THE AUTONOMOUS AIRPORT

Transcription

1 THE AUTONOMOUS AIRPORT OF THE PRESENT Ken Dunlap Managing Partner ACI-NA Public Safety and Security Conference New Orleans 2018

2 OUR DISCUSSION WHAT IS AUTONOMY? STATE OF THE ART AUTONOMY AND THE AIRPORT SECURITY CONSIDERATIONS

3 WHAT IS AUTONOMY? Air-Land-Sea Sense their world Make independent decisions Execute a plan

4 HOW DO THEY DO IT? Nashville Airport Duluth Tesla LIDAR or CAMERA to map world Use algorithms to position and navigate

5 WHAT IS THE STATE OF THE ART? Flying, driving, and sailing in swarms GPS not needed Human See and Avoid

6 Perdix SWARMS

7 GPS NOT REQUIRED

8 SEE AND AVOID

9 A COUPLE OF QUOTES 2013: CONSUMER GRADE SELF- DRIVING CARS ARE LIKELY BY 2030 PASSENGER TERMINAL EXPO 2017: WE'RE STILL ON TRACK FOR BEING ABLE TO GO CROSS COUNTRY, FROM L.A. TO NEW YORK, BY THE END OF THE YEAR, FULLY AUTONOMOUS ELON MUSK

10 INNOVATION AT SCALES NEVER SEEN BEFORE Moore s Law v. Drone Autonomous Autonomy capabilities doubling every 6 months Semiconductors

11 COMPONENT COST $ USD $80,000 $60,000 $75K PLUMMETING Key technology is now commoditized $40,000 $20,000 $0 *Quanergy S3 *Innoviz $250* $ Large DOD and commercial R&D investment Increased Manufacturing Capacity Price of LIDAR Sensors since 2012 Hardware no longer a limitation

12 THE BIG PICTURE $42 billion driverless market by 2025 Boston Consulting $127 billion drone market by 2020 PWC $45 billion monitoring, maintenance and inspection PWC $7 trillion driverless market by 2050 Intel

13 AUTONOMY AND THE AIRPORT THE BIG TRAP WHAT TO EXPECT

14 THE BIG TRAP Lesson #1 DON T GET BITTEN BY LEVEL 5 BIAS

15 BUSINESS PLANNING Review your team Commercialize the now Start with low risk activity: infrastructure inspection Move to one for one service replacements Adopt sharing / gig economy at your airport Incorporate autonomy into all new facilities

16 BUSINESS PLANNING Review your team Balance innovators and implementors Define where innovation stops and delivery begins Invest in ideation

17 BUSINESS PLANNING NASHVILLE COMMERCIALIZE THE NOW SENSOR DATA POSITIONING LIDAR DON T GIVE IT AWAY

18 BUSINESS PLANNING Boise Bag Room Commercialize the now LIDAR Airport planning Contract compliance Boise Bag Room Leverage autonomous users

19 BUSINESS PLANNING Start with low risk activity: infrastructure inspection Most optimized and portable use for automation $1,500 v $750 for a tower or hangar PWC

20 BUSINESS PLANNING Move to one for one service replacements People mover EasyMile San Jose Airport Airfield maintenan ce

21 BUSINESS PLANNING Drive sharing / gig economy Airport ground service fleets Facilities inspections Incentivize or penalize?

22 BUSINESS PLANNING Courtesy of Audi New facilities need to incorporate autonomy LAWA/Uber Parking Rental car/ride Courtesy of Uber Elevate share Air taxi

23 BUSINESS PLANNING Courtesy of Audi Parking 26% Reduction in parking spaces (mixed use) -Audi 62% Reduction if only autonomous (high density space) -Audi 21 Sqft reaction in size of each space -Arrowstreet Architecture

24 BUSINESS PLANNING Rental /ride share Will lead autonomous vehicle deployment 3% changed taxi industry 23% and your airport??

25 SECURITY CONSIDERATIONS AUTONOMY THREATS COUNTERMEASURE FRAMEWORK

26 Value Axis Empowering people to take control of autonomous technologies WHY DOES AUTONOMY MATTER? HIGH RISK LOW IMPACT HIGH RISK HIGH IMPACT AUTONOMY TODAY RISK LEADS AUTONOMY (chance of something happening) CONSEQUENCE LOW RISK LOW IMPACT TIME LOW RISK HIGH IMPACT TRAILS AUTONOMY (high impact event happening)

27 Value Axis Empowering people to take control of autonomous technologies LESSONS HIGH RISK LOW IMPACT TODAY HIGH RISK HIGH IMPACT AUTONOMY LEVEL OF AUTONOMY OF A THREAT MOST IMPORTANT FACTOR RISK: OVERESTIMATED LOW RISK LOW IMPACT TIME (c) CATALYST-GO 2018 LOW RISK HIGH IMPACT CONSEQUENCE: LAGS

28 WEAPON: DRONE BOOBYTRAP IED 2 KIA COST NEGLIGIBLE

29 WEAPON: DUMB BOMB DUMB BOMB DELIVERY COMMAND GUIDANCE, LIVE VIDEO LINK TARGET RECOGNITION AND ACQUISITION 2 KIA COST: $300

30 SEMI AUTONOMOUS DUMB BOMB DELIVERY Empowering people to take control of autonomous technologies WEAPON: SEMI- AUTONOMOUS GPS GUIDANCE TO TARGET AREA (3m-30m C.E.P.) $ NO TARGET RECOGNITION OR ACQUISITION 0 KIA COST $500-$3700 DEPENDING ON PRECISION

31 COUNTERMEASURES trolling your perimeter & ID launch sites offers the most protectio Reduces effective payload Places obstacles in transmission range Autonomous

32 THE TRAGIC SAD REALITY TERRORISM IS A BUSINESS $19.99 INEFFICTIVE WEAPON EXPENSIVE WEAPON LOWER COST SYSTEMS $ WITH GREATER PK

33 SAFETY ACT LAW TO LIMIT LIABILITY IN FAILURE OF TECHNOLOGY OR SERVICE CLAIMS WHERE TERRORISM IS INVOLVED DESIGNATION: LIABILITY CAP FROM USG CERTIFICATION: IMMUNITY FROM SUIT WHO USES SAFETY ACT? Port Authority of New York and New Jersey Newark Liberty International Airport Security Program New York Mets Citi Field Stadium Security Program Ryder Global Supply Chain Security Program Simon Property Group Shopping Center Security Program American Water Works Association Risk Assessment Standard CSC Event Security Services PricewaterhouseCoopers Risk Assessment Process

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35 THANK YOU Ken Dunlap