Emerging Vehicle Technologies

Transcription

1 Emerging Vehicle Technologies Finity Personal Lines Pricing and Portfolio Management Seminar 11 April Finity Consulting Pty Limited

2 Presentation Outline Emerging vehicle safety technologies What are they? Potential impact Current market practice How long before these are widespread Re-format Telematics Background and short history Benefits, challenges and business case Potential early adopters

3 Emerging Vehicle (Safety) Technologies Tire-pressure monitoring Forward Collision avoidance technology (with automatic braking) Rollover prevention / mitigation Lane change warning (blind-spot detection) Lane-departure warning and prevention Drowsy driver alert Adaptive headlights (cornering headlights) Smart headlights Electronic stability control Emergency response systems 3

4 4 Forward Collision Avoidance Technology (FCAT)

5 5 Volvo Collision Avoidance with Emergency Braking System

6 Forward Collision Avoidance Technology (FCAT) Currently Available Higher end manufacturers Volvo, Audi, Subaru, Lexus, Mercedes & Infiniti Standard or optional Under Development Effective operation at higher speed: Volvo (50-70 km/h), Mercedes 200km/h Pedestrian Detection Backup collision intervention Collision avoidance using vehicle to vehicle communication 6

7 7 Lane Change (Blind Spot) Warning

8 8 Lane Departure Warning & Prevention

9 Lane Change / Lane Departure Warning and Prevention Currently Available Higher end / European manufacturers Mercedes-Benz, Audi, BMW, HSV, Volkswagen, Volvo, Porsche, Range Rover Standard or optional (majority) Under Development Intersection assistance Vehicle to vehicle communication technology 9

10 Adaptive (Cornering) Headlights 10

11 Adaptive (Cornering) Headlights Currently Available Higher end manufacturers Audi, Mercedes-Benz, BMW, Lexus, Acura, Infiniti, Volkswagen, Citroen Mostly optional Under Development Adaptive brake lights Single-source fibre-optic lights Laser based headlights Infrared headlights (night vision) Self-levelling system (keeping lights on road when driving over a bump) 11

12 Some Studies show Technologies may Reduce Accidents Technology Research Impact Research Source Collision Avoidance Volvo XC60 vs. other mid-size luxury SUV 20-30% lower PD claims cost IIHS Status Report, 2011 Research Basis US Insurance claims data Collision Avoidance Vehicles where FCAT is optional 10-14% lower PD claim frequency IIHS Status Report, 2012 US Insurance claims data Collision Avoidance Simulation based on injury crash data 30 50% of all injuries may be prevented Centre for Automotive Safety Research (Uni Adelaide), 2012 NSW crash records Adaptive headlights Vehicles where adaptive headlights are optional 5-10% lower PD frequency IIHS Status Report, 2012 US Insurance claims data 12

13 Effectiveness influenced by driver response May generate false alarms Less reliable on lower quality roads, poor weather or night time May be switched off Risk compensation: Driver complacency or increase risk-taking 13

14 20% Premium Reductions for FCAT? "This is set to be reflected in our pricing, and we would estimate that the cost of an insurance premium for this vehicle will up to 20 per cent cheaper than it would be if it didn't have the technology. (NRMA's research director Robert McDonald ) Insurance Australia Group - including NRMA, SGIO and CGU - and Allianz support City Safety with a 20 per cent reduction on insurance premiums. Volvo Australia spokesman Oliver Peagam The benefits of Subaru s EyeSight driver assist system have been acknowledged with a 20 per cent premium reduction on Comprehensive Motor Insurance by Allianz Australia. 14

15 Premium Relativity: FCAT vs. No FCAT 1.2 Premium Relativity (Premium model/base) GIO AAMI IAG Allianz Volvo XC70 vs XC90 Subaru Liberty 2.5i Premium vs 2.5i Subaru Outback 2.5i Premium vs 2.5i 15

16 Optional FCAT Audi A6 16

17 Optional Lane Change / Departure Volvo XC60 17

18 Vehicle Book Comparison Glasses Redbook JATO Data structure Features and Options codes Features and Options codes Explicit data fields (flagged as standard, optional or not available) Collision Avoidance No No Yes, including separate fields for features (tighten seat belt, warning light, brake assist etc.) Lane Change Warning Yes Yes No Lane Departure Warning Yes No Yes Adaptive Headlights No No Yes 18

19 New premium safety technologies quickly become a standard feature of cars 100% Progression of Technology Implementation 90% Proportion of New Vehicles With Technology as Standard 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Year of Manufacture Airbags ABS Brake Assist Electronic Stability Control 19

20 Forward Collision Warning Automatic Parking 2013 Holden VF SS-V Series Commodore Blind Spot Monitor Rear Traffic Alert Lane Departure Warning 21

21 Vehicle to Vehicle communication Exchange info with nearby vehicles Vehicle velocity Acceleration Position Heading Enhance current technologies Activate collision avoidance Intersection assistance Lane change warning / mitigation Enables future technologies Crash-less car Self-drive car 22

22 Telematics

23 What is Telematics? 24 The basic infrastructure behind an insurance telematics system

24 A (very) Short History 1 st Generation UBI products, patented by Progressive Real PAYD No. products growing : AA, Co- Op, State Farm, Insurethebox First Australian comp motor telematics product? Pay-per-km style products grow in popularity US / Europe / South Africa 2 nd Generation UBI products. Progressive launches Snapshot (now ~1m policies)

25 What s in the box? GPS Accelerometer Gyroscope Modem Sim Card Depends on the technology solution doesn t all have to be in the box can utilise mobile phone, on-board computer

26 Key Rating Factors / Enabler Accelerometer Gyroscope Acceleration / Braking Cornering Speed Distance Driven GPS Speed (by road type) Time of Day 27

27 Benefits of Telematics Lower Claims Cost Base - Selection - Driver behaviour Retention & Cross-Selling - Price positioning - Customer engagement Claims Handling & Fraud - Location, time of day - Fault determination Ancillary - Roadside assistance - Petrol prices, parking - Targeted marketing

28 Australia is Different 29 US and UK comprehensive policies cover both bodily injury and property damage Market issues especially in UK Aggregators Prohibitively high premiums for young drivers 21 year old driver in London: Ford Focus 2006 from 2,650 ( 2,200 with a box) Holden Commodore GTX from 6,500 Gender Directive in EU

29 Segmentation Benefit Source: Market Finesse Source: Progressive

30 Pricing Dynamics 32

31 Pricing Dynamics 33

32 Some Key Drivers Lift from additional factors Decrease in cost from improvement in driver behaviour Portfolio mix selection Quantum of discounts / loadings Premium size Cost of device and infrastructure Potential market size Required Discount Discount Required to Install Telematics Device Over 20% 16% - 20% 11% - 15% 6% - 10% 1% - 5% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 34 Source: Progressive

33 Challenges Product Design Privacy and Data Ownership Pricing Technology and Infrastructure Analytical Capabilities 35

34 Progressive were one of the trailblazers of insurance telematics in the early 2000 s - available in 42 states across the US 6-week monitoring period no ongoing monitoring Utilises OBDII port - Device installed by the user, delivered in post No GPS. Not based on location or speed - Rating on acceleration / braking, distance, time of day Premiums only adjusted downward, maximum 30% discount. 36

35 Smartbox Collaborative product with a panel of underwriters CoverBox provides the technology Assessed every 90 days, initial discount of 25% Device installed by technician Online dashboard to view behaviour updated daily 60% policyholders log on 3 or more time a week 37

36 The UK s Leading Telematics Insurer Insurethebox website Device installed by a technician behind the dashboard No installation cost they will come to you Gives away free miles rather than $ discounts Claims 95% receive a discount on renewal average discount Online portal to view driving statistics

37 Potential Early Adopters Coles The South Africans Motor clubs Allianz 39

38 Price Positioning in NSW 40 Coles is significantly more expensive for younger drivers and parts of western Sydney

39 The South Africans Hollard Pay-as-you-Drive ~R60 (A$6) per month for device provides distance and behaviour summary statistics for the user Real Insurance in Oz Woolworths Insurance Outsurance Behaviour monitored through out the year and considered at next renewal Maximum of 20% discount based on the experience YOUI in Oz

40 Motor Clubs Different financial imperatives to big listed Seeking to maximise reach Need to remain relevant to young driver segment Good alignment with road safety advocacy position Offer range of aligned services eg roadside assistance, petrol pricing

41 Telematics technology in over 80,000 vehicles across 9 countries primarily Europe A global telematics strategy personal and commercial lines Allianz has a dedicated Telematics division to explore global opportunities Italy (2012) Self-installed, OBDII technology Roadside assistance ~7% market share in the Australian market

42 Conclusions Big changes afoot Australian insurers slow to move Coming quicker than Some challenges involved Pricing new you might technologies Game changers? think? Clearly Telematics surmountable Potentially large impact on product design and pricing Bigger incumbents will be slow to move

43 Distribution & Use Reliances & Limitations This presentation has been prepared for the Finity Consulting Personal Lines Pricing & Portfolio Management Seminar, held on 11 April It is not intended, nor necessarily suitable, for any other purpose. Third parties should recognise that the furnishing of this presentation is not a substitute for their own due diligence and should place no reliance on this presentation or the data contained herein which would result in the creation of any duty or liability by Finity to the third party. Finity wishes it to be understood that the information presented at the seminar is of a general nature and does not constitute actuarial advice or investment advice. While Finity has taken reasonable care in compiling the information presented, Finity does not warrant that the information provided is relevant to a particular reader s situation, specific objectives or needs. Finity does not have any responsibility to any attendee at the conference or to any other party arising from the content of this presentation. Before acting on any information provided by Finity in this presentation, readers should consider their own circumstances and their need for advice on the subject Finity would be pleased to assist.

44 Contact Nelson Henwood Principal Tel: Mobile: