7,563, , ,563, ,109 7,563, , ,563, ,109 6,751, , ,751, ,100 6,751, , ,751, ,100 29% Colombia 271, , , , , , , ,645 13% Ttl LATIN AMERICA/CARIBB 1,633,603 8,420 1,642,023 1,633,603 8,420 1,642,023 1,447, ,447,247 1,447, ,447,247 6% 12% Total AMERICAS 9,196,610 8,420 9,205,030 9,196,610 8,420 9,205,030 8,198, ,198,615 8,198, ,198,615 3% NORTHEAST ASIA China/HongKong 3,028,152 1,607,897 4,636,049 3,028,152 1,607,897 4,636,049 2,963,110 1,526,375 4,489,485 2,963,110 1,526,375 4,489,485-19% Japan 2,977, ,977,711 2,977, ,977,711 3,683, ,683,063 3,683, ,683,063 66% South Korea 4,173, ,173,446 4,173, ,173,446 2,512, ,512,957 2,512, ,512,957 8% 127% Ttl NORTHEAST ASIA SOUTHEAST ASIA Indonesia 10,320, ,543 1,607, ,928, ,543 10,320, ,543 1,607, ,928, ,543 9,516, ,500 1,526, ,042, ,500 9,516, ,500 1,526, ,042, , % Malaysia 262, , , , , , , , % Thailand 478, , , , , , , , , , % Vietnam 2,022, ,551 2,671,000 2,022, ,551 2,671, , ,608 1,008, , ,608 1,008, % 8% Ttl SOUTHEAST ASIA SOUTH/CENTRAL ASIA India 3,258, , ,076 21,706,293 4,038,570 22,227,287 3,258, , ,076 21,706,293 4,038,570 22,227,287 1,040, , ,100 19,577,513 1,809,617 20,490,107 1,040, , ,100 19,577,513 1,809,617 20,490, % Kazakhstan 615, , , ,650 88, ,000 88, ,000-59% Pakistan 44, , ,001 44, , , , , , , , ,535 8% Ttl SOUTH/CENTRAL ASIA AUSTRALASIA/OCEANIA 1,456,644 21,912,294 23,368,938 1,456,644 21,912,294 23,368,938 1,785,594 19,917,048 21,702,642 1,785,594 19,917,048 21,702,642-1% Ttl AUSTRALASIA/OCEANIA 399, , , , , , , ,549 26% 14% Total ASIA-PACIFIC 15,434,661 24,300,267 39,734,928 15,434,661 24,300,267 39,734,928 12,745,084 22,212,523 34,957,607 12,745,084 22,212,523 34,957,607-12% WESTERN EUROPE Belgium 839, , , , , , , ,800 6% Denmark 835, , , , , , , ,000-10% France 1,874,200 17,474 1,891,674 1,874,200 17,474 1,891,674 2,090, ,090,363 2,090, ,090,363-40% Germany 6,288,924 22,365 6,311,289 6,288,924 22,365 6,311,289 10,568, ,568,342 10,568, ,568,342-30% Greece 342,840 31, , ,840 31, , , , , ,000-48% Italy 2,453,941 32,495 2,486,436 2,453,941 32,495 2,486,436 4,727,750 22,279 4,750,029 4,727,750 22,279 4,750,029-19% Netherlands 3,455, ,455,070 3,455, ,455,070 4,239, ,239,400 4,239, ,239,400-32% Norway 1,143, ,143,350 1,143, ,143,350 1,682, ,682,830 1,682, ,682,830-30% Spain 12,355,203 17,120 12,372,323 12,355,203 17,120 12,372,323 17,543,942 41,421 17,585,363 17,543,942 41,421 17,585,363-3% Sweden 634, , , , , , , ,000-38% United Kingdom 1,915, ,915,183 1,915, ,915,183 3,072,394 30,775 3,103,169 3,072,394 30,775 3,103,169-32% -69% Ttl WESTERN EUROPE CENTRAL/EASTERN EUROPE Estonia 32,436, , , ,557, ,950 32,436, , , ,557, ,950 47,448, ,000 94,475 30,600 47,543, ,600 47,448, ,000 94,475 30,600 47,543, ,600-50% Lithuania 262, , , , , , , ,100-42% Ttl CENTRAL/EASTERN EURO 1,748, ,748,750 1,748, ,748,750 2,963,400 30,600 2,994,000 2,963,400 30,600 2,994,000 22% -32% Total EUROPE 34,185, ,954 34,306,082 34,185, ,954 34,306,082 50,412, ,075 50,537,296 50,412, ,075 50,537,296
4 Global 2018/ Current YTD Current YTD Percent vs. Current Month - August, 2018 August 1 through August 31, 2018 Current Month - August, 2017 August 1 through August 31, 2017 Total 2017/18 World Region Shiments YTD Destination SHELLED INSHELL TOTAL SHELLED INSHELL TOTAL SHELLED INSHELL TOTAL SHELLED INSHELL TOTAL + / - 72% 28% 100% 72% 28% 100% 76% 24% 100% 76% 24% 100% MIDDLE EAST -6% Lebanon 263, , , , , , , ,750 81% Saudi Arabia 391, , , , , , , ,250-77% Turkey 697,300 33, , ,300 33, ,050 1,590,044 1,594,165 3,184,209 1,590,044 1,594,165 3,184,209-42% United Arab Emirates 1,028, ,657 1,222,157 1,028, ,657 1,222,157 1,972, ,387 2,099,587 1,972, ,387 2,099,587-52% Ttl MIDDLE EAST NORTH AFRICA 2,949, ,419 3,209,819 2,949, ,419 3,209,819 4,962,504 1,783,692 6,746,196 4,962,504 1,783,692 6,746,196 22,347% -69% Ttl NORTH AFRICA SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA South Africa 466, , , , , , , ,650 2, , , ,915 2, , , ,915-71% Ttl SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA 257, , , , , , , ,915 3% -48% Total MIDDLE EAST/AFRICA 3,673, ,419 3,933,469 3,673, ,419 3,933,469 5,842,495 1,783,692 7,626,187 5,842,495 1,783,692 7,626,187-14% TOTAL EXPORTS 43% 0% TOTAL DOMESTIC 100% -9% GRAND TOTAL SHIPMENTS 62,489,449 24,690,060 87,179,509 62,489,449 24,690,060 87,179,509 77,198,415 24,121, ,319,705 77,198,415 24,121, ,319,705 67,047,862 67,047,862 67,247,047 67,247, ,227, ,227, ,566, ,566,752
5 Almond Board of California Almond Board Quality Control Receipts Report Industry Summary August 1, 2018 through August 31, 2018 From ABC Form 1 From USDA Inspection Certificates Variety Name Total Receipts Total Receipts Total Inedibles % of Total Receipts % Rejects Aldrich 178, ,916 2, % 1.47% Avalon 28,551 21,248 4, % 21.58% Butte 62, % 0.00% Butte/Padre 134, % 0.00% Carmel 74,547 54, % 0.57% Carrion % 0.00% Folsom % 0.00% Fritz % 0.00% Hash 108, % 0.00% Independence 16,188,867 8,913, , % 1.40% Livingston 166, ,397 1, % 0.95% Marcona % 0.00% Merced % 0.00% Mission % 0.00% Mixed 594, ,341 34, % 10.21% Mono 78, % 0.00% Monterey % 0.00% Morley % 0.00% Neplus 0 6, % 0.50% Nonpareil 170,202, ,298,081 1,766, % 1.76% Padre 49,455 17, % 0.00% Peerless % 0.00% Price 399, ,835 2, % 0.48% Ruby % 0.00% Savana % 0.00% Sonora 143, ,916 3, % 1.96% Supareil 39,274 74, % 0.75% Thompson % 0.00% Tokyo 28,251 33, % 0.28% Winters % 0.00% Wood Colony 950, ,061 12, % 2.43% Major Varieties Sub Total 189,428, ,153,834 1,952, % 1.76% Minor Varieties Sub Total 70,234 90,912 1, % 1.12% Grand Total All Varieties 189,498, ,244,746 1,953, % 1.76% This report is subject to futher verification of handler's receipts and futher reconciliation of USDA Incoming Certificates Tuesday, September 11, 2018
6 Almond Board of California Record Breaking History Million Pounds Domestic 18/19 vs. 17/18 18/19 17/18 16/17 15/16 14/15 13/14 12/13 11/12 10/11 9/10 August -0.3% September October November December January February March April May June July Total -0.30% Export 18/19 vs. 17/18 18/19 17/18 16/17 15/16 August -14.0% September October November December January February March April May June July Total % 14/ , , , , , , , , , /14 12/13 11/12 10/11 9/10 Net 18/19 vs. 17/18 18/19 17/18 16/17 15/16 August -8.5% September October November December January February March April May June July Total -8.51% 14/ , , , , , , , , , /14 12/13 11/12 10/11 9/10
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