Robots on Our Roads: The Coming Revolution in Mobility. Ohio Planning Conference July 27, 2016 Richard Bishop

Transcription

1 Robots on Our Roads: The Coming Revolution in Mobility Ohio Planning Conference July 27, 2016 Richard Bishop

2 Myths! The roads need to be changed to make automated driving possible. WRONG! All vehicles need to be connected to enable automation. WRONG! Automated Vehicles are prohibitively expensive. WRONG! New laws / regulations are needed to enable automated vehicles. not necessarily Automated vehicles are in the distant future. depends on what we re talking about 2

3 Domains of Automation

4 Road Automation Domains Passenger Cars privately owned, low utilization Heavy Trucks fleet owned, high utilization Automated Mobility on Demand: robo-taxi fleet owned, high utilization 4

5 Who Owns and Who Drives? Source: Morgan Stanley 5

6 6 crash avoidance systems: here now & making a difference

7 Today s Crash Avoidance Systems Are The Foundation For Automated Vehicles Electronic Stability Control Lane Departure Avoidance Blind spot Monitoring Pedestrian Detection Automatic Emergency Braking

8 Today s Crash Avoidance Systems Are The Foundation For Automated Vehicles Electronic Stability Control Lane Departure Avoidance Blind spot Monitoring Pedestrian Detection Automatic Emergency Braking 80% crash reduction in the next twenty years!

9 9 from crash avoidance to automated driving

10 Doing Things Right! Automated driving is different from crash avoidance. Crash avoidance technology intervenes when things go wrong Automated driving technology automates the things we do RIGHT.

11 Automated Driving: Enabling Technology Source: Texas Instruments ADAS Solutions Guide 11

12 How Do Robots See the World? Quanergy at CES QsEs 12

13 Automated Driving: Supporting Technology HIGH DEFINITION MAPS V2X COMMUNICATIONS Source: Texas Instruments ADAS Solutions Guide 13

14 Automated Driving: Technology WHAT ABOUT CYBERSECURITY? Source: Texas Instruments ADAS Solutions Guide 14

15 from research to product 15

16 Available Now: Highway Co-Pilot 16

17 Available Now: Highway Co-Pilot 17

18 Available Now: Highway Co-Pilot 18

19 Available Now: Highway Co-Pilot 19

20 Available Now: Highway Co-Pilot 20

21 Available Now: Highway Co-Pilot 21

22 Available Now: Highway Co-Pilot 22

23 Available Now: Highway Co-Pilot 23

24 Available Now: Highway Co-Pilot 24

25 Automated Driving: Where From Here? 2020 Level 2 systems (eyes-on) for street use Level 3 systems (eyes-off) for highway use Level 4 low speed robo-taxi services in some cities / campuses Level 3 systems working on virtually all roads Level 4 robo-taxi services growing in extent

26 What Stars Must Align? National Regulations National Highway Traffic Safety Administration only regulates equipment on new vehicles what is not prohibited is permitted therefore, AV is permitted! Google, others lobbying Congress to expand NHTSA authority on driving rules 26

27 What Stars Must Align? State Regulations States regulate how vehicles are operated A regulation may not be required for AV use to be legal depends on specific language in driving code new Florida law allows operational use of automated driving (going beyond testing only) 27

28 automated trucking 28

29 What Factors Affect Trucking Today? Driver shortage Hours of Service Fuel cost Crashes Congestion Sustainability Trailer Length / Longer Combination Vehicles 29

30 Longer Term: Freightliner Inspiration Truck (hands-off, feet-off, eyes-off) 30

31 Near Term: Driver Assistive Truck Platooning Two trucks following safely at close following distances ( ft) By combining DSRC Vehicle-to-Vehicle Communications with radar.. braking by rear truck occurs simultaneously with leader truck Follower truck driver still responsible for steering Significant fuel savings due to aerodynamics 10% rear truck, 5% front truck Gaps variable in real-time based on conditions frequent entry/exit, traffic, weather Product introduction expected 2017

32 Automating Truck Drayage Operations Addressing container movements at intermodal facilities Florida DOT project defining pilot projects for possible funding shippers, fleets, technology providers, ports Promising areas: freight signal priority driver assistive truck platooning driverless ship-to-rail container transfers 32

33 Truck Only Lanes: Robots Driving With Robots! Georgia: two new northbound lanes on a 40- mile stretch of Interstate 75 on the southern edge of metropolitan Atlanta built over next ten years What does this mean to automated trucking? Longer platoons Higher speeds Stopping only for fuel 33

34 What Stars Must Align? State Regulations for Truck Platooning Low level of automation eases the way State-level following distance laws are key 28 states: no minimum following distance 6 states: ready for pilot testing (FL, UT, MI, NV, AL, TX, TN) others: legislation or administrative regulatory changes in progress 34

35 Recommended: American Trucking Association Technology and Maintenance Council Information Report TMC Future Truck Program: Task Force on Automated Driving and Platooning Automated Driving & Platooning: Issues & Opportunities (TMC IR ) Recommendations Regarding Automated Driving and Platooning Systems (Position Paper ) 35

36 Peloton Technology: Driver Assistive Truck Platooning Peloton Truck Platooning Video 36

37 AUTOMATED MOBILITY ON DEMAND -- Automated Shuttles -- On-Demand Automated Trips

38 Automated Shuttles: WePod: Wageningen, Netherlands

39 WePod: 6 passenger vehicles, 25 kph 39

40 On-Demand AV: Key Players Investing Billions Tech Startups Google Uber Zoox Car Manufacturers Daimler: adding automated services to established car sharing (Car2Go) Ford: AMOD on corporate campus GM: $500M Lyft investment, established Maven car sharing Nissan: Smart Mobility Concept for urban driving 40

41 Nissan Smart Mobility Concept 41

42 Smart Columbus: Autonomous Electric Vehicle Commercial District: Easton mixed-use area walks within the district can be up to a mile Perfect setting for robo-taxi solution Implementing six DSRC-enabled Electric Autonomous Vehicles using public roadways in mixed traffic at speeds up to 25 mph roads will upgraded to support the system Persons on-board are passengers only! Stymied robot? No problem: EAV can be operated remotely a new way to think of human-in-the-loop. 42

43 wrap-up 43

44 What Should States and Cities Do To Position Themselves? Policy create a clear set of criteria for these vehicles to operate on their roads define requirements that protect the public yet are not so onerous that the business case collapses Dynamic Data traffic signal phase and timing detailed information on work zones best practices in markings and signage Data Delivery cloud / public networks V2V / V2I 44

45 Robots on our Roads Market demand is strong Powerful synergies between car- and truck-side stimulate momentum for both Industry aggressively developing AV products Government policy is challenged to keep up Regulatory / policy issues will be handled rather than solved Universal will amongst all players to make automated driving a reality No other technology ever offered in vehicles allows drivers to do something else with their brain. THIS IS NEW TERRITORY!

46 Thank You Richard Bishop Bishop