THE DAIRY REVIEW DOMIN ION BUREAU OF STATISTICS A OTTAWA - CANADA. CATALOGUE No. Vol. 25, No 4 A PR I L 1964 Price: 2.

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1 . CATALOGUE No MONTHLY rl DOMIN ION BUREAU OF STATISTICS OTTAWA CANADA Published by Authority of the Minister of Trade and Commerce THE DAIRY REVIEW Vol. 25, No 4 A PR I L 1964 Price: 2.00 per year MILLION WHOLE MILK EQUIVALENT OF DAIRY FACTORY PRODUCTS, CANADA POUNDS BY MONTHS 1963 AND 1964 MILLION 1,800 [TATTIC..TTIQU b CANADA 1,600 1,600 1,400 A 17 LY3RARY BIBLIOTIIEQUE 1,400 1,200 1,200 1,000 BOO CREAMERY BUTTER AS MILK PRODUCTS AS MILK ONCENTR4T[D MU JFMAMJJASONDJFM I A L J.! I MRY196L 55)4504 ROGER DUHAMEL. r.ss.c.. Queen's Printer and Control3er of Stationery. Ottawa 0

Preliminary Indications of the Dairy Situation, April, 1964 5 The preliminary estimate of milk produced in April is 1,578,000,000 pounds. his is 1.

1 per cent higher than production in the January April period a year ago. Approximately 56 per cent of the milk produced in April, or 878,300,300 pounds, was used for dairy factory products.

3 and 1.1 per cent in milk utilization for factory cheese, concentrated whole milk pro. ducts and ice cream mix, respectively. During the January April 1.eriod, 2.

3 Preliminary Indications of the Dairy Situation, April, The preliminary estimate of milk produced in April is 1,578,000,000 pounds. his is 1.3 per cent less than production in the same month last year and would make the total estimate of production during the first four months of the year 5,155,000,000 pounds. This is 1.1 per cent higher than production in the January April period a year ago. Approximately 56 per cent of the milk produced in April, or 878,300,300 pounds, was used for dairy factory products. This was an increase of 0.9 per cent over factory utilization in April, Less milk was utilized for the manufacture of creamery butter during April, 1964, almost offsetting increases of 9.6, 3.3 and 1.1 per cent in milk utilization for factory cheese, concentrated whole milk pro. ducts and ice cream mix, respectively. During the January April 1.eriod, 2.3 per cent more milk was used in dairy factory products than in the corres 1 onding period in TABLE 1. Preliminary Estimates of Milk 1quivalent of Dairy Factory iroducts, April and January to April, 1963 and Product April I January:April Percentage ercentage Change Chah lb.'ooo lb lb lb4 Creamery Butter 635, () 0.9 1, , () 0.1 Factory Cheese (+) , ,36 (+) 11.4 Concentrated Whole Milk Products ,083 (+) , ,506 (+) 5.5 Ice Cream Mix 40,776 41,209 (+) , ,168 (+) 7.4 Totals 870, ,272 (+) 0.9 I 2,431, ,E51 (+)2.3 Fluid sales of milk and cream during pri1, for the purpose of the preliminary estimate, are calculated at 515,000,000 pounds, an increase of 2.1 per cent over fluid sales in April, This assumes the same relationship to yearearlier estimates as the month of i4arch. S According to indications from the monthly survey of farms keeping mllk cows, milk and cream consumed in farm homes was 1.3 per cent below that used In April, 1963, while milk used for livestock feeding dropped 26.4 per cent from that of a year ago due to sharply reduced quantities in Ontario and uebec. Farm dairy correspondents participating in the survey report 1.3 per cent fewer COWS kept on farms at April 15, and 1.3 per cent less cows being milked than at the same date 1at year. Milk production per cow, for COW8 milked on farms in the sample, ins creased 1.3 per cent above the level at April 15, The estimate of total milk production Is not based entirely on the farm sample but is the sum of the estimates of milk utilization.

2 uin _LiA. LJU. i.;;g I Farm Milk Production: The estimated quantity of milk produced on farms in March amounted to 1,310 million pounds, an increase of 15 million pounds or 1.

During the JanuaryMarch period, the estimated production was 3,577 million pounds, an increase of 74 million pounds over that produced in the same period of the previous year.

Fluid Sales: Sales of fluid milk and cream, the latter expressed as milk, amounted to 539 million pounds in March, an increase of approd.

4 2 uin _LiA. LJU. i.;;g I Farm Milk Production: The estimated quantity of milk produced on farms in March amounted to 1,310 million pounds, an increase of 15 million pounds or 1.1 per cent over that of March, Of this amount, 609 million pounds or 46 per cent was utilized in factory production, and approd.mately 539 million pounds or 41 per cent was used for fluid sales. During the JanuaryMarch period, the estimated production was 3,577 million pounds, an increase of 74 million pounds over that produced in the same period of the previous year. The quantity of milk utilized for factory production in the JanuaryMarch period amounted to 1,578 million pounds while fluid sales accounted for 1076 million pounds. Fluid Sales: Sales of fluid milk and cream, the latter expressed as milk, amounted to 539 million pounds in March, an increase of approd.mate1y 11 million pounds in comparison with March of the previous year. This included about 452 million pounds of fluid milk, comprising about 34 per cent of the farm milk supply, and fluid cream sales of 87 million pounds representing about 7 per cent. During the three month period, fluid sales totalled milflon pounds, an increase of 68 million pounds or 4,5 per ti3 OTifl 1 ; arrn ul oulte: maoe on 1'arm.j in iarch amounted to 270,000 I pounds, decreasing 30 per cent from the corresponding month in For the JanuaryMarch period, 839,000 pounds were produced, a decrease of 32 per cent from the same period last year. Farm Cash Income: Cash income from the sale of dairy products in March amounted to $39,929,000. This represented an increase of 5.4 per cent or $2,039,000 in comparison with the same month last year. The weighted average value of $3.48 per hundred pounds of milk was 8 cents higher than in March, Fluid milk at $4.85 per hundred was 10 cents higher than in March, Creamery butterfat increased from 68.2 cents to 69.9 cents per pound, and farm butter at 57 cents per pound was the same as in March, Milk used in manufacture averaged $2.80 per hundred, 10 cents higher than in March, Cheese milk increased to $2.85 per hundred, an increase of U cents per hundred in comparison with the same month a year earlier. Farm cash income estimates cover all money received by farmers for the sale of milk, cream and farm butter. Government subsidies and bonuses are included in these estimates. The estimates, however, do not make any allowances for costs incurred by farmers in the production of dairy products.

Stocks: Combined holdings of creamery butter and butter oil (in butter equivalent) in store and transit on April 1, 1964, amounted to 176.3 million pounds, approximately 29.

5 3 S iroduction and krices of Dairy irouucts in iiarch, 1%4 Creamery Butter Production: Creamery butter production amounted to 17.8 million pounds in March, 1964, an increase of approximately 158 thousand pounds as compared to production in the same month of the previous year. Stocks: Combined holdings of creamery butter and butter oil (in butter equivalent) in store and transit on April 1, 1964, amounted to million pounds, approximately 29.1 million pounds lower than at April 1 last year. On March , stock holdings at million pounds were 26.5 million pounds less than at the same date a year earlier. S Supply: The combined quantity of creamery butter and butter oil represented by stocks on March 1, pius production and imports during the month amounted to million pounds of butter at March 31, This was a decrease of approximately 26.4 million pounda compared to the corresponding supply figure at March 31, Domestic Disappearance: The combined domestic disappearance of creamery butter and butter oil in March amounted to 29.5 million pounds of butter, an increase of 1.8 million pounds or 6.4 per cent more than the corresponding figure for the same month last year. On a per capita basis, it amounted to 1.54 pounds as compared with 1.47 pounds in March, Prices at Montreal: Butter prices at Montreal, based on quotations for first grade solids, averaged 51 cents per pound in March, as against 51 1/4 cents in March, Cheddar Cheese Production: Cheddar cheese production in March amounted to approximately 6.3 million pounds, an increase of about 941 thousand pounds compared to production in the same month of the previous year. Prices: The Bellevilie price of Ontario coloured cheese averaged 35 1/2 cents per pound in March, The comparative price in 1963 was 35 1/4 cents. Ice Cream Mix The quantity of ice cream mix manufactured in March was approximately 1.7 million gallons or 162 thousand gallons more than that produced a year ago.

4 TABLE 2. Milk Production and Utilization, by Province, March, 1963 and 1964 Province and Tear Total }.

10 1963 7,867(1) 3,463(1) 47 1,650 428 2,279 1964 8,680(1) 4,055(1) 47 1,680 717 2,181 N.S.

1963 349 1,682 134947 1,217 22,100 34900 159018 1964 346,572 135 1,762 608 21,100 25,400 163,702 Out. 1963 511,172 259090 174 17400 32,900 200,708 1964 519,469 273,838 281 18,500 21,200 205,650 Man.

6 4 TABLE 2. Milk Production and Utilization, by Province, March, 1963 and 1964 Province and Tear Total }.1k Production Utilization Far armhome I Fed to FR:td Products Butter Consumed ILiveatocks Factory1housand pounds P0E ,867(1) 3,463(1) 47 1, , ,680(1) 4,055(1) 47 1, ,181 N.S ,080 4, ,900 1,760 17, , ,910 1,090 17,368 NeBa , ,630 2, , , ,890 1,460 13,810 Qua , ,217 22, , , ,100 25, ,702 Out , , , , , ,500 21, ,650 Man ,883 42, ,070 6,720 28, ,940 41, ,870 6,910 28,992 Saak ,626 41,160 2,878 12,200 8,140 30, ,754 40,103 1,989 12,900 9,140 30,622 Alta ,190(1) 58,472(1) ,700 6, ,360(1) 66,951(1) 2,083 11, ,160 33,966 Be C , ,170 2, , ,050 2, Totals ,294, ,986 79,220 93, , , ,728 6,318 80,100 74, ,497 (1) The milk equivalent of concentrated whole milk products is excluded to avoid disclosing individual company operations0 It is included in totals0

S. 1963 78,469 15005 1,006 9,080 3,764 49014 1964 78,47 15,117 584 8,880 2,929 50,957 N.B. 1963 69,042 13,650 1,824 8,180 3,701 41,687 1964 70,122 16,110 1,240 8,390 2,933 44449 ue.

7 5 TABLE 3. Milk Production and Utilization: Cumulative Data, by Province,. January to March, 1963 and 1964 Utilization Total 1 Province and Year I Milk Factory Farm FarmHome Fed to Fluid Production Products j Butter Consumed Lii Sales thousand pounds P.E.I ,394(1) 14748(1) 164 4,810 1,115 6, ,676(1) 13,420(1) 141 5, ,587 N.S , ,006 9,080 3, ,47 15, ,880 2,929 50,957 N.B ,042 13,650 1,824 8,180 3,701 41, ,122 16,110 1,240 8,390 2, ue , ,340 3,230 63,100 54, ,318 19o4 910, ,804 1,451 61,300 45, ,160 S Ont , , ,200 80, , ,423, , ,200 52, ,929 Man , ,700 80, , ,816 2,527 19,510 15,830 84,458 Sask , ,511 8,892 35,100 20,990 86, , ,743 6,084 37,500 26, Alta ,048(1) 156,452(1) 7,816 30,950 17,040 96, ,090(1) 181,978(1) 6,435 33,200 15,890 99,587 B.C ,412 70, , , ,520 71, ,930 8, ,590 Totals ,502, , , ,576, ,579 19, , ,490 1,575,839 (1) The milk equivalent of concentrated whole milk products is exciwied to avoid S disclosing individual, company operations. It is included in totals.

pounds of milk P.E.I. 1963 3023 110 (1) 30 2,068 211 1964 3,814 176 (1) 65 1,985 196 N.S. 1963 3010 1964 39650 235 1 1,238 15,502 1,677 2 685 15,657 1,711 N.E. 1963 4 2 002 154 1964 4,493 308 732 890 12,787 1 1 768 12,148 1,662 Que.

1963 170,703 36,954 37,177 14,556 169,793 30,915 1964 173,745 43,185 42 9 262 14,646 173,189 32,461 Man. 1963 40,388 768 1964 38 9 844 933 1,791 1,619 22,439 5,654 23,112 5,880 Sask.

8 TABLE 4. Milk Equivalent of Factory Products and '1uid 3 aies, b;, krovince, March, 1963 and 1964 Province and Year Creamery Butter Cheese Concentrated Ice Cream Mix Fluid Milk Fluid Crean thousand pounds of milk P.E.I (1) 30 2, , (1) 65 1, N.S ,238 15,502 1, ,657 1,711 N.E , , ,148 1,662 Que ,796 29,968 10, ,690 24, ,777 34,494 10,908 9, ,31 Ont ,703 36,954 37,177 14, ,793 30, ,745 43, , ,189 32,461 Man , ,791 1,619 22,439 5,654 23,112 5,880 Sask , , ,629 4,619 26,142 4,483 Alta ,043 1,221 (1) 1,208 28,726 5, , (1) 2,011 28,726 5,240 B. C ,202 1,232 10,446 2,934 33, , , ,826 Totals ,402 70,407 68, , ,099 82,275 73, ,723 86,774 (i) Excluded to avoid disclosing individual company operations but included in the total.

7 TABLE 5. Milk Utilization: In Factories, in Dairies and on Farms, as Percentage of Production, by Province, March, 1964 Used in Manufacture Used Used on Farms for Cone.

23 10 6 39 47 6 8 Ont. 34 8 II 53 40 3 4 Man. 46 1 2 49 34 1 8 8 Sask. 41 1 42 32 2 14 10 Alta. 49 2 7 58 26 2 9 5 B.C. 11 2 23 36 57 3 4 Canwla I 321 6 8 1461 'I 1 1 61 6 S TABLE 6.

9 7 TABLE 5. Milk Utilization: In Factories, in Dairies and on Farms, as Percentage of Production, by Province, March, 1964 Used in Manufacture Used Used on Farms for Cone. Milk Fluid for in Pail Province Creamery Cheese and Ice Sales farm farm fed to Total Butter Cream Mix Butter Homes Animals percentages P.E.I N.S N.B Que Ont II Man Sask Alta B.C Canwla I 'I S TABLE 6. Butter Made on Farms, by Province, March and Cumulative January to March, 1963 and 1964 Proviice March January March % of % of lb. I lb lb lb. Prince Edward Island Nova Scotia 6 II New Brunswick Quebec Ontario Manitoba Saskatchewan Alberta British Columbia Totals

TABLE 7. Production Trends as Indicated by Reports in the Farm Survey, Conducted as of the 15th of Each Month A.

4 50.7 52.8 N.S. 67.7 64.7 67,0 65.2 69.2 69.5 N.B. 50,3 49.2 49.8 48.8 61.4 60.7 ue. 3801 383 43.6 44.7 62.6 63,4 Ont. 60.1 59.4 61.7 62.5 70.0 68.9 Man. 53.4 53.3 58.1 58.1 63.8 62.2 Sask. 55.

LiZ; by Province, March, 1964 and kpril,, 1903 and 1964 Province All Cows Cows Milked March April. April March April April 1964 l964. 1963 1964 1964 1963 pounds P.E.I. 1002 14.6 14.7 24.8 28.8 27.

10 TABLE 7. Production Trends as Indicated by Reports in the Farm Survey, Conducted as of the 15th of Each Month A. Cows Milked: Percentage of Total Milk Cows, by Province, February, March and April, 1963 and 1964 Province February March April percentages P,E.I, 48, N.S , N.B. 50, ue ,4 Ont Man Sask , Alta B.C , Canada , L S J ç Jy: 1.LiZ; by Province, March, 1964 and kpril,, 1903 and 1964 Province All Cows Cows Milked March April. April March April April 1964 l pounds P.E.I N.S N.B Que , Ont Man Sask Alta ,7 20, B.C , Canada

Concentration Cream Milk Butter1 thousand dollars P.E.I. 1963 78 3 20 7 85 193 1964 91 5 40 6 85 227 N.S. 1963 82 41 50 769 1 943 1964 82 50 52 786 1 971 N.B. 1963 92 4 24 58 605 4 787 1964 104 8 30 56 611 2 811 Que.

11 S TABLE 8. Farm Cash Income from the Sale of Ii1k, Cream and Farm Butter, by Frovince, March, 1963 and 1964 Milk for Ice 1 Province and Year Creamery Cheese Cream Mix and Fluid Fluid Farm Total Butterfat Milk Concentration Cream Milk Butter1 thousand dollars P.E.I N.S N.B Que , , , ,529 Ont ,067 1, , , , ,612 Man , , ,072 2,139 Sask , , ,254 Alta , ,283 B.C , , , ,103 Totals , ,745 2,333 21, , ,062 2,347 3,095 2,439 21, ,929

10 March, 1963 and 1964 I Province and Year Creamery Butterfat Cheeae Milk Milk for Ice Cream Mix and Concentration Fluid Milk Farm Butter Average of

02 N.S. 1963 67.0 2.79 4.96 58 4.25 1964 65.0 2.94 5.02 57 4.27 N.B. 1963 66.0 2.47 3.28 4.73 59 4.02 1964 67.0 2.70 3.39 5.03 59 4,14 Qua. 1963 72.5 2.

61 56 2.98 1964 64.4 2.66 2.81 4.64 58 3.04 Sask. 1963 64.6 2.40 4.78 56 3.16 1964 65.7 2.43 4.71 56 3.19 Alta, 1963 66.1 2,83 2.89 4.58 57 3.03 1964 66.

12 10 March, 1963 and 1964 I Province and Year Creamery Butterfat Cheeae Milk Milk for Ice Cream Mix and Concentration Fluid Milk Farm Butter Average of Total Sale8 per lb. per cwt. per cwt. per cwt. per lb. $ per cwt. $ $ $ 0 ofmilk P,E,I N.S N.B ,14 Qua c Ont, Man , Sask Alta, , B.C Canada ,

Capita 1000 lb. lb. 1000 lb. lb. 9000 lb. lb. 1955 23,882 1.52 663379 4.23 301,645 19.21 1956 249566 153 70,367 4.38 313,606 19.50 1957 25,777 1.55 73,161 4.41 321,554 19.38 1958 24,186 1.42 70,515 4.

13 11 TABLE 10. Creamery Butter: Domestic Disappearance for March, January to March and January to December, 1955 to 1964 Year March January to March January to December Total Per Capita Total Per Capita Total Per Capita 1000 lb. lb lb. lb lb. lb , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , (1) 1e ,804 A (1) Includes an adjuatment for approximately 737,000 lb. of butter oil, or 921,000 lb. in butter equivalent, exported in the month of March. TABLE 11. Cheese, Supply and Disposition, Canada, March and Cumulative January to March, 1960 to 1964 Stocks Stocks Domestic Disappearance Year Beginning Production Imports Exports End March Jan. Mar lb lb lb lb0 1 j_ 000 lb lb lb. Cheddar Ctieese , ,811 7,493 20, , ,080 8,114 22, ,858 5, ,597 22, , ,886 8,089 22, ,676 6,263..(i) ,635 7,100 2,3,058 1rocess uneese , ,934 5, ,536 5,288 ' 19 3,855 4,950 14, ,993 6, ,910 6, , ,023 5,882 16, ,001 6, ,258 5, T3 [ 3,409 1, ,424 2, , ,867 1,240.0(1) 4 2,681 1, (2) (1) Not available (2) Includes adjustment for February trade statistics. 1

12 TABLE 12. Principal Concentrated MiJ_k 1 1roducts., Supply and Disposition, Crada, March and Cumulative January to March, 1960 to 1964 Stocks Year Beginning tq lb. Production 1 000 lb.

1 000 lb. '000 lb. ivaporat,ea wnoi.e iii.uc Domestic Disarances March Jan.Mar. 1 000 lb.

22,145 2,522 22,013 22,406 73043 Partly Skimmed Evaporated Milk 1960 1,616 1,559 1,699 1,476 5,475 1961 3023 1,559 2,872 2,010 6,124 1962 3,065 1,664 2,381 2,348 6,740 1963 2,053 1,885 1,722 2,216

14 12 TABLE 12. Principal Concentrated MiJ_k 1 1roducts., Supply and Disposition, Crada, March and Cumulative January to March, 1960 to 1964 Stocks Year Beginning tq lb. Production lb. Stocks [ Imports Exports End lb lb. '000 lb. ivaporat,ea wnoi.e iii.uc Domestic Disarances March Jan.Mar lb lb, , ,470 24,462 91, ,488 22, ,078 24,939 72, ,573 17, ,472 28,517 78, ,804 19, ,057 25,466 76, ,796 22,145 2,522 22,013 22, Partly Skimmed Evaporated Milk ,616 1,559 1,699 1,476 5, ,559 2,872 2,010 6, ,065 1,664 2,381 2,348 6, ,053 1,885 1,722 2,216 6, j 2,012 2,312 2,066 2,258 7,065 Condensed Wlio.Le Milk , , ,307 1, , ,362 (l) 667 1,414 4, ,126 1,748 1,328 1,546 4, , ,484 Whole Milk kowder ,267 1, ,129 1, , ,587 1, ,250 1, , ,382 2, ,864 1, , ,365 3,073...(2) 2, , ,001 2, Skim Milk Powder ,863 10, ,644 8,821 15, ,440 11, ,703 10,947 24, ,571 10, ,753 12,237 26, ,824 9,725 8, ,759 38, , , ,930 8,062 27,813 Casel.n (1) , , , , (3) (4) (1) Less than 500 pounds. (2) Disappearance for the month cannot be estimated because monthond stocks and exports (with inevitable lag) exceed total supply, (3) Not yet available. (4) Includes adjustment for February trade statistics

13 TABLE 13 Ice Cream: Production of Hard and Soft Types, by Province, April and Cumulative January to April, 1963 and 1964 Province and Year Hard Ice Cream I Soft Ice Cream I Total Ice Cream

1963 91 279 3 3 94 282 1964 92 327 1 1 93 328 Qua. 1963 796 2,498 67 108 863 2,606 1964 951 3,057 56 98 1,007 3,155 Ont. 1963 1,408 4,365 87 166 1,495 4,531 1964 1012 4,408 83 162 1095 4,570 Man.

15 13 TABLE 13 Ice Cream: Production of Hard and Soft Types, by Province, April and Cumulative January to April, 1963 and 1964 Province and Year Hard Ice Cream I Soft Ice Cream I Total Ice Cream April_fJan.Ar. April I Jan.Apr._J April _Jmpr. thousand gallons P.E.I N.S N.B Qua , , , ,007 3,155 Ont ,408 4, ,495 4, , ,570 Man Sask Alta , , , B.C , , ,569 Totals ,526 11, ,841 11, ,712 12, , TABLE 14. Production of Other Products In Ice Cream Industry, Canada, April and Cumulative January to April, 1963 and 1964 Year Milkshake Mix Apr. IJ Apr. Apr l Jan.Apr. Apr. jjan.apr. I Apr. f Jan.Apr. thousand gallons

101 0758263 TABLE 15. Total Reported Domestic Sales of Ski. i.lk Powder with Related Fri.

Milk Powder Range of Weighted Average Price Range Total Reported Selling Price Reported of "Bulk of Prices(2) F.M. Plant (Net) Sales" 1 000 lb. 0 per lb0 0 per lb. 0 per lb. Quebec Spray 2 1 662 9.

16 TABLE 15. Total Reported Domestic Sales of Ski. i.lk Powder with Related Fri. Data, Quebec and Ontario, April, 1964(1) I (Data on Export Sales not included due to disclosure provisions of Statistics Act) Province and Classification Domestic Sales of Skini Milk Powder Range of Weighted Average Price Range Total Reported Selling Price Reported of "Bulk of Prices(2) F.M. Plant (Net) Sales" lb. 0 per lb0 0 per lb. 0 per lb. Quebec Spray Roller Feed Ontario Spray 4, Roller 1, Feed (1) At time of publication reports had not been received from 3 of 68 plants listed as producing in Quebec and Ontario, therefore, the table should not be interpreted as covering total sales in these provinces. (2) Midpoints of lowest and highest half cent range in which sales were reported. Prepared in the Livestock & Animal Products Section, Agriculture Division Issued Tuesday, May 26, 1964.

16 17F 18F 19F 16 17F 18F 19F 16 17F 18F 19F 16 17F 18F 19F 16 17F 18F 19F 16 17F 18F 19F 16 17F 18F 19F

Forecast detail Average annual % change unless otherwise indicated Real GDP Nominal Employment Unemployment rate Housing starts GDP % Thousands Retail sales CPI 16 17F 18F 19F 16 17F 18F 19F 16 17F 18F